Flyers vs Maple Leafs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 25)

Updated: 2025-03-23T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 25, 2025, the Philadelphia Flyers will face the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. This matchup features two Eastern Conference teams with contrasting seasons, as the Maple Leafs aim to solidify their playoff positioning, while the Flyers strive to play spoiler.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 25, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Scotiabank Arena​

Maple Leafs Record: (42-25)

Flyers Record: (28-35)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: +200

TOR Moneyline: -246

PHI Spread: +1.5

TOR Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Flyers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games. Their inconsistent offense and defensive lapses have contributed to this trend.

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have been more reliable ATS, covering in 6 of their last 10 games. Their potent offense and improved defensive play at home have been key factors.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 11 matchups, the Flyers are 1-8-2 against the Maple Leafs, indicating Toronto’s dominance in recent head-to-head encounters.

PHI vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Deslauriers over 0.5 Goals Scored

LIVE NHL ODDS

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Philadelphia vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/25/25

The upcoming game between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Toronto Maple Leafs on March 25, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena presents an intriguing contest between two teams with differing trajectories this season. The Maple Leafs, boasting a strong home record, are focused on securing a favorable playoff position, while the Flyers, facing a challenging season, aim to disrupt Toronto’s momentum and gain valuable experience for their developing roster. Toronto’s offense has been a driving force behind their success, averaging 3.15 goals per game. Key contributors include Auston Matthews, whose goal-scoring prowess continues to be a significant asset, and Mitch Marner, known for his exceptional playmaking abilities. The team’s power play operates at a 20.5% success rate, making them a constant threat with the man advantage. Defensively, the Maple Leafs allow 2.78 goals per game, with goaltender Dennis Hildeby providing stability between the pipes. Hildeby’s recent performances have instilled confidence in Toronto’s defensive capabilities. Conversely, the Flyers have faced offensive inconsistencies, averaging 3.03 goals per game. Travis Konecny leads the team with 18 goals and 25 assists, but the absence of secondary scoring has hindered Philadelphia’s ability to compete against top-tier opponents. Their power play struggles, with a 15.9% conversion rate, further exacerbate their offensive challenges.

Defensively, the Flyers concede 3.56 goals per game, highlighting vulnerabilities that opponents have exploited throughout the season. Goaltender Ivan Fedotov has faced a heavy workload, and while showing flashes of brilliance, the lack of defensive support has impacted his overall performance. Special teams play a crucial role in this matchup. Toronto’s efficient power play contrasts sharply with Philadelphia’s underwhelming penalty kill, which operates at a 78.3% success rate. This disparity suggests that the Maple Leafs could capitalize on power play opportunities, potentially tilting the game’s momentum in their favor. Historically, Toronto has dominated recent meetings between these teams, with the Flyers holding a 1-8-2 record in their last 11 matchups against the Maple Leafs. This trend underscores Toronto’s upper hand and may influence betting perspectives. Injuries could impact both teams’ lineups. For Toronto, defenseman Jake McCabe remains questionable with an upper-body injury, potentially affecting their defensive depth. Philadelphia faces uncertainties with goaltender Samuel Ersson listed as day-to-day due to a lower-body injury, which could influence their goaltending decisions. From a betting standpoint, Toronto’s ability to cover the spread at home, combined with Philadelphia’s recent ATS struggles, positions the Maple Leafs as favorites. However, bettors should consider the potential for a high-scoring game, given Toronto’s offensive capabilities and Philadelphia’s defensive vulnerabilities. As the regular season progresses, this game holds significant implications for the Maple Leafs’ playoff aspirations and offers the Flyers an opportunity to evaluate and develop their roster against a formidable opponent. Fans can anticipate a competitive matchup, with Toronto seeking to assert their dominance and Philadelphia aiming to defy expectations.

Philadelphia Flyers NHL Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers enter their March 25, 2025, clash with the Toronto Maple Leafs in a turbulent but transitional phase of their organizational rebuild, combining youthful ambition with flashes of resilience in what has largely been a developmental season. Under the stewardship of head coach John Tortorella, the Flyers have crafted a hard-nosed, defense-first identity that, while yielding mixed results in the standings, has laid a foundation for the future. At 3.03 goals per game, Philadelphia’s offense has shown sporadic bursts of production, driven primarily by winger Travis Konecny, who leads the team in both goals and assists. Konecny’s aggressive forechecking, relentless energy, and ability to create off the rush have been key catalysts in Philadelphia’s attack. Alongside him, promising young forwards like Morgan Frost and Owen Tippett have shown glimpses of becoming legitimate top-six contributors. Frost’s improved puck distribution and Tippett’s explosive release have each provided encouraging signs for the franchise’s offensive development. However, the team’s scoring depth remains inconsistent, and prolonged stretches of offensive stagnation have contributed to several recent defeats. Defensively, the Flyers have faced challenges that stem from both injuries and a lack of blue-line stability. Ivan Provorov’s departure left a gap that players like Cam York and Travis Sanheim have worked to fill, with York especially growing into a more prominent role. Still, the Flyers allow 3.56 goals per game—a reflection of high turnover rates in the defensive zone and a penalty kill that, while energetic, is vulnerable against elite puck movement, as evidenced by their 78.3% kill rate.

Goaltending has been a focal point throughout the campaign. Ivan Fedotov, in his first full NHL season, has faced a heavy workload and has shown flashes of brilliance in high-volume situations. His size, positioning, and calm demeanor offer promise, but he’s been left exposed too often by defensive breakdowns and has occasionally struggled with rebound control. With Samuel Ersson currently day-to-day due to a lower-body injury, Fedotov will likely continue to carry the load against the high-octane Maple Leafs. The Flyers’ special teams have also contributed to their inconsistency. Their power play sits at a modest 15.9% conversion rate, and while players like Tyson Foerster and Joel Farabee have seen increased power play minutes, the unit often struggles with zone entries and sustained pressure. This has made it difficult to capitalize on opportunities, particularly against structured penalty kills like Toronto’s. The road has not been kind to Philadelphia, both literally and figuratively—they’ve covered the spread in just 3 of their last 10 away games. Defensive lapses late in games have frequently cost them, particularly when facing teams with elite finishing talent. Nonetheless, their work ethic remains a hallmark of the Tortorella system, and they’ve been competitive in spurts, even in losses. Heading into Toronto, the Flyers face a difficult matchup historically—they are just 1-8-2 in their last 11 meetings against the Maple Leafs, a testament to both the skill gap and psychological hurdle this opponent presents. However, this is also an opportunity for young players to prove themselves in a hostile environment and for the team to spoil Toronto’s playoff ambitions, even marginally. If the Flyers can establish a physical tone early, win battles along the boards, and receive a standout performance from Fedotov, they have a narrow path to making this contest more competitive than recent history would suggest. In a season more about building than winning, games like this serve as measuring sticks for progress, composure, and the continued growth of Philadelphia’s next generation.

On March 25, 2025, the Philadelphia Flyers will face the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. This matchup features two Eastern Conference teams with contrasting seasons, as the Maple Leafs aim to solidify their playoff positioning, while the Flyers strive to play spoiler. Philadelphia vs Toronto AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 25. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter the March 25, 2025, matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers with a clear objective: to fortify their position in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Throughout the season, the Maple Leafs have demonstrated a balanced approach, combining offensive firepower with a commitment to defensive responsibility. This equilibrium has been particularly evident in their home performances at Scotiabank Arena, where they have cultivated a reputation as a formidable opponent. Offensively, Toronto’s success is spearheaded by center Auston Matthews, whose goal-scoring acumen remains among the league’s elite. Matthews’ ability to find the back of the net in critical moments has been instrumental in the team’s success. Complementing Matthews is winger Mitch Marner, whose vision and playmaking skills have facilitated numerous scoring opportunities, not only for Matthews but for the team’s secondary scorers as well. Marner’s versatility allows him to adapt to various in-game situations, making him a constant threat to opposing defenses. The Maple Leafs’ power play unit operates at a 20.5% success rate, reflecting their proficiency in capitalizing on opponents’ penalties. This efficiency is a testament to the team’s strategic planning and execution during man-advantage situations. Defenseman Morgan Rielly plays a pivotal role in quarterbacking the power play, utilizing his skating ability and hockey IQ to maintain offensive zone pressure and distribute the puck effectively. Defensively, Toronto has shown improvement, allowing an average of 2.78 goals per game. This reduction in goals against is indicative of a collective commitment to defensive structure and accountability. Goaltender Dennis Hildeby has emerged as a reliable presence between the pipes, providing timely saves and exhibiting composure under pressure. Hildeby’s emergence has helped settle Toronto’s goaltending situation, which had previously been a concern due to injuries and inconsistency. His strong lateral movement, rebound control, and ability to read plays have added confidence to the entire defensive unit. The defensive corps, anchored by veterans like Morgan Rielly and supplemented by the improving Timothy Liljegren and Conor Timmins, has grown more cohesive as the season has progressed.

Despite some injuries to depth defensemen, the Leafs have maintained a dependable rotation that balances puck-moving ability with physical play in their own zone. One of Toronto’s greatest assets this season has been their ability to strike quickly and put games out of reach early. With an average of over 3 goals per game, they often set the pace, especially at home where they control matchups and take advantage of favorable line changes. Secondary scoring has also stepped up significantly, with Tyler Bertuzzi, Max Domi, and Matthew Knies contributing key goals at important moments. The Leafs’ depth has given head coach Sheldon Keefe the flexibility to adjust his lines mid-game without compromising offensive pressure. This kind of balance ensures that the opposition can’t simply key in on Matthews and Marner without risking exposure from the bottom six forwards. Toronto’s penalty kill has also made strides in recent weeks, climbing to a respectable efficiency rate near 81%. Aggressive pressure on the puck and better gap control have helped reduce high-danger chances allowed while shorthanded. Key penalty killers like David Kämpf and Calle Järnkrok bring a responsible two-way game and have even managed to chip in shorthanded goals, flipping momentum when the Leafs are under pressure. As a unit, they’ve become more disruptive and less reactive, forcing opponents into mistakes and limiting sustained zone time. The Maple Leafs’ home record speaks to a team that is both confident and strategically sound within the friendly confines of Scotiabank Arena. Their recent form and betting trends show they’ve covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 home games, and this trend is largely driven by their ability to pull away in the third period against teams with weaker defensive depth. Against a Flyers team that has struggled to keep pucks out of their net, particularly on the road, the Maple Leafs are expected to press the advantage early and lean into their speed and skill. With the playoffs on the horizon, Toronto is entering a critical stretch where every point matters, and games against non-playoff teams become must-wins. The March 25 matchup presents a prime opportunity for the Maple Leafs to assert themselves as legitimate contenders and continue building momentum. A strong performance here would not only keep them in the top tier of the Eastern Conference but also send a message that they are prepared, balanced, and motivated for the postseason grind ahead. This team, deep in talent and maturing in composure, is looking more than ever like one capable of shedding past playoff disappointments and delivering on its immense potential.

Philadelphia vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Flyers and Maple Leafs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Scotiabank Arena in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Deslauriers over 0.5 Goals Scored

Philadelphia vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Flyers and Maple Leafs and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Flyers team going up against a possibly strong Maple Leafs team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Toronto picks, computer picks Flyers vs Maple Leafs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Flyers Betting Trends

The Flyers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games. Their inconsistent offense and defensive lapses have contributed to this trend.

Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Maple Leafs have been more reliable ATS, covering in 6 of their last 10 games. Their potent offense and improved defensive play at home have been key factors.

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs Matchup Trends

In their last 11 matchups, the Flyers are 1-8-2 against the Maple Leafs, indicating Toronto’s dominance in recent head-to-head encounters.

Philadelphia vs. Toronto Game Info

Philadelphia vs Toronto starts on March 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Toronto -1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia +200, Toronto -246
Over/Under: 6

Philadelphia: (28-35)  |  Toronto: (42-25)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Deslauriers over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 11 matchups, the Flyers are 1-8-2 against the Maple Leafs, indicating Toronto’s dominance in recent head-to-head encounters.

PHI trend: The Flyers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 3 of their last 10 games. Their inconsistent offense and defensive lapses have contributed to this trend.

TOR trend: The Maple Leafs have been more reliable ATS, covering in 6 of their last 10 games. Their potent offense and improved defensive play at home have been key factors.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. Toronto Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Philadelphia vs Toronto Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: +200
TOR Moneyline: -246
PHI Spread: +1.5
TOR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Philadelphia vs Toronto Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+134
-155
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+156)
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+110)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-140
+120
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-195)
O 6 (-120)
U 6 (+100)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-120
+100
-1.5 (+208)
+1.5 (-245)
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-110)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Flyers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on March 25, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS