Senators vs Sabres Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 25)

Updated: 2025-03-23T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 25, 2025, the Ottawa Senators will face the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center in Buffalo. This matchup features two Atlantic Division rivals, each aiming to bolster their playoff aspirations in the final stretch of the regular season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 25, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: KeyBank Center​

Sabres Record: (28-35)

Senators Record: (37-27)

OPENING ODDS

OTT Moneyline: -148

BUF Moneyline: +124

OTT Spread: -1.5

BUF Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 6

OTT
Betting Trends

  • The Senators have shown resilience on the road, covering the spread in 6 of their last 10 away games. Their improved defensive play has been a significant factor in these outcomes.

BUF
Betting Trends

  • The Sabres have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 7 of their last 10 games at KeyBank Center. Their offensive depth and strong special teams have contributed to this success.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head meetings, the underdog has covered the spread four times, indicating a trend where games between these teams are often closer than anticipated.

OTT vs. BUF
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Chabot over 0.5 Goals Scored

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Ottawa vs Buffalo Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/25/25

The upcoming clash between the Ottawa Senators and the Buffalo Sabres on March 25, 2025, at KeyBank Center promises to be a pivotal encounter with significant playoff implications. Both teams, entrenched in the competitive Atlantic Division, are vying for postseason berths, making this matchup crucial in the context of the Eastern Conference standings. The Ottawa Senators enter this game with a season characterized by resilience and growth. Under the guidance of head coach D.J. Smith, the Senators have developed a balanced approach, combining youthful exuberance with veteran experience. Offensively, they are led by captain Brady Tkachuk, whose physical play and leadership have been instrumental. Tkachuk’s ability to drive the net and create scoring opportunities has been complemented by the emergence of Tim Stützle, whose playmaking skills have added a new dimension to Ottawa’s attack. Defensively, the Senators have tightened their structure compared to previous seasons. The acquisition of defenseman Jakob Chychrun has bolstered their blue line, providing stability and offensive support from the back end. Goaltender Linus Ullmark has been a revelation, posting a save percentage among the league’s best, giving the Senators confidence in tight games. On the other side, the Buffalo Sabres have experienced a resurgence this season under head coach Lindy Ruff. The team’s offense has been prolific, with Tage Thompson emerging as a dominant force. Thompson’s combination of size, skill, and shooting accuracy has made him a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. Supporting him are forwards like Dylan Cozens and Alex Tuch, both contributing significantly to the Sabres’ scoring depth. Defensively, Rasmus Dahlin has continued his ascent as one of the premier defensemen in the NHL.

His ability to transition the puck and quarterback the power play has been pivotal. Goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has provided stability between the pipes, with his athleticism and composure earning him accolades throughout the season. Special teams could play a decisive role in this matchup. Ottawa’s power play has been efficient, capitalizing on opponents’ penalties with a high conversion rate. Conversely, Buffalo’s penalty kill has been robust, often turning defensive stands into offensive opportunities. The battle between Ottawa’s power play unit and Buffalo’s penalty killers will be a focal point. Historically, games between the Senators and Sabres have been tightly contested. The underdog’s success in covering the spread in recent matchups suggests that this game could be another close affair. Both teams have shown the ability to adapt their strategies, making in-game adjustments that could swing the momentum. For Ottawa, securing a victory on the road would not only boost their playoff chances but also serve as a statement win, showcasing their growth and resilience. For Buffalo, defending home ice is paramount, as each point is crucial in the tightly packed Eastern Conference playoff race. Fans can anticipate a high-intensity game, with both teams deploying their top talents in critical situations. The physicality of Tkachuk, the finesse of Stützle, the defensive acumen of Chychrun, the offensive prowess of Thompson, the playmaking of Cozens, and the defensive reliability of Dahlin set the stage for a thrilling encounter. As the regular season winds down, games like this underscore the drama and excitement of NHL hockey, where every shift, save, and goal can have lasting implications on the quest for the Stanley Cup.

Ottawa Senators NHL Preview

The Ottawa Senators arrive at this crucial late-season matchup against the Buffalo Sabres carrying both urgency and opportunity, still clinging to playoff hopes in a competitive Atlantic Division landscape. Under head coach D.J. Smith, the Senators have shown encouraging progress, evolving from a team in perpetual rebuild to one that now commands respect through tenacity, improved structure, and a young core blossoming into consistent contributors. At the heart of Ottawa’s resurgence is captain Brady Tkachuk, a rugged forward whose emotional leadership and physical presence continue to set the tone for the club. Tkachuk has been an offensive engine and emotional sparkplug, leading the team in goals and hits, consistently challenging defenders with his net-front presence and relentlessness on the forecheck. Supporting him is Tim Stützle, who has emerged as one of the most electrifying young centers in the NHL. Stützle’s elite skating, vision, and puck-handling have made him a dual threat on every shift—capable of threading a pinpoint assist or burning a defender with a burst of speed. Together, Tkachuk and Stützle form a dynamic one-two punch that drives Ottawa’s offense, while Claude Giroux provides valuable veteran leadership and still contributes at a high level both at even strength and on special teams. Defensively, Ottawa has taken meaningful strides this season thanks in part to the acquisition of Jakob Chychrun. The left-shot blueliner has added mobility and puck-moving ability to the Senators’ back end while logging top-pairing minutes alongside Thomas Chabot, who continues to be a cornerstone on the blue line. The duo has been relied upon heavily to shut down opposing top lines and spark transitions out of the defensive zone. Jake Sanderson’s further development has also been a bright spot, showcasing poise beyond his years and a growing offensive upside.

In goal, Joonas Korpisalo has found better rhythm in recent weeks after an inconsistent start to the season. His rebound control and high-danger save percentage have improved, providing Ottawa with stability in close games. The Senators’ special teams have been inconsistent, but when clicking, their power play can be highly effective, particularly with Stützle quarterbacking from the half wall and Giroux anchoring the bumper position. On the penalty kill, the Senators have tightened up zone structure and improved their shot-blocking, although lapses still occur against more dynamic units. On the road, Ottawa has been a mixed bag—covering the spread in 6 of their last 10 games—often showing grit but occasionally struggling to hold leads or convert key chances. However, their resilience has kept them competitive in most outings, including recent wins over playoff-caliber teams. As they prepare to enter KeyBank Center, Ottawa knows that every point matters. A victory not only dents Buffalo’s playoff position but also serves to boost internal belief and momentum heading into the final weeks of the regular season. Betting trends suggest this rivalry remains unpredictable, with the underdog covering in four of the last five meetings. Ottawa’s recent defensive improvements and emerging goaltending form could make them a value play in this matchup. Ultimately, the Senators are a team on the rise—still learning, still flawed, but increasingly dangerous and capable of making noise against any opponent when their core pieces click. This road tilt represents a litmus test for their playoff credentials, and their performance in Buffalo could help define the trajectory of their season’s final chapter.

On March 25, 2025, the Ottawa Senators will face the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center in Buffalo. This matchup features two Atlantic Division rivals, each aiming to bolster their playoff aspirations in the final stretch of the regular season. Ottawa vs Buffalo AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 25. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Buffalo Sabres NHL Preview

The Buffalo Sabres, entering the 2024-2025 NHL season, have undergone a remarkable transformation, emerging as a formidable force within the league. Under the strategic guidance of head coach Lindy Ruff, the team has embraced an aggressive, fast-paced style of play that has captivated fans and analysts alike. Central to this resurgence is the offensive dynamo, Tage Thompson, whose blend of size, agility, and scoring touch has propelled him into the upper echelons of NHL forwards. Thompson’s ability to dominate in the offensive zone, coupled with his knack for finding the back of the net, has been instrumental in the Sabres’ offensive success. Complementing Thompson’s prowess are the contributions of Dylan Cozens and Alex Tuch, both of whom have provided depth and versatility to Buffalo’s forward lines. Cozens’ two-way play and Tuch’s physicality have created a balanced attack capable of challenging opposing defenses on multiple fronts. Defensively, Rasmus Dahlin has continued to evolve into one of the league’s premier defensemen. His vision, skating ability, and offensive instincts have not only bolstered the Sabres’ blue line but have also made their power play more potent. Dahlin’s partnership with fellow defenseman Owen Power has provided stability and a strong transitional game, allowing Buffalo to effectively move the puck up the ice. Between the pipes, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has solidified his role as the team’s starting goaltender. His composure under pressure, quick reflexes, and improved rebound control have earned him trust from both teammates and coaches. Luukkonen’s performances have been particularly crucial during tight matchups, where his timely saves have swung momentum in Buffalo’s favor. Special teams have been another area of strength for the Sabres. Their power play ranks among the league’s top half, driven by crisp puck movement and high shot volume from the blue line and slot. Dahlin’s ability to direct traffic and distribute effectively, combined with Thompson’s shooting threat, forces penalty killers to stay honest.

Meanwhile, the penalty kill has improved significantly, with forwards like Zemgus Girgensons and Peyton Krebs playing key roles in pressuring puck carriers and clearing the zone efficiently. The Sabres’ home-ice advantage has been notable this season, with a marked improvement in consistency and energy in front of their fans. At KeyBank Center, Buffalo has managed to dictate the pace of play, leveraging last change to optimize matchups and get their top lines into favorable positions. Their record at home is reflective of a team that’s not only confident but disciplined and opportunistic. In terms of team health, the Sabres have been relatively fortunate, maintaining lineup stability that has allowed chemistry to build across all four lines. The coaching staff has also received praise for its deployment strategy, tailoring systems that play to player strengths and emphasizing a collective defensive commitment. As the playoff race intensifies, Buffalo finds itself in the thick of contention, with each game carrying increased weight. A win against a divisional rival like Ottawa not only brings valuable points but also sends a message to the rest of the conference that the Sabres are no longer a rebuilding team—they are contenders. From a betting perspective, Buffalo’s ability to cover the spread at home has been impressive, particularly against teams with inconsistent road form. Their high-scoring nature means they often outpace lower-output opponents, and when their goaltending holds firm, they’ve shown a strong ability to cover sizable lines. Heading into the matchup with Ottawa, the Sabres will look to lean on their strengths—dynamic scoring, a stabilized defense, and a goaltender in form. Their confidence, built from a season of exceeding expectations and growing cohesion, positions them as favorites to protect home ice. However, they will need to guard against overconfidence, as Ottawa has proven capable of grinding out results in tough environments. Nonetheless, the home crowd will be a factor, energizing a team that feeds off momentum and thrives when playing from ahead. As March winds down, Buffalo eyes this game not just as another two points, but as a proving ground for their playoff readiness—a statement game with implications far beyond the standings, and one that could solidify their identity as a dangerous, well-rounded squad peaking at the right time.

Ottawa vs. Buffalo Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Senators and Sabres play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at KeyBank Center in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Chabot over 0.5 Goals Scored

Ottawa vs. Buffalo Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Senators and Sabres and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors often put on Buffalo’s strength factors between a Senators team going up against a possibly unhealthy Sabres team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Ottawa vs Buffalo picks, computer picks Senators vs Sabres, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Senators Betting Trends

The Senators have shown resilience on the road, covering the spread in 6 of their last 10 away games. Their improved defensive play has been a significant factor in these outcomes.

Sabres Betting Trends

The Sabres have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 7 of their last 10 games at KeyBank Center. Their offensive depth and strong special teams have contributed to this success.

Senators vs. Sabres Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head meetings, the underdog has covered the spread four times, indicating a trend where games between these teams are often closer than anticipated.

Ottawa vs. Buffalo Game Info

Ottawa vs Buffalo starts on March 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Buffalo +1.5
Moneyline: Ottawa -148, Buffalo +124
Over/Under: 6

Ottawa: (37-27)  |  Buffalo: (28-35)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Chabot over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head meetings, the underdog has covered the spread four times, indicating a trend where games between these teams are often closer than anticipated.

OTT trend: The Senators have shown resilience on the road, covering the spread in 6 of their last 10 away games. Their improved defensive play has been a significant factor in these outcomes.

BUF trend: The Sabres have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 7 of their last 10 games at KeyBank Center. Their offensive depth and strong special teams have contributed to this success.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Ottawa vs. Buffalo Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Ottawa vs Buffalo trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Ottawa vs Buffalo Opening Odds

OTT Moneyline: -148
BUF Moneyline: +124
OTT Spread: -1.5
BUF Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6

Ottawa vs Buffalo Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+135
-160
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-145
+120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-125
+105
-1.5 (+185)
+1.5 (-225)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-140)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Ottawa Senators vs. Buffalo Sabres on March 25, 2025 at KeyBank Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS