Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 19 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-17T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Colorado Avalanche (40-24-3) will face the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-23-3) on March 19, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams are in strong playoff positions, making this matchup a potential preview of postseason intensity.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 19, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​
Venue: Scotiabank Arena​
Maple Leafs Record: (40-24)
Avalanche Record: (41-24)
OPENING ODDS
COL Moneyline: -119
TOR Moneyline: -100
COL Spread: -1.5
TOR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
COL
Betting Trends
- The Avalanche have a 30-37 record against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 14-19 record on the road.
TOR
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs hold a 32-33 ATS record, including a 17-16 record at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Avalanche have struggled to cover the spread on the road, with a 14-19 ATS record, indicating potential challenges in meeting expectations away from home.
COL vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Drouin over 0.5 Goals Scored
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NHL ODDS COMPARISON
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Colorado vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/19/25
The Maple Leafs’ penalty kill has been robust, often turning defense into quick offensive transitions. From a betting perspective, the Avalanche have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 14-19 record. This indicates potential challenges in meeting expectations when away from home. Conversely, the Maple Leafs have a slightly better ATS record at home, standing at 17-16, suggesting a marginal advantage when playing at Scotiabank Arena. The previous encounter between these teams on March 8, 2025, saw the Avalanche overcome a two-goal deficit to secure a 7-4 victory. Nichushkin’s hat trick and MacKinnon’s late go-ahead goal were pivotal in that matchup. The Maple Leafs will undoubtedly seek redemption and aim to tighten their defensive play to counter Colorado’s high-octane offense. Goaltending will be a critical factor in this game. The Avalanche’s netminder, Mackenzie Blackwood, has been reliable, providing crucial saves in high-pressure situations. The Maple Leafs’ goaltending duo has also been solid, with Anthony Stolarz expected to get the nod for this matchup. Injuries could play a role in the dynamics of this game. The Avalanche have been without captain Gabriel Landeskog due to a knee injury, with no clear timetable for his return. The Maple Leafs have also faced injury challenges, notably with Max Pacioretty sidelined due to an undisclosed issue. Coaching strategies will be under the spotlight as both teams look to exploit each other’s weaknesses. The Avalanche may focus on maintaining puck possession and leveraging their speed to create scoring opportunities. The Maple Leafs might emphasize a physical forecheck and disciplined defensive zone coverage to disrupt Colorado’s rhythm. In conclusion, this matchup promises to be an exciting display of skill and strategy. Both teams have the talent and determination to secure a win, making it a must-watch for hockey enthusiasts. The outcome could hinge on which team executes their game plan more effectively and capitalizes on key moments.
Why The Avalanche Are BUILT Different | Peak Access
— Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) March 18, 2025
Premiering now: https://t.co/Q2oA0hfHne pic.twitter.com/ek1DAeHrEa
Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview
The Colorado Avalanche come into this game against the Toronto Maple Leafs with a strong 40-24-3 record, sitting comfortably in a playoff spot in the Western Conference. As one of the most dangerous teams in the NHL, the Avalanche have built their success around speed, skill, and an aggressive offensive attack led by superstar Nathan MacKinnon. MacKinnon is in the midst of another MVP-caliber season, already eclipsing the 100-point mark with 27 goals and 76 assists. His ability to dominate play at both ends of the ice makes him the centerpiece of Colorado’s offense, and stopping him will be Toronto’s top defensive priority. MacKinnon’s dynamic skating ability and playmaking vision make him a nightmare for opposing defenses, especially in transition, where the Avalanche are among the most dangerous teams in the league. One of the biggest reasons for Colorado’s success this season has been their depth scoring. While MacKinnon leads the charge, the supporting cast has been just as critical. Mikko Rantanen is once again producing at an elite level, with over 35 goals on the season, while Valeri Nichushkin has stepped up in key moments, including a hat trick performance against Toronto in their previous meeting on March 8. Cale Makar, the team’s superstar defenseman, remains a game-changer on the blue line, contributing both offensively and defensively with elite skating, passing, and hockey IQ. Makar’s ability to quarterback the power play and jump into the rush makes Colorado’s attack that much more lethal. The Avalanche’s power play, ranked among the league’s top units, will be a major factor in this game, as Toronto has had issues with their penalty kill at times this season. If the Avalanche can get multiple power-play opportunities, they have the firepower to take full advantage. Defensively, Colorado has been solid but not impenetrable, allowing 2.94 goals per game. Their biggest weakness this season has been defensive lapses leading to odd-man rushes, something the Leafs can exploit if they transition quickly. While Makar and Devon Toews form an elite defensive pairing, the Avalanche have had some inconsistency in their bottom-four defensemen, which has led to breakdowns against elite offensive teams.
Against a team like Toronto, featuring Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and William Nylander, Colorado’s blue line will need to be extra sharp in their defensive coverage and positioning. The Avalanche cannot afford to give Toronto’s top line space in the offensive zone, or they will find themselves chasing the game early. Goaltending will also play a significant role in this contest. Mackenzie Blackwood is expected to start for Colorado, bringing a solid but unspectacular .909 save percentage on the season. While Blackwood has had strong performances, he has also shown inconsistency, particularly on the road. Facing a Leafs team that generates a high volume of shots, he will need to be locked in from the opening faceoff. The Avalanche defense must do their part to clear rebounds and limit Toronto’s second-chance opportunities, as the Leafs’ forwards thrive on crashing the net and scoring gritty goals. For the Avalanche to secure a road win, they must dictate the pace of play and use their speed to create odd-man rushes. Their success often hinges on their transition game, and if they can force Toronto into turnovers in the neutral zone, they will be in prime position to capitalize. Additionally, their power play must take advantage of any Toronto penalties, as special teams could be the deciding factor in a tight game. On the defensive end, they must focus on containing Matthews and Marner while ensuring that their goaltending holds up against Toronto’s high-powered attack. If they can execute their game plan effectively, Colorado has the talent to leave Scotiabank Arena with a crucial win, further solidifying their place as a Western Conference powerhouse. However, if their defensive inconsistencies arise and Toronto’s offense gets rolling early, the Avalanche could be in for a long night against one of the East’s most dangerous teams.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this critical matchup against the Colorado Avalanche with a 39-23-3 record, aiming to solidify their positioning in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Despite flashes of elite play, the Leafs have struggled with consistency this season, particularly when facing top-tier opponents like the Avalanche. However, with home-ice advantage at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto will look to rebound from their previous loss to Colorado on March 8, where defensive breakdowns and special teams lapses contributed to a 7-4 defeat. The Leafs will need to focus on tightening up their defense while capitalizing on their offensive firepower, led by Auston Matthews, who remains one of the NHL’s most dominant goal scorers. Matthews has already surpassed the 40-goal mark this season, continuing to demonstrate his lethal shooting ability and offensive awareness. His chemistry with Mitch Marner has been a driving force behind Toronto’s offensive production, as Marner’s playmaking ability creates high-quality scoring chances for Matthews and the rest of the team. Offensively, the Maple Leafs are among the NHL’s most explosive teams, averaging 3.19 goals per game. Matthews, Marner, and William Nylander form one of the most potent offensive trios in the league, with Nylander contributing both as a sniper and a facilitator. The key to their success in this game will be generating sustained offensive pressure while limiting turnovers that could lead to quick-strike counterattacks by the Avalanche. Toronto will also need strong production from their depth forwards, as secondary scoring has been inconsistent throughout the season. Players like John Tavares and Tyler Bertuzzi will be counted on to step up in five-on-five play and provide an additional scoring punch against a Colorado team that can be difficult to contain in transition.
On the defensive end, the Leafs have been solid but not elite, allowing an average of 2.89 goals per game. Their blueline has been tested by injuries, and their ability to slow down Nathan MacKinnon and Colorado’s high-powered offense will be a key storyline in this matchup. Defensemen Morgan Rielly and TJ Brodie will play critical roles in keeping the Avalanche’s top skaters in check, particularly in transition. The Leafs’ defensive corps has been effective at limiting high-danger scoring chances, but against a team with the speed and skill of Colorado, any lapses in defensive coverage could prove costly. Toronto’s penalty kill, which has been inconsistent this season, will need to be at its best, as the Avalanche possess one of the league’s most dangerous power plays. Special teams could be the deciding factor in this game, making discipline and defensive structure paramount. Goaltending will be another major factor for the Maple Leafs. Anthony Stolarz is expected to get the start in net, as Toronto continues to rotate their goaltenders to manage workload and optimize performance. Stolarz has been steady in recent starts, posting a .913 save percentage on the season, but he will need to be at his absolute best against an Avalanche team that excels in generating high-quality scoring opportunities. Toronto’s ability to protect their crease and limit second-chance opportunities will be key to slowing down Colorado’s attack. With playoff positioning at stake, the Maple Leafs must bring their best effort to avoid another setback against the Avalanche. Their path to victory involves winning the special teams battle, staying disciplined defensively, and maximizing their offensive opportunities against a Colorado defense that has been vulnerable at times this season. If the Leafs can execute their game plan effectively and get a strong performance from their goaltender, they have a solid chance of securing a crucial home victory. However, if they allow the Avalanche to dictate the pace and fail to capitalize on their scoring chances, they could be in for another frustrating night against one of the NHL’s elite teams.
Feeling Lucky
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) March 18, 2025
The Leaf: Blueprint Moment presented by @Rogers pic.twitter.com/qKtIPRkt0h
Colorado vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)
Colorado vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors tend to put on Colorado’s strength factors between a Avalanche team going up against a possibly tired Maple Leafs team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Colorado vs Toronto picks, computer picks Avalanche vs Maple Leafs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.Â
Avalanche Betting Trends
The Avalanche have a 30-37 record against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 14-19 record on the road.
Maple Leafs Betting Trends
The Maple Leafs hold a 32-33 ATS record, including a 17-16 record at home.
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Matchup Trends
The Avalanche have struggled to cover the spread on the road, with a 14-19 ATS record, indicating potential challenges in meeting expectations away from home.
Colorado vs. Toronto Game Info
What time does Colorado vs Toronto start on March 19, 2025?
Colorado vs Toronto starts on March 19, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Colorado vs Toronto being played?
Venue: Scotiabank Arena.
What are the opening odds for Colorado vs Toronto?
Spread: Toronto +1.5
Moneyline: Colorado -119, Toronto -100
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Colorado vs Toronto?
Colorado: (41-24) Â |Â Toronto: (40-24)
What is the AI best bet for Colorado vs Toronto?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Drouin over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Colorado vs Toronto trending bets?
The Avalanche have struggled to cover the spread on the road, with a 14-19 ATS record, indicating potential challenges in meeting expectations away from home.
What are Colorado trending bets?
COL trend: The Avalanche have a 30-37 record against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 14-19 record on the road.
What are Toronto trending bets?
TOR trend: The Maple Leafs hold a 32-33 ATS record, including a 17-16 record at home.
Where can I find AI Picks for Colorado vs Toronto?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Colorado vs. Toronto Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Colorado vs Toronto Opening Odds
COL Moneyline:
-119 TOR Moneyline: -100
COL Spread: -1.5
TOR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
Colorado vs Toronto Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
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–
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+280
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O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+100)
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Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
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New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
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–
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+170
-210
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+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+120)
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O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-140)
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Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
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–
–
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-110
-110
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-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-275)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
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–
–
|
-170
|
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
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Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+145
-185
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+165
-210
|
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
|
–
–
|
+155
|
+1.5 (-160)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+138
-155
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-125
|
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
|
–
–
|
+125
-140
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
|
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
|
–
–
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-115
+102
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-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
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O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
|
–
–
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-115
+102
|
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
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O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+106)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
|
–
–
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+178
-200
|
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
|
O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-108)
|
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+138
-155
|
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
|
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Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
|
–
–
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-106
-106
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+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
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O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on March 19, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |