Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 19 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-17T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Colorado Avalanche (40-24-3) will face the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-23-3) on March 19, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams are in strong playoff positions, making this matchup a potential preview of postseason intensity.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 19, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Scotiabank Arena​

Maple Leafs Record: (40-24)

Avalanche Record: (41-24)

OPENING ODDS

COL Moneyline: -119

TOR Moneyline: -100

COL Spread: -1.5

TOR Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 6

COL
Betting Trends

  • The Avalanche have a 30-37 record against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 14-19 record on the road.

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs hold a 32-33 ATS record, including a 17-16 record at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Avalanche have struggled to cover the spread on the road, with a 14-19 ATS record, indicating potential challenges in meeting expectations away from home.

COL vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Drouin over 0.5 Goals Scored

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Colorado vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/19/25

The upcoming clash between the Colorado Avalanche and the Toronto Maple Leafs on March 19, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena is set to be a thrilling encounter between two of the NHL’s premier teams. Both franchises have showcased exceptional skill and resilience throughout the season, making this matchup highly anticipated by fans and analysts alike. The Avalanche, boasting a 40-24-3 record, have been a dominant force in the Western Conference. Their offensive prowess is evident, with the team averaging 3.30 goals per game, ranking them sixth in the league. Central to their attack is superstar center Nathan MacKinnon, who leads the team with 27 goals and 76 assists, totaling an impressive 103 points. MacKinnon’s ability to dictate the pace of play and create scoring opportunities has been instrumental in Colorado’s success. Complementing MacKinnon is winger Valeri Nichushkin, who recently recorded a hat trick against the Maple Leafs on March 8, 2025, leading the Avalanche to a 7-4 victory. Nichushkin’s performance in that game highlighted his scoring touch and ability to capitalize on defensive lapses. Defensively, the Avalanche have been solid, allowing an average of 2.94 goals per game, placing them 15th in the league. Their defensive corps, led by Cale Makar, has been effective in limiting high-danger scoring chances and supporting their goaltenders. Makar’s two-way play and ability to transition the puck quickly have been vital to Colorado’s game plan. On the other side, the Maple Leafs hold a 39-23-3 record and have been a formidable presence in the Eastern Conference. Their offense averages 3.19 goals per game, ranking them 10th in the NHL. Auston Matthews has been the focal point of Toronto’s offense, consistently finding the back of the net and creating opportunities for his linemates. Toronto’s defense has been commendable, allowing an average of 2.89 goals per game, ranking them 12th in the league. Their defensive structure and commitment to backchecking have been key factors in their ability to stifle opposing offenses. In terms of special teams, both squads have shown efficiency. The Avalanche’s power play has been effective, with MacKinnon and Makar orchestrating plays from the blue line.

The Maple Leafs’ penalty kill has been robust, often turning defense into quick offensive transitions. From a betting perspective, the Avalanche have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, holding a 14-19 record. This indicates potential challenges in meeting expectations when away from home. Conversely, the Maple Leafs have a slightly better ATS record at home, standing at 17-16, suggesting a marginal advantage when playing at Scotiabank Arena. The previous encounter between these teams on March 8, 2025, saw the Avalanche overcome a two-goal deficit to secure a 7-4 victory. Nichushkin’s hat trick and MacKinnon’s late go-ahead goal were pivotal in that matchup. The Maple Leafs will undoubtedly seek redemption and aim to tighten their defensive play to counter Colorado’s high-octane offense. Goaltending will be a critical factor in this game. The Avalanche’s netminder, Mackenzie Blackwood, has been reliable, providing crucial saves in high-pressure situations. The Maple Leafs’ goaltending duo has also been solid, with Anthony Stolarz expected to get the nod for this matchup. Injuries could play a role in the dynamics of this game. The Avalanche have been without captain Gabriel Landeskog due to a knee injury, with no clear timetable for his return. The Maple Leafs have also faced injury challenges, notably with Max Pacioretty sidelined due to an undisclosed issue. Coaching strategies will be under the spotlight as both teams look to exploit each other’s weaknesses. The Avalanche may focus on maintaining puck possession and leveraging their speed to create scoring opportunities. The Maple Leafs might emphasize a physical forecheck and disciplined defensive zone coverage to disrupt Colorado’s rhythm. In conclusion, this matchup promises to be an exciting display of skill and strategy. Both teams have the talent and determination to secure a win, making it a must-watch for hockey enthusiasts. The outcome could hinge on which team executes their game plan more effectively and capitalizes on key moments.

Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview

The Colorado Avalanche come into this game against the Toronto Maple Leafs with a strong 40-24-3 record, sitting comfortably in a playoff spot in the Western Conference. As one of the most dangerous teams in the NHL, the Avalanche have built their success around speed, skill, and an aggressive offensive attack led by superstar Nathan MacKinnon. MacKinnon is in the midst of another MVP-caliber season, already eclipsing the 100-point mark with 27 goals and 76 assists. His ability to dominate play at both ends of the ice makes him the centerpiece of Colorado’s offense, and stopping him will be Toronto’s top defensive priority. MacKinnon’s dynamic skating ability and playmaking vision make him a nightmare for opposing defenses, especially in transition, where the Avalanche are among the most dangerous teams in the league. One of the biggest reasons for Colorado’s success this season has been their depth scoring. While MacKinnon leads the charge, the supporting cast has been just as critical. Mikko Rantanen is once again producing at an elite level, with over 35 goals on the season, while Valeri Nichushkin has stepped up in key moments, including a hat trick performance against Toronto in their previous meeting on March 8. Cale Makar, the team’s superstar defenseman, remains a game-changer on the blue line, contributing both offensively and defensively with elite skating, passing, and hockey IQ. Makar’s ability to quarterback the power play and jump into the rush makes Colorado’s attack that much more lethal. The Avalanche’s power play, ranked among the league’s top units, will be a major factor in this game, as Toronto has had issues with their penalty kill at times this season. If the Avalanche can get multiple power-play opportunities, they have the firepower to take full advantage. Defensively, Colorado has been solid but not impenetrable, allowing 2.94 goals per game. Their biggest weakness this season has been defensive lapses leading to odd-man rushes, something the Leafs can exploit if they transition quickly. While Makar and Devon Toews form an elite defensive pairing, the Avalanche have had some inconsistency in their bottom-four defensemen, which has led to breakdowns against elite offensive teams.

Against a team like Toronto, featuring Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and William Nylander, Colorado’s blue line will need to be extra sharp in their defensive coverage and positioning. The Avalanche cannot afford to give Toronto’s top line space in the offensive zone, or they will find themselves chasing the game early. Goaltending will also play a significant role in this contest. Mackenzie Blackwood is expected to start for Colorado, bringing a solid but unspectacular .909 save percentage on the season. While Blackwood has had strong performances, he has also shown inconsistency, particularly on the road. Facing a Leafs team that generates a high volume of shots, he will need to be locked in from the opening faceoff. The Avalanche defense must do their part to clear rebounds and limit Toronto’s second-chance opportunities, as the Leafs’ forwards thrive on crashing the net and scoring gritty goals. For the Avalanche to secure a road win, they must dictate the pace of play and use their speed to create odd-man rushes. Their success often hinges on their transition game, and if they can force Toronto into turnovers in the neutral zone, they will be in prime position to capitalize. Additionally, their power play must take advantage of any Toronto penalties, as special teams could be the deciding factor in a tight game. On the defensive end, they must focus on containing Matthews and Marner while ensuring that their goaltending holds up against Toronto’s high-powered attack. If they can execute their game plan effectively, Colorado has the talent to leave Scotiabank Arena with a crucial win, further solidifying their place as a Western Conference powerhouse. However, if their defensive inconsistencies arise and Toronto’s offense gets rolling early, the Avalanche could be in for a long night against one of the East’s most dangerous teams.

The Colorado Avalanche (40-24-3) will face the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-23-3) on March 19, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams are in strong playoff positions, making this matchup a potential preview of postseason intensity. Colorado vs Toronto AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 19. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this critical matchup against the Colorado Avalanche with a 39-23-3 record, aiming to solidify their positioning in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Despite flashes of elite play, the Leafs have struggled with consistency this season, particularly when facing top-tier opponents like the Avalanche. However, with home-ice advantage at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto will look to rebound from their previous loss to Colorado on March 8, where defensive breakdowns and special teams lapses contributed to a 7-4 defeat. The Leafs will need to focus on tightening up their defense while capitalizing on their offensive firepower, led by Auston Matthews, who remains one of the NHL’s most dominant goal scorers. Matthews has already surpassed the 40-goal mark this season, continuing to demonstrate his lethal shooting ability and offensive awareness. His chemistry with Mitch Marner has been a driving force behind Toronto’s offensive production, as Marner’s playmaking ability creates high-quality scoring chances for Matthews and the rest of the team. Offensively, the Maple Leafs are among the NHL’s most explosive teams, averaging 3.19 goals per game. Matthews, Marner, and William Nylander form one of the most potent offensive trios in the league, with Nylander contributing both as a sniper and a facilitator. The key to their success in this game will be generating sustained offensive pressure while limiting turnovers that could lead to quick-strike counterattacks by the Avalanche. Toronto will also need strong production from their depth forwards, as secondary scoring has been inconsistent throughout the season. Players like John Tavares and Tyler Bertuzzi will be counted on to step up in five-on-five play and provide an additional scoring punch against a Colorado team that can be difficult to contain in transition.

On the defensive end, the Leafs have been solid but not elite, allowing an average of 2.89 goals per game. Their blueline has been tested by injuries, and their ability to slow down Nathan MacKinnon and Colorado’s high-powered offense will be a key storyline in this matchup. Defensemen Morgan Rielly and TJ Brodie will play critical roles in keeping the Avalanche’s top skaters in check, particularly in transition. The Leafs’ defensive corps has been effective at limiting high-danger scoring chances, but against a team with the speed and skill of Colorado, any lapses in defensive coverage could prove costly. Toronto’s penalty kill, which has been inconsistent this season, will need to be at its best, as the Avalanche possess one of the league’s most dangerous power plays. Special teams could be the deciding factor in this game, making discipline and defensive structure paramount. Goaltending will be another major factor for the Maple Leafs. Anthony Stolarz is expected to get the start in net, as Toronto continues to rotate their goaltenders to manage workload and optimize performance. Stolarz has been steady in recent starts, posting a .913 save percentage on the season, but he will need to be at his absolute best against an Avalanche team that excels in generating high-quality scoring opportunities. Toronto’s ability to protect their crease and limit second-chance opportunities will be key to slowing down Colorado’s attack. With playoff positioning at stake, the Maple Leafs must bring their best effort to avoid another setback against the Avalanche. Their path to victory involves winning the special teams battle, staying disciplined defensively, and maximizing their offensive opportunities against a Colorado defense that has been vulnerable at times this season. If the Leafs can execute their game plan effectively and get a strong performance from their goaltender, they have a solid chance of securing a crucial home victory. However, if they allow the Avalanche to dictate the pace and fail to capitalize on their scoring chances, they could be in for another frustrating night against one of the NHL’s elite teams.

Colorado vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Avalanche and Maple Leafs play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Scotiabank Arena in Mar can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Drouin over 0.5 Goals Scored

Colorado vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors tend to put on Colorado’s strength factors between a Avalanche team going up against a possibly tired Maple Leafs team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Colorado vs Toronto picks, computer picks Avalanche vs Maple Leafs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule. 

Avalanche Betting Trends

The Avalanche have a 30-37 record against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 14-19 record on the road.

Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Maple Leafs hold a 32-33 ATS record, including a 17-16 record at home.

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Matchup Trends

The Avalanche have struggled to cover the spread on the road, with a 14-19 ATS record, indicating potential challenges in meeting expectations away from home.

Colorado vs. Toronto Game Info

Colorado vs Toronto starts on March 19, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Toronto +1.5
Moneyline: Colorado -119, Toronto -100
Over/Under: 6

Colorado: (41-24)  |  Toronto: (40-24)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Drouin over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Avalanche have struggled to cover the spread on the road, with a 14-19 ATS record, indicating potential challenges in meeting expectations away from home.

COL trend: The Avalanche have a 30-37 record against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 14-19 record on the road.

TOR trend: The Maple Leafs hold a 32-33 ATS record, including a 17-16 record at home.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Colorado vs. Toronto Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Colorado vs Toronto Opening Odds

COL Moneyline: -119
TOR Moneyline: -100
COL Spread: -1.5
TOR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6

Colorado vs Toronto Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+280
-350
+1.5 (+115)
-1.5 (-135)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+170
-210
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+120)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-140)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-110
-110
-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-275)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-170
 
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+145
-185
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+165
-210
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-160)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+138
-155
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-125
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+125
-140
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-115
+102
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-115
+102
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+106)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+178
-200
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-108)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+138
-155
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-106
-106
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on March 19, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN