Flyers vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 17)

Updated: 2025-03-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 17, 2025, the Tampa Bay Lightning will host the Philadelphia Flyers at Amalie Arena in Tampa. The Lightning, boasting a strong season, aim to solidify their playoff positioning, while the Flyers seek to improve their standing in the Eastern Conference.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 17, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Amalie Arena​

Lightning Record: (38-23)

Flyers Record: (28-32)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: +208

TB Moneyline: -257

PHI Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Flyers have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, with a record of 28-32-8.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have fared better, holding an ATS record of 38-23-5.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last ten meetings, the Lightning have dominated the Flyers, winning seven times.

PHI vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored

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Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/17/25

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Philadelphia Flyers are set to clash on March 17, 2025, at Amalie Arena. This matchup presents contrasting narratives, with the Lightning aiming to maintain their dominance and the Flyers seeking to disrupt the status quo. The Lightning enter the game with a commendable record of 38-23-5, reflecting their consistent performance throughout the season. They are currently positioned third in the Atlantic Division, showcasing a potent offense that averages 3.54 goals per game, ranking them second in the league. Defensively, they have been robust, allowing only 2.67 goals per game, placing them sixth in goals allowed. Leading the offensive charge for Tampa Bay is the dynamic duo of Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel, who have combined for an impressive 163 points this season. Kucherov’s playmaking abilities, complemented by Hagel’s scoring prowess, have been instrumental in the team’s success. Additionally, defenseman Victor Hedman has been pivotal, contributing 50 points and providing stability on the blue line. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a cornerstone for the Lightning, boasting a .919 save percentage. His consistent performances have often been the difference-maker in tightly contested games, reinforcing Tampa Bay’s defensive strength. In contrast, the Philadelphia Flyers have faced challenges this season, holding a record of 28-32-8. Their offense has struggled, averaging 2.8 goals per game, ranking them 23rd in the league.

Defensively, they have conceded an average of 3.32 goals per game, placing them 27th in goals allowed. The Flyers’ offense has been spearheaded by veteran Travis Konecny and emerging talent Matvei Michkov. Despite their efforts, the team has struggled to find consistent scoring, managing only five goals in their last four games. Defensively, the Flyers have encountered difficulties, allowing 22 goals in their last five games. Goaltender Samuel Ersson has faced challenges, with the team’s defensive lapses contributing to his struggles. Special teams play a crucial role in this matchup. The Lightning’s power play operates at a 26.1% success rate, ranking sixth in the league, while the Flyers’ penalty kill stands at 77.8%, ranking 18th. Conversely, the Flyers’ power play has been less effective, with a 15.2% success rate, ranking 29th, which could be a disadvantage against Tampa Bay’s disciplined penalty kill. Historically, the Lightning have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning seven of their last ten encounters with the Flyers. This trend, coupled with Tampa Bay’s strong home record, suggests a favorable outcome for the Lightning. From a betting perspective, the Lightning are favored, with moneyline odds reflecting their superior record and recent form. The over/under is set at 5.5 goals, considering the offensive capabilities of both teams. In conclusion, the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Philadelphia Flyers is poised to showcase the Lightning’s offensive firepower against the Flyers’ resilience. For the Flyers to secure an upset, they will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, the Lightning will aim to maintain their dominance and continue their march toward the playoffs.

Philadelphia Flyers NHL Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game with a disappointing 27-31-8 record, struggling to find consistency in what has been a difficult season. Offensively, the Flyers have been one of the weaker teams in the league, averaging just 2.8 goals per game, ranking 23rd overall. Travis Konecny has been their primary offensive weapon, leading the team with 22 goals and 41 assists, but outside of him, the Flyers have struggled to find consistent secondary scoring. Rookie Matvei Michkov has shown promise with 20 goals and 26 assists, but the team lacks offensive depth, making it difficult to compete with high-scoring teams like the Lightning. Their defensive struggles have been even more concerning, allowing 3.32 goals per game, ranking 27th in the league. The absence of Ryan Ellis, who has been on long-term injured reserve, has left a major hole in their blue line, and the Flyers’ defense has lacked the structure needed to contain opposing offenses. Goaltending has also been a significant issue, with starter Samuel Ersson posting a subpar .889 save percentage and a 2.94 goals-against average. Backup goaltenders Ivan Fedotov and Aleksei Kolosov have also struggled, making it difficult for the team to find consistency in net. The Flyers’ special teams have been equally problematic, with their power play ranking 29th in the NHL at just 15.2% efficiency, severely limiting their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Their penalty kill has been slightly better at 77.8%, but it still ranks just 18th in the league, highlighting their difficulties in shutting down opposing power plays. Additionally, coaching issues have emerged this season, with head coach John Tortorella receiving criticism from players, as a recent poll revealed that he was voted the least desirable coach to play for in the NHL. With internal challenges, a lack of offensive depth, and inconsistent defensive play, the Flyers have struggled to stay competitive, and their recent performances indicate that they will have a difficult time keeping up with the Lightning. They have also been active in making roster changes, acquiring Andrei Kuzmenko and Jakob Pelletier from the Calgary Flames in an attempt to bring new energy to the team, though neither player has yet made a significant impact. Injuries have also plagued the Flyers, with Garnet Hathaway recently sidelined due to an upper-body injury, further depleting their lineup. To have any chance of upsetting the Lightning, the Flyers will need to tighten their defense, get an elite goaltending performance, and capitalize on any scoring opportunities that arise. However, given their struggles this season and Tampa Bay’s strong track record against them, this game is likely to be another tough challenge for Philadelphia. If they cannot address their defensive weaknesses and find a way to contain Tampa Bay’s high-powered offense, the Flyers could be in for another difficult night on the road.

On March 17, 2025, the Tampa Bay Lightning will host the Philadelphia Flyers at Amalie Arena in Tampa. The Lightning, boasting a strong season, aim to solidify their playoff positioning, while the Flyers seek to improve their standing in the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning enter their matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers with a strong 38-23-5 record, placing them among the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Their offensive firepower has been a major driving force this season, ranking second in the league with an average of 3.54 goals per game. Led by Nikita Kucherov, who continues to dominate offensively with 37 goals and 55 assists, the Lightning have established themselves as one of the most potent scoring teams in the NHL. Kucherov’s chemistry with Brandon Hagel and Brayden Point has provided the team with a balanced scoring attack, making it difficult for opposing defenses to focus on shutting down a single player. In addition to their offensive strength, the Lightning’s defensive unit has been solid, allowing just 2.67 goals per game, ranking sixth in the NHL. Veteran defenseman Victor Hedman has been a stabilizing presence on the blue line, contributing 50 points while also providing strong defensive coverage. Mikhail Sergachev and Erik Cernak have also stepped up to provide depth in the defensive corps, ensuring that the Lightning can contain opposing teams’ top scorers. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy continues to be one of the best netminders in the league, boasting a .919 save percentage and consistently making key saves to keep Tampa Bay competitive in close games. Special teams have also been a bright spot for the Lightning, with their power play ranking sixth in the league at 26.1% efficiency, making them a dangerous team when given opportunities on the man advantage. Their penalty kill has also been effective, ranking in the top 10 at 82.3%, demonstrating their ability to limit opponents’ power-play opportunities. Heading into this game, the Lightning have won seven of their last ten meetings against the Flyers, further emphasizing their dominance in this matchup. With home-ice advantage at Amalie Arena, where they have been especially dominant this season, the Lightning are in a favorable position to secure another win against a struggling Philadelphia team. If they can continue executing their offensive game plan and capitalize on their special teams, they should be able to extend their winning record and solidify their playoff standing.

Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Flyers and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amalie Arena in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored

Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Flyers and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors often put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Flyers team going up against a possibly deflated Lightning team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Flyers vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Flyers Betting Trends

The Flyers have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, with a record of 28-32-8.

Lightning Betting Trends

The Lightning have fared better, holding an ATS record of 38-23-5.

Flyers vs. Lightning Matchup Trends

In their last ten meetings, the Lightning have dominated the Flyers, winning seven times.

Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay starts on March 17, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia +208, Tampa Bay -257
Over/Under: 6

Philadelphia: (28-32)  |  Tampa Bay: (38-23)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last ten meetings, the Lightning have dominated the Flyers, winning seven times.

PHI trend: The Flyers have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, with a record of 28-32-8.

TB trend: The Lightning have fared better, holding an ATS record of 38-23-5.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: +208
TB Moneyline: -257
PHI Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

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NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on March 17, 2025 at Amalie Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
PIT@TOR OVER 6.5 53.5% 3 WIN
VAN@NSH OVER 5.5 53.9% 3 WIN
NJ@ANA ANA +110 44.8% 1 WIN
DET@ANA DET -100 51.5% 3 LOSS
NYI@CAR UNDER 6.5 54.1% 4 LOSS
WPG@MIN WPG -115 56.4% 4 WIN
NYI@BOS UNDER 6.5 55.0% 3 LOSS
MIN@NYR OVER 5.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
ANA@CHI ANA -125 56.9% 3 LOSS
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS