Flames vs. Maple Leafs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 17 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On March 17, 2025, the Toronto Maple Leafs will host the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams are in the midst of competitive seasons, making this matchup highly anticipated.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 17, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Scotiabank Arena​

Maple Leafs Record: (39-24)

Flames Record: (30-24)

OPENING ODDS

CGY Moneyline: +176

TOR Moneyline: -214

CGY Spread: +1.5

TOR Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

CGY
Betting Trends

  • The Flames have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a relatively strong performance against expectations.

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistency in meeting betting projections.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread four times, suggesting a potential advantage for the hosting side in this series.

CGY vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Coleman over 0.5 Goals Scored

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Calgary vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/17/25

The upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Calgary Flames on March 17, 2025, is set to be a thrilling encounter, with both teams showcasing strong performances this season. The Maple Leafs, boasting a 43-22 record, have been a dominant force in the Atlantic Division, while the Flames, with a 38-26 record, have been formidable contenders in the Western Conference. Toronto’s offense has been particularly potent, averaging 3.4 goals per game, placing them among the top-scoring teams in the league. This offensive prowess is largely attributed to the stellar performances of forwards Auston Matthews and William Nylander. Matthews leads the team with 45 goals, while Nylander has been a consistent playmaker, contributing 36 goals and 50 assists. Their synergy on the ice has been a critical factor in the Maple Leafs’ success this season. Defensively, the Maple Leafs have been solid, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. Goaltender Joseph Woll has been impressive, maintaining a save percentage of .921 and recording one shutout this season. The defensive pairing of Morgan Rielly and Timothy Liljegren has been effective in neutralizing opposing offenses, contributing to the team’s strong defensive record. On the other hand, the Calgary Flames have demonstrated resilience and competitiveness throughout the season. Averaging 3.2 goals per game, their offense has been spearheaded by forward Nazem Kadri, who leads the team with 22 goals and 24 assists.

Defenseman MacKenzie Weegar has also been instrumental, not only in defensive duties but also in contributing offensively with 29 assists. The Flames’ goaltending has been commendable, with Dustin Wolf posting a goals-against average of 2.52 and a save percentage of .915, along with three shutouts. His performances have been pivotal in securing crucial wins for Calgary. Special teams could play a significant role in this matchup. Toronto’s power play has been effective, converting at a rate of 22%, while Calgary’s penalty kill has been efficient, operating at 82%. The battle between Toronto’s power play and Calgary’s penalty kill could be a determining factor in the game’s outcome. In terms of recent form, both teams have shown consistency. The Maple Leafs have won 7 of their last 10 games, while the Flames have secured victories in 6 of their last 10 outings. This indicates that both teams are in good form heading into this matchup. Historically, the Maple Leafs have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning 10 of the last 16 encounters against the Flames. However, each game presents a new challenge, and the Flames will be eager to improve their record against Toronto. Betting odds suggest a slight advantage for the Maple Leafs, with sportsbooks placing them as favorites to win this game. However, the Flames’ resilience and ability to perform in high-pressure situations make them a formidable opponent. In conclusion, this matchup promises to be an exciting contest between two competitive teams. The Maple Leafs will look to leverage their home-ice advantage and offensive firepower, while the Flames will aim to counter with solid defense and opportunistic scoring. Fans can anticipate a closely contested game with significant implications for both teams as they push towards the playoffs.

Calgary Flames NHL Preview

The Calgary Flames come into this matchup against the Toronto Maple Leafs with a record of 38-26-5, positioning them as strong contenders in the Western Conference playoff race. Their season has been marked by resilience and consistency, with the team managing to stay competitive despite facing injuries and roster adjustments. Offensively, the Flames have been solid, averaging 3.2 goals per game, ranking them in the middle tier of NHL teams. Jonathan Huberdeau has been a key player in their offensive success, leading the team with 25 goals and 24 assists. His ability to generate plays and create scoring opportunities has made him a critical component of Calgary’s attack. Nazem Kadri has also been an essential contributor, bringing experience and versatility to the lineup with 23 goals and 25 assists. His physical play and clutch performances have provided the Flames with a strong presence in high-pressure situations. Andrew Mangiapane has also stepped up this season, adding depth to the Flames’ offensive unit with his quick skating and goal-scoring ability. On the defensive end, the Flames have been relatively steady, allowing an average of 2.9 goals per game. Their blue line, led by MacKenzie Weegar and Noah Hanifin, has done a solid job of balancing defensive responsibilities while also contributing offensively. Weegar, in particular, has had a strong season, providing 29 assists while maintaining a strong physical presence in the defensive zone. However, injuries have posed a challenge, with key defenseman Rasmus Andersson missing time due to an upper-body injury. The team has had to rely on younger players to fill the gaps, and while they have stepped up admirably, defensive consistency has been a concern, especially against high-scoring teams like Toronto.

Goaltending has been one of the Flames’ strengths this season, with Dustin Wolf emerging as a reliable netminder. In 38 appearances, Wolf has posted a solid 2.52 goals-against average (GAA) and a .915 save percentage, including three shutouts. His ability to make key saves and keep the Flames competitive in tightly contested games has been invaluable. Backup goalie Dan Vladar has also been called upon in key moments, providing stability when needed. If the Flames are to pull off a win against Toronto, Wolf will need to be at his best against a high-powered offense led by Auston Matthews and William Nylander. Special teams could play a major role in this matchup. The Flames’ power play has been effective, converting at a 21% success rate, allowing them to capitalize on opponents’ penalties. However, their penalty kill has been inconsistent, operating at a 78% success rate, meaning they will need to be extra disciplined against Toronto’s elite power play unit. Head coach Ryan Huska will likely emphasize strong defensive play and disciplined positioning to avoid giving the Maple Leafs unnecessary power-play opportunities. Heading into this matchup, the Flames will need to bring a strong defensive effort while also capitalizing on scoring opportunities. Their ability to play a structured game and limit mistakes will be critical in facing a fast-paced Toronto squad. With the playoffs approaching, securing a win in this game would not only improve their positioning in the standings but also serve as a statement victory against one of the league’s top teams. If the Flames can execute their game plan effectively and get a strong performance from their goaltender, they have a good chance of making this a tightly contested battle.

On March 17, 2025, the Toronto Maple Leafs will host the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams are in the midst of competitive seasons, making this matchup highly anticipated. Calgary vs Toronto AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been a dominant force in the Atlantic Division this season, boasting a 43-22-3 record that reflects their consistent excellence on both ends of the ice. Their offensive unit has been particularly formidable, averaging 3.4 goals per game, which ranks them among the top-scoring teams in the NHL. Central to this offensive success is star center Auston Matthews, who leads the team with 45 goals. Matthews’ ability to find the back of the net from various positions on the ice has made him a constant threat to opposing defenses. Complementing Matthews is winger William Nylander, who has been an offensive catalyst with 36 goals and 50 assists. Nylander’s vision and playmaking abilities have been instrumental in creating scoring opportunities for his linemates. The chemistry between Matthews and Nylander has been a cornerstone of Toronto’s offensive strategy, making them one of the most dynamic duos in the league. Defensively, the Maple Leafs have been solid, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. Goaltender Joseph Woll has emerged as a reliable presence between the pipes, maintaining a save percentage of .921 and recording one shutout this season. Woll’s composure and athleticism have provided the team with confidence in their defensive zone. The defensive pairing of Morgan Rielly and Timothy Liljegren has been effective in neutralizing opposing offenses. Rielly’s ability to transition the puck out of the defensive zone and contribute offensively has added a layer of versatility to Toronto’s game plan.

Liljegren’s steady defensive play and physicality have complemented Rielly’s style, creating a balanced defensive unit. Special teams have also been a significant factor in Toronto’s success. The power play unit has been efficient, converting at a rate of 22%, making them a threat with the man advantage. Their penalty kill has also been effective, operating at an 82% success rate, which has been crucial in maintaining leads and stifling opponents’ momentum. However, the Maple Leafs have faced some challenges recently. In their March 9 game against the Colorado Avalanche, they squandered a three-goal lead before edging out a 4-3 victory in a shootout. This game highlighted some defensive lapses that the team will need to address to maintain their strong record. Additionally, injuries have impacted the lineup, with key players missing time, necessitating adjustments in line combinations and strategies. Despite these challenges, Toronto’s depth has been a testament to their resilience. Players like Mitch Marner and John Tavares have stepped up in crucial moments, providing leadership and offensive contributions. Marner’s creativity and Tavares’ experience have been invaluable assets, especially during tightly contested games. As they prepare to face the Calgary Flames on March 17, the Maple Leafs will look to capitalize on their home-ice advantage, where they have been particularly strong this season. Their ability to dictate the pace of the game and leverage their offensive depth will be key factors in securing a victory. With the playoffs approaching, maintaining momentum and fine-tuning their gameplay will be essential for Toronto to make a deep postseason run.

Calgary vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Flames and Maple Leafs play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Scotiabank Arena in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Coleman over 0.5 Goals Scored

Calgary vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Flames and Maple Leafs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the trending weight emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly strong Maple Leafs team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Calgary vs Toronto picks, computer picks Flames vs Maple Leafs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule. 

Flames Betting Trends

The Flames have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a relatively strong performance against expectations.

Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Maple Leafs have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistency in meeting betting projections.

Flames vs. Maple Leafs Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread four times, suggesting a potential advantage for the hosting side in this series.

Calgary vs. Toronto Game Info

Calgary vs Toronto starts on March 17, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.

Spread: Toronto -1.5
Moneyline: Calgary +176, Toronto -214
Over/Under: 6

Calgary: (30-24)  |  Toronto: (39-24)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Coleman over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread four times, suggesting a potential advantage for the hosting side in this series.

CGY trend: The Flames have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a relatively strong performance against expectations.

TOR trend: The Maple Leafs have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistency in meeting betting projections.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Calgary vs. Toronto Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Calgary vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Calgary vs Toronto Opening Odds

CGY Moneyline: +176
TOR Moneyline: -214
CGY Spread: +1.5
TOR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Calgary vs Toronto Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+270
-340
+1.5 (+102)
-1.5 (-122)
O 6 (-105)
U 6 (-115)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+173
-205
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-117)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-110
-110
-1.5 (+235)
+1.5 (-285)
O 5.5 (-117)
U 5.5 (-103)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-160
 
-1.5 (+158)
O 5.5 (-128)
U 5.5 (+107)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+155
-180
+1.5 (-163)
-1.5 (+137)
O 5.5 (-112)
U 5.5 (-108)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+173
-205
+1.5 (-142)
-1.5 (+122)
O 6 (-108)
U 6 (-112)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+160
 
+1.5 (-163)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+136
-162
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-130
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+124
-148
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-120
+100
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-120
+100
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+164
-198
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+136
-162
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-110
-110
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on March 17, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN