Senators vs. Maple Leafs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 15 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-13T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On March 15, 2025, the Ottawa Senators will face the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The Maple Leafs, with a 39-22-3 record, aim to strengthen their position in the Atlantic Division, while the Senators, at 34-25-5, seek to improve their playoff prospects.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 15, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​
Venue: Scotiabank Arena​
Maple Leafs Record: (39-23)
Senators Record: (35-25)
OPENING ODDS
OTT Moneyline: +122
TOR Moneyline: -146
OTT Spread: +1.5
TOR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
OTT
Betting Trends
- The Senators have struggled against the spread (ATS), holding a 26-38 record overall, including a 16-18 mark on the road.
TOR
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs have a balanced ATS record, standing at 31-31 overall, with a 16-16 record at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Maple Leafs have been dominant in recent matchups against the Senators, winning four of the last five games, including four of the past five in Ottawa.
OTT vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Chabot over 0.5 Goals Scored
LIVE NHL ODDS
NHL ODDS COMPARISON
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Ottawa vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/15/25
The Senators, however, have struggled against the spread, holding a 26-38 record overall, including a 16-18 mark on the road. This disparity suggests that bettors may find more reliability in the Maple Leafs’ performance concerning the spread. Special teams’ performance could play a pivotal role in this matchup. The Maple Leafs’ power play and penalty kill units have been effective, contributing to their overall success. The Senators will need to capitalize on power-play opportunities and maintain discipline to avoid giving the Maple Leafs additional advantages. Goaltending will also be a critical factor. The Maple Leafs’ netminders have provided stability, contributing to their respectable goals-against average. The Senators’ goaltenders will need to be at their best to withstand the Maple Leafs’ offensive pressure. In conclusion, this matchup presents an opportunity for the Maple Leafs to assert their dominance and solidify their playoff positioning, while the Senators aim to defy the odds and enhance their postseason aspirations. Given the Maple Leafs’ balanced ATS record and home-ice advantage, they may have the edge in this contest. However, the Senators’ previous successes against Toronto indicate that an upset is within the realm of possibility, making this an intriguing game for both fans and bettors alike.
A pair of Canadian battles on the road before hosting the Avs highlight the week ahead for the #Sens 👊
— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) March 14, 2025
đź“° Read about our upcoming match ups: https://t.co/tDEjstcKcu#GoSensGo | @betwaycanada pic.twitter.com/5oQO5Jrz6L
Ottawa Senators NHL Preview
The Ottawa Senators arrive in Toronto for their March 15, 2025, matchup against the Maple Leafs amidst a challenging but hopeful season, currently holding a record of 34-25-5. Sitting just outside secure playoff positioning, every remaining game carries significant weight for Ottawa’s postseason aspirations. Offensively, the Senators have experienced mixed results, averaging 2.84 goals per game, placing them mid-tier in the NHL scoring rankings. However, their young offensive core, led by dynamic forward Tim Stützle, provides optimism for improvement. Stützle’s exceptional skill set, blending speed, creativity, and scoring touch, has allowed him to consistently lead the Senators in points, creating matchup issues for opposing defenses. Brady Tkachuk, the Senators’ captain, complements Stützle’s style with physical play and a strong net-front presence, providing valuable scoring depth. Despite their talent, Ottawa has frequently struggled with consistency in secondary scoring, often leaving the team overly reliant on their top performers. Defensively, Ottawa has notably improved this season, allowing just 2.65 goals per game, reflecting a more disciplined and cohesive defensive approach. Thomas Chabot remains the cornerstone of the Senators’ blue line, frequently logging substantial ice time while excelling in both offensive and defensive responsibilities. Chabot’s steady presence and puck-moving abilities significantly enhance Ottawa’s capability to transition effectively from defense to offense. Jake Sanderson’s development has also positively impacted Ottawa’s defensive depth, with his maturity and reliable performances helping stabilize the defensive structure.
Between the pipes, veteran goalie Joonas Korpisalo has proven critical to Ottawa’s defensive improvement, consistently providing the Senators with opportunities to secure points through his strong, reliable performances. Korpisalo’s save percentage has consistently remained above .910, indicating his effectiveness in facing high shot volumes and maintaining composure under pressure. Ottawa’s special teams performance has been mixed, with their power play occasionally struggling to find consistency, although capable of timely contributions. The Senators’ penalty kill has generally been effective but has shown vulnerability in critical moments, which has occasionally cost them close games. Facing the Maple Leafs, Ottawa will need to execute flawlessly on special teams to neutralize Toronto’s potent power play. Historically, the Senators have matched up competitively with Toronto, highlighted by their earlier 3-0 shutout win this season. This past success demonstrates Ottawa’s capability to defeat top-tier opponents when playing cohesively and strategically disciplined hockey. To secure another victory against their provincial rivals, Ottawa will require balanced scoring, disciplined defensive execution, and elite-level goaltending from Korpisalo. A victory in Toronto would significantly bolster Ottawa’s playoff chances, providing crucial momentum and confidence, proving their ability to compete strongly in pressure-filled scenarios against elite competition.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs enter their March 15, 2025, home game against the Ottawa Senators with impressive momentum and a strong standing in the Atlantic Division, posting a record of 39-22-3. Throughout the season, the Maple Leafs have effectively showcased their depth, resilience, and ability to perform consistently against formidable opponents. Offensively, Toronto is among the league’s elite, averaging 3.2 goals per game, largely propelled by their star-studded forward lineup. Auston Matthews, the cornerstone of Toronto’s offense, continues to deliver exceptional performances, leading the team in goal-scoring while providing crucial points at pivotal moments. Matthews’ prolific goal-scoring capabilities are complemented by the dynamic Mitch Marner, whose creativity and playmaking skills have been essential in driving the Leafs’ offensive production. Marner’s vision on the ice consistently sets up scoring opportunities, making Toronto’s top line one of the most feared in the NHL. Additionally, veterans such as William Nylander and John Tavares have consistently provided secondary scoring, ensuring that opponents must account for multiple threats beyond the primary scoring line. Defensively, the Maple Leafs have made considerable strides this season, conceding only 2.69 goals per game, which underscores their structured approach and disciplined positional play. Morgan Rielly has anchored the blue line, demonstrating leadership and reliability, especially in high-pressure scenarios.
His ability to transition play from defense to offense has also been a significant factor in maintaining possession and controlling the game’s tempo. Jake McCabe and Timothy Liljegren have further strengthened Toronto’s defensive unit by providing dependable performances, minimizing turnovers, and ensuring that high-danger chances against their goaltenders are kept to a minimum. The Maple Leafs’ goaltending tandem has also been pivotal, with Joseph Woll emerging as a reliable starter, boasting a solid save percentage above .910, while Ilya Samsonov has provided valuable depth, stepping in effectively when called upon. Special teams have been a critical strength for Toronto, particularly their power play, which consistently capitalizes on opportunities and ranks among the league’s best units. Their penalty kill has also been exceptional, adept at limiting opponents’ power-play effectiveness through aggressive and disciplined play. Heading into this matchup against Ottawa, Toronto is motivated by previous encounters this season, which have been tightly contested battles. Although the Senators managed a shutout victory earlier in the season, Toronto has historically held the upper hand, particularly at home. To secure victory, Toronto will need to leverage their offensive depth, maintain defensive discipline, and capitalize effectively on special teams situations. A win would not only solidify their playoff positioning but also serve as a statement in reinforcing their status as legitimate Stanley Cup contenders as the postseason approaches.
On October 14, 2006, Mats Sundin scored his 500th career goal, but it wasn’t a typical milestone by any measure. With just over four minutes remaining in overtime, Mats wired home a shorthanded slapshot—winning the game, completing his hat trick, and forever cementing himself as… pic.twitter.com/5U5r5wfvJj
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) March 14, 2025
Ottawa vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)
Ottawa vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Senators and Maple Leafs and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Ottawa’s strength factors between a Senators team going up against a possibly strong Maple Leafs team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Ottawa vs Toronto picks, computer picks Senators vs Maple Leafs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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Senators Betting Trends
The Senators have struggled against the spread (ATS), holding a 26-38 record overall, including a 16-18 mark on the road.
Maple Leafs Betting Trends
The Maple Leafs have a balanced ATS record, standing at 31-31 overall, with a 16-16 record at home.
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Matchup Trends
The Maple Leafs have been dominant in recent matchups against the Senators, winning four of the last five games, including four of the past five in Ottawa.
Ottawa vs. Toronto Game Info
What time does Ottawa vs Toronto start on March 15, 2025?
Ottawa vs Toronto starts on March 15, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Ottawa vs Toronto being played?
Venue: Scotiabank Arena.
What are the opening odds for Ottawa vs Toronto?
Spread: Toronto -1.5
Moneyline: Ottawa +122, Toronto -146
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Ottawa vs Toronto?
Ottawa: (35-25) Â |Â Toronto: (39-23)
What is the AI best bet for Ottawa vs Toronto?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Chabot over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Ottawa vs Toronto trending bets?
The Maple Leafs have been dominant in recent matchups against the Senators, winning four of the last five games, including four of the past five in Ottawa.
What are Ottawa trending bets?
OTT trend: The Senators have struggled against the spread (ATS), holding a 26-38 record overall, including a 16-18 mark on the road.
What are Toronto trending bets?
TOR trend: The Maple Leafs have a balanced ATS record, standing at 31-31 overall, with a 16-16 record at home.
Where can I find AI Picks for Ottawa vs Toronto?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Ottawa vs. Toronto Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Ottawa vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Ottawa vs Toronto Opening Odds
OTT Moneyline:
+122 TOR Moneyline: -146
OTT Spread: +1.5
TOR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Ottawa vs Toronto Live Odds
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Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
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U 5.5 (+100)
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Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
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10/9/25 7:10PM
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–
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+138
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O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
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-125
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+125
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U 5.5 (-101)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on March 15, 2025 at Scotiabank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |