Lightning vs. Hurricanes
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 11 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-22-4) will face the Carolina Hurricanes (38-22-4) on March 11, 2025, at PNC Arena in Raleigh, North Carolina. Both teams are closely matched in their respective divisions, promising an intense and competitive game.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 11, 2025
Start Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Lenovo Center
Hurricanes Record: (38-22)
Lightning Record: (37-22)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: +108
CAR Moneyline: -129
TB Spread: +1.5
CAR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
TB
Betting Trends
- In recent games, the Lightning have been strong against the spread (ATS), covering in 70% of their last ten outings. Their offense has been prolific, averaging 3.6 goals per game, while their defense has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game.
CAR
Betting Trends
- The Hurricanes have also performed well ATS, covering in 60% of their last ten games. They have maintained a balanced approach, averaging 3.2 goals per game and allowing 2.6 goals per game, reflecting their defensive strength.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the recent trend of low-scoring games between these teams. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina’s last 14 home games against Tampa Bay, suggesting a potential under bet for total goals in this upcoming game.
TB vs. CAR
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Jankowski over 0.5 Goals Scored
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Tampa Bay vs Carolina Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/11/25
Allowing just 2.6 goals per game, they boast one of the stingiest defenses in the league. This defensive strength is anchored by the pairing of Jaccob Slavin and Brent Burns, both of whom have been instrumental in shutting down opposing offenses. Goaltender Frederik Andersen has been exceptional, with a save percentage that underscores his elite status among NHL netminders. Offensively, the Hurricanes are led by center Sebastian Aho, who has amassed 89 points this season, including 36 goals and 53 assists. His vision and playmaking abilities make him a constant threat. Supporting him are wingers Andrei Svechnikov and Martin Necas, both of whom have consistently contributed to the team’s scoring, ensuring that the Hurricanes maintain a balanced attack. Special teams could play a pivotal role in this matchup. The Lightning’s power play operates at a league-leading 28.6%, making them lethal with the man advantage. In contrast, the Hurricanes’ penalty kill is among the best, successfully neutralizing 86.4% of opponents’ power plays. This battle between the Lightning’s potent power play and the Hurricanes’ formidable penalty kill could be a determining factor in the game’s outcome. Historically, games between these two teams have been tightly contested. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina’s last 14 home games against Tampa Bay, indicating a trend toward low-scoring affairs when these teams meet at PNC Arena. This statistic suggests that while both teams possess offensive capabilities, their encounters often evolve into defensive battles. In conclusion, this matchup is poised to be a showcase of high-caliber hockey. The Lightning’s explosive offense against the Hurricanes’ impenetrable defense sets the stage for a captivating contest. Both teams have their sights set on solidifying their playoff positions, adding an extra layer of intensity to the game. Fans can anticipate a hard-fought battle, where the smallest details and split-second decisions could sway the result.
At the rink 📍 pic.twitter.com/Ag2fanAjBr
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) March 7, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning enter the March 11, 2025, matchup against the Carolina Hurricanes with a 37-22-4 record, reflecting their status as one of the premier teams in the Eastern Conference. Occupying a strong position in the Atlantic Division, the Lightning have consistently demonstrated their ability to compete at the highest level, combining offensive firepower with defensive resilience. Offensively, the Lightning have been prolific, averaging 3.6 goals per game, which ranks them among the top teams in the league. This offensive success is largely attributed to the dynamic duo of Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point. Kucherov leads the team with an astounding 144 points, comprising 44 goals and 100 assists, showcasing his playmaking abilities and scoring touch. Point has been equally impressive, netting 46 goals and providing 44 assists, totaling 90 points. Their chemistry on the ice has been a driving force behind Tampa Bay’s offensive dominance, often dictating the tempo of games and overwhelming opposing defenses. Complementing their top-line stars, the Lightning boast depth in their forward lines. Players like Brandon Hagel and Anthony Cirelli have contributed significantly, adding secondary scoring that alleviates pressure from the top performers. Hagel’s speed and tenacity have made him a valuable asset, while Cirelli’s two-way play has been instrumental in both offensive drives and defensive responsibilities. This depth allows Tampa Bay to maintain relentless pressure throughout games, making them a challenging opponent for any team. Defensively, the Lightning have been solid, allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game. Veteran defenseman Victor Hedman continues to be a cornerstone of their blue line, contributing not only defensively but also offensively with 18 goals this season. His ability to read the game and make crucial plays has been invaluable. Alongside him, players like Ryan McDonagh and Erik Cernak have provided stability and physicality, effectively shutting down opposing offenses and protecting their netminder.
Goaltending has been a critical component of Tampa Bay’s success. Andrei Vasilevskiy, with a .900 save percentage, has been a reliable last line of defense, often making crucial saves in high-pressure situations. His agility and composure under pressure provide the team with confidence, knowing they have a dependable presence between the pipes. Vasilevskiy’s performances have been pivotal in close games, often being the difference-maker in tight contests. Special teams have also played a significant role in the Lightning’s performance this season. Their power play operates at a league-leading 28.6%, making them a formidable threat with the man advantage. This efficiency is a testament to their skilled personnel and strategic execution. On the penalty kill, they have been effective, successfully neutralizing 83.3% of opponents’ power plays, ranking them fifth in the league. This balance in special teams’ performance has been instrumental in their overall success. Heading into the matchup against the Hurricanes, the Lightning will look to leverage their offensive depth and defensive solidity to secure a victory. Given the historical trend of low-scoring games between these teams, with the total going UNDER in 11 of Carolina’s last 14 home games against Tampa Bay, the Lightning may need to adapt their strategy to break through the Hurricanes’ defensive setup. Focusing on maintaining possession, creating high-quality scoring chances, and staying disciplined to avoid unnecessary penalties will be crucial. This game presents an opportunity for Tampa Bay to assert their dominance and gain valuable points as the playoff race intensifies. In conclusion, the Tampa Bay Lightning have established themselves as a formidable force in the NHL this season. Their combination of offensive talent, defensive reliability, and strong special teams makes them a challenging opponent for any team. As they prepare to face the Carolina Hurricanes, the Lightning will aim to continue their strong performance and solidify their position as one of the league’s elite teams.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Carolina Hurricanes NHL Preview
The Carolina Hurricanes have solidified themselves as one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference this season, entering the March 11, 2025, matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with a 38-22-4 record. Currently competing for a high playoff seed, the Hurricanes have built their success on a foundation of defensive discipline, strong goaltending, and balanced scoring. With a history of closely contested games against Tampa Bay, this game will be crucial for Carolina as they look to extend their dominance at home. Defense has been the defining strength of the Hurricanes throughout the season. They are allowing just 2.6 goals per game, ranking among the top five defensive teams in the league. Their defensive core, led by Jaccob Slavin and Brent Burns, has been instrumental in shutting down high-powered offenses. Slavin’s ability to read plays and disrupt passing lanes has made him one of the most reliable defensemen in the league, while Burns continues to be a physical force capable of logging heavy minutes. They will be tasked with limiting Tampa Bay’s elite scorers, particularly Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point, who have been dominant this season. Goaltending has also been a key factor in Carolina’s success. Frederik Andersen has been exceptional between the pipes, posting a .918 save percentage and a 2.42 goals-against average. His composure in high-pressure situations has helped Carolina maintain their defensive structure, even when facing teams with strong offensive firepower. Backup goaltender Pyotr Kochetkov has also stepped up when needed, providing solid performances when Andersen is given rest.
Against a Lightning team that averages 3.6 goals per game, the Hurricanes will rely on their netminders to keep the game tight and low-scoring. Offensively, Carolina takes a balanced approach, averaging 3.2 goals per game. While they may not have a singular superstar leading the charge, their depth scoring has been a major asset. Sebastian Aho remains the team’s offensive catalyst, leading in points with 89 (36 goals, 53 assists). His ability to create plays and finish in tight spaces makes him a constant threat. Supporting Aho are Andrei Svechnikov and Martin Necas, who have both contributed significantly, ensuring the Hurricanes have multiple scoring options. Svechnikov’s physical presence and ability to crash the net make him difficult to defend, while Necas brings speed and creativity to the lineup. Special teams could be a deciding factor in this game, as the Hurricanes boast one of the NHL’s best penalty kills at 86.4%. Their ability to neutralize Tampa Bay’s lethal power play, which operates at 28.6%, will be crucial. If Carolina can stay disciplined and avoid unnecessary penalties, they can mitigate one of the Lightning’s biggest strengths. Historically, games between these two teams have leaned toward low-scoring affairs, with the total going UNDER in 11 of Carolina’s last 14 home games against Tampa Bay. The Hurricanes thrive in structured, defensive battles, and if they can dictate the pace of the game, they will have an advantage. With home-ice support and a defensive-first approach, Carolina has a strong chance of containing the Lightning and securing another key victory in their playoff push.
The trade deadline dust has settled and the playoff push is on.
— Carolina Hurricanes (@Canes) March 9, 2025
With Logan Stankoven’s ability to make an immediate impact and the addition of draft capital, the #Canes future is bright and only getting brighter. https://t.co/348xSdyd2Z
Tampa Bay vs. Carolina Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Carolina Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Lightning and Hurricanes and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Lightning team going up against a possibly tired Hurricanes team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Carolina picks, computer picks Lightning vs Hurricanes, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Lightning Betting Trends
In recent games, the Lightning have been strong against the spread (ATS), covering in 70% of their last ten outings. Their offense has been prolific, averaging 3.6 goals per game, while their defense has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Hurricanes Betting Trends
The Hurricanes have also performed well ATS, covering in 60% of their last ten games. They have maintained a balanced approach, averaging 3.2 goals per game and allowing 2.6 goals per game, reflecting their defensive strength.
Lightning vs. Hurricanes Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the recent trend of low-scoring games between these teams. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina’s last 14 home games against Tampa Bay, suggesting a potential under bet for total goals in this upcoming game.
Tampa Bay vs. Carolina Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Carolina start on March 11, 2025?
Tampa Bay vs Carolina starts on March 11, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Carolina being played?
Venue: Lenovo Center.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Carolina?
Spread: Carolina -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +108, Carolina -129
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Carolina?
Tampa Bay: (37-22) | Carolina: (38-22)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Carolina?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Jankowski over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Carolina trending bets?
An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the recent trend of low-scoring games between these teams. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina’s last 14 home games against Tampa Bay, suggesting a potential under bet for total goals in this upcoming game.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: In recent games, the Lightning have been strong against the spread (ATS), covering in 70% of their last ten outings. Their offense has been prolific, averaging 3.6 goals per game, while their defense has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game.
What are Carolina trending bets?
CAR trend: The Hurricanes have also performed well ATS, covering in 60% of their last ten games. They have maintained a balanced approach, averaging 3.2 goals per game and allowing 2.6 goals per game, reflecting their defensive strength.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Carolina?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Carolina Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Carolina trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tampa Bay vs Carolina Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
+108 CAR Moneyline: -129
TB Spread: +1.5
CAR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Tampa Bay vs Carolina Live Odds
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Los Angeles Kings
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+160
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Montreal Canadiens
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-130
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O 6.5 (+110)
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+124
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U 5.5 (-105)
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-120
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U 5.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Carolina Hurricanes on March 11, 2025 at Lenovo Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |