Senators vs Flyers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 11)

Updated: 2025-03-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Ottawa Senators will face the Philadelphia Flyers on March 11, 2025, at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. This matchup features two Eastern Conference teams with contrasting recent performances, as the Senators aim to continue their push toward playoff contention, while the Flyers seek to rebound from a series of losses.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 11, 2025

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Wells Fargo Center​

Flyers Record: (27-30)

Senators Record: (33-25)

OPENING ODDS

OTT Moneyline: -120

PHI Moneyline: +100

OTT Spread: -1.5

PHI Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 6

OTT
Betting Trends

  • The Ottawa Senators have shown mixed results against the spread (ATS) recently. Over their last ten games, they have covered the spread in five instances, reflecting inconsistency in their performance. Bettors should consider this variability when wagering on Ottawa.

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Philadelphia Flyers have struggled against the spread in their recent matchups. In their last ten games, they have covered the spread only three times, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations. This trend suggests caution for bettors considering the Flyers in ATS scenarios.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread four times. This statistic indicates a potential advantage for the Flyers in the upcoming game, despite their recent struggles.

OTT vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored

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Ottawa vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/11/25

The upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and the Philadelphia Flyers on March 11, 2025, at the Wells Fargo Center presents an intriguing matchup between two teams navigating contrasting seasons. The Senators, boasting a record of 31-25-5, have positioned themselves as playoff contenders in the Eastern Conference. Their offense, averaging 2.9 goals per game, is led by captain Brady Tkachuk, who has recorded 26 goals and 23 assists, totaling 49 points. Center Tim Stützle has been a pivotal playmaker, leading the team with 45 assists and accumulating 65 points. Defensively, the Senators have been relatively stable, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. Goaltender Leevi Meriläinen has been impressive, posting a .925 save percentage, providing a reliable last line of defense. In contrast, the Flyers have encountered a challenging season, reflected in their 27-27-8 record. Their offense has struggled, averaging 2.8 goals per game, with right winger Travis Konecny leading the charge, amassing 22 goals and 42 assists for a total of 64 points.

Defensively, the Flyers have faced difficulties, conceding an average of 3.3 goals per game. Goaltender Samuel Ersson has had a tough season, with a save percentage of .889, indicating challenges in net. Recent form favors the Senators, who have secured victories in four of their last five games, including a 2-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings on March 10. The Flyers, conversely, have struggled, losing four of their last five games, with a 3-1 defeat to the New Jersey Devils on March 9. The Senators’ momentum and the Flyers’ recent struggles suggest an advantage for Ottawa in this matchup. However, the Flyers’ home record and the historical ATS statistic favoring home teams in this series indicate that Philadelphia could leverage home-ice advantage to counteract their recent form. This game presents an opportunity for the Senators to solidify their playoff aspirations and for the Flyers to regain confidence and disrupt Ottawa’s momentum.

Ottawa Senators NHL Preview

The Ottawa Senators have experienced a season of resurgence, reflected in their 31-25-5 record, positioning them as legitimate contenders in the Eastern Conference. Offensively, the team has been effective, averaging 2.9 goals per game. Captain Brady Tkachuk has been instrumental, leading the team with 26 goals and contributing 23 assists, totaling 49 points. His physical play and leadership have set the tone for the team’s aggressive style. Center Tim Stützle has emerged as a key playmaker, leading the team with 45 assists and accumulating 65 points, showcasing his vision and creativity on the ice. Defensively, the Senators have been relatively stable, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. Goaltender Leevi Meriläinen has been a revelation for the Senators this season, stepping into the starting role and providing a significant boost in net. His impressive .925 save percentage has been a key factor in Ottawa’s ability to remain competitive, as he has consistently delivered clutch performances. The Senators’ blue line, anchored by Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson, has been solid, providing a strong two-way presence that allows the team to transition quickly from defense to offense. Chabot, in particular, has been a workhorse, averaging over 25 minutes of ice time per game and contributing offensively with 40 points on the season. Sanderson, meanwhile, continues to develop into one of the league’s premier young defensemen, using his skating and positioning to shut down opposing forwards. One of the key factors behind Ottawa’s success has been their ability to generate high-quality scoring chances. They rank among the league leaders in expected goals per game, a testament to their aggressive forechecking and ability to sustain offensive pressure. Their power play has been another strength, converting at a respectable 22% clip.

This unit has been especially dangerous with Stützle and Drake Batherson working in tandem to create scoring opportunities. The penalty kill, however, has been an area of concern, ranking in the bottom half of the NHL. The Senators have struggled to contain opposing power plays, often getting caught out of position or allowing too many second-chance opportunities. Ottawa’s recent form suggests they are peaking at the right time. They have won four of their last five games, including a crucial 2-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings on March 10. Their ability to win tight, low-scoring games has been encouraging, as it indicates they can adapt their style to different opponents. Against Philadelphia, the Senators will look to capitalize on the Flyers’ defensive struggles by pushing the tempo and forcing turnovers in the neutral zone. Their speed advantage should allow them to exploit gaps in Philadelphia’s defense, especially if the Flyers continue to struggle with their defensive assignments. Despite entering this game as favorites, the Senators cannot afford to take the Flyers lightly. Philadelphia has played better at home and has a history of making games difficult for opponents at Wells Fargo Center. Ottawa’s defensive structure will need to remain disciplined, as the Flyers still possess offensive weapons like Travis Konecny who can turn a game in an instant. The Senators will also need to be wary of getting into penalty trouble, as their penalty kill remains one of their few weak spots. Overall, this game represents another opportunity for Ottawa to solidify their playoff standing and continue their strong run of form. A win here would further cement their reputation as a team on the rise and put additional pressure on their conference rivals. If they can execute their game plan effectively, maintain their defensive discipline, and continue to get strong goaltending from Meriläinen, the Senators should be in a good position to come away with the two points.

The Ottawa Senators will face the Philadelphia Flyers on March 11, 2025, at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. This matchup features two Eastern Conference teams with contrasting recent performances, as the Senators aim to continue their push toward playoff contention, while the Flyers seek to rebound from a series of losses. Ottawa vs Philadelphia AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Philadelphia Flyers NHL Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers have endured a tumultuous 2024-2025 NHL season, culminating in a 27-27-8 record that reflects their ongoing struggles. Offensively, the team has been underwhelming, averaging 2.8 goals per game. Right winger Travis Konecny has been a rare bright spot, leading the team with 22 goals and 42 assists, totaling 64 points. His consistent performance has been crucial in an otherwise lackluster offensive lineup. Defensively, the Flyers have been porous, allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game. Goaltender Samuel Ersson has faced significant challenges, with a save percentage of .889, indicating struggles in net. The team’s defensive woes have been exacerbated by injuries and inconsistent play from the defensive corps.

Special teams have also been a concern, with the power play operating at a subpar efficiency and the penalty kill failing to contain opposing offenses effectively. Recent performances have highlighted these issues, with the Flyers losing four of their last five games, including a 3-1 defeat to the New Jersey Devils on March 9. The team has struggled to generate offense, scoring only three goals in their last three games. Despite these challenges, the Flyers have shown resilience in certain matchups, indicating potential for improvement. As they prepare to host the Ottawa Senators, the Flyers aim to leverage their home-ice advantage to reverse their fortunes. The coaching staff has emphasized the need for defensive solidity and increased offensive production. Integrating younger talent and adjusting strategies may be pivotal in revitalizing the team’s performance. The upcoming game against the Senators presents an opportunity for the Flyers to disrupt Ottawa’s momentum and regain confidence. A focused and disciplined approach will be essential for the Flyers to secure a victory and potentially reignite their season.

Ottawa vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Senators and Flyers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Wells Fargo Center in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored

Ottawa vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Senators and Flyers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Senators team going up against a possibly improved Flyers team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Ottawa vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Senators vs Flyers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Senators Betting Trends

The Ottawa Senators have shown mixed results against the spread (ATS) recently. Over their last ten games, they have covered the spread in five instances, reflecting inconsistency in their performance. Bettors should consider this variability when wagering on Ottawa.

Flyers Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Flyers have struggled against the spread in their recent matchups. In their last ten games, they have covered the spread only three times, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations. This trend suggests caution for bettors considering the Flyers in ATS scenarios.

Senators vs. Flyers Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread four times. This statistic indicates a potential advantage for the Flyers in the upcoming game, despite their recent struggles.

Ottawa vs. Philadelphia Game Info

Ottawa vs Philadelphia starts on March 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.

Spread: Philadelphia +1.5
Moneyline: Ottawa -120, Philadelphia +100
Over/Under: 6

Ottawa: (33-25)  |  Philadelphia: (27-30)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread four times. This statistic indicates a potential advantage for the Flyers in the upcoming game, despite their recent struggles.

OTT trend: The Ottawa Senators have shown mixed results against the spread (ATS) recently. Over their last ten games, they have covered the spread in five instances, reflecting inconsistency in their performance. Bettors should consider this variability when wagering on Ottawa.

PHI trend: The Philadelphia Flyers have struggled against the spread in their recent matchups. In their last ten games, they have covered the spread only three times, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations. This trend suggests caution for bettors considering the Flyers in ATS scenarios.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Ottawa vs. Philadelphia Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Ottawa vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Ottawa vs Philadelphia Opening Odds

OTT Moneyline: -120
PHI Moneyline: +100
OTT Spread: -1.5
PHI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6

Ottawa vs Philadelphia Live Odds

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NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers on March 11, 2025 at Wells Fargo Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
PIT@TOR OVER 6.5 53.5% 3 WIN
VAN@NSH OVER 5.5 53.9% 3 WIN
NJ@ANA ANA +110 44.8% 1 WIN
DET@ANA DET -100 51.5% 3 LOSS
NYI@CAR UNDER 6.5 54.1% 4 LOSS
WPG@MIN WPG -115 56.4% 4 WIN
NYI@BOS UNDER 6.5 55.0% 3 LOSS
MIN@NYR OVER 5.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
ANA@CHI ANA -125 56.9% 3 LOSS
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS