Penguins vs. Wild
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 09 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Minnesota Wild on March 9, 2025, at Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, Minnesota. The Penguins, currently holding a 24-31-10 record, aim to rebound from recent struggles, while the Wild, with a 36-23-4 record, seek to solidify their playoff positioning.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 09, 2025

Start Time: 3:30 PM EST​

Venue: Xcel Energy Center​

Wild Record: (36-23)

Penguins Record: (24-31)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +130

MIN Moneyline: -155

PIT Spread: +1.5

MIN Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Penguins have faced challenges against the spread (ATS) recently, reflecting their inconsistent performance this season. Their struggles are evident in both home and away games, impacting their reliability for bettors.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Wild have been more reliable ATS, particularly at home. Their strong home record and consistent performances have made them a favorable option for bettors.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Wild have covered the spread four times against the Penguins. Additionally, the total has gone under in four of those five games, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

PIT vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Merrill over 0.5 Goals Scored

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Pittsburgh vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/9/25

The upcoming matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Minnesota Wild on March 9, 2025, at Xcel Energy Center presents a compelling narrative of contrasting seasons. The Penguins, with a 24-31-10 record, are navigating a challenging season marked by injuries and inconsistent play. In contrast, the Wild’s 36-23-4 record reflects a team in strong form, aiming to secure a favorable playoff position. Pittsburgh’s season has been marred by defensive struggles, allowing an average of 3.37 goals per game, ranking them among the bottom in the league. Their penalty kill efficiency has also been subpar, further exacerbating their defensive woes. Goaltender Alex Nedeljkovic has faced challenges, with a goals-against average (GAA) of 3.06 and a save percentage of .895, reflecting the team’s broader defensive issues. Offensively, the Penguins have relied heavily on veterans Sidney Crosby and Rickard Rakell. Crosby leads the team with 60 points, including 42 assists, while Rakell has netted 25 goals. However, the lack of secondary scoring has been a persistent issue, placing additional pressure on the top line. The Wild, conversely, have showcased a balanced attack and defensive solidity. They average 2.89 goals per game while allowing 2.83, indicating a well-rounded approach. Kirill Kaprizov has been instrumental, leading the team with 23 goals and 29 assists, totaling 52 points. His dynamic playmaking abilities have been a catalyst for Minnesota’s offense.

Defensively, the Wild have been robust, with goaltender Filip Gustavsson posting impressive numbers, including a GAA of 2.58 and a save percentage of .915, along with three shutouts. The defensive unit’s ability to limit high-danger scoring chances has been a cornerstone of their success. Special teams could play a pivotal role in this matchup. The Penguins’ power play has been inconsistent, and their penalty kill ranks among the lower tier in the league. In contrast, the Wild’s power play operates at a higher efficiency, and their penalty kill has been effective, potentially giving them an edge in special teams play. Injuries may also impact the game’s dynamics. The Penguins have been dealing with absences that have tested their depth, while the Wild have managed to maintain a relatively healthy roster, contributing to their consistent performances. Historically, the Wild have had the upper hand in recent encounters, covering the spread in four of the last five meetings with the Penguins. Additionally, four of those games have gone under the total, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring affairs when these teams clash. As the game approaches, key factors to watch include the Penguins’ ability to tighten their defensive play and generate secondary scoring, and the Wild’s efforts to exploit Pittsburgh’s defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their structured approach. The outcome of this matchup could have significant implications for both teams, with the Penguins seeking to salvage their season and the Wild aiming to solidify their playoff aspirations.

Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins, a franchise with a storied history and multiple Stanley Cup championships, are enduring a challenging 2024–25 NHL season. As of March 7, 2025, the Penguins hold a record of 24–31–10, positioning them near the bottom of the Metropolitan Division and casting doubts on their playoff aspirations. This season’s struggles can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including inconsistent defensive play, goaltending challenges, and a lack of offensive depth beyond their star players. Offensively, the Penguins continue to rely heavily on their veteran core. Sidney Crosby, serving as team captain, leads the team with 66 points, comprising 19 goals and 47 assists. His playmaking abilities and leadership remain invaluable; however, the burden on Crosby has intensified due to insufficient secondary scoring. Rickard Rakell has been a bright spot, leading the team with 29 goals, showcasing his scoring touch and ability to find open spaces in the offensive zone. Despite these individual performances, the team’s overall offensive output has been middling, with a goals-for tally of 184, indicating a need for more balanced contributions across all lines. Defensively, the Penguins have encountered significant issues, allowing 237 goals against, which ranks among the highest in the league. This defensive frailty has been a critical factor in their subpar performance. Goaltending has been particularly problematic; Alex Nedeljkovic, the team’s primary netminder, has recorded 12 wins but carries a goals-against average (GAA) of 3.14 and a save percentage below .900.

These statistics reflect the broader defensive lapses and the inability to maintain structural integrity in their own zone. The defensive corps, led by veterans like Kris Letang, has struggled with injuries and inconsistency, further exacerbating the team’s challenges. The Penguins’ special teams have also been underwhelming. Their power play has lacked efficiency, often failing to capitalize on crucial opportunities, while their penalty kill has been porous, allowing opponents to exploit weaknesses and shift game momentum. These deficiencies in special teams play have contributed to the team’s inability to close out tight games and have been a focal point for coaching staff adjustments. In a recent roster move, the Penguins traded forward Anthony Beauvillier to the Washington Capitals in exchange for a second-round pick in the 2025 NHL Draft. Beauvillier, who had contributed 13 goals and seven assists in 63 games this season, was acquired by Pittsburgh in the offseason on a one-year deal. This trade signifies the organization’s recognition of the need to retool and invest in future assets, acknowledging the current season’s trajectory. As the Penguins prepare to face the Minnesota Wild on March 9, 2025, they confront a formidable opponent with a strong home record. To compete effectively, Pittsburgh must address its defensive shortcomings and seek offensive contributions from depth players. The coaching staff, led by Mike Sullivan, faces the challenge of instilling resilience and tactical discipline in a team that has struggled to find consistency. While the playoffs may be a distant prospect, the remaining games present an opportunity for the Penguins to evaluate talent, build cohesion, and lay the groundwork for a more competitive future.

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Minnesota Wild on March 9, 2025, at Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, Minnesota. The Penguins, currently holding a 24-31-10 record, aim to rebound from recent struggles, while the Wild, with a 36-23-4 record, seek to solidify their playoff positioning. Pittsburgh vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 09. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Wild NHL Preview

The Minnesota Wild, currently holding a 35-22-4 record, have demonstrated resilience and adaptability throughout the 2024–25 NHL season. Under the leadership of General Manager Bill Guerin and Head Coach John Hynes, the team has navigated various challenges, including significant injuries and financial constraints, to remain competitive in the Central Division. Offensively, the Wild have been propelled by the dynamic play of Kirill Kaprizov. Prior to a lower-body injury that sidelined him for 12 games, Kaprizov led the team with 23 goals and 29 assists, totaling 52 points in 37 games. His return on January 22 against the Utah Hockey Club provided a significant boost to the team’s offensive capabilities. Complementing Kaprizov’s contributions, Matt Boldy has emerged as a key offensive player, leading the team with 54 points, including 21 goals and 33 assists over 63 games. His consistent performance has been instrumental in maintaining the team’s scoring depth. The center position has been bolstered by Marco Rossi, who has matched Boldy’s point total with 21 goals and 31 assists in 63 games. Rossi’s playmaking abilities and defensive responsibilities have added a new dimension to the Wild’s forward group. Veteran Mats Zuccarello, despite missing time due to a ruptured testicle in November, has contributed 14 goals and 26 assists in 50 games, showcasing his resilience and importance to the team’s offensive structure.

Defensively, the Wild have faced challenges, particularly with the temporary loss of captain Jared Spurgeon to a lower-body injury. Spurgeon, averaging over 20 minutes of ice time per game, returned alongside Kaprizov on January 22, reinforcing the team’s blue line. The defensive unit has been effective in limiting high-danger scoring opportunities, contributing to the team’s overall defensive metrics. Goaltending has been a cornerstone of the Wild’s success. Filip Gustavsson has recorded 23 wins with a goals-against average (GAA) of 2.61 and a save percentage of .915 over 37 games. His performance includes four shutouts, underscoring his reliability in net. Notably, Gustavsson made history by scoring a goal in a game against the St. Louis Blues, becoming the first goaltender in franchise history to achieve this feat. Veteran goaltender Marc-André Fleury has provided valuable support, maintaining a GAA of 2.57 and a save percentage of .910 over 19 games. The Wild’s special teams have been effective, with the penalty kill unit showing significant improvement. In a 4-0 victory over the Carolina Hurricanes, the Wild successfully killed all four of Carolina’s power plays, highlighting their defensive discipline. Financially, the Wild have managed substantial salary cap constraints due to buyouts of former players Zach Parise and Ryan Suter, which accounted for 16.8% of their salary cap this season. Despite these limitations, the team has maintained a competitive roster, with expectations of increased cap flexibility in the coming seasons. As they prepare to host the Pittsburgh Penguins on March 9, 2025, the Wild aim to capitalize on their balanced offensive attack and solid defensive play. Maintaining consistency and health will be pivotal as they push toward securing a favorable playoff position in the Western Conference.

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Penguins and Wild play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Xcel Energy Center in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Merrill over 0.5 Goals Scored

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Penguins and Wild and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the growing emphasis emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Penguins team going up against a possibly unhealthy Wild team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Penguins vs Wild, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule. 

Penguins Betting Trends

The Penguins have faced challenges against the spread (ATS) recently, reflecting their inconsistent performance this season. Their struggles are evident in both home and away games, impacting their reliability for bettors.

Wild Betting Trends

The Wild have been more reliable ATS, particularly at home. Their strong home record and consistent performances have made them a favorable option for bettors.

Penguins vs. Wild Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Wild have covered the spread four times against the Penguins. Additionally, the total has gone under in four of those five games, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Minnesota starts on March 09, 2025 at 3:30 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +130, Minnesota -155
Over/Under: 6

Pittsburgh: (24-31)  |  Minnesota: (36-23)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Merrill over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Wild have covered the spread four times against the Penguins. Additionally, the total has gone under in four of those five games, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

PIT trend: The Penguins have faced challenges against the spread (ATS) recently, reflecting their inconsistent performance this season. Their struggles are evident in both home and away games, impacting their reliability for bettors.

MIN trend: The Wild have been more reliable ATS, particularly at home. Their strong home record and consistent performances have made them a favorable option for bettors.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Minnesota Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +130
MIN Moneyline: -155
PIT Spread: +1.5
MIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Pittsburgh vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+233
-265
+1.5 (+102)
-1.5 (-122)
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+104)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+178
-201
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+109)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-106
-106
-1.5 (+235)
+1.5 (-285)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-155
 
-1.5 (+158)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+109)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+167
-188
+1.5 (-163)
-1.5 (+137)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-106)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+182
-205
+1.5 (-142)
-1.5 (+122)
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+164
 
+1.5 (-163)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+104)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+138
-155
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-125
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+125
-140
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-115
+102
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-115
+102
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+106)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+178
-200
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-108)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+138
-155
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-106
-106
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Minnesota Wild on March 09, 2025 at Xcel Energy Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN