Penguins vs. Golden Knights
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 07 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On March 7, 2025, the Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The Penguins, currently 24-29-10, aim to improve their standing, while the Golden Knights, at 35-18-6, seek to maintain their strong performance in the Western Conference.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 07, 2025
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST​
Venue: T-Mobile Arena​
Golden Knights Record: (37-18)
Penguins Record: (24-30)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +208
LV Moneyline: -256
PIT Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pittsburgh Penguins have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 31-32 record. On the road, they have a slightly better ATS performance, standing at 17-14. As underdogs, the Penguins are 25-22 ATS, indicating some resilience in challenging matchups.
LV
Betting Trends
- The Vegas Golden Knights have been reliable ATS performers, holding a 35-24 record. At home, they are 19-11 ATS, reflecting consistent success at T-Mobile Arena. As favorites, the Golden Knights are 25-22 ATS, showcasing their ability to meet expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, the Golden Knights have a 5-7 record against the Penguins, winning their last encounter 3-2 on January 20, 2024.
PIT vs. LV
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hutton over 0.5 Goals Scored
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Pittsburgh vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/7/25
They average 3.32 goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record, allowing just 2.69 goals per game. Jack Eichel has been instrumental in their success, leading the team with 69 points, including 50 assists. Pavel Dorofeyev has also been impressive, leading the team with 23 goals. Special teams could play a pivotal role in this matchup. The Penguins’ power play has been inconsistent, and their penalty kill has faced challenges, which could be exploited by the Golden Knights’ efficient special teams units. Discipline and execution during these critical moments may significantly influence the game’s outcome. Goaltending will also be under scrutiny. The Penguins have experienced fluctuations in net, with Alex Nedeljkovic posting a .900 save percentage. The Golden Knights have benefited from stable goaltending, contributing to their strong defensive statistics. Given the Golden Knights’ strong home record and the Penguins’ struggles on the road, Vegas enters this game as the favorite. However, the Penguins’ resilience and the high stakes of the matchup suggest that an upset is possible. Fans can anticipate a high-intensity game as both teams vie for crucial points in their respective playoff races.
The Penguins have acquired defenseman Luke Schenn and forward Tommy Novak from @PredsNHL in exchange for Michael Bunting and a 2026 fourth-round draft pick.
— Pittsburgh Penguins (@penguins) March 6, 2025
Details: https://t.co/lW7fiPpE9i pic.twitter.com/HQZ66s2Vxs
Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Preview
The Pittsburgh Penguins have faced a challenging 2024–25 NHL season, reflected in their 24–29–10 record as of March 5, 2025. Under the leadership of head coach Mike Sullivan, the team has struggled to find consistency, impacting their position in the Eastern Conference standings. Offensively, the Penguins have averaged 2.85 goals per game, totaling 183 goals this season. Veteran center Sidney Crosby continues to be a pivotal figure, leading the team with 65 points, comprising 19 goals and 46 assists. Crosby’s playmaking abilities and leadership have been invaluable, especially during this tumultuous season. Right wing Rickard Rakell has been a significant contributor, leading the team with 28 goals and adding 20 assists, totaling 48 points. Despite these individual efforts, the team has struggled with depth scoring, with secondary lines failing to consistently produce, placing additional pressure on the top performers. Defensively, the Penguins have encountered considerable challenges, allowing 233 goals against, averaging 3.63 goals per game. This defensive frailty has been a critical factor in their subpar performance. Veteran defenseman Kris Letang has endeavored to stabilize the blue line, contributing 31 points with 4 goals and 27 assists. However, defensive lapses and turnovers have been recurrent issues, leading to high-quality scoring opportunities for opponents. The penalty kill has also been a point of concern, with the team struggling to effectively neutralize opposing power plays, further exacerbating their defensive woes. Goaltending has been an area of instability for the Penguins this season. Alex Nedeljkovic has assumed the role of the primary goaltender, recording 12 wins with a goals-against average (GAA) of 3.18 and a save percentage of .888 over 21 games. Nedeljkovic’s performances have been inconsistent, with moments of brilliance overshadowed by periods of struggle.
Backup goaltender Joel Blomqvist has also seen action, securing 3 wins with a GAA of 3.60 and a save percentage of .904 over 8 games. The lack of a reliable and consistent presence in net has been detrimental, contributing to the team’s defensive struggles. Special teams’ performance has been a mixed aspect of the Penguins’ season. The power play unit, despite the offensive talents of Crosby and Rakell, has been inconsistent, failing to capitalize on crucial opportunities. Conversely, the penalty kill has been subpar, ranking near the bottom of the league. This inefficiency has often shifted the momentum in games, undermining the team’s efforts to secure victories. Injuries have also played a role in the Penguins’ struggles. Key players have missed significant time, disrupting line combinations and affecting team chemistry. The lack of depth has been exposed during these periods, with call-ups from the AHL affiliate Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins unable to fill the void left by injured regulars. As the Penguins prepare to face the Vegas Golden Knights on March 7, 2025, they aim to address their defensive shortcomings and find a spark in their offensive game. The leadership of Crosby will be crucial in rallying the team, and a strong performance from Nedeljkovic could provide the stability needed to challenge the formidable Golden Knights. With the playoffs appearing increasingly out of reach, the Penguins are playing for pride and the opportunity to build momentum for the next season. Fans will be watching closely to see if the team can overcome adversity and finish the season on a positive note.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights have continued their impressive performance in the 2024–25 NHL season, building upon their established reputation as a formidable team since their inception in 2017. As of March 5, 2025, the Golden Knights hold a record of 37-18-6, leading the Pacific Division with 80 points. Their success is attributed to a combination of offensive prowess, defensive solidity, and effective special teams play. Offensively, the Golden Knights have been led by center Jack Eichel, who has accumulated 74 points, including 20 goals and 54 assists, over 60 games. Eichel’s playmaking abilities have been instrumental in orchestrating the team’s attack. Wingers Pavel Dorofeyev and Tomas Hertl have also been significant contributors, each netting 24 goals this season. The team’s depth is evident, with multiple players reaching double digits in goals, allowing for a balanced and unpredictable offensive strategy. Defensively, Vegas has been robust, conceding 168 goals over 61 games, averaging 2.75 goals against per game. Defensemen Brayden McNabb and Alex Pietrangelo have provided stability on the blue line, with McNabb leading the team with a +32 plus/minus rating. Goaltender Adin Hill has been reliable, recording 23 wins with a goals-against average (GAA) of 2.50 and a .906 save percentage over 37 games. Hill’s consistency has been a cornerstone of the team’s defensive success. Special teams have played a crucial role in the Golden Knights’ performance. Their power play unit has been effective, capitalizing on scoring opportunities with precision. The penalty kill has also been efficient, often neutralizing opponents’ power plays and maintaining momentum.
This proficiency in special teams has contributed significantly to their strong record. Injuries have been managed effectively by the Golden Knights. While they have faced absences of key players at times, the team’s depth has allowed them to maintain a high level of performance. The “next man up” mentality has been evident, with players stepping up to fill roles and contribute meaningfully when called upon. As the season progresses, the Golden Knights aim to maintain their position atop the Pacific Division and secure a favorable seed in the playoffs. Their balanced approach, combining offensive depth, defensive reliability, and special teams efficiency, positions them well for a deep postseason run. The leadership of experienced players and the strategic acumen of the coaching staff will be pivotal in navigating the challenges ahead. The upcoming matchup against the Pittsburgh Penguins on March 7, 2025, presents an opportunity for the Golden Knights to showcase their strengths against a team striving to improve its standing. Maintaining focus and executing their game plan will be essential for Vegas to continue their successful campaign. Fans and analysts alike will be watching to see if the Golden Knights can sustain their momentum and solidify their status as one of the league’s elite teams. In summary, the Vegas Golden Knights have demonstrated a consistent and balanced performance throughout the 2024–25 season. Their ability to integrate new talent, manage injuries, and execute in critical situations has been commendable. As they approach the final stretch of the regular season, the Golden Knights are poised to make a significant impact in the playoffs, with aspirations of capturing their second Stanley Cup in franchise history.
From the desk of @garylawless đź““https://t.co/83IkoznMHk
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) March 6, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Vegas Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Vegas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Penguins and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Penguins team going up against a possibly rested Golden Knights team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Vegas picks, computer picks Penguins vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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Penguins Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Penguins have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 31-32 record. On the road, they have a slightly better ATS performance, standing at 17-14. As underdogs, the Penguins are 25-22 ATS, indicating some resilience in challenging matchups.
Golden Knights Betting Trends
The Vegas Golden Knights have been reliable ATS performers, holding a 35-24 record. At home, they are 19-11 ATS, reflecting consistent success at T-Mobile Arena. As favorites, the Golden Knights are 25-22 ATS, showcasing their ability to meet expectations.
Penguins vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends
Historically, the Golden Knights have a 5-7 record against the Penguins, winning their last encounter 3-2 on January 20, 2024.
Pittsburgh vs. Vegas Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Vegas start on March 07, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Vegas starts on March 07, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Vegas being played?
Venue: T-Mobile Arena.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Vegas?
Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +208, Vegas -256
Over/Under: 6.5
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Vegas?
Pittsburgh: (24-30) Â |Â Vegas: (37-18)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Vegas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hutton over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Vegas trending bets?
Historically, the Golden Knights have a 5-7 record against the Penguins, winning their last encounter 3-2 on January 20, 2024.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pittsburgh Penguins have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, with a 31-32 record. On the road, they have a slightly better ATS performance, standing at 17-14. As underdogs, the Penguins are 25-22 ATS, indicating some resilience in challenging matchups.
What are Vegas trending bets?
LV trend: The Vegas Golden Knights have been reliable ATS performers, holding a 35-24 record. At home, they are 19-11 ATS, reflecting consistent success at T-Mobile Arena. As favorites, the Golden Knights are 25-22 ATS, showcasing their ability to meet expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Vegas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Vegas Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Vegas Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+208 LV Moneyline: -256
PIT Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
Pittsburgh vs Vegas Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
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–
–
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+240
-300
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+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
|
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+100)
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|
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
|
–
–
|
+172
-210
|
+1.5 (-144)
-1.5 (+118)
|
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-140)
|
|
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
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–
–
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-104
-115
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+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+210)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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|
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
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–
–
|
-170
|
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+145
-185
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+165
-210
|
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
|
–
–
|
+155
|
+1.5 (-160)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-130
|
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
|
–
–
|
+124
-148
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
|
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
|
–
–
|
+164
-198
|
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
|
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights on March 07, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |