Flames vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 06)

Updated: 2025-03-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Calgary Flames will face the Dallas Stars on March 6, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. Both teams are vying for crucial points to bolster their playoff positions, making this matchup particularly significant.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 06, 2025

Start Time: 9:00 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Stars Record: (40-19)

Flames Record: (29-23)

OPENING ODDS

CGY Moneyline: +198

DAL Moneyline: -244

CGY Spread: +1.5

DAL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6

CGY
Betting Trends

  • The Calgary Flames have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games. Over their last ten outings, they have covered the spread in only four instances, reflecting inconsistencies in their performance. This trend indicates challenges in meeting betting expectations, especially in away games.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Dallas Stars have been more reliable from an ATS perspective. They have covered the spread in six of their last ten games, showcasing a level of consistency that bettors find favorable. Their strong home record contributes to this reliability, making them a dependable choice in home matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread four times. This statistic suggests a potential advantage for the Stars in the upcoming game, given their home-ice status.

CGY vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Ceci over 0.5 Goals Scored

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Calgary vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/6/25

The upcoming matchup between the Calgary Flames and the Dallas Stars on March 6, 2025, at the American Airlines Center is set to be a pivotal encounter with significant playoff implications. Both teams have experienced contrasting seasons, and this game offers an opportunity to solidify their standings as the regular season approaches its climax. The Calgary Flames have faced a tumultuous season, marked by inconsistency and challenges in both offensive and defensive departments. With a current record standing at 25-30-5, they find themselves on the fringe of the playoff picture, necessitating a strong finish to secure a postseason berth. Their recent form has been a cause for concern, with only three wins in their last ten outings, highlighting the urgency for a turnaround. Offensively, the Flames have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging a modest 2.54 goals per game. Jonathan Huberdeau remains the team’s offensive catalyst, leading with 9 goals and 20 assists, totaling 29 points. However, the lack of secondary scoring has been a glaring issue, with other forwards failing to provide substantial support. This over-reliance on Huberdeau has made the Flames’ offense predictable and easier to defend against. Defensively, Calgary has been uncharacteristically porous, allowing an average of 2.96 goals per game. Injuries to key defensemen have exacerbated their defensive woes, leading to increased pressure on the remaining defensemen. Goaltending has also been inconsistent, with Dustin Wolf struggling to replicate his previous season’s form, reflected in a subpar save percentage. In contrast, the Dallas Stars have enjoyed a robust season, boasting a 31-15-5 record, positioning them comfortably within the playoff spots. Their recent form has been impressive, with seven victories in their last ten games, underscoring their status as one of the Western Conference’s formidable teams. The Stars’ offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 3.60 goals per game.

Jason Robertson has been instrumental, leading the team with 32 goals and 51 assists, amounting to 83 points. His chemistry with linemates has been pivotal in dismantling opposing defenses. Additionally, the emergence of young talents like Wyatt Johnston has added depth and versatility to Dallas’s attacking options. Defensively, Dallas has been resolute, conceding an average of 3.10 goals per game. The defensive corps, led by veterans, has been effective in neutralizing opposing offenses. Goaltender Jake Oettinger has been reliable between the pipes, maintaining a .905 save percentage, providing the Stars with confidence in their defensive structure. Special teams could play a decisive role in this matchup. The Flames’ power play has been underwhelming, converting at a rate below the league average, while their penalty kill has also been inconsistent. Conversely, the Stars have excelled in special teams, with a power play operating at 26.7% efficiency, ranking among the league’s best. Their penalty kill has also been formidable, effectively neutralizing opponents’ man-advantage opportunities. From a betting perspective, the Stars’ consistent performance against the spread makes them an attractive option for bettors. Their home-ice advantage, coupled with the Flames’ recent struggles, further tilts the scales in Dallas’s favor. However, the Flames’ desperation to secure playoff positioning could serve as a motivating factor, potentially leading to an unpredictable outcome. In conclusion, this matchup presents a classic scenario of a team in form hosting a team in search of answers. The Stars will aim to capitalize on their momentum and home advantage, while the Flames will be desperate to reignite their season and keep their playoff hopes alive. Fans can anticipate a high-intensity game, with both teams leaving it all on the ice in pursuit of crucial points.

Calgary Flames NHL Preview

The Calgary Flames enter the 2024-2025 NHL season with aspirations of building upon their previous campaigns and solidifying their status as a competitive force in the Western Conference. As of March 6, 2025, the Flames hold a record of 28-23-9, positioning them in a contentious battle for a playoff spot. Under the guidance of head coach Ryan Huska, the team has exhibited moments of brilliance interspersed with periods of inconsistency, making their upcoming matchup against the Dallas Stars a critical juncture in their season. Offensively, the Flames have encountered challenges in generating consistent scoring, averaging 2.65 goals per game. Jonathan Huberdeau has been a central figure in the team’s offensive efforts, leading with 22 goals and 22 assists, totaling 44 points. His ability to create opportunities and finish plays has been instrumental, yet the team has struggled to find substantial secondary scoring. Nazem Kadri, also with 44 points, has contributed 19 goals and 25 assists, but beyond these top performers, offensive production has been sporadic. This lack of depth has occasionally rendered the Flames’ attack predictable, allowing opposing defenses to focus on neutralizing their primary threats. The power play has been an area of relative success for Calgary, operating at a 21.82% conversion rate. This efficiency has provided a necessary boost in close contests, highlighting the importance of special teams in their overall strategy. However, the penalty kill has been less effective, with a success rate of 72.46%, indicating a vulnerability that opponents have exploited. Addressing this disparity is crucial for the Flames as they aim to tighten their defensive structure in critical situations. Defensively, the Flames have conceded an average of 2.93 goals per game. The defensive corps, led by MacKenzie Weegar, who has amassed 27 assists and maintains a plus-minus rating of +11, has shown resilience but has also been prone to lapses resulting in high-danger scoring opportunities for opponents. The team’s defensive metrics suggest a need for greater cohesion and consistency to alleviate the pressure on their goaltenders. Goaltending has been a bright spot for Calgary, with rookie netminder Dustin Wolf emerging as a reliable presence between the pipes. Wolf has appeared in 35 games, recording a goals-against average (GAA) of 2.60 and a save percentage (SV%) of .913, alongside 20 wins. His poise and athleticism have been pivotal in securing victories, particularly in tightly contested matchups. Dan Vladar has served as a capable backup, with a GAA of 2.98 and an SV% of .894 over 24 games, providing necessary support throughout the grueling season. The Flames have been active in the trade market, seeking to address roster imbalances and inject fresh talent into the lineup. A notable transaction occurred on January 31, 2025, when Calgary traded forwards Andrei Kuzmenko and Jakob Pelletier, along with draft picks, to the Philadelphia Flyers in exchange for Morgan Frost and Joel Farabee. This move aimed to bolster the Flames’ offensive depth, with Frost bringing 11 goals and 14 assists at the time of the trade, and Farabee offering a consistent scoring touch developed over six NHL seasons. The integration of these players into Calgary’s system is ongoing, with early indications suggesting positive contributions to the team’s dynamics. In recent games, the Flames have exhibited a mixed bag of performances. A narrow 2-1 shootout victory over the New York showcased their defensive resilience and goaltending prowess, with Wolf making critical saves to secure the win. Conversely, a 3-2 loss to the Seattle Kraken highlighted ongoing challenges in generating offense, despite a solid defensive effort. These fluctuations underscore the team’s struggle for consistency, a narrative that has defined their season thus far. As they prepare to face the Dallas Stars, the Flames must focus on enhancing their offensive strategies, particularly in five-on-five situations, to alleviate the scoring burden on their top players. Strengthening the penalty kill is imperative to prevent opponents from capitalizing on power-play opportunities. The leadership of veterans like Huberdeau and Weegar will be crucial in guiding younger players and fostering a cohesive team mentality. The matchup against the Stars presents both a challenge and an opportunity for the Flames. Dallas has been formidable this season, boasting a potent offense and a solid defensive structure. Calgary’s ability to adapt, exploit weaknesses, and maintain discipline will be key determinants in the outcome of the game. A victory could serve as a catalyst for a strong finish to the regular season, propelling the Flames into a favorable position for the playoffs. In conclusion, the Calgary Flames’ 2024-2025 season has been characterized by a blend of potential and inconsistency. The upcoming game against the Dallas Stars is a pivotal moment that could define their trajectory moving forward. By addressing their shortcomings and capitalizing on their strengths, the Flames have the opportunity to assert themselves as a formidable contender in the Western Conference.

The Calgary Flames will face the Dallas Stars on March 6, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. Both teams are vying for crucial points to bolster their playoff positions, making this matchup particularly significant. Calgary vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Mar 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars have demonstrated remarkable depth in their roster, with several players stepping up to deliver significant performances. Notably, rookie forward Logan Stankoven has been making waves with his recent contributions. In a commanding 6-2 victory over the Los Angeles Kings on March 1, 2025, Stankoven netted two goals, showcasing his scoring prowess and adaptability at the NHL level. His emergence adds a new dimension to the Stars’ offense, providing additional scoring options beyond the established stars. The defensive unit, despite the setback of losing Miro Heiskanen to a knee injury that has rendered him month-to-month, has maintained its resilience. Players like Thomas Harley have risen to the occasion, filling the void left by Heiskanen’s absence. Harley’s offensive contributions have been noteworthy; he scored the game-winning goal against the New Jersey Devils on March 5, 2025, with less than five seconds remaining, marking his third consecutive two-point game. His ability to step up in crucial moments underscores the depth and versatility of the Stars’ defense. Goaltending has been a cornerstone of Dallas’s success this season. Jake Oettinger has been stellar between the pipes, boasting a goals-against average (GAA) of 2.35 and a save percentage (SV%) of .911 over 40 games. His consistent performances have provided the team with confidence and stability, crucial for navigating the rigors of the NHL season. Backup goaltender Casey DeSmith has also been reliable, with a GAA of 2.50 and an identical SV% of .911 across 17 games, ensuring that the team remains competitive regardless of who is in net. Special teams have been a significant asset for the Stars. Their power play has been particularly potent, with Wyatt Johnston’s recent hat trick against the St. Louis Blues on March 3, 2025, all coming on the man advantage. This performance not only highlights Johnston’s scoring ability but also underscores the effectiveness of the Stars’ power play strategies. Such proficiency in special teams play often serves as a differentiator in tightly contested games. The leadership core, led by captain Jamie Benn, has been instrumental in guiding the team through the season’s challenges. Benn’s experience and presence both on and off the ice have been invaluable, especially in mentoring younger players and maintaining team cohesion. His contributions extend beyond the stat sheet, influencing the team’s culture and work ethic. As the Stars prepare to host the Calgary Flames on March 6, 2025, they aim to continue their strong home performance, where they have been particularly dominant. Maintaining their offensive momentum, solid defensive play, and effective special teams will be key focal points. The team’s depth and resilience have been tested throughout the season, and their ability to adapt and overcome adversity bodes well for their aspirations as the playoffs approach. In conclusion, the Dallas Stars have exhibited a balanced and robust performance throughout the 2024-2025 season. Their blend of veteran leadership, emerging young talent, and solid goaltending positions them as a formidable contender in the Western Conference. The upcoming matchup against the Calgary Flames presents an opportunity to further solidify their standing and continue their pursuit of postseason success.

Calgary vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Flames and Stars play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Ceci over 0.5 Goals Scored

Calgary vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Flames and Stars and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Calgary’s strength factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly rested Stars team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Calgary vs Dallas picks, computer picks Flames vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Flames Betting Trends

The Calgary Flames have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games. Over their last ten outings, they have covered the spread in only four instances, reflecting inconsistencies in their performance. This trend indicates challenges in meeting betting expectations, especially in away games.

Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars have been more reliable from an ATS perspective. They have covered the spread in six of their last ten games, showcasing a level of consistency that bettors find favorable. Their strong home record contributes to this reliability, making them a dependable choice in home matchups.

Flames vs. Stars Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread four times. This statistic suggests a potential advantage for the Stars in the upcoming game, given their home-ice status.

Calgary vs. Dallas Game Info

Calgary vs Dallas starts on March 06, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.

Venue: American Airlines Center.

Spread: Dallas -1.5
Moneyline: Calgary +198, Dallas -244
Over/Under: 6

Calgary: (29-23)  |  Dallas: (40-19)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Ceci over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head meetings, the home team has covered the spread four times. This statistic suggests a potential advantage for the Stars in the upcoming game, given their home-ice status.

CGY trend: The Calgary Flames have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games. Over their last ten outings, they have covered the spread in only four instances, reflecting inconsistencies in their performance. This trend indicates challenges in meeting betting expectations, especially in away games.

DAL trend: The Dallas Stars have been more reliable from an ATS perspective. They have covered the spread in six of their last ten games, showcasing a level of consistency that bettors find favorable. Their strong home record contributes to this reliability, making them a dependable choice in home matchups.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Calgary vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Calgary vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Calgary vs Dallas Opening Odds

CGY Moneyline: +198
DAL Moneyline: -244
CGY Spread: +1.5
DAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6

Calgary vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+130
-160
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+145)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-143
+115
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-220)
O 6 (-121)
U 6 (-104)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-136
+110
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-112)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars on March 06, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS