Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 05 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-03-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Toronto Maple Leafs will face the Vegas Golden Knights on March 5, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Both teams are performing strongly this season, making this matchup highly anticipated.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 05, 2025
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights Record: (36-18)
Maple Leafs Record: (38-20)
OPENING ODDS
TOR Moneyline: +114
LV Moneyline: -135
TOR Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
TOR
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs have been impressive against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering in four consecutive away games. Their recent road success includes a 6-5 overtime win against Pittsburgh, contributing to a 7-1 record in their last eight games overall.
LV
Betting Trends
- The Golden Knights have been reliable ATS at home, particularly against teams with strong road records. Their defensive strategies have been effective, limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, which has contributed to their favorable ATS record at T-Mobile Arena.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An intriguing aspect of this matchup is the Maple Leafs’ recent success on the road, covering the spread in four consecutive away games, contrasted with the Golden Knights’ strong home ATS performance. This dynamic sets up a compelling scenario for bettors, as both teams have been reliable in their respective contexts.
TOR vs. LV
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hutton over 0.5 Goals Scored
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Toronto vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/5/25
Conversely, the Golden Knights’ penalty kill has been among the league’s best, characterized by aggressive forechecking and shot-blocking. The battle between Toronto’s power play and Vegas’s penalty kill is expected to be a determining factor in the game’s outcome. Goaltending will also be under the spotlight. Samsonov’s consistency has been a cornerstone for Toronto, but facing the Golden Knights’ offense will be a significant test. Vegas’s netminder, Logan Thompson, has emerged as a reliable starter, showcasing quick reflexes and composure under pressure. Both goaltenders will need to be at their best to give their respective teams a chance to win. In terms of recent head-to-head matchups, the teams have exchanged victories, with the most recent encounter resulting in a 6-2 win for the Golden Knights. This history adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming game, as both teams aim to assert dominance in their season series. The coaching strategies will also be a focal point. Toronto’s coaching staff has emphasized a fast-paced, offensive-minded approach, encouraging defensemen to join the rush and create scoring chances. Vegas, meanwhile, employs a structured system that focuses on defensive responsibility and quick transitions. The contrasting styles are expected to create an exciting and unpredictable game flow. Fan engagement at T-Mobile Arena is anticipated to be at its peak, with the Golden Knights’ supporters known for creating a vibrant and intimidating atmosphere. The Maple Leafs, accustomed to playing in high-pressure environments, will need to maintain composure and focus amidst the external energy. In conclusion, the March 5 matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Vegas Golden Knights is set to be a captivating contest. Both teams possess the talent, depth, and determination to secure a victory. Key factors such as special teams’ performance, goaltending, and the ability to execute game plans will likely determine the outcome. Hockey fans can look forward to a high-intensity game that showcases the best of what the NHL has to offer.
Final@LGCanada | #LeafsForever pic.twitter.com/HOB5ePKIAe
— Toronto Maple Leafs (@MapleLeafs) March 4, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs enter their March 5, 2025, matchup against the Vegas Golden Knights with a season characterized by offensive dynamism and a steadfast pursuit of postseason success. Holding a record of 33-20-2, the Maple Leafs occupy a prominent position in the Atlantic Division, reflecting a campaign marked by high-scoring affairs and strategic adjustments. The team’s performance has been bolstered by the prolific output of their star forwards, the resilience of their defensive unit amidst injuries, and the emergence of reliable goaltending. At the forefront of Toronto’s offensive juggernaut is center Auston Matthews, who leads the team with 45 goals and 30 assists, totaling 75 points over 55 games. Matthews’ lethal scoring touch and ability to find open spaces have made him a constant threat to opposing defenses. His chemistry with winger Mitch Marner has been particularly noteworthy, as Marner leads the team in assists with 50, complementing his 20 goals. Marner’s vision and playmaking prowess have been instrumental in orchestrating the Maple Leafs’ attack, often setting up Matthews for prime scoring opportunities. William Nylander has also been a significant contributor, with 35 goals and 25 assists, showcasing his knack for timely scoring and versatility across the forward lines. Captain John Tavares provides veteran leadership and consistent offensive production, adding 22 goals and 28 assists to the team’s totals. This depth in scoring has made Toronto’s offense multifaceted and challenging to defend against. Defensively, the Maple Leafs have faced challenges due to injuries but have demonstrated resilience. The acquisition of defenseman Christopher Tanev has bolstered their blue line, providing stability and experience. Tanev’s defensive acumen and shot-blocking abilities have been valuable assets, particularly in penalty-killing situations. Morgan Rielly continues to be a cornerstone on defense, contributing offensively with his ability to join the rush and quarterback the power play. Goaltending has emerged as a strength for Toronto this season. Joseph Woll has taken on a significant role, posting a 19-11-0 record with a 2.65 goals-against average (GAA) and a .909 save percentage over 30 games. Woll’s composure and athleticism have provided the team with confidence in net. Anthony Stolarz has been an excellent backup, with an 11-5-2 record, a 2.13 GAA, and a .928 save percentage in 19 games. This tandem has been effective in maintaining consistency between the pipes. Special teams have played a pivotal role in the Maple Leafs’ success. Their power play operates at a 23.5% success rate, with Matthews and Marner leading the charge. The penalty kill has been effective as well, with a success rate of 79.4%, reflecting the team’s commitment to defensive responsibilities. Head coach Craig Berube, in his first season with Toronto, has instilled a more disciplined and structured approach. Berube’s emphasis on accountability and defensive responsibility has led to a more balanced style of play, addressing previous criticisms of the team’s defensive lapses. His experience and leadership have been instrumental in navigating the team through the challenges of the season. As the Maple Leafs prepare to face the Golden Knights, they aim to continue their strong road performance, having covered the spread in four consecutive away games. The team’s ability to adapt to different playing styles and maintain offensive pressure will be crucial against a defensively sound Vegas squad. The matchup presents an opportunity for Toronto to measure themselves against one of the Western Conference’s top teams, providing a potential preview of a postseason encounter. In conclusion, the Toronto Maple Leafs have exhibited a blend of offensive firepower, defensive resilience, and effective goaltending throughout the 2024-2025 season. Their balanced roster and strategic adjustments under Coach Berube position them as formidable contenders. The upcoming game against the Vegas Golden Knights will serve as a significant test of their capabilities, offering fans an exciting and high-stakes contest.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights have continued to build on their impressive entry into the NHL, establishing themselves as perennial contenders. As of March 5, 2025, they lead the Pacific Division, reflecting a season marked by consistent performance and strategic excellence. Central to their success is a balanced roster that combines seasoned veterans with emerging talents, all adhering to a cohesive system implemented by the coaching staff. Offensively, the Golden Knights have been propelled by the dynamic play of center Jack Eichel. Eichel leads the team with 28 goals and 35 assists, totaling 63 points over 60 games. His ability to control the game’s tempo and create scoring opportunities has been invaluable. Eichel’s chemistry with wingers Mark Stone and Jonathan Marchessault has resulted in one of the league’s most formidable lines. Stone, the team captain, has contributed 22 goals and 30 assists, while Marchessault has added 20 goals and 25 assists. This trio’s synergy has been a cornerstone of Vegas’s offensive strategy. The Golden Knights’ depth extends beyond their top line. Forwards such as Chandler Stephenson and William Karlsson have provided secondary scoring, each surpassing the 40-point mark this season. This depth ensures that opposing teams cannot focus solely on shutting down the top line, as Vegas possesses multiple offensive threats. The acquisition of veteran forward Brandon Saad has also paid dividends, with Saad contributing timely goals and bringing playoff experience to the roster. Defensively, Vegas has been anchored by the steady play of defensemen Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore. Pietrangelo’s leadership and ability to log significant minutes against top competition have been instrumental in stabilizing the blue line. Theodore’s offensive instincts complement Pietrangelo’s defensive prowess, making them a versatile pairing. The emergence of young defenseman Lukas Cormier has added depth to the defensive corps, providing the coaching staff with flexibility in matchups. Goaltending has been a position of strength for the Golden Knights. Adin Hill has assumed the starting role, boasting a 25-14-5 record with a 2.70 goals-against average (GAA) and a .908 save percentage over 46 games. Hill’s calm demeanor and ability to make key saves in high-pressure situations have earned him the trust of his teammates. Backup goaltender Logan Thompson has also been reliable, posting a 19-12-2 record with a 2.71 GAA and a .909 save percentage in 35 games. This tandem provides Vegas with confidence in their netminding, regardless of who starts. Special teams have been a focal point for the Golden Knights. Their power play operates at a 25% success rate, ranking among the league’s best. Eichel’s vision and passing ability have been central to their power play’s effectiveness, while Stone’s net-front presence has resulted in numerous deflections and rebound goals. The penalty kill has been equally impressive, with a success rate of 85%. Aggressive forechecking and the ability to disrupt opponents’ zone entries have been key components of their shorthanded strategy. Injuries have presented challenges, but the team’s depth has mitigated their impact. Defenseman Shea Theodore was sidelined with an arm injury in February but is expected to return soon. The organization’s ability to integrate players from their AHL affiliate, the Henderson Silver Knights, has ensured that the team remains competitive despite absences. This next-man-up mentality has fostered a resilient culture within the locker room. The coaching staff, led by head coach Bruce Cassidy, has emphasized a structured system that prioritizes puck possession and defensive responsibility. Cassidy’s ability to adapt strategies based on opponents has been evident, as the team has successfully neutralized various playing styles throughout the season. His emphasis on accountability and attention to detail has resonated with the players, resulting in a disciplined and cohesive unit. As the Golden Knights prepare to host the Toronto Maple Leafs on March 5, 2025, they aim to leverage their home-ice advantage, where they have posted a 17-4-0 record. The team’s ability to dictate play at T-Mobile Arena has been a significant factor in their success. The matchup against Toronto presents an opportunity to measure themselves against one of the Eastern Conference’s elite teams, providing a potential preview of a postseason encounter. In conclusion, the Vegas Golden Knights have demonstrated a blend of skill, depth, and strategic acumen throughout the 2024-2025 season. Their balanced roster, effective special teams, and strong goaltending position them as formidable contenders. The upcoming game against the Maple Leafs will serve as a litmus test for their readiness as the playoffs approach, offering fans an exciting and high-stakes contest.
Pav and Petro have MOVES 🚪⛽️ pic.twitter.com/z5u031KDRw
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) March 4, 2025
Toronto vs. Vegas Prop Picks (AI)
Toronto vs. Vegas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Maple Leafs team going up against a possibly rested Golden Knights team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Toronto vs Vegas picks, computer picks Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Maple Leafs Betting Trends
The Maple Leafs have been impressive against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering in four consecutive away games. Their recent road success includes a 6-5 overtime win against Pittsburgh, contributing to a 7-1 record in their last eight games overall.
Golden Knights Betting Trends
The Golden Knights have been reliable ATS at home, particularly against teams with strong road records. Their defensive strategies have been effective, limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, which has contributed to their favorable ATS record at T-Mobile Arena.
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends
An intriguing aspect of this matchup is the Maple Leafs’ recent success on the road, covering the spread in four consecutive away games, contrasted with the Golden Knights’ strong home ATS performance. This dynamic sets up a compelling scenario for bettors, as both teams have been reliable in their respective contexts.
Toronto vs. Vegas Game Info
What time does Toronto vs Vegas start on March 05, 2025?
Toronto vs Vegas starts on March 05, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST.
Where is Toronto vs Vegas being played?
Venue: T-Mobile Arena.
What are the opening odds for Toronto vs Vegas?
Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: Toronto +114, Vegas -135
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Toronto vs Vegas?
Toronto: (38-20) | Vegas: (36-18)
What is the AI best bet for Toronto vs Vegas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hutton over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Toronto vs Vegas trending bets?
An intriguing aspect of this matchup is the Maple Leafs’ recent success on the road, covering the spread in four consecutive away games, contrasted with the Golden Knights’ strong home ATS performance. This dynamic sets up a compelling scenario for bettors, as both teams have been reliable in their respective contexts.
What are Toronto trending bets?
TOR trend: The Maple Leafs have been impressive against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering in four consecutive away games. Their recent road success includes a 6-5 overtime win against Pittsburgh, contributing to a 7-1 record in their last eight games overall.
What are Vegas trending bets?
LV trend: The Golden Knights have been reliable ATS at home, particularly against teams with strong road records. Their defensive strategies have been effective, limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, which has contributed to their favorable ATS record at T-Mobile Arena.
Where can I find AI Picks for Toronto vs Vegas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Toronto vs. Vegas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Toronto vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Toronto vs Vegas Opening Odds
TOR Moneyline:
+114 LV Moneyline: -135
TOR Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Toronto vs Vegas Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+1.5 (+115)
-1.5 (-135)
|
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
|
–
–
|
+170
-210
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+120)
|
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-140)
|
|
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-275)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
|
–
–
|
-170
|
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+145
-185
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
|
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
|
–
–
|
+165
-210
|
+1.5 (-140)
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 6.5 (+105)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
|
–
–
|
+155
|
+1.5 (-160)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
|
–
–
|
+138
-155
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-125
|
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
|
–
–
|
+125
-140
|
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
|
–
–
|
-115
+102
|
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
|
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-128)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
|
–
–
|
-115
+102
|
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
|
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (+106)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
|
–
–
|
+178
-200
|
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
|
O 5.5 (-108)
U 5.5 (-108)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
|
–
–
|
+138
-155
|
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
|
–
–
|
-106
-106
|
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
|
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-101)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights on March 05, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |