Buffalo Bills
Buffalo enters Monday night at 6-1 with a 5-2 ATS mark, while Minnesota is also 6-1 but just 1-2 ATS at home. Quarterback health and the Vikings run defense could swing a close contest.
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | BUF -3 MIN +3 | BUF -174 MIN +146 | O 46.5 U 46.5 |
| DraftKings | BUF -3.5 MIN +3.5 | BUF -175 MIN +145 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| BetMGM | BUF -3.5 MIN +3.5 | BUF -190 MIN +155 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| BetRivers | BUF -3 MIN +3 | BUF -180 MIN +145 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| Fanatics | BUF -3.5 MIN +3.5 | BUF -175 MIN +145 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| Bovada | BUF -3 MIN +3 | BUF -183 MIN +158 | O 45 U 45 |
| BetOnline.ag | BUF -3 MIN +3 | BUF -180 MIN +157 | O 46 U 46 |
| LowVig.ag | BUF -3 MIN +3 | BUF -180 MIN +157 | O 46 U 46 |
| MyBookie.ag | BUF -3 MIN +3 | BUF -182 MIN +148 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| BetUS | BUF -3 MIN +3 | BUF -180 MIN +155 | O 46 U 46 |
| Caesars | BUF -3.5 MIN +3.5 | BUF -176 MIN +149 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
Injury Report
Minnesota coach Kevin O'Connell reported on November 2 that quarterback Kyler Murray was experiencing hamstring soreness, tackle Christian Darrisaw had shoulder soreness, and safety Theo Jackson had suffered a quad injury. Evaluations were ongoing, so none should be described as definitively ruled out for November 9. Murray's mobility and Darrisaw's availability could affect pass protection and offensive design. Buffalo's eventual official Week 9 practice designations also require checking closer to kickoff; this analysis does not presume any unconfirmed absence.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Buffalo has the clearer recent offensive momentum after producing 426 total yards against Baltimore, including 146 on the ground. Minnesota conceded 230 rushing yards to Detroit in its latest outing. That comparison suggests a potential advantage for the Bills rushing attack, though Minnesota has won all three of its home games outright.
3 Things to Watch
- Buffalo 146 rushing yards against Baltimore
- Minnesota allowed 230 rushing yards in Detroit
- Murray hamstring evaluation before Monday night
Betting Breakdown
The Buffalo Bills visit the Minnesota Vikings on Monday, November 9, in a matchup between two 6-1 teams that has meaningful implications for how bettors evaluate recent form. Buffalo rolled past Baltimore 36-10 on November 1, generating 426 total yards and holding the Ravens to 144. Josh Allen threw for 289 yards and two scores while adding a rushing touchdown. The Bills are 5-2 ATS overall, including 2-1 ATS on the road. Minnesota suffered its first defeat in Detroit, falling 19-15 after allowing 230 rushing yards. The Vikings nevertheless remain unbeaten in three home games, although their home ATS record is only 1-2. Minnesota quarterback Kyler Murray finished the Detroit game with 210 passing yards and two touchdown passes, but the coaching staff subsequently disclosed hamstring soreness. Monitoring his practice workload is important because his ability to extend plays may influence the offense. Buffalo's rushing efficiency and Minnesota's response to its latest defensive performance are key variables. With both teams carrying winning records, recent coverage trends provide context rather than an automatic wager.
Buffalo Betting Outlook
Buffalo brings a 6-1 record and a 4-1 mark across its last five completed games to Minneapolis. Its 36-10 win over Baltimore featured 24 first downs, 426 total yards and a defense that held the Ravens to 10 points. Josh Allen passed for 289 yards and two touchdowns and also scored on the ground. Across seven games he has thrown for 1,793 yards and 11 touchdowns. Buffalo is 5-2 ATS for the season and 2-1 ATS away from home, with a 3-0 straight-up road record. Its main challenge is sustaining balanced production against a Minnesota club that has not lost at home.
Minnesota Betting Outlook
Minnesota also stands at 6-1, including a 4-1 record over its last five games and a 3-0 straight-up mark at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Vikings lost 19-15 at Detroit on November 1 after previously defeating Indianapolis 16-10. Against the Lions, Minnesota recorded 266 total yards and surrendered 230 rushing yards. Kyler Murray threw for 210 yards and two touchdowns but later reported hamstring soreness, making his practice participation worth monitoring. The Vikings are 4-3 ATS overall, yet only 1-2 ATS at home. Their challenge is to slow Buffalo's multifaceted offense while avoiding the rushing-defense problems that appeared against Detroit.
Latest Team Buzz
BILLS WIN!!!!!! @MandT_Bank | #BALvsBUF https://t.co/4Jm3YPk4V0
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) November 1, 2026
.@TheAthletic takes a look at NFL trade targets with the deadline one week away. 📰: https://t.co/HhDO8mY1hC https://t.co/M1fqsPk2CI
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) November 3, 2026
Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings FAQ
What is the current spread for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
The current home spread is MIN +3.5, while the away spread is BUF -3.5.
How far has the spread moved for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
The spread opened at MIN +3 and is now MIN +3.5.
What is the current moneyline for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
The current moneyline is BUF -175 / MIN +145.
How far has the moneyline moved for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
The moneyline opened at BUF -155 / MIN +130 and is now BUF -175 / MIN +145.
What is the current total for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
The current total is 45.5.
How far has the total moved for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
The total opened at 48.5 and is now 45.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Is the total rising for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Where to watch Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
You can watch this game on ESPN. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
You can stream this game on ESPN Unlimited.
What is the best free prop bet for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
Aaron Jones Over 31.5 Rushing Yards
What is the biggest matchup edge for Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings?
Buffalo has the clearer recent offensive momentum after producing 426 total yards against Baltimore, including 146 on the ground. Minnesota conceded 230 rushing yards to Detroit in its latest outing. That comparison suggests a potential advantage for the Bills rushing attack, though Minnesota has won all three of its home games outright.
NFL Past Picks
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