Away Team
Record 3-2
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 3-2-0 ATS
Road 1-1 road
Standings
NFL Game Preview
Schedule
Kickoff Countdown
6d 08:11:43
Start Time 1:00 PM EST
Date October 18, 2026
Venue Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Where To Watch FOX
Where To Stream FOX One
Season Series Season series tied 0-0.

Chicago enters off a 31-7 divisional loss with Caleb Williams' hamstring status unsettled, while Atlanta must reassess Michael Penix Jr. after a late rib injury. Quarterback availability could reshape the Week 6 spread.

Home Team
Record 2-3
Last 5 2-3 last five
ATS 2-3-0 ATS
Home 0-2 home
Analysis Updated: 2:08 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 2:07 AM ET
Odds Updated: 4:34 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
ATL +3
Open: ATL +3
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/12 4:34 AM ET
Moneyline
ATL +142
Open: ATL +140
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/12 4:34 AM ET
Total
47.5
Open: 47.5
Total Steady

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/12 4:34 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Remi's Still Searching
Bijan Robinson Over 69.5 rushing yards has cleared in all five games this season. Bijan Robinson Over 69.5 rushing yards targets Chicago's 4.4 yards allowed per opponent carry. Bijan Robinson Over 69.5 rushing yards benefits from his lead-back role amid Atlanta's quarterback concerns.

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Odds Comparison Center

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Best Home Spread
FanDuel | ATL +3.5
Best Home Moneyline
FanDuel | ATL +160
Best Over Line
FanDuel | 47.5
Best Away Spread
DraftKings | CHI -3
Best Away Moneyline
DraftKings | CHI -170
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 47.5
Updated 4:34 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelCHI -3.5
ATL +3.5
CHI -190
ATL +160
O 47.5
U 47.5
DraftKingsCHI -3
ATL +3
CHI -170
ATL +142
O 47.5
U 47.5
BetMGMCHI -3.5
ATL +3.5
CHI -185
ATL +150
O 47.5
U 47.5
BetRiversCHI -3
ATL +3
CHI -175
ATL +140
O 47.5
U 47.5
MyBookie.agCHI -3
ATL +3
CHI -187
ATL +144
O 47.5
U 47.5

Injury Report

Chicago quarterback Caleb Williams missed Week 5 with a hamstring injury but returned to limited practice late in the week, leaving his Week 6 availability unresolved. Linebacker T.J. Edwards, cornerback Tyrique Stevenson and defensive lineman Dayo Odeyingbo sustained injuries against Green Bay. Atlanta quarterback Michael Penix Jr. left the Baltimore loss late with a rib injury and did not return; Tua Tagovailoa replaced him. Both starting quarterback situations require updated practice reports before kickoff.

Key Players

Chicago
D'Andre Swift
Swift has 354 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns through five games.
Atlanta
Bijan Robinson
Robinson ran for 86 yards on 17 carries against Baltimore after consecutive 100-yard games.

Key Matchup Edge

Atlanta's ground game provides the clearer offensive anchor: Robinson has exceeded 70 rushing yards in all five games, and Chicago has conceded 4.4 yards per opponent carry. A reduced passing threat if Penix is limited could mean more work for Robinson, although a Bears lead would complicate the rushing volume case.

3 Things to Watch

  • Caleb Williams' hamstring and practice workload
  • Michael Penix Jr. rib injury updates
  • Bijan Robinson against Chicago's run defense

Betting Breakdown

Chicago heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 3-2 after Green Bay routed the Bears 31-7, ending a two-game winning streak. The 2-3 Falcons also need a reset following a 30-23 overtime loss to Baltimore. Their respective quarterback questions dominate the handicap. Caleb Williams missed Chicago's latest contest with a hamstring injury, and the Tyson Bagent-led offense managed only seven points. Michael Penix Jr. then exited Atlanta's Sunday night game with a rib injury, forcing Tua Tagovailoa into late action. Early betting screens have shown Chicago favored by roughly 1.5 to 3 points, with totals around 47.5 to 48.5, but either quarterback update could change the price. Chicago is 3-2 against the spread after failing to cover at Green Bay, while Atlanta is 2-3 ATS and winless in two home games. The matchup hinges on Atlanta's explosive ground attack versus Chicago's ability to tackle and maintain gap discipline. Bijan Robinson has rushed for at least 72 yards in every outing and followed 194 and 145-yard efforts with 86 against Baltimore. Monitor final injury designations and the closing number rather than assuming either team's recent blowout reflects its full offensive ceiling.

Chicago Betting Outlook

The Bears are 3-2 overall and 3-2 ATS, but the 31-7 loss at Green Bay highlighted how narrow the offense can become without Caleb Williams. Tyson Bagent and Case Keenum combined for three interceptions, while D'Andre Swift supplied Chicago's lone touchdown. Swift has 354 rushing yards and four scores on the season, giving the Bears a usable rushing foundation even when the passing game stalls. Chicago is 1-1 away from home, including an opening 59-37 win at Carolina and the heavy defeat to the Packers. Williams' practice progression is essential to any spread position, and injuries in the linebacking corps and secondary could complicate defending Atlanta's skill players.

Atlanta Betting Outlook

Atlanta enters Week 6 at 2-3 overall and 2-3 ATS after letting Baltimore escape with a 30-23 overtime victory. The Falcons have scored 35, 45 and 23 points in their last three games, but neither of their home contests has produced a win. Bijan Robinson remains their most consistent weapon, with 194 rushing yards at Green Bay, 145 at New Orleans and 86 against the Ravens. Drake London also generated 118 receiving yards in the Baltimore loss. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. departed that game with a rib injury, making the next health update particularly important. Atlanta's running game can control tempo, but protecting the ball and sustaining drives will decide whether home underdog value exists.

Latest Team Buzz

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons FAQ

What is the current spread for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The current home spread is ATL +3, while the away spread is CHI -3.

How far has the spread moved for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The spread opened at ATL +3 and is now ATL +3.

What is the current moneyline for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The current moneyline is CHI -170 / ATL +142.

How far has the moneyline moved for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The moneyline opened at CHI -166 / ATL +140 and is now CHI -170 / ATL +142.

What is the current total for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The current total is 47.5.

How far has the total moved for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

The total opened at 47.5 and is now 47.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Is the total rising for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Where to watch Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

You can watch this game on FOX. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

You can stream this game on FOX One.

What is the best free prop bet for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Remi's Still Searching

What is the biggest matchup edge for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta's ground game provides the clearer offensive anchor: Robinson has exceeded 70 rushing yards in all five games, and Chicago has conceded 4.4 yards per opponent carry. A reduced passing threat if Penix is limited could mean more work for Robinson, although a Bears lead would complicate the rushing volume case.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons
Game Date October 18, 2026
Venue Mercedes-Benz Stadium
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI NFL PAST PICKS

25-26 49.0% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
NYJ@DET
DET -6.5
57.2%
7
WIN
CAR@ATL
CAR -2
57.1%
7
WIN
CLE@TB
UNDER 41.5
56.0%
6
LOSS
CLE@JAC
UNDER 40.5
56.7%
6
LOSS
DAL@NYG
DAK PRESCOTT UNDER 0.5 INTERCEPTIONS
56.4%
6
LOSS
SF@LAR
BLAKE CORUM OVER 0.5 RECEPTIONS
56.2%
6
LOSS
SEA@NE
AJ BARNER UNDER 2.5 RECEPTIONS
53.8%
3
LOSS
SEA@NE
STEFON DIGGS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS
57.5%
7
LOSS
SEA@NE
SAM DARNOLD OVER 2.5 CARRIES
54.2%
4
LOSS
SEA@NE
DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT
55.5%
5
WIN
LAR@SEA
SAM DARNOLD TO THROW AN INT
55.9%
5
LOSS
NE@DEN
DRAKE MAYE OVER 29.5 PASS ATT
54.3%
4
LOSS
NE@DEN
DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT
55.4%
5
LOSS
NE@DEN
DEN +4
55.0%
4
WIN
HOU@NE
HOU +3.5
56.0%
6
LOSS
HOU@NE
DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT
55.1%
5
WIN
LAR@CHI
KYREN WILLIAMS OVER 59.5 RUSH YDS
55.5%
5
WIN
SF@SEA
JAUAN JENNINGS OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS
56.8%
6
LOSS
BUF@DEN
BO NIX OVER 243.5 PASS + RUSH YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
SF@SEA
SF +7
56.8%
6
LOSS
HOU@PIT
UNDER 38.5
53.4%
2
WIN
HOU@PIT
AARON RODGERS UNDER 21.5 PASS COMP
54.5%
4
WIN
LAC@NE
DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT THROWN
56.1%
6
WIN
BUF@JAC
TRAVIS ETIENNE UNDER 81.5 RUSH + RECV YDS
54.2%
4
LOSS
SF@PHI
SF +6.5
54.7%
4
WIN
LAC@NE
LAC +3.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
LAR@CAR
MATTHEW STAFFORD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT
53.5%
3
LOSS
GB@CHI
CALEB WILLIAMS UNDER 0.5 INT THROWN
55.1%
5
LOSS
BAL@PIT
DERRICK HENRY OVER 99.5 RUSH + REC YDS
55.9%
5
WIN
DET@CHI
JAHMYR GIBBS ANYTIME TD
56.8%
6
WIN
IND@HOU
CJ STROUD OVER 221.5 PASS + RUSH YDS
55.4%
5
LOSS
TEN@JAC
JAC -13.5
56.3%
6
WIN
CLE@CIN
CIN -7.5
53.8%
3
LOSS
DAL@NYG
OVER 49.5
54.6%
4
WIN
CAR@TB
BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT
55.2%
5
LOSS
SEA@SF
KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 11.5 RUSH ATT
55.3%
5
LOSS
CAR@TB
BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 0.5 INT
54.1%
4
WIN
SEA@SF
CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS
56.7%
6
WIN
LAR@ATL
KYLE PITS OVER 54.5 RECV YDS
55.7%
5
LOSS
LAR@ATL
BIJAN ROBINSON UNDER 44.5 RECV YDS
54.3%
4
WIN
CHI@SF
CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 224.5 PASS YDS
54.1%
4
WIN
JAC@IND
MICHAEL PITTMAN OVER 49.5 RECV YDS
55.2%
5
LOSS
PIT@CLE
CLE +4.5
56.9%
6
WIN
ARI@CIN
CIN -7
58.8%
8
WIN
TB@MIA
TB -4.5
55.2%
5
LOSS
NYG@LV
NYG -2
54.3%
4
WIN
NE@NYJ
NE -13.5
53.9%
3
WIN
NO@TEN
NO -1
56.0%
5
WIN
NYG@LV
UNDER 41.5
53.7%
3
LOSS
HOU@LAC
CJ STROUD OVER 0.5 INT
55.5%
5
WIN
DAL@WAS
DAL -8.5
54.1%
4
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.