Away Team
Record 1-1
Last 5 2-3 last five
ATS 0-2-0 ATS
Road 0-1 road
Standings
NFL Game Preview
Schedule
Start Time 4:25 PM EST
Date October 11, 2026
Venue State Farm Stadium
Where To Watch FOX
Where To Stream FOX One
Season Series First meeting this season.

Detroit heads to Glendale laying 8.5 after starting 0-2 ATS, while Arizona has already been held to seven points once. The biggest tension is Detroit's explosive passing game against a Cardinals secondary carrying multiple injury concerns.

Home Team
Record 1-1
Last 5 1-4 last five
ATS 1-1-0 ATS
Home 0-1 home
Analysis Updated: 11:49 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 11:48 AM ET
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Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
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McBride Over 5.5 receptions: he has eight or more catches in both 2026 games. McBride Over 5.5 receptions: Detroit has allowed 93.5 receiving yards per game to tight ends. McBride Over 5.5 receptions: Arizona's expected catch-up script should preserve his high target volume.

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Injury Report

Detroit's secondary remains the biggest health variable: Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph are on PUP and first become eligible to return in Week 5, while Avonte Maddox is out for the season. Ben Bartch and Thomas Harper are out for Week 3. Arizona placed corner Will Johnson on injured reserve, while Max Melton is questionable with a toe issue and Dadrion Taylor-Demerson is out this week with a back injury. Those absences raise passing-game volatility.

Key Players

Detroit
Amon-Ra St. Brown
19 catches, 209 yards and four touchdowns through two games.
Arizona
Trey McBride
17 catches, 136 yards and two touchdowns through two games.

Key Matchup Edge

Detroit's cleanest edge is its high-efficiency passing game against an Arizona secondary already missing Will Johnson and managing other defensive-back injuries. Jared Goff has six touchdowns without an interception, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored four times. If protection holds, Detroit can stress Arizona underneath and vertically before the Cardinals' pass rush controls the down.

3 Things to Watch

  • Arizona's battered secondary rotation
  • Detroit protection against Josh Sweat
  • McBride targets against thin safeties

Betting Breakdown

Detroit enters this Week 5 road matchup as an 8.5-point favorite with the total at 48.5, but the early-season profile is more complicated than the spread suggests. The Lions are 1-1 straight up and 0-2 ATS, pairing a top-four scoring offense through two games with a defense that has allowed 35.5 points per game. Jared Goff has thrown six touchdowns without an interception, and Amon-Ra St. Brown has 209 yards and four scores, giving Detroit a direct path to exploit Arizona's thinned secondary. Arizona is also 1-1, but its offense has produced only 16.5 points and 272 yards per game while going under in both contests. The Cardinals' best counter is Trey McBride, who has 17 catches and two touchdowns and draws a Detroit defense that has been vulnerable through the air. Detroit's 0-2 ATS start and Arizona's home underdog role keep the number from being automatic, while the secondary injuries on both sides create late-game volatility.

Detroit Betting Outlook

Detroit's offense has looked far more trustworthy than its defensive side. Goff is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 533 yards, six touchdowns and no interceptions, while St. Brown has already reached four receiving scores. Jahmyr Gibbs adds 208 rushing yards and 91 receiving yards, keeping the Lions balanced when defenses sell out against the pass. The betting concern is the 0-2 ATS start: Detroit failed to cover both as a 7.5-point home favorite and a 4.5-point road underdog. Laying more than a touchdown in Arizona therefore requires the offense to create separation and the defense to avoid another high-volume passing day.

Arizona Betting Outlook

Arizona's 1-1 record masks a sizable offensive swing: the Cardinals scored 26 in their opener, then managed seven against Seattle. Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 372 yards with two touchdowns and one interception, while McBride remains the most stable target with 17 receptions for 136 yards and two scores. Arizona is 1-1 ATS and 0-2 to the total, and its Week 1 cover came as a 9.5-point road underdog. The home path is to shorten the game, keep Brissett out of obvious passing downs, and feed McBride against Detroit's depleted safety group. The risk is Arizona's injured secondary facing a Detroit offense already averaging 31 points per game.

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Where to watch Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals?

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What is the biggest matchup edge for Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals?

Detroit's cleanest edge is its high-efficiency passing game against an Arizona secondary already missing Will Johnson and managing other defensive-back injuries. Jared Goff has six touchdowns without an interception, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored four times. If protection holds, Detroit can stress Arizona underneath and vertically before the Cardinals' pass rush controls the down.

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NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals
Game Date October 11, 2026
Venue State Farm Stadium
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI NFL PAST PICKS

29-22 56.9% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
HOU@NE
DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT
55.1%
5
WIN
LAR@CHI
KYREN WILLIAMS OVER 59.5 RUSH YDS
55.5%
5
WIN
SF@SEA
JAUAN JENNINGS OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS
56.8%
6
LOSS
BUF@DEN
BO NIX OVER 243.5 PASS + RUSH YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
SF@SEA
SF +7
56.8%
6
LOSS
HOU@PIT
UNDER 38.5
53.4%
2
WIN
HOU@PIT
AARON RODGERS UNDER 21.5 PASS COMP
54.5%
4
WIN
LAC@NE
DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT THROWN
56.1%
6
WIN
BUF@JAC
TRAVIS ETIENNE UNDER 81.5 RUSH + RECV YDS
54.2%
4
LOSS
SF@PHI
SF +6.5
54.7%
4
WIN
LAC@NE
LAC +3.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
LAR@CAR
MATTHEW STAFFORD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT
53.5%
3
LOSS
GB@CHI
CALEB WILLIAMS UNDER 0.5 INT THROWN
55.1%
5
LOSS
BAL@PIT
DERRICK HENRY OVER 99.5 RUSH + REC YDS
55.9%
5
WIN
DET@CHI
JAHMYR GIBBS ANYTIME TD
56.8%
6
WIN
IND@HOU
CJ STROUD OVER 221.5 PASS + RUSH YDS
55.4%
5
LOSS
TEN@JAC
JAC -13.5
56.3%
6
WIN
CLE@CIN
CIN -7.5
53.8%
3
LOSS
DAL@NYG
OVER 49.5
54.6%
4
WIN
CAR@TB
BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT
55.2%
5
LOSS
SEA@SF
KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 11.5 RUSH ATT
55.3%
5
LOSS
CAR@TB
BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 0.5 INT
54.1%
4
WIN
SEA@SF
CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS
56.7%
6
WIN
LAR@ATL
KYLE PITS OVER 54.5 RECV YDS
55.7%
5
LOSS
LAR@ATL
BIJAN ROBINSON UNDER 44.5 RECV YDS
54.3%
4
WIN
CHI@SF
CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 224.5 PASS YDS
54.1%
4
WIN
JAC@IND
MICHAEL PITTMAN OVER 49.5 RECV YDS
55.2%
5
LOSS
PIT@CLE
CLE +4.5
56.9%
6
WIN
ARI@CIN
CIN -7
58.8%
8
WIN
TB@MIA
TB -4.5
55.2%
5
LOSS
NYG@LV
NYG -2
54.3%
4
WIN
NE@NYJ
NE -13.5
53.9%
3
WIN
NO@TEN
NO -1
56.0%
5
WIN
NYG@LV
UNDER 41.5
53.7%
3
LOSS
HOU@LAC
CJ STROUD OVER 0.5 INT
55.5%
5
WIN
DAL@WAS
DAL -8.5
54.1%
4
LOSS
DEN@KC
RJ HARVEY ANYTIME TD
54.4%
4
WIN
DAL@WAS
TERRY MCLAURIN ANYTIME TD
53.9%
3
LOSS
SF@IND
BROCK PURDY OVER 0.5 INT
55.2%
5
WIN
SF@IND
MICHAEL PITTMAN JR OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS
54.2%
4
WIN
SF@IND
SF -4.5
56.8%
6
WIN
LV@HOU
NICO COLLINS ANYTIME TD
56.3%
6
LOSS
LAC@DAL
JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 82.5 RUSH + RECV YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
JAC@DEN
TREVOR LAWRENCE UNDER 251.5 PASS + RUSH YDS
57.4%
7
LOSS
LV@HOU
HOU -14
54.6%
4
LOSS
BUF@CLE
CLE +10.5
54.9%
4
WIN
MIN@NYG
MIN -2.5
56.3%
6
WIN
TB@CAR
TB -3
53.1%
3
LOSS
JAC@DEN
DEN -3.5
53.6%
3
LOSS
KC@TEN
KC -2.5
54.6%
4
LOSS
NE@BAL
NE +3.5
56.4%
6
WIN
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.