Jacksonville is laying just 1.5 at EverBank Stadium, putting its 2025 home strength against New England's perfect 8-0 road mark. The matchup hinges on whether the Jaguars' pass rush can disrupt Drake Maye without overcommitting.
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | NE +1.5 JAC -1.5 | NE -102 JAC -118 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| BetUS | NE +1.5 JAC -1.5 | — | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| Caesars | NE +1.5 JAC -1.5 | NE +100 JAC -131 | O 46.5 U 46.5 |
Injury Report
New England will be without edge Harold Landry III through at least Week 4 after opening the season on PUP, while tackle Marcus Bryant is on injured reserve with a return designation. Jacksonville placed guard Patrick Mekari on injured reserve with a return designation, but Cole Van Lanen was activated from PUP. Those absences put pass-rush depth and Jacksonville's offensive-line continuity squarely in focus.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
New England's clearest edge is quarterback efficiency paired with proven road performance. Maye averaged 258.5 passing yards in 2025 and the Patriots went 8-0 away from Foxborough. Jacksonville counters with a defense that intercepted 22 passes, so Maye's protection and ball security are central to covering as a small road underdog.
3 Things to Watch
- Maye versus Jacksonville's turnover-heavy secondary
- Jacksonville's reshuffled offensive line
- Fourth-quarter execution near a pick'em spread
Betting Breakdown
New England and Jacksonville meet in Week 3 with the market treating them as near equals, a fair reflection of how strong both were in 2025. The Patriots finished 14-3, went 8-0 on the road and posted a 12-5 regular-season ATS record behind Drake Maye's 4,394 passing yards, 31 touchdowns and league-leading 113.5 passer rating. Jacksonville answered with a 13-4 record, a 7-2 home mark and its own 12-5 ATS finish, closing the regular season on an eight-game winning streak. The Jaguars' defense created 31 takeaways, including 22 interceptions, which makes Maye's decision-making the central matchup lever. Jacksonville's protection is the other major variable, with guard Patrick Mekari on injured reserve and edge depth also affected on New England's side by Harold Landry III opening the season on PUP. With Jacksonville favored by only 1.5 and totals around the mid-40s, this profiles as a possession-by-possession game where turnovers, pressure rate and red-zone efficiency should decide the ticket.
New England Betting Outlook
New England's betting case starts with Maye and a road profile that was unmatched in the 2025 regular season. The Patriots went 8-0 away from Foxborough and 12-5 ATS overall while Maye completed 72.0% of his throws for 4,394 yards and 31 touchdowns. His challenge here is Jacksonville's takeaway production, especially a secondary that intercepted 22 passes last season. The Patriots also enter 2026 without Harold Landry III for at least the first four games, reducing defensive edge depth. Getting 1.5 points is attractive if New England protects Maye, stays ahead of the chains and avoids giving Jacksonville short fields.
Jacksonville Betting Outlook
Jacksonville's home case is built on a 13-4 breakthrough season, a 7-2 record at EverBank Stadium and a 12-5 ATS regular-season finish. Lawrence threw for 4,007 yards and 29 touchdowns, then added nine rushing scores to give the offense another red-zone dimension. The defense's 22 interceptions can punish a quarterback forced into long-yardage throws, which is the best path to separating from New England in a near pick'em game. The concern is the offensive line: Patrick Mekari is on injured reserve, while Cole Van Lanen only recently returned from PUP. If protection holds, Jacksonville has enough balance to justify the small home favorite role.
Latest Team Buzz
Did someone say GAME WEEK ⁉️ pic.twitter.com/V1glBLNDT2
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) August 10, 2026
Strange things are afoot 😳
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) August 9, 2026
@BrentonStrange | @Dream_Finders pic.twitter.com/wPuEl92lm7
New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars FAQ
What is the current spread for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The current home spread is JAC -1.5, while the away spread is NE +1.5.
How far has the spread moved for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The spread opened at JAC -1.5 and is now JAC -1.5.
What is the current moneyline for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The current moneyline is NE -102 / JAC -118.
How far has the moneyline moved for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The moneyline opened at NE -102 / JAC -118 and is now NE -102 / JAC -118.
What is the current total for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The current total is 45.5.
How far has the total moved for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The total opened at 45.5 and is now 45.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the market taking the favorite in New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the total dropping for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
You can watch this game on CBS. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
You can stream this game on Paramount+.
What is the best free prop bet for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
New England's clearest edge is quarterback efficiency paired with proven road performance. Maye averaged 258.5 passing yards in 2025 and the Patriots went 8-0 away from Foxborough. Jacksonville counters with a defense that intercepted 22 passes, so Maye's protection and ball security are central to covering as a small road underdog.
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