Two defending AFC division champions meet in Jacksonville with an early line near pick'em territory. New England brings a perfect 2025 road record, while the Jaguars counter with strong home form and a roster built to pressure Drake Maye.
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
Total Movement
Best Free Prop Pick
This page gives you one free prop. Upgrade for premium sides, totals, more props, and the full daily AI board.
Unlock Premium AI PicksOdds Comparison Center
Shop for the best lines in one place.
| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | NE +1.5 JAC -1.5 | NE -102 JAC -118 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| BetUS | NE +1.5 JAC -1.5 | — | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| Caesars | NE +1.5 JAC -1.5 | NE +100 JAC -131 | O 46.5 U 46.5 |
Injury Report
No official Week 3 injury report is available yet. New England entered August with edge Harold Landry III on PUP and Christian Barmore missing recent practice time. Jacksonville's more immediate concern is offensive-line continuity: Cole Van Lanen opened camp on PUP, while Walker Little, Chuma Edoga and Patrick Mekari have also dealt with absences. These are preseason statuses, not confirmed September 27 availability.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
New England's clearest edge is proven road efficiency. The Patriots went 8-0 away from Foxborough in 2025 and Maye paired a 72.0% completion rate with a 113.5 passer rating. Jacksonville's counter is home-field strength and pass-rush pressure, especially if its offensive line enters September healthier than it looks in August.
3 Things to Watch
- Maye versus Jacksonville's pass rush
- Jaguars offensive line health
- Early spread around pick'em
Betting Breakdown
New England and Jacksonville enter this Week 3 matchup as two of the AFC's strongest 2025 teams, but the early market gives the Jaguars only a narrow home edge. That makes the matchup more about efficiency and situational strength than brand name. New England finished 14-3 last season, went 8-0 on the road and posted a 14-6 ATS mark across its full 2025 run. Drake Maye drove that profile with 4,394 passing yards, 31 touchdowns, only eight interceptions and a 113.5 passer rating. Jacksonville finished 13-4, went 7-2 at home and closed the regular season on an eight-game winning streak before a 27-24 Wild Card loss to Buffalo. Trevor Lawrence produced 38 total touchdowns, including nine on the ground, giving the Jaguars more red-zone flexibility than his passing line alone suggests. The key betting question is whether Jacksonville can create enough pressure to disrupt Maye without compromising coverage. If not, New England's road efficiency gives the small underdog meaningful appeal.
New England Betting Outlook
New England's betting case starts with Maye and a road profile that was unmatched in the 2025 regular season. The Patriots went 8-0 away from home and 7-2 ATS in road games, while Maye completed 72.0% of his passes with 31 touchdowns against eight interceptions. The offense enters 2026 with a deeper receiving group, but the bigger early-season concern is defensive front health, with Harold Landry III still working back during camp and Christian Barmore missing recent practice time. Getting plus points near pick'em is attractive if New England protects Maye and avoids the turnover swings that can quickly flip a close road game.
Jacksonville Betting Outlook
Jacksonville's home case is strong enough to justify a small favorite role. The Jaguars were 7-2 at EverBank Stadium in 2025 and 7-3 ATS at home, while Lawrence posted 4,007 passing yards and a franchise-record 38 total touchdowns. The offense can stress defenses through Lawrence's movement and red-zone rushing threat, but offensive-line continuity is the current preseason variable. Cole Van Lanen opened camp on PUP, and other linemen have missed recent work. If that group stabilizes by Week 3, Jacksonville has the pass protection and home-field profile to trade scores with New England and pressure the Patriots into a game decided in the final possessions.
Latest Team Buzz
Did someone say GAME WEEK ⁉️ pic.twitter.com/V1glBLNDT2
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) August 10, 2026
Strange things are afoot 😳
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) August 9, 2026
@BrentonStrange | @Dream_Finders pic.twitter.com/wPuEl92lm7
New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars FAQ
What is the current spread for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The current home spread is JAC -1.5, while the away spread is NE +1.5.
How far has the spread moved for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The spread opened at JAC -1.5 and is now JAC -1.5.
What is the current moneyline for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The current moneyline is NE -102 / JAC -118.
How far has the moneyline moved for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The moneyline opened at NE -102 / JAC -118 and is now NE -102 / JAC -118.
What is the current total for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The current total is 45.5.
How far has the total moved for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The total opened at 45.5 and is now 45.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the market taking the favorite in New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the total dropping for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
You can watch this game on CBS. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
You can stream this game on Paramount+.
What is the best free prop bet for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Remi's Still Searching
What is the biggest matchup edge for New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
New England's clearest edge is proven road efficiency. The Patriots went 8-0 away from Foxborough in 2025 and Maye paired a 72.0% completion rate with a 113.5 passer rating. Jacksonville's counter is home-field strength and pass-rush pressure, especially if its offensive line enters September healthier than it looks in August.
Want More AI Picks?
Subscribers unlock the full premium AI board with sides, totals, more props, and daily slate coverage.
GET FREE AI PICKS NOWTOOLS
Remi's Past Performance
AI SPORTS PICKS PRODUCTS
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
What is a Round Robin Bet? | 4 Ways to Avoid Betting Traps
Learn how round-robin bets work, their advantages, and strategies to diversify...
What Percent of Bets to Win to be Profitable? | The 52.4% Strategy
What Percent of Sports Bets Do You Have to Win to...
Are Parlays Worth It? It Depends on 3 Surprising Factors
Are Parlays Worth It in Sports Betting? Parlays can be tempting...
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars on September 27, 2026 at EverBank Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU@NE | DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@CHI | KYREN WILLIAMS OVER 59.5 RUSH YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | JAUAN JENNINGS OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| BUF@DEN | BO NIX OVER 243.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | SF +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@PIT | UNDER 38.5 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| HOU@PIT | AARON RODGERS UNDER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@NE | DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT THROWN | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| BUF@JAC | TRAVIS ETIENNE UNDER 81.5 RUSH + RECV YDS | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SF@PHI | SF +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@NE | LAC +3.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAR@CAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS UNDER 0.5 INT THROWN | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@PIT | DERRICK HENRY OVER 99.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | JAHMYR GIBBS ANYTIME TD | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@HOU | CJ STROUD OVER 221.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@JAC | JAC -13.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@CIN | CIN -7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@NYG | OVER 49.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@TB | BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| SEA@SF | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 11.5 RUSH ATT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@SF | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| LAR@ATL | KYLE PITS OVER 54.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAR@ATL | BIJAN ROBINSON UNDER 44.5 RECV YDS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@SF | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 224.5 PASS YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| JAC@IND | MICHAEL PITTMAN OVER 49.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PIT@CLE | CLE +4.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| ARI@CIN | CIN -7 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| TB@MIA | TB -4.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYG@LV | NYG -2 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@NYJ | NE -13.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@TEN | NO -1 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
| NYG@LV | UNDER 41.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| HOU@LAC | CJ STROUD OVER 0.5 INT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@WAS | DAL -8.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@KC | RJ HARVEY ANYTIME TD | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@WAS | TERRY MCLAURIN ANYTIME TD | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| SF@IND | BROCK PURDY OVER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@IND | MICHAEL PITTMAN JR OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@IND | SF -4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LV@HOU | NICO COLLINS ANYTIME TD | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 82.5 RUSH + RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| JAC@DEN | TREVOR LAWRENCE UNDER 251.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| LV@HOU | HOU -14 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@CLE | CLE +10.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@NYG | MIN -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TB@CAR | TB -3 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| JAC@DEN | DEN -3.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@TEN | KC -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| NE@BAL | NE +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
