Miami Dolphins
Las Vegas has moved from a three-point favorite to -3.5, but Week 1 injury pressure cuts both ways: Miami is missing key front-seven pieces while Raiders lead back Ashton Jeanty works back from an ankle sprain.
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +148 LV -176 | O 39.5 U 39.5 |
| DraftKings | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +160 LV -192 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetMGM | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +155 LV -185 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetRivers | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +155 LV -195 | O 40 U 40 |
| Fanatics | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +155 LV -190 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| Bovada | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +155 LV -180 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +157 LV -180 | O 41 U 41 |
| LowVig.ag | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +157 LV -180 | O 41 U 41 |
| MyBookie.ag | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +149 LV -193 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetUS | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +155 LV -180 | O 41 U 41 |
| Caesars | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +157 LV -190 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
Injury Report
Miami enters Week 1 without defensive tackle Kenneth Grant and edge rusher Trey Moore, both on injured reserve designated to return, while cornerbacks Storm Duck and Darrell Baker Jr. are on reserve/PUP. Las Vegas is monitoring Ashton Jeanty after a low ankle sprain, but the Raiders have indicated they expect their lead back available for the opener. Those absences put more pressure on Miami's front against the Raiders' ground game.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Miami's cleanest offensive edge is Achane against a Las Vegas run defense that allowed 116.8 rushing yards per game last season. The Raiders can answer by attacking a Dolphins front missing Kenneth Grant and Trey Moore, but if Miami keeps Willis out of obvious passing downs, Achane gives the underdog its best path to staying inside 3.5.
3 Things to Watch
- Jeanty's ankle and early rushing workload
- Miami's depleted defensive front
- Willis versus the Raiders pass rush
Betting Breakdown
Las Vegas opens as a 3.5-point home favorite with a total around 40.5, a market that expects a controlled, lower-scoring game between two teams starting fresh. Miami finished 7-10 last season but still owns the recent series, winning nine of the past 11 meetings and the last two overall. The Dolphins' clearest counter to the home favorite is De'Von Achane, who rushed for 1,350 yards at 5.7 per carry in 2025 and now draws a Raiders defense that allowed 116.8 rushing yards per game. Las Vegas should lean on Kirk Cousins, Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty, though Jeanty's ankle deserves attention after a late-preseason sprain. Miami's defensive front is also short-handed with Kenneth Grant and Trey Moore unavailable. The spread moving from -3 to -3.5 gives the Raiders market support, but the hook matters in a matchup carrying a modest total. Miami's run-game efficiency versus Las Vegas' ability to exploit those defensive absences should decide whether the favorite can create separation.
Miami Betting Outlook
Miami begins the Jeff Hafley era coming off a 7-10 season and an 8-9 ATS mark, with Malik Willis in line to lead the offense. That setup makes Achane the centerpiece of the betting case for the underdog. He produced 1,350 rushing yards and 5.7 yards per carry last year, and Las Vegas was middle of the pack against the run. Miami also brings favorable recent head-to-head history, winning nine of the last 11 meetings. The concern is protection and game script if the Raiders force Willis into long-yardage situations. Defensively, the Dolphins are missing Kenneth Grant and Trey Moore, weakening the front against a Raiders offense that can feature Jeanty and play-action.
Las Vegas Betting Outlook
Las Vegas enters Klint Kubiak's first season after a 3-14 campaign, but the roster gives the Raiders more proven options than last year's record suggests. Cousins provides veteran quarterback experience, Bowers remains the premier receiving threat after posting 64 catches, 680 yards and seven scores in 12 games, and Jeanty is expected to headline the backfield if his ankle responds. The Raiders went 7-10 ATS last season and covered three of their final five, offering a stronger late-season betting finish than their straight-up record. Laying 3.5 requires better red-zone execution from an offense that averaged only 14.2 points per game in 2025.
Latest Team Buzz
Csonka days 'til the season! 🐬 pic.twitter.com/p0x2RM1lKf
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) August 5, 2026
Making connections. #RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/yXoLmTkrfh
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) August 4, 2026
Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders FAQ
What is the current spread for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The current home spread is LV -3.5, while the away spread is MIA +3.5.
How far has the spread moved for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The spread opened at LV -3 and is now LV -3.5.
What is the current moneyline for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The current moneyline is MIA +160 / LV -192.
How far has the moneyline moved for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The moneyline opened at MIA +145 / LV -175 and is now MIA +160 / LV -192.
What is the current total for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The current total is 40.5.
How far has the total moved for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The total opened at 41.5 and is now 40.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Is the total rising for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Where to watch Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
You can watch this game on FOX. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
You can stream this game on FOX One.
What is the best free prop bet for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
De'Von Achane Under 30.5 Receiving Yards
What is the biggest matchup edge for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Miami's cleanest offensive edge is Achane against a Las Vegas run defense that allowed 116.8 rushing yards per game last season. The Raiders can answer by attacking a Dolphins front missing Kenneth Grant and Trey Moore, but if Miami keeps Willis out of obvious passing downs, Achane gives the underdog its best path to staying inside 3.5.
NFL Past Picks
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