Las Vegas enters Week 1 as a 3.5-point home favorite, but Miami brings De'Von Achane and a rebuilt offense into a low-total matchup shaped by quarterback transitions, coaching changes, and Maxx Crosby's return.
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Moneyline Movement
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +168 LV -200 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| DraftKings | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +160 LV -192 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetMGM | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +155 LV -190 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetRivers | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +155 LV -210 | O 40 U 40 |
| Fanatics | MIA +4 LV -4 | MIA +165 LV -200 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| Bovada | MIA +4 LV -4 | MIA +175 LV -210 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +165 LV -190 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| LowVig.ag | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +165 LV -190 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | MIA +4 LV -4 | MIA +159 LV -206 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| BetUS | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +163 LV -190 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
| Caesars | MIA +3.5 LV -3.5 | MIA +164 LV -197 | O 40.5 U 40.5 |
Injury Report
Miami's biggest offensive concern has eased, with De'Von Achane cleared for training camp after offseason shoulder surgery. Tight end Greg Dulcich has recently worked in a no-contact jersey with a minor undisclosed issue, while rookie defensive tackle Rene Konga is on injured reserve. For Las Vegas, Maxx Crosby is back practicing after January knee surgery and reported feeling strong, reducing a major defensive uncertainty.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Las Vegas has a clear schematic chance to test Miami on the ground. The Dolphins allowed 132.4 rushing yards per game in 2025, while Klint Kubiak arrives with a run-heavy identity built around Ashton Jeanty. The caution is obvious: the Raiders ranked last in rushing yards per game last season, so execution must match the offseason redesign.
3 Things to Watch
- Malik Willis against Raiders pressure
- Jeanty versus Miami run defense
- Crosby workload after knee surgery
Betting Breakdown
Las Vegas opens the season favored by roughly 3.5 points at Allegiant Stadium, with the total hovering near 40.5 to 41.5. That market says the Raiders' offseason reset deserves respect despite last year's 3-14 record, while Miami enters at 7-10 from 2025 and begins a new era under Jeff Hafley. The quarterback picture is central. Malik Willis takes over a Dolphins offense that moved on from Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle, leaving De'Von Achane as the clearest proven engine. Las Vegas is expected to open with veteran Kirk Cousins while No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza develops behind him. The strongest matchup angle is the Raiders' attempt to establish Ashton Jeanty against a Miami defense that surrendered 132.4 rushing yards per game last season. Miami still has the more explosive established runner in Achane, who averaged 5.7 yards per carry. The low total makes field position, sacks, and turnovers especially valuable, and Maxx Crosby's healthy return can materially affect Willis' comfort level.
Miami Betting Outlook
Miami enters 2026 with far more uncertainty than its familiar logo suggests. Jeff Hafley takes over a 7-10 team, Malik Willis replaces Tua Tagovailoa, and the receiver room no longer features Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle. That makes De'Von Achane the most reliable offensive centerpiece after a 1,350-yard rushing season at 5.7 yards per carry. Miami was only 2-6 on the road last year and finished 8-9 ATS, so bettors need evidence that the new structure travels. The path to covering is a controlled Willis game, explosive Achane touches, and a defense that prevents Las Vegas from dictating pace with Ashton Jeanty and play-action.
Las Vegas Betting Outlook
Las Vegas is being priced as a modest home favorite after a 3-14 season because the roster and offensive structure changed substantially. Klint Kubiak brings a run-oriented approach, Kirk Cousins provides a veteran bridge at quarterback, and Fernando Mendoza gives the franchise a high-upside future option. Ashton Jeanty remains the focal point after producing 975 rushing yards and 10 total touchdowns as a rookie. The Raiders were just 2-7 at Allegiant Stadium and 7-10 ATS in 2025, so the favorite price is not supported by recent home dominance. The betting case rests on improved line play, a more efficient rushing attack, and Maxx Crosby pressuring Malik Willis into long-yardage situations.
Latest Team Buzz
Csonka days 'til the season! 🐬 pic.twitter.com/p0x2RM1lKf
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) August 5, 2026
Making connections. #RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/yXoLmTkrfh
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) August 4, 2026
Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders FAQ
What is the current spread for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The current home spread is LV -3.5, while the away spread is MIA +3.5.
How far has the spread moved for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The spread opened at LV -3 and is now LV -3.5.
What is the current moneyline for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The current moneyline is MIA +160 / LV -192.
How far has the moneyline moved for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The moneyline opened at MIA +145 / LV -175 and is now MIA +160 / LV -192.
What is the current total for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The current total is 40.5.
How far has the total moved for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The total opened at 41.5 and is now 40.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Is the total rising for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Where to watch Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
You can watch this game on FOX. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
You can stream this game on FOX One.
What is the best free prop bet for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?
Las Vegas has a clear schematic chance to test Miami on the ground. The Dolphins allowed 132.4 rushing yards per game in 2025, while Klint Kubiak arrives with a run-heavy identity built around Ashton Jeanty. The caution is obvious: the Raiders ranked last in rushing yards per game last season, so execution must match the offseason redesign.
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders on September 13, 2026 at Allegiant Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU@NE | DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@CHI | KYREN WILLIAMS OVER 59.5 RUSH YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | JAUAN JENNINGS OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| BUF@DEN | BO NIX OVER 243.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | SF +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@PIT | UNDER 38.5 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| HOU@PIT | AARON RODGERS UNDER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@NE | DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT THROWN | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| BUF@JAC | TRAVIS ETIENNE UNDER 81.5 RUSH + RECV YDS | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SF@PHI | SF +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@NE | LAC +3.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAR@CAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS UNDER 0.5 INT THROWN | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@PIT | DERRICK HENRY OVER 99.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | JAHMYR GIBBS ANYTIME TD | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@HOU | CJ STROUD OVER 221.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@JAC | JAC -13.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@CIN | CIN -7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@NYG | OVER 49.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@TB | BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| SEA@SF | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 11.5 RUSH ATT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@SF | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| LAR@ATL | KYLE PITS OVER 54.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAR@ATL | BIJAN ROBINSON UNDER 44.5 RECV YDS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@SF | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 224.5 PASS YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| JAC@IND | MICHAEL PITTMAN OVER 49.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PIT@CLE | CLE +4.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| ARI@CIN | CIN -7 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| TB@MIA | TB -4.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYG@LV | NYG -2 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@NYJ | NE -13.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@TEN | NO -1 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
| NYG@LV | UNDER 41.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| HOU@LAC | CJ STROUD OVER 0.5 INT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@WAS | DAL -8.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@KC | RJ HARVEY ANYTIME TD | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@WAS | TERRY MCLAURIN ANYTIME TD | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| SF@IND | BROCK PURDY OVER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@IND | MICHAEL PITTMAN JR OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@IND | SF -4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LV@HOU | NICO COLLINS ANYTIME TD | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 82.5 RUSH + RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| JAC@DEN | TREVOR LAWRENCE UNDER 251.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| LV@HOU | HOU -14 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@CLE | CLE +10.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@NYG | MIN -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TB@CAR | TB -3 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| JAC@DEN | DEN -3.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@TEN | KC -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| NE@BAL | NE +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
