Green Bay opened -1.5, but Minnesota is now favored as Josh Jacobs sits on the Commissioner's Exempt List and Micah Parsons opens on PUP. That personnel squeeze has turned a rivalry opener into a sharp market referendum.
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
Total Movement
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | GB +1.5 MIN -1.5 | GB -104 MIN -116 | O 46.5 U 46.5 |
| DraftKings | GB +1.5 MIN -1.5 | GB +102 MIN -122 | O 46.5 U 46.5 |
| BetMGM | GB +1.5 MIN -1.5 | GB +100 MIN -120 | O 46 U 46 |
| BetRivers | GB +1 MIN -1 | GB -107 MIN -117 | O 46 U 46 |
| Fanatics | GB +1.5 MIN -1.5 | GB +100 MIN -120 | O 46 U 46 |
| Bovada | GB +1.5 MIN -1.5 | GB +105 MIN -125 | O 46 U 46 |
| BetOnline.ag | GB +1 MIN -1 | GB +102 MIN -122 | O 46 U 46 |
| LowVig.ag | GB +1 MIN -1 | GB +102 MIN -122 | O 46 U 46 |
| MyBookie.ag | GB +1.5 MIN -1.5 | GB -102 MIN -124 | O 46.5 U 46.5 |
| BetUS | GB +1 MIN -1 | — | O 46 U 46 |
| Caesars | GB +1.5 MIN -1.5 | GB +101 MIN -118 | O 46.5 U 46.5 |
Injury Report
Green Bay carries the heavier Week 1 availability hit: Josh Jacobs is on the Commissioner's Exempt List and cannot practice or attend games, while Micah Parsons and Luke Musgrave are on reserve/PUP and will miss at least the first four games. Savion Williams is on IR-designated to return. Minnesota has J.J. McCarthy managing an ankle issue behind starter Kyler Murray, while Jamal Adams and several depth pieces are on injured reserve.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Minnesota owns the clearest availability edge. Green Bay is replacing Josh Jacobs in the backfield and opens without Micah Parsons, while the Vikings bring Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings and T.J. Hockenson into Kyler Murray's first regular-season start. The line flip toward Minnesota reinforces how strongly the market is pricing those differences.
3 Things to Watch
- Green Bay's post-Jacobs backfield rotation
- Kyler Murray's chemistry with Justin Jefferson
- Packers pass rush without Micah Parsons
Betting Breakdown
The matchup opened with Green Bay favored by 1.5, but the market has crossed through pick'em and now prices Minnesota around -1.5 with a total near 45.5. That reversal matters because it arrives as Green Bay absorbs major availability losses. Josh Jacobs is unavailable on the Commissioner's Exempt List, and Micah Parsons will miss the opener on PUP, leaving the Packers lighter in both the run game and pass rush. Minnesota also carries the stronger closing form from 2025, finishing 5-0 straight up and 4-1 ATS in its final five, while Green Bay lost its final five games including the playoffs and covered only once. The rivalry itself was split last season: Green Bay won 23-6 in Week 12 before Minnesota took the Week 18 rematch 16-3 against a Packers lineup resting many starters. Jordan Love's efficiency gives Green Bay real counterpunching ability, but Minnesota's home field, healthier core and deeper offensive options justify the market's move toward the Vikings.
Green Bay Betting Outlook
Green Bay's case starts with Jordan Love, who finished 2025 with 3,381 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, six interceptions and a 101.2 passer rating. He still has Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden and Tucker Kraft to stress Minnesota's coverage, but the offense must rework its balance without Josh Jacobs. MarShawn Lloyd, Chris Brooks and newly acquired Kaleb Johnson form the available backfield. The bigger concern for bettors is complementary support: Micah Parsons is unavailable on PUP, removing the defense's premier pressure source. Green Bay opened as the favorite, so getting points now creates buy-low appeal, but the roster losses explain why the market moved against the Packers.
Minnesota Betting Outlook
Minnesota enters Week 1 with momentum from a 5-0 finish to 2025 and with Kyler Murray installed as the starting quarterback. His first regular-season game in Kevin O'Connell's offense comes with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings and T.J. Hockenson available, giving the Vikings multiple answers against a Green Bay defense missing Micah Parsons. Jefferson also ended last season with eight catches for 101 yards in the Week 18 win over the Packers. The concern is price: Minnesota moved from a 1.5-point underdog to roughly a 1.5-point favorite. Still, home field, the healthier high-impact roster and a deeper skill group make the Vikings the cleaner side of the matchup.
Latest Team Buzz
This feeling >>> pic.twitter.com/XIPpw3gb69
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) August 7, 2026
Brought the juice 🧃 pic.twitter.com/y585iS2ujk
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) August 6, 2026
Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings FAQ
What is the current spread for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
The current home spread is MIN -1.5, while the away spread is GB +1.5.
How far has the spread moved for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
The spread opened at MIN +1.5 and is now MIN -1.5.
What is the current moneyline for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
The current moneyline is GB +102 / MIN -122.
How far has the moneyline moved for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
The moneyline opened at GB -125 / MIN +105 and is now GB +102 / MIN -122.
What is the current total for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
The current total is 46.5.
How far has the total moved for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
The total opened at 44.5 and is now 46.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the market taking the favorite in Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Is the total rising for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Where to watch Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
You can watch this game on CBS. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
You can stream this game on Paramount+.
What is the best free prop bet for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
Kyler Murray Under 236.5 Passing Yards
What is the biggest matchup edge for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings?
Minnesota owns the clearest availability edge. Green Bay is replacing Josh Jacobs in the backfield and opens without Micah Parsons, while the Vikings bring Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings and T.J. Hockenson into Kyler Murray's first regular-season start. The line flip toward Minnesota reinforces how strongly the market is pricing those differences.
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