Rams vs Falcons Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Dec 29)
Updated: 2025-12-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Los Angeles Rams (11‑4) travel to Mercedes‑Benz Stadium to face the Atlanta Falcons (5‑9) on December 29, 2025, in a Week 17 matchup with seeding and pride on the line late in the season. The Rams enter as heavy favorites, riding strong ATS trends and aiming to solidify their place among the NFC’s top teams, while Atlanta looks to play spoiler and build momentum with standout performances from its evolving roster.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 29, 2025
Start Time: 9:15 PM EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Record: (6-9)
Rams Record: (11-4)
OPENING ODDS
LAR Moneyline: -461
ATL Moneyline: +354
LAR Spread: -8
ATL Spread: +8.0
Over/Under: 49.5
LAR
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles has been strong against the spread this season, going 4‑1 ATS in its last 5 games, and owns an impressive 8‑2 SU mark in its last 10 matchups.
ATL
Betting Trends
- Atlanta has been less consistent straight up but holds a competitive 5‑1 ATS series advantage vs. the Rams, and is 8‑7 ATS overall in 2025, showing the ability to cover even while struggling in the win column.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has trended OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games and OVER in 4 of the Rams’ last 5 games, suggesting this matchup could continue to produce higher scoring — despite the Falcons’ losing record and the Rams’ defensive strengths.
LAR vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Robinson over 74.5 Rushing Yards.
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Los Angeles vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/29/25
The Week 17 clash between the Los Angeles Rams and the Atlanta Falcons on December 29, 2025 features one of the NFC’s top teams in the Rams (11–4) visiting a Falcons squad (6–9) that has shown flashes of growth but remains outside playoff positioning. Los Angeles has differentiated itself this season with prolific scoring — averaging over 30 points per game — and a defense capable of limiting explosive plays, positioning itself as an NFC contender with an eye toward seeding and momentum heading into January football. The Falcons enter this game with a season defined by inconsistency but also by the breakout campaign of running back Bijan Robinson, who has become one of the few backs in franchise history to eclipse 2,000 scrimmage yards, providing Atlanta with a genuine offensive identity despite broader offensive fluctuations and a 6–9 record. Tennessee’s recent win over Arizona illustrates the Falcons’ ability to compete when offensive stars and quarterback Kirk Cousins are in sync, yet they remain challenged by scoring inefficiency and defensive lapses that allow strong offenses to build rhythm. The Rams’ offense, led by veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford and featuring playmakers such as Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, has been a force all year, routinely generating yardage and points against both strong and middling defenses alike; Stafford’s efficiency and touchdown production anchor a unit that can score from multiple levels. Los Angeles’ defense, while dealing with some tackling issues and personnel shifts, remains sound enough to limit opponent rhythm and create negative plays when disciplined.
Strategically, the Rams will look to exploit mismatches early, establishing tempo with balanced run-pass sets that keep Atlanta off balance and force the Falcons into disadvantageous situations on third down. Meanwhile, Atlanta will aim to control clock via Robinson’s multi-faceted skill set and set up manageable down-and-distance scenarios that limit the Rams’ explosive potential. As with many games involving teams with divergent records, turnover margin and red-zone efficiency could prove decisive; a single takeaway or defensive stand could swing field position dramatically and turn a seemingly comfortable spread into a tightly contested fourth quarter. Special teams and situational play — such as execution on third downs and composure in pressure moments on Monday Night Football — add layers of complexity that both coaching staffs must navigate. The Falcons’ home crowd and familiarity with Mercedes-Benz Stadium provide an emotional uplift, but the Rams’ overall consistency and offensive firepower give them a path to control pace and dictate terms if they execute with discipline. With stakes tied to playoff seeding for Los Angeles and pride and developmental evaluation for Atlanta, this matchup promises a mix of strategic nuance, individual star power, and competitive instinct as both teams strive to finish the 2025 regular season strong.
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Witnessing history in 4K 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/HGZlwjyGx6
— x - Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 22, 2025
Los Angeles Rams NFL Preview
The Los Angeles Rams enter their Week 17 road matchup against the Atlanta Falcons with a compelling blend of offensive firepower and overall performance that has made them one of the league’s best teams in 2025. With an 11–4 record, they sit near the top of the NFC standings and are firmly in the playoff picture, carrying the kind of balanced attack that can put pressure on opposing defenses from multiple angles. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has enjoyed a highly efficient season, spreading the ball effectively to his talented receiving corps led by Puka Nacua and, when available, Davante Adams, even as Adams’ status for this game remains uncertain with a lingering hamstring issue that has kept him out recently. This depth of playmaking options forces defenses to respect both the vertical and intermediate passing game, making it difficult for opponents to crowd the line without surrendering open routes downfield. On the ground, Los Angeles maintains a consistent rushing attack that alleviates pressure on the passing game and helps control tempo, critical in a divisional climate game where field position and possession time carry extra weight. Defensively, the Rams have been stout, combining a solid front with opportunistic coverage that limits explosive plays and forces opponents into longer third-down situations.
That unit’s ability to generate pressure and create negative plays — sacks, tackles for loss, and turnovers — positions Los Angeles to disrupt Atlanta’s rhythm as long as they remain disciplined with gap control and assignment football. Special teams have been a storyline this season, including a recent change at coordinator after struggles, which adds a variable that could influence field position and late-game situations. Road environments always present challenges, but the Rams’ experience and sustained success away from home this season reflect an ability to manage adversity, communicate through noise, and execute situational football even in high-leverage spots. If Los Angeles can protect Stafford, control the clock with a balanced run-pass mix, and avoid self-inflicted mistakes, they have the formula to control tempo and lean on their strengths across all three phases. Against a Falcons defense that has generated pressure but surrendered consistent yardage, the Rams’ disciplined, multifaceted attack stands as a clear path to success — particularly in a game where consistency and execution determine whether a contender flexes its postseason mettle on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview
The Atlanta Falcons host the Los Angeles Rams on December 29, 2025 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium looking to build on a season that has offered flashes of competitive football despite ultimately falling short of playoff contention. Atlanta enters the Week 17 game with a 6–9 record, having secured a late-season victory over the Arizona Cardinals that showcased a balanced attack led by running back Bijan Robinson, who became only the third player in Falcons history to eclipse 2,000 scrimmage yards in a season and has been the centerpiece of the offense all year. Robinson’s ability to generate chunk plays both as a runner and receiver adds a reliable tempo-controlling element that gives the Falcons a chance to sustain drives, manage clock, and provide support for quarterback Kirk Cousins, who has delivered efficient performances when the offense finds early rhythm. Atlanta’s wide receivers and tight ends have had mixed results, and injuries have at times limited personnel depth, though playmakers such as Kyle Pitts and others have stepped up to create impact opportunities in critical moments. Defensively, the Falcons have faced challenges containing high-powered offenses this season, but their pass rush and ability to generate pressure on the quarterback — combined with timely coverage and tackling in space — have occasionally kept them competitive deep into games.
At home, the Falcons will hope to leverage crowd energy and familiarity with their own conditions to dictate pace early and prevent Los Angeles from jumping out to a big lead that forces Atlanta into predictable passing situations. Situational football, especially on early downs and third-down execution, will be pivotal; staying on schedule offensively gives the Falcons more opportunities to keep the Rams’ dynamic offense off the field, while defensive discipline on third down can create turnovers or punts that flip field position and swing momentum. Special teams and field-position strategy will also influence hidden yardage, particularly late in the fourth quarter, where every yard matters in a game with playoff seeding implications for the visitors. If Atlanta’s offensive and defensive units can execute with discipline and minimize self-inflicted errors, they have a chance to make this contest competitive and build momentum and confidence moving into offseason evaluations and future roster decisions. Overall, the Falcons’ home environment offers an opportunity not just for a statement performance, but for reinforcing identity and growth despite an ultimately disappointing overall season.
2 games
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) December 22, 2025
4 touchdowns@kylepitts__ 🔥 @Alge_Crumpler pic.twitter.com/W5PvAuAtPa
Los Angeles vs Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Rams and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Dec can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Los Angeles vs Atlanta Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Rams and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing factor human bettors regularly put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Rams team going up against a possibly improved Falcons team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Los Angeles vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Rams vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NFL | 12/29 | LAR@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NFL | 12/29 | LAR@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NFL | 12/29 | LAR@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL schedule.
Los Angeles Betting Trends
Los Angeles has been strong against the spread this season, going 4‑1 ATS in its last 5 games, and owns an impressive 8‑2 SU mark in its last 10 matchups.
Atlanta Betting Trends
Atlanta has been less consistent straight up but holds a competitive 5‑1 ATS series advantage vs. the Rams, and is 8‑7 ATS overall in 2025, showing the ability to cover even while struggling in the win column.
Rams vs. Falcons Matchup Trends
The total has trended OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games and OVER in 4 of the Rams’ last 5 games, suggesting this matchup could continue to produce higher scoring — despite the Falcons’ losing record and the Rams’ defensive strengths.
Los Angeles vs. Atlanta Game Info
Los Angeles vs Atlanta starts on December 29, 2025 at 9:15 PM EST.
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Spread: Atlanta +8.0
Moneyline: Los Angeles -461, Atlanta +354
Over/Under: 49.5
Los Angeles: (11-4) | Atlanta: (6-9)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Robinson over 74.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The total has trended OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games and OVER in 4 of the Rams’ last 5 games, suggesting this matchup could continue to produce higher scoring — despite the Falcons’ losing record and the Rams’ defensive strengths.
LAR trend: Los Angeles has been strong against the spread this season, going 4‑1 ATS in its last 5 games, and owns an impressive 8‑2 SU mark in its last 10 matchups.
ATL trend: Atlanta has been less consistent straight up but holds a competitive 5‑1 ATS series advantage vs. the Rams, and is 8‑7 ATS overall in 2025, showing the ability to cover even while struggling in the win column.
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Los Angeles vs. Atlanta Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| LAR Moneyline | -461 |
|---|---|
| ATL Moneyline | +354 |
| LAR Spread | -8 |
| ATL Spread | +8.0 |
| Over / Under | 49.5 |
Los Angeles vs Atlanta Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 29, 2025 8:15PM EST
Los Angeles Rams
Atlanta Falcons
12/29/25 8:15PM
Rams
Falcons
|
–
–
|
-350
+280
|
-7 (-116)
+7 (-104)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 3, 2026 4:30PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1/3/26 4:30PM
Panthers
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
+128
-148
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 3, 2026 8:00PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
1/3/26 8PM
Seahawks
49ers
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1 (-110)
+1 (-110)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
1/4/26 1PM
Colts
Texans
|
–
–
|
+400
-525
|
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
|
O 40 (-115)
U 40 (-105)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
1/4/26 1PM
Packers
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+237
-290
|
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
O 36 (-115)
U 36 (-105)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 1:00PM EST
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
1/4/26 1PM
Titans
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
+476
-650
|
+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 1:00PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
1/4/26 1PM
Saints
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+124
-146
|
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 1:00PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
1/4/26 1PM
Cowboys
Giants
|
–
–
|
-230
+192
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 52.5 (-115)
U 52.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 1:00PM EST
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
1/4/26 1PM
Browns
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 4:25PM EST
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
1/4/26 4:25PM
Lions
Bears
|
–
–
|
+130
-150
|
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
|
O 50.5 (-115)
U 50.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 4:25PM EST
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
1/4/26 4:25PM
Cardinals
Rams
|
–
–
|
+420
-560
|
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 4:25PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
1/4/26 4:25PM
Chargers
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+461
-625
|
+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
|
O 37.5 (-110)
U 37.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 4:25PM EST
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
1/4/26 4:25PM
Commanders
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+263
-325
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 4:25PM EST
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
1/4/26 4:25PM
Jets
Bills
|
–
–
|
+316
-400
|
+7.5 (-108)
-7.5 (-112)
|
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 4:25PM EST
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
1/4/26 4:25PM
Dolphins
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+449
-605
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
1/4/26 4:25PM
Chiefs
Raiders
|
–
–
|
-275
+226
|
-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
|
O 37 (-105)
U 37 (-115)
|
|
|
Jan 4, 2026 8:20PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
1/4/26 8:20PM
Ravens
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-195
+170
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Los Angeles Rams vs. Atlanta Falcons on December 29, 2025 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF@IND | BROCK PURDY OVER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@IND | MICHAEL PITTMAN JR OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@IND | SF -4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LV@HOU | NICO COLLINS ANYTIME TD | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 82.5 RUSH + RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| JAC@DEN | TREVOR LAWRENCE UNDER 251.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| NE@BAL | OVER 48.5 | 53.2% | 2 | WIN |
| LV@HOU | HOU -14 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@CLE | CLE +10.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@NYG | MIN -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TB@CAR | TB -3 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| JAC@DEN | DEN -3.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@TEN | KC -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| NE@BAL | NE +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@CHI | CHI -112 | 54.4% | 2 | WIN |
| GB@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@SEA | MATTHEW STAFFORD UNDER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAR@SEA | RASHID SHAHEED OVER 0.5 RECEPTIONS 1ST QUARTER | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| MIA@PIT | PIT -3 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| MIA@PIT | AARON RODGERS UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PIT | TUA TAGOVAILOA OVER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@KC | LAC +6 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@NYG | WAS +2.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@DEN | DEN +1.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ARI@HOU | ARI +10.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BAL@CIN | BAL -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@DAL | DAL -5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@SEA | JAXON SMITH-NJIGBA OVER 97.5 RECV YDS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@NYG | NOAH BROWN OVER 24.5 RECV YDS | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@SF | CHIG OKONKWO OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@TB | BIJAN ROBINSON ANYTIME TD | 57.6% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@LAC | LAC +2.5 | 53.9% | 1 | WIN |
| PHI@LAC | QUENTIN JOHNSTON OVER 5 TARGETS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@LV | RJ HARVEY ANYTIME TD | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@KC | CJ STROUD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@MIN | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 249.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@JAC | IND -1 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@ATL | ATL +7 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@NYJ | MIA -2 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| DEN@LV | LV +8.5 | 57.1% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@MIN | WAS -1 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| SEA@ATL | UNDER 44.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | JARED GOFF OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@SEA | KENNETH WALKER UNDER 80.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| ATL@NYJ | KIRK COUSINS UNDER 194.5 PASS YDS | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN OVER 60.5 RUSH YDS | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@WAS | DEN -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@NYJ | NYJ +3 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@SEA | SEA -11.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| BUF@PIT | PIT +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |