Cowboys vs Lions Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Dec 04)

Updated: 2025-11-27T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Dallas Cowboys travel to face the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on December 4, 2025, in what’s shaping up to be a tightly contested Thursday Night showdown — Detroit slightly favored but Dallas riding momentum after a three-game win streak.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Dec 04, 2025

Start Time: 9:15 PM EST​

Venue: Ford Field​

Lions Record: (7-5)

Cowboys Record: (6-5)

OPENING ODDS

DAL Moneyline: +141

DET Moneyline: -169

DAL Spread: +3

DET Spread: -3.0

Over/Under: 53.5

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys, despite recent success, enter as the road underdog; Detroit, at home and with a 7–5 record, brings both offensive firepower and defensive resolve, making this one of the tougher ATS angles of the week.

DET
Betting Trends

  • Dallas has covered the spread 7 times this season, including a 4–1 mark when listed as underdogs by three or more points.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The spread is listed around Lions –3, and the over/under hovers near 54.5. With both offenses capable of quick scoring — Detroit averaging 29.2 points per game this season, Dallas ranking among the top yard-gainers — the over seems plausible if defenses falter, but the under becomes attractive if Detroit controls tempo and limits big plays.

DAL vs. DET
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bates under 3.5 Field Goals Made.

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Dallas vs Detroit Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/4/25

The upcoming matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Detroit Lions on December 4, 2025 stands as one of the most intriguing late-season showdowns on the NFL slate, combining playoff urgency, high-octane offense, and vulnerabilities on both sides that could swing momentum dramatically under the primetime lights. Detroit enters at 7–5, protecting home field with clear intention as they position themselves for a postseason push, while Dallas arrives at 6–5–1 riding a three-game surge that has reignited confidence inside a roster that earlier looked uneven and inconsistent. The Lions boast one of the most efficient and explosive offenses in the league, averaging over 29 points per game through a combination of bruising run efficiency, vertical passing threats, and red-zone composure that has repeatedly allowed them to seize control of games, even when their defense has vacillated between opportunistic and vulnerable. Dallas, meanwhile, features an offense that has rediscovered rhythm; Dak Prescott’s sharp accuracy, improved pocket command, and ability to extend plays have elevated the passing attack, while Javonte Williams’ strength on the ground has added balance that defenses must respect, creating potential for explosive gains when Dallas manipulates coverage. However, the Cowboys’ defense remains a pressing concern and perhaps the biggest storyline entering the game, as they have struggled to prevent big plays and consistently allowed large chunks of yardage through the air, weaknesses that Detroit’s scheme and home environment are uniquely built to exploit through motion, timing routes, and balanced tempo.

Detroit’s own defense must contend with Dallas’ improving offensive line and Prescott’s recent efficiency, and their pass rush must find ways to disrupt rhythm without exposing their secondary to mismatches or deep shots. Beyond tactics, situational football looms large; Detroit must sustain drives, protect the ball, and convert red-zone opportunities, knowing Dallas thrives when given short fields or emotional swings. Dallas must resist the temptation to abandon the run or chase explosive plays too early, instead crafting a balanced plan that forces Detroit’s linebackers into coverage conflicts. Turnovers and third-down execution could ultimately define this matchup, as both teams possess offenses capable of scoring quickly but defenses that oscillate between strong series and sudden lapses. The emotional tenor of Ford Field adds another variable: Detroit plays with a palpable edge at home, and early success could compound quickly, but Dallas has shown resilience in recent weeks and may be better equipped now to withstand crowd surges and momentum swings. Ultimately, this matchup unfolds as a test of discipline, complementary football, and adaptability under pressure; Detroit must assert physicality and control tempo to protect their postseason trajectory, while Dallas must maintain offensive sharpness and prevent defensive breakdowns from undermining their recent momentum as both teams push toward defining December statements.

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Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview

The Dallas Cowboys enter this matchup against the Detroit Lions with a renewed sense of identity and momentum, powered by a three-game win streak that has resurrected their postseason hopes and reestablished the offense as one of the more dynamic units in the NFC. Dak Prescott has been the catalyst during this stretch, playing some of his most efficient football of the season with over 3,260 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, and a completion rate above 69%, demonstrating sharp command of the offense, improved timing with his receivers, and the confidence to attack all areas of the field. Complementing him is Javonte Williams, whose physical running style provides balance and prevents defenses from overcommitting to coverage. When Dallas stays committed to that balance—mixing play-action, intermediate passing, and calculated deep shots—their offense becomes difficult to predict and even harder to contain. But to succeed on the road in a hostile environment, the Cowboys must avoid one of their persistent pitfalls: becoming overly reliant on the passing game, which can expose the offensive line to extended pressure and produce stalled drives when rhythm breaks. Defensively, Dallas enters with clear liabilities that must be addressed if they hope to leave Detroit with a win. Their struggles against the pass have been well-documented, with breakdowns in coverage and inconsistent tackling contributing to opponents’ big-play success—an alarming trend when facing a Lions offense averaging more than 29 points per game and built to punish lapses with explosive outcomes. Dallas must generate pressure on Jared Goff in a way that disrupts his timing without sacrificing coverage integrity; reckless blitzing could backfire, but passive fronts will allow Detroit to dictate tempo.

Edge containment, disciplined zone spacing, and immediate rallying to the ball will be essential components of any successful defensive plan. The Cowboys must also tighten their run defense, as Detroit’s balanced offense leverages the ground game to create favorable play-action opportunities. If Dallas cannot slow the run, Detroit’s offense will gain access to its full playbook—an almost certain recipe for trouble. Situationally, Dallas must stay poised and avoid self-inflicted wounds. Ford Field’s energy will magnify false starts, blown assignments, or early turnovers. Special teams execution, clock management, and third-down efficiency must be prioritized, especially if the game turns into a shootout where possessions are scarce and each series matters disproportionately. The Cowboys’ best formula for an upset involves striking early with a scripted offensive drive, maintaining balance even if Detroit scores in bunches, and preventing the game from slipping into a rhythm favorable to the Lions’ crowd-powered momentum surges. The defense does not need to dominate—it simply must avoid breakdowns large enough to erase offensive productivity. If Dallas plays complementary football, protects Prescott, finishes drives, and limits defensive missteps, they carry a legitimate shot at stealing a critical road win. But if their defensive inconsistencies resurface or they allow Detroit to control pace through long possessions, the matchup could quickly tilt toward the home team in decisive, season-altering fashion.

The Dallas Cowboys travel to face the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on December 4, 2025, in what’s shaping up to be a tightly contested Thursday Night showdown — Detroit slightly favored but Dallas riding momentum after a three-game win streak. Dallas vs Detroit AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Dec 04. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Detroit Lions NFL Preview

The Detroit Lions return to Ford Field with a 7–5 record, determined to protect home turf and strengthen their postseason positioning in a conference race where every December victory carries amplified significance. Detroit’s offense has been one of the most consistently explosive units in the league, averaging over 29 points per game thanks to its balanced design, controlled aggression, and ability to create matchup advantages through motion, spacing, and a strong rushing foundation. Their commitment to establishing the run early allows Jared Goff to operate comfortably within the structure of play-action, where he has excelled at distributing the ball with rhythm and precision. This balance puts continuous stress on opposing defenses—when linebackers hesitate, Detroit hits the intermediate seams; when safeties creep down, they attack vertically. Against a Dallas defense ranking near the bottom of the NFL in several key passing metrics, Detroit has an opportunity to dictate tempo and generate chunk plays that energize both the roster and the stadium. But the Lions must avoid forcing unnecessary risk—methodical drives may be just as valuable as explosive ones, particularly if they can wear down a Dallas defense that has struggled to get off the field. Defensively, Detroit must approach this matchup with discipline and an understanding that Dallas’ offense arrives in excellent form. Prescott’s renewed confidence and accuracy demand tight coverage, while Javonte Williams’ physicality requires firm tackling and gap integrity. Aidan Hutchinson and the defensive front must generate consistent pressure without losing lane discipline; if Prescott is given too much time, he has repeatedly shown he can carve defenses apart.

Detroit’s secondary must avoid being caught in isolation coverage against Dallas’ receivers, instead leaning on disguised looks, bracket support, and timely rotations to prevent explosive passing plays. Red-zone defense will be particularly important—forcing Dallas to settle for field goals rather than touchdowns may prove decisive. And while Detroit has shown improvement defensively, they must minimize the lapses that occasionally arise in the middle of games, especially miscommunications that lead to sudden, momentum-shifting completions. Emotion and environment will play a significant role. Ford Field has evolved into one of the more intimidating home atmospheres in the NFL, and Detroit’s performance often elevates when the crowd ignites during early defensive stops or big offensive gains. The Lions must harness that energy without letting it turn into over-aggressiveness—avoiding unnecessary penalties, blown assignments, or overpursuit will be crucial. Detroit’s path to victory revolves around three principles: controlling time of possession through a balanced attack, pressuring Prescott into hurried decisions, and converting drives efficiently while minimizing mistakes. If they succeed in those areas and remain composed through the inevitable Cowboys scoring runs, the Lions have the structure, personnel, and home-field advantage to close out a meaningful December win and further solidify their playoff aspirations.

Dallas vs Detroit Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Cowboys and Lions play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ford Field in Dec rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bates under 3.5 Field Goals Made.

Dallas vs Detroit Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Cowboys and Lions and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Detroit’s strength factors between a Cowboys team going up against a possibly rested Lions team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Dallas vs Detroit picks, computer picks Cowboys vs Lions, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

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Dallas Betting Trends

The Cowboys, despite recent success, enter as the road underdog; Detroit, at home and with a 7–5 record, brings both offensive firepower and defensive resolve, making this one of the tougher ATS angles of the week.

Detroit Betting Trends

Dallas has covered the spread 7 times this season, including a 4–1 mark when listed as underdogs by three or more points.

Cowboys vs. Lions Matchup Trends

The spread is listed around Lions –3, and the over/under hovers near 54.5. With both offenses capable of quick scoring — Detroit averaging 29.2 points per game this season, Dallas ranking among the top yard-gainers — the over seems plausible if defenses falter, but the under becomes attractive if Detroit controls tempo and limits big plays.

Dallas vs. Detroit Game Info

December 04, 2025 • 9:15 PM EST • Ford Field

Dallas vs. Detroit Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs Detroit trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Dallas vs Detroit

Dallas vs Detroit Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 4, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions
12/4/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Lions
+134
-165
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/7/25 1PM
Saints
Buccaneers
+330
-469
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/7/25 1PM
Colts
Jaguars
-123
-103
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
12/7/25 1PM
Steelers
Ravens
+213
-283
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
Minnesota Vikings
12/7/25 1PM
Commanders
Vikings
+102
-130
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 42 (-110)
U 42 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills
12/7/25 1PM
Bengals
Bills
+198
-261
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
12/7/25 1PM
Dolphins
Jets
-165
+129
-3 (+100)
+3 (-120)
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
12/7/25 1PM
Seahawks
Falcons
-392
+281
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
12/7/25 1PM
Titans
Browns
+171
-224
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 34 (-110)
U 34 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 4:05PM EST
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
12/7/25 4:05PM
Broncos
Raiders
-459
+313
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
12/7/25 4:25PM
Rams
Cardinals
-439
+302
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
12/7/25 4:25PM
Bears
Packers
+232
-319
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 8:20PM EST
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
12/7/25 8:20PM
Texans
Chiefs
+151
-196
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 42 (-110)
U 42 (-110)
Dec 8, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Chargers
12/8/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Chargers
-159
+124
-3 (+100)
+3 (-120)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Dec 11, 2025 8:15PM EST
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/11/25 8:15PM
Falcons
Buccaneers
+205
-250
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/14/25 1PM
Jets
Jaguars
+390
-530
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
12/14/25 1PM
Ravens
Bengals
-152
+127
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
12/14/25 1PM
Commanders
Giants
-125
+105
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders
Philadelphia Eagles
12/14/25 1PM
Raiders
Eagles
+675
-1000
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 40 (-110)
U 40 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears
12/14/25 1PM
Browns
Bears
+330
-440
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (-109)
O 39.5 (-121)
U 39.5 (+100)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions on December 04, 2025 at Ford Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
ATL@NYJ NYJ +3 56.9% 6 WIN
MIN@SEA SEA -11.5 54.5% 4 WIN
BUF@PIT PIT +3.5 56.9% 6 LOSS
HOU@IND IND -3 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAR@CAR OVER 44.5 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@PHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 18.5 PASS COMP 55.7% 5 LOSS
KC@DAL DAL +3.5 56.3% 6 WIN
GB@DET JORDAN LOVE OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.6% 5 WIN
CIN@BAL LAMAR JACKSON OVER 24.5 RUSH YDS 56.7% 6 WIN
CAR@SF UNDER 49.5 53.0% 1 WIN
CAR@SF SF -7 54.0% 3 WIN
CAR@SF BRYCE YOUNG OVER 61.7 PASS COMP PCT 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@BAL DERRICK HENRY OVER 17.5 CARRIES 53.7% 3 WIN
JAC@ARI ARI +2.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
PHI@DAL DAL +3 53.3% 2 WIN
SEA@TEN SEA -12 57.1% 7 LOSS
MIN@GB GB -6 54.1% 3 WIN
IND@KC IND +3.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TB@LAR UNDER 49.5 52.4% 1 WIN
IND@KC UNDER 50.5 53.1% 2 WIN
NYJ@BAL BREECE HALL OVER 18.5 RECV YDS 56.7% 6 WIN
PHI@DAL JAKE ELLIOT OVER 2.5 EXTRA POINTS MADE 55.2% 5 WIN
BUF@HOU JAMES COOK UNDER 17.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
BUF@HOU JOSH ALLEN UNDER 63.3 PASS COMP PCT 56.8% 6 LOSS
DAL@LV UNDER 49.5 54.3% 3 WIN
DAL@LV BROCK BOWERS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS 57.6% 7 WIN
CAR@ATL BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT 56.1% 6 WIN
KC@DEN PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 266.5 PASS YDS 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@ARI SF -3 56.4% 6 WIN
GB@NYG GB -7 54.3% 4 PUSH
LAC@JAC LAC -3 53.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@LAR SEA +3.5 57.2% 7 WIN
CHI@MIN MIN -2.5 53.4% 2 LOSS
DET@PHI DET +3 55.8% 5 LOSS
KC@DEN DEN +4.5 53.0% 2 WIN
DET@PHI UNDER 47 53.4% 2 WIN
SEA@LAR OVER 48.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
NYJ@NE UNDER 43.5 53.4% 3 WIN
NYJ@NE JAMIEN SHERWOOD OVER 4.5 TACKLES 56.8% 6 LOSS
PHI@GB PHI +1.5 54.8% 4 WIN
PHI@GB UNDER 45.5 52.4% 2 WIN
PHI@GB SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 17.5 RUSH ATT 56.6% 6 WIN
PHI@GB JOSH JACOBS UNDER 42.5 1ST HALF RUSH + REC YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
NO@CAR CAR -5 55.4% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIN BAL -3.5 57.6% 7 WIN
CLE@NYJ CLE -130 65.4% 7 LOSS
NYG@CHI CHI -4.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
NE@TB TB -2 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAR@SF LAR -5.5 53.3% 2 WIN
JAC@HOU UNDER 38 54.8% 5 LOSS
ARI@SEA TREY MCBRIDE OVER 9 RECV TARGETS 55.8% 5 WIN