Bengals vs Steelers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Nov 16)

Updated: 2025-11-09T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cincinnati Bengals visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on November 16, 2025 in a critical AFC North showdown with playoff implications for both squads. The Bengals bring inconsistency and recent struggles to Pittsburgh, while the Steelers aim to leverage home-field control and rising momentum to widen the division gap.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 16, 2025

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: Acrisure Stadium​

Steelers Record: (5-4)

Bengals Record: (3-6)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: +192

PIT Moneyline: -233

CIN Spread: +5.5

PIT Spread: -5.5

Over/Under: 49.5

CIN
Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 3-6 against the spread this season (33.3% cover rate).

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh is 3-2 at home against the spread this season (50.0% cover rate at home).

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite being the underdog, the Bengals’ weak cover rate suggests they’ve frequently failed to meet expectations even when competitive, while the Steelers’ home cover mark is modest despite being favorites, meaning this line may be tighter than it appears and value might exist on the underdog or alternative line moves.

CIN vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Flacco under 274.5 Passing Yards.

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Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/16/25

The Week 11 AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers on November 16, 2025, at Acrisure Stadium promises to be a bruising, physical contest filled with playoff-level intensity and deep-rooted rivalry energy. Both teams enter this matchup with contrasting narratives but equally urgent motivations. The Steelers, sitting at 5-3, have found a renewed sense of direction under head coach Mike Tomlin, whose trademark defensive discipline and situational mastery have reestablished Pittsburgh as a gritty, efficient, and opportunistic team. Meanwhile, the Bengals, at 3-6, are fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive, having endured a frustratingly inconsistent campaign marked by offensive misfires, injuries, and lapses on defense. Cincinnati’s struggles have stemmed from a combination of turnovers, a lack of balance offensively, and defensive breakdowns in key moments. Despite having one of the league’s most talented rosters, the Bengals’ execution has failed to match expectations. Quarterback Joe Burrow has shown flashes of brilliance, but protection breakdowns and a stagnant run game have often left him under siege. Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase remains a game-breaking weapon, capable of changing momentum with a single play, but defenses have adjusted by bracketing him and forcing the Bengals to spread the ball around. Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd provide depth, but their impact has been muted in part due to inconsistent play-calling and a lack of rhythm in the offense. Against Pittsburgh’s tenacious defense, led by T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith, the Bengals’ offensive line will face a defining test. Expect Cincinnati to emphasize quick passes, screens, and misdirection runs to neutralize pressure and help Burrow avoid unnecessary hits. Defensively, the Bengals must rediscover the discipline and opportunism that defined their recent playoff runs. Their front seven, anchored by Trey Hendrickson and D.J. Reader, has been solid in spurts but has struggled to generate consistent pass rush.

The secondary, featuring Chidobe Awuzie and Cam Taylor-Britt, has been inconsistent against explosive plays, something that will need to tighten against a Steelers offense finding its rhythm. Pittsburgh, for its part, has ridden its defense and emerging offensive balance to steady results. Quarterback Kenny Pickett has grown more comfortable managing the game, showing improved poise and decision-making, while running back Najee Harris has led a revitalized ground attack that’s allowed the Steelers to control tempo. Rookie wideout George Pickens has developed into a legitimate star, using his physicality and catch radius to make plays even in tight coverage. The offensive line remains a work in progress, but Tomlin’s commitment to complementary football—running the ball, dominating possession, and leaning on the defense—has paid dividends. On defense, Pittsburgh’s front seven continues to be its identity, generating relentless pressure and ranking near the top of the league in takeaways. The key to this game will be whether Cincinnati can sustain drives and limit turnovers; if the Bengals can protect Burrow and find a rhythm early, they have the offensive firepower to keep pace. However, if the Steelers’ pass rush disrupts timing and forces Cincinnati into long-yardage situations, Pittsburgh’s defense could feast. From a betting perspective, the Steelers’ 3-2 home ATS record and overall consistency make them a logical favorite, though divisional familiarity tends to tighten the margins in these matchups. Expect a close, low-to-mid-scoring affair driven by field position and defensive stands. Both teams know what’s at stake, and while the Bengals possess the higher ceiling on paper, Pittsburgh’s balance, home-field edge, and superior execution give them the advantage. If Burrow and Chase reconnect for explosive plays and Cincinnati’s defense forces a takeaway or two, the Bengals could steal one late. But if the Steelers dictate tempo, win in the trenches, and play mistake-free football, expect Pittsburgh to grind out a statement win that reinforces its standing atop the division.

Cincinnati Bengals NFL Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals head into their November 16, 2025 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium facing a pivotal moment in their season. Sitting at 3-6, the Bengals’ margin for error has evaporated, and their ability to respond against a physical divisional rival will determine whether their playoff hopes remain alive. Under head coach Zac Taylor, Cincinnati has endured a frustratingly uneven campaign, plagued by slow starts, missed opportunities, and a defense that hasn’t been able to deliver the same consistency that fueled their recent postseason runs. Offensively, Joe Burrow remains the heart of the team, but the offensive line’s recurring struggles have limited his effectiveness. Burrow’s trademark precision and poise under pressure have been tested all year, as protection breakdowns have forced him into quicker reads and more conservative throws. Despite that, his chemistry with wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase remains one of the league’s most dangerous connections. Chase’s ability to win vertically and after the catch gives Cincinnati explosive potential, but opposing defenses have adjusted with bracket coverage and disguised safety looks to force Burrow elsewhere. Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd must capitalize on those one-on-one matchups for the offense to regain balance, while tight end Tanner Hudson has quietly emerged as a reliable outlet underneath. Cincinnati’s ground game, anchored by Joe Mixon, has shown flashes of competence but too often fades against top-tier fronts. To succeed in Pittsburgh, the Bengals must establish some level of rushing consistency early to keep the Steelers’ defense honest and prevent T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith from relentlessly attacking Burrow. Expect Taylor to lean on tempo, quick-hitting passes, and motion-based formations to help neutralize the pass rush.

Defensively, Cincinnati must rediscover its toughness. The front four—featuring Trey Hendrickson and D.J. Reader—has struggled with consistency, failing to maintain pressure for four quarters, while the linebacker corps led by Logan Wilson and Germaine Pratt has at times been overextended in coverage. The secondary, which once thrived on cohesion and communication, has suffered breakdowns that have led to too many big plays. Against a Steelers offense that thrives on patience, physicality, and play-action, the Bengals must win early downs and force Pittsburgh into third-and-long situations. Tackling efficiency will be paramount, as Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren have both proven capable of grinding out extra yards after contact. If the Bengals can generate a few takeaways and limit explosive plays, they can shift momentum and give Burrow shorter fields to work with. Special teams, led by kicker Evan McPherson, remain one of the Bengals’ quiet strengths—his ability to deliver in pressure situations could be decisive in what’s expected to be a tightly contested AFC North battle. From a betting perspective, Cincinnati’s 3-6 ATS record mirrors their uneven performance—they’ve stayed competitive in stretches but rarely controlled games from start to finish. As road underdogs, the Bengals face long odds against a disciplined Steelers team that thrives at home. However, divisional familiarity always keeps this rivalry close, and Cincinnati’s offensive ceiling remains high enough to threaten an upset if they execute cleanly. To pull off the win, the Bengals must start fast, protect Burrow at all costs, and stay disciplined defensively. If they can play a complete game—something that’s eluded them most of the season—this could serve as the springboard to revive their campaign. But if their familiar issues resurface, Pittsburgh’s defense and home-field advantage could turn this into another frustrating chapter in a season that has yet to live up to its potential.

The Cincinnati Bengals visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on November 16, 2025 in a critical AFC North showdown with playoff implications for both squads. The Bengals bring inconsistency and recent struggles to Pittsburgh, while the Steelers aim to leverage home-field control and rising momentum to widen the division gap. Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Nov 16. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers enter their Week 11 matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals on November 16, 2025, at Acrisure Stadium with an opportunity to solidify their grip on the AFC North and continue building a postseason résumé built on discipline, defense, and balance. Sitting at 5-3, the Steelers have found their stride after a shaky start, guided by head coach Mike Tomlin’s trademark consistency and commitment to physical, mistake-free football. The Steelers’ identity this season has been grounded in complementary play—using a run-heavy offensive approach to control time of possession while leaning on one of the league’s most opportunistic defenses to dictate momentum. Quarterback Kenny Pickett has grown into a more composed and confident field general, managing games efficiently and avoiding the backbreaking turnovers that hurt Pittsburgh early in the year. While not spectacular, Pickett’s poise in the pocket and improved timing on intermediate throws have given the offense much-needed rhythm. His chemistry with wide receiver George Pickens continues to evolve into a dynamic pairing, with Pickens’ ability to win contested catches and stretch the field vertically creating balance alongside possession target Diontae Johnson. Tight end Pat Freiermuth, when healthy, adds another dimension over the middle, providing a reliable safety valve for Pickett on third downs. On the ground, Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren form one of the league’s most effective running back tandems, combining power and elusiveness to wear down opposing fronts. Expect offensive coordinator Arthur Smith to lean heavily on the ground game against Cincinnati’s inconsistent run defense, using early-down carries to set up manageable third-down situations and play-action looks. Defensively, the Steelers remain the heartbeat of this team, and that’s where they hold a distinct advantage over Cincinnati. Led by All-Pro edge rusher T.J. Watt, whose relentless motor and disruptive instincts consistently change games, and fellow linebacker Alex Highsmith, Pittsburgh’s front seven has thrived at creating pressure without heavy blitzing.

The interior presence of Cameron Heyward and rookie standout Keeanu Benton has fortified the defensive line, improving their ability to collapse pockets and stop the run. The secondary, anchored by Minkah Fitzpatrick, has regained its opportunistic form, ranking among the league’s leaders in takeaways. Against Joe Burrow, expect the Steelers to disguise coverages and vary pressure looks to force hurried throws and prevent deep connections with Ja’Marr Chase. If Pittsburgh’s defense can contain Chase and force Burrow to check down repeatedly, it will play directly into their game plan of controlling pace and field position. Special teams remain a quiet asset, with Chris Boswell’s reliability and Pressley Harvin’s punting keeping opponents pinned deep. At home, the Steelers have been especially tough to beat, carrying a 3-2 ATS record and feeding off the energy of one of the league’s most passionate fan bases. From a betting standpoint, Pittsburgh’s combination of home-field advantage and defensive dominance makes them the more trustworthy side, especially given Cincinnati’s struggles to protect Burrow on the road. However, divisional familiarity often keeps these games tight, meaning turnovers and red-zone efficiency will decide the outcome. To secure victory, Pittsburgh must stick to its formula: establish the run, win the trenches, and capitalize on short fields. If they do, they not only have the tools to extend their winning streak but to further cement their reputation as one of the AFC’s most balanced and resilient teams. Expect a gritty, hard-fought battle, but one that ultimately tilts in Pittsburgh’s favor thanks to its defensive edge, disciplined execution, and mastery of situational football under Tomlin’s watchful eye.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Bengals and Steelers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Acrisure Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Flacco under 274.5 Passing Yards.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Bengals and Steelers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Bengals team going up against a possibly deflated Steelers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Bengals vs Steelers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Bengals Betting Trends

Cincinnati is 3-6 against the spread this season (33.3% cover rate).

Steelers Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is 3-2 at home against the spread this season (50.0% cover rate at home).

Bengals vs. Steelers Matchup Trends

Despite being the underdog, the Bengals’ weak cover rate suggests they’ve frequently failed to meet expectations even when competitive, while the Steelers’ home cover mark is modest despite being favorites, meaning this line may be tighter than it appears and value might exist on the underdog or alternative line moves.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh starts on November 16, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh -5.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati +192, Pittsburgh -233
Over/Under: 49.5

Cincinnati: (3-6)  |  Pittsburgh: (5-4)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Flacco under 274.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite being the underdog, the Bengals’ weak cover rate suggests they’ve frequently failed to meet expectations even when competitive, while the Steelers’ home cover mark is modest despite being favorites, meaning this line may be tighter than it appears and value might exist on the underdog or alternative line moves.

CIN trend: Cincinnati is 3-6 against the spread this season (33.3% cover rate).

PIT trend: Pittsburgh is 3-2 at home against the spread this season (50.0% cover rate at home).

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: +192
PIT Moneyline: -233
CIN Spread: +5.5
PIT Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 49.5

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+550
-800
+13 (-110)
-13 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+130
-155
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-118)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+170
-195
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+140
-165
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-155
+135
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-320
+260
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+195
-235
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+215
-260
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 48 (-105)
U 48 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-350
+280
-7 (-115)
+7 (-105)
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-150
+125
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+142
-162
+3 (-106)
-3 (-114)
O 48.5 (-108)
U 48.5 (-112)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-200
+165
-4 (-105)
+4 (-115)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-450
+350
-8 (-105)
+8 (-115)
O 40 (-105)
U 40 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+131
-151
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-118)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-175
+153
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Nov 20, 2025 8:15PM EST
Buffalo Bills
Houston Texans
11/20/25 8:15PM
Bills
Texans
-154
+130
-2.5 (-125)
+2.5 (+105)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers on November 16, 2025 at Acrisure Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
PHI@GB PHI +1.5 54.8% 4 WIN
PHI@GB UNDER 45.5 52.4% 2 WIN
PHI@GB SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 17.5 RUSH ATT 56.6% 6 WIN
PHI@GB JOSH JACOBS UNDER 42.5 1ST HALF RUSH + REC YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
NO@CAR CAR -5 55.4% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIN BAL -3.5 57.6% 7 WIN
CLE@NYJ CLE -130 65.4% 7 LOSS
NYG@CHI CHI -4.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
NE@TB TB -2 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAR@SF LAR -5.5 53.3% 2 WIN
JAC@HOU UNDER 38 54.8% 5 LOSS
ARI@SEA TREY MCBRIDE OVER 9 RECV TARGETS 55.8% 5 WIN
DET@WAS TERRION ARNOLD OVER 4.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 56.8% 6 LOSS
JAC@HOU TRAVIS ETIENNE UNDER 74.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.4 4 LOSS
LV@DEN DANIEL CARLSON OVER 1.5 FIELD GOALS 55.2% 5 LOSS
LV@DEN COURTLAND SUTTON OVER 53.5 RECV YDS 54.2% 4 LOSS
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN