Patriots vs Buccaneers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Nov 09)
Updated: 2025-11-02T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New England Patriots visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on November 9, 2025 in a crossover clash that has meaningful implications for both clubs’ 2025 narratives. New England arrives riding momentum after a strong start under their new regime, while Tampa Bay hopes to assert its veteran-laden identity at home and fend off a rising opponent.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 09, 2025
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Buccaneers Record: (6-2)
Patriots Record: (7-2)
OPENING ODDS
NE Moneyline: +120
TB Moneyline: -144
NE Spread: +2.5
TB Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 48.5
NE
Betting Trends
- New England has covered the spread in 75.0% of its games this season, with an average margin above the spread of +6.7 points.
TB
Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay has covered in 62.5% of its games this season and holds a margin above the spread of +2.9 points.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With the Patriots showing a strong ATS cover rate and a healthy margin above the spread, while the Buccaneers are solid but less dominant, this matchup features an away team that may offer value even on the road. Additionally, the line has Tampa Bay favoured by about 2½ points in some early odds.
NE vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Maye over 236.5 Passing Yards.
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New England vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/9/25
The November 9, 2025 matchup between the New England Patriots and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium represents a fascinating clash of old-school toughness and modern offensive balance, with both teams firmly in the playoff picture and looking to make a statement in the second half of the season. The Patriots arrive as one of the league’s biggest surprises, revitalized under head coach Mike Vrabel and propelled by the poise of rookie quarterback Drake Maye, who has transitioned smoothly into an efficient, confident leader at the NFL level. After years of offensive uncertainty, New England finally has structure and explosiveness, with Maye’s quick decision-making and downfield accuracy giving the team a dimension they’ve lacked since the Tom Brady era. The offseason acquisition of Stefon Diggs has transformed the passing game, giving the rookie a true No. 1 target, while Kendrick Bourne and tight end Hunter Henry have complemented him with reliability in the short-to-intermediate zones. On the ground, Rhamondre Stevenson remains a punishing presence, capable of wearing down defenses and setting up play-action opportunities. The offensive line, once a weakness, has solidified under Vrabel’s emphasis on physicality, allowing Maye to operate with rhythm and confidence. Defensively, the Patriots have returned to their identity—disciplined, aggressive, and opportunistic. Matthew Judon’s leadership and pass-rush presence anchor a front seven that thrives on creating disruption, while cornerback Christian Gonzalez has emerged as a budding shutdown defender in his second year. This defense bends but rarely breaks, ranking among the league’s best in red-zone stops and third-down efficiency. They’ll need every bit of that discipline against a Tampa Bay offense that thrives on spreading defenses thin and attacking mismatches. The Buccaneers, under head coach Todd Bowles, have quietly built one of the NFC’s most balanced squads. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has settled into a rhythm that plays to his strengths—quick reads, mobility, and trust in his weapons.
The veteran duo of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin remains among the most dangerous in football, consistently winning contested catches and stretching the field vertically. Running back Rachaad White’s growth as both a rusher and receiver has brought versatility to the offense, while Tampa’s offensive line has performed admirably despite injuries, anchored by the dependable play of Tristan Wirfs. Defensively, the Buccaneers remain a Todd Bowles masterpiece—aggressive, blitz-heavy, and reliant on creating chaos. Linebackers Lavonte David and Devin White continue to patrol the middle with experience and athleticism, while Vita Vea commands double teams in the trenches. The secondary, led by Antoine Winfield Jr., has excelled at limiting explosive plays and forcing turnovers at key moments. Against the Patriots’ rookie quarterback, expect Tampa to disguise pressures and force quick decisions to test Maye’s composure. The chess match between Vrabel’s calculated game management and Bowles’ defensive unpredictability could define the flow of the game. From a broader lens, this contest symbolizes two franchises trending upward for different reasons—the Patriots, reborn under a new culture of toughness and balance, and the Buccaneers, a veteran group seeking to prove their staying power in the NFC. The keys to victory are straightforward: New England must control the line of scrimmage, avoid turnovers, and keep Maye comfortable under duress, while Tampa Bay must capitalize on home-field advantage, generate pressure, and dictate tempo through their veteran playmakers. Expect a tightly contested, physical game with playoff intensity, where a single turnover or special-teams swing could decide the outcome. Both teams have found their formula for success—discipline, execution, and resilience—and on this Sunday night in Tampa, only the team that maintains composure under fire will emerge with a statement win in one of Week 10’s marquee matchups.
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Keep cooking Stef 👨🍳 pic.twitter.com/mXYZxRbgEj
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 3, 2025
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots head to Raymond James Stadium on November 9, 2025, carrying the confidence of a rejuvenated franchise and the focus of a team intent on proving its 7-2 start is no fluke. Under head coach Mike Vrabel, the Patriots have rediscovered the edge and discipline that once defined their dynasty years, pairing physical defense with efficient, smart offensive football led by rookie quarterback Drake Maye. After years of offensive inconsistency, New England finally appears balanced and modernized, with a system that maximizes Maye’s strengths—quick processing, touch on intermediate throws, and mobility when plays break down. The addition of wide receiver Stefon Diggs has been transformative, giving the rookie quarterback a true No. 1 target capable of dictating coverage and creating separation against elite corners. Complementing Diggs, Kendrick Bourne and Demario Douglas have thrived as chain movers, while tight end Hunter Henry has remained a reliable red-zone weapon. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson continues to serve as the offense’s engine, providing a punishing physicality that wears down defenses and opens up play-action opportunities. New England’s offensive line, anchored by guard Mike Onwenu and center David Andrews, has protected Maye well, and their ability to neutralize Tampa Bay’s pass rush will be critical against Todd Bowles’ blitz-heavy defense.
Expect Vrabel and offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt to rely on a patient, balanced attack—mixing runs, short passes, and screens—to keep the Buccaneers off balance and prevent them from teeing off on Maye in obvious passing situations. Defensively, the Patriots have reasserted themselves as one of the most disciplined and fundamentally sound units in the league. Matthew Judon’s return to full health has restored the pass rush, and the emergence of Christian Barmore as a consistent interior disruptor has helped collapse pockets and force quarterbacks into hurried decisions. The linebacker corps, led by Ja’Whaun Bentley, remains the glue of the defense, while the secondary—headlined by Christian Gonzalez and Kyle Dugger—has shown the versatility to shift between man and zone coverage without losing integrity. Against Tampa Bay’s offense, New England’s game plan will likely center around containing Baker Mayfield’s improvisation and limiting explosive plays from Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Expect the Patriots to disguise coverage pre-snap, rush with controlled aggression, and challenge the Buccaneers to sustain long drives rather than relying on deep strikes. Turnovers and field position will be decisive; special teams, long a Patriots hallmark, could be an x-factor, with kicker Chad Ryland and punter Bryce Baringer capable of flipping momentum in a close contest. For New England, this game represents both a test of maturity and a measuring stick against a proven NFC playoff-caliber opponent. If Maye remains poised against Tampa’s pressure, the offensive line holds up, and the defense continues its bend-don’t-break consistency, the Patriots have the formula to secure a statement road victory. A win here would not only strengthen their grip on the AFC playoff race but also further legitimize the Vrabel-Maye era in Foxborough—proof that New England’s rebuild has officially become a resurgence built on toughness, balance, and belief.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers return home to Raymond James Stadium on November 9, 2025, fully aware that this matchup against the surging New England Patriots represents a critical opportunity to cement their standing as one of the NFC’s most complete and battle-tested teams. Under head coach Todd Bowles, the Buccaneers have forged an identity built on experience, balance, and controlled aggression—a team that doesn’t overwhelm opponents with flash but wins through discipline and execution. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been at the heart of that transformation, playing with poise, confidence, and an understanding of how to manage games efficiently. His chemistry with veteran receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin remains the backbone of the Buccaneers’ offensive success; Evans continues to dominate with his physicality and red-zone precision, while Godwin thrives on his ability to find soft spots in coverage and extend drives on third down. Running back Rachaad White has emerged as a legitimate dual-threat weapon, providing both steady ground production and soft hands as a check-down option that keeps defenses honest. Against New England’s defense—one of the most structured and adaptable units in football—the Buccaneers will look to establish tempo early by blending run and pass, using play-action to draw linebackers forward and create deep opportunities downfield. Tampa Bay’s offensive line, anchored by Pro Bowl tackle Tristan Wirfs, has done an exceptional job keeping Mayfield upright, though they’ll face one of their toughest challenges yet in slowing down Matthew Judon and the Patriots’ relentless pass rush. Expect Bowles and offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard to emphasize quick reads, moving pockets, and heavy use of misdirection to minimize New England’s pressure opportunities.
On the defensive side, the Buccaneers remain as formidable as ever, defined by a fast, physical front seven and a secondary that thrives on opportunism. Veterans Lavonte David and Devin White continue to set the tone with their range and leadership, while defensive linemen Vita Vea and Calijah Kancey form a disruptive tandem inside that collapses pockets and eliminates rushing lanes. Tampa’s defense will aim to make life difficult for Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye, disguising blitzes and showing multiple looks pre-snap to bait mistakes. Cornerbacks Carlton Davis and Jamel Dean, along with safety Antoine Winfield Jr., will be tasked with containing New England’s revamped passing attack, particularly Stefon Diggs, whose route running and experience could test even the league’s best defensive backfields. Bowles’ game plan will focus on forcing Maye into third-and-long situations and capitalizing on inexperience by applying consistent, creative pressure. The Buccaneers’ special teams have also been a stabilizing factor this season—kicker Chase McLaughlin remains dependable, and return specialist Deven Thompkins has the speed to tilt field position in Tampa’s favor. The home crowd will play a factor too; Raymond James has reestablished itself as one of the NFL’s tougher venues, and Bowles’ team feeds off the energy and confidence that come with defending their turf. For Tampa Bay, the path to victory will require efficiency, patience, and control—winning on early downs, sustaining drives, and forcing the Patriots to play from behind. If Mayfield continues his sharp decision-making and the defense executes its pressure packages effectively, the Buccaneers are well-positioned to secure a statement win. This game is as much about validation as competition—a chance for Tampa Bay to prove that their mix of veteran leadership, disciplined defense, and smart offense can stand up against one of the AFC’s hottest young teams, keeping them firmly in the NFC playoff conversation as the season enters its decisive stretch.
America's QB has been on one this season 👨🍳
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) November 2, 2025
🔜 #NEvsTB 1 p.m. Nov. 9 on CBS pic.twitter.com/bzids3Ux34
New England vs Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Patriots and Buccaneers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Raymond James Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New England vs Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Patriots and Buccaneers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors often put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Patriots team going up against a possibly rested Buccaneers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI New England vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Patriots vs Buccaneers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL schedule.
New England Betting Trends
New England has covered the spread in 75.0% of its games this season, with an average margin above the spread of +6.7 points.
Tampa Bay Betting Trends
Tampa Bay has covered in 62.5% of its games this season and holds a margin above the spread of +2.9 points.
Patriots vs. Buccaneers Matchup Trends
With the Patriots showing a strong ATS cover rate and a healthy margin above the spread, while the Buccaneers are solid but less dominant, this matchup features an away team that may offer value even on the road. Additionally, the line has Tampa Bay favoured by about 2½ points in some early odds.
New England vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
New England vs Tampa Bay starts on November 09, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.
Venue: Raymond James Stadium.
Spread: Tampa Bay -2.5
Moneyline: New England +120, Tampa Bay -144
Over/Under: 48.5
New England: (7-2) | Tampa Bay: (6-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Maye over 236.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
With the Patriots showing a strong ATS cover rate and a healthy margin above the spread, while the Buccaneers are solid but less dominant, this matchup features an away team that may offer value even on the road. Additionally, the line has Tampa Bay favoured by about 2½ points in some early odds.
NE trend: New England has covered the spread in 75.0% of its games this season, with an average margin above the spread of +6.7 points.
TB trend: Tampa Bay has covered in 62.5% of its games this season and holds a margin above the spread of +2.9 points.
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New England vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New England vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
| NE Moneyline | +120 |
|---|---|
| TB Moneyline | -144 |
| NE Spread | +2.5 |
| TB Spread | -2.5 |
| Over / Under | 48.5 |
New England vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New England Patriots vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers on November 09, 2025 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| SEA@NE | SEA -4.5 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| LAR@SEA | SAM DARNOLD TO THROW AN INT | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| NE@DEN | DRAKE MAYE OVER 29.5 PASS ATT | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| NE@DEN | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| NE@DEN | DEN +4 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@NE | HOU +3.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@NE | OVER 40.5 | 51.2% | 1 | WIN |
| LAR@CHI | UNDER 49 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| HOU@NE | DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@CHI | KYREN WILLIAMS OVER 59.5 RUSH YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | JAUAN JENNINGS OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| BUF@DEN | BO NIX OVER 243.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | SF +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@PIT | UNDER 38.5 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| HOU@PIT | AARON RODGERS UNDER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@NE | DRAKE MAYE OVER 0.5 INT THROWN | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| BUF@JAC | TRAVIS ETIENNE UNDER 81.5 RUSH + RECV YDS | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SF@PHI | SF +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@NE | LAC +3.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| SF@PHI | UNDER 44 | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| BUF@JAC | UNDER 51 | 52.1% | 1 | PUSH |
| LAR@CAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS UNDER 0.5 INT THROWN | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@PIT | DERRICK HENRY OVER 99.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | JAHMYR GIBBS ANYTIME TD | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@HOU | CJ STROUD OVER 221.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@JAC | JAC -13.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@CIN | CIN -7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@NYG | OVER 49.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@TB | BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| SEA@SF | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 11.5 RUSH ATT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@SF | CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY OVER 5.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| LAR@ATL | KYLE PITS OVER 54.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAR@ATL | BIJAN ROBINSON UNDER 44.5 RECV YDS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@SF | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 224.5 PASS YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| JAC@IND | MICHAEL PITTMAN OVER 49.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PIT@CLE | CLE +4.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| ARI@CIN | CIN -7 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| TB@MIA | TB -4.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYG@LV | NYG -2 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@NYJ | NE -13.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@TEN | NO -1 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
| NYG@LV | UNDER 41.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| HOU@LAC | CJ STROUD OVER 0.5 INT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@WAS | DAL -8.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@KC | RJ HARVEY ANYTIME TD | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@WAS | TERRY MCLAURIN ANYTIME TD | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| SF@IND | BROCK PURDY OVER 0.5 INT | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| SF@IND | MICHAEL PITTMAN JR OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |