Bills vs Dolphins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Nov 09)
Updated: 2025-11-02T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Buffalo Bills travel to face the Miami Dolphins on November 9, 2025 in a key AFC East tilt where divisional positioning and momentum are both on the line. Buffalo arrives as a strong favorite based on recent dominance in the rivalry, while Miami looks to shake off early inconsistencies and defend home turf with urgency.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 09, 2025
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Dolphins Record: (2-7)
Bills Record: (6-2)
OPENING ODDS
BUF Moneyline: -495
MIA Moneyline: +375
BUF Spread: -50.5
MIA Spread: +9.5
Over/Under: 50.5
BUF
Betting Trends
- Buffalo has posted a cover rate of approximately 42.9% this season, with an average margin above the spread of +1.9 points, indicating they’re winning somewhat convincingly when they do cover.
MIA
Betting Trends
- Miami currently sits at a cover rate of about 50.0%, with a negative average margin against the spread of –2.8 points, suggesting they often lose lesser than expected but struggle to dominate.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite Miami’s neutral cover rate, their negative margin and Buffalo’s positive margin suggest the Bills may offer premium value even as the road team. Add in Buffalo’s recent dominance in the head-to-head rivalry (they’ve won 12 of the last 13 meetings) and this matchup presents a scenario where the away favourite could remain the best play against the spread.
BUF vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Achane over 58.5 Rushing Yards.
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Buffalo vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/9/25
The key for Buffalo’s defense will be containing Miami’s explosive offense—particularly wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, whose speed can stretch the field and create instant scoring threats. The Bills will prioritize taking away the deep ball and forcing Tua Tagovailoa to sustain long drives, an area where Miami has struggled against disciplined defenses. The Dolphins, meanwhile, come into this matchup seeking redemption after recent setbacks and are desperate to prove they can compete physically with Buffalo’s front seven. Tagovailoa remains the orchestrator of one of the league’s most explosive offenses, ranking among the league leaders in completion percentage, and his chemistry with Hill and Waddle remains elite when protected. Head coach Mike McDaniel’s system thrives on timing, motion, and creating space, but when disrupted—particularly by interior pressure—Miami’s rhythm can collapse. Expect the Dolphins to lean on their run game, utilizing Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane to challenge Buffalo’s linebackers and open up play-action opportunities. Defensively, Miami’s pass rush led by Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips will aim to contain Allen in the pocket, but that task has proven easier said than done over the years. The Dolphins’ secondary, featuring Jalen Ramsey and Jevon Holland, must stay disciplined against a Bills offense that excels in extending plays. This matchup ultimately boils down to execution in critical moments—third downs, red-zone efficiency, and turnover margin. Buffalo’s experience and composure under pressure give them a slight edge, but Miami’s home-field advantage and offensive explosiveness make this game anything but predictable. Expect fireworks from both sides, with Allen and Tagovailoa trading big plays in a chess match that could come down to who controls tempo and limits mistakes in the fourth quarter. In a rivalry built on emotion and momentum, the outcome will likely hinge on which team can strike first—and which one can finish stronger when the clock winds down in South Florida.
Allen vs. Mahomes: Chapter 10. pic.twitter.com/FZ1gg3GXrj
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) November 4, 2025
Buffalo Bills NFL Preview
The Buffalo Bills travel to South Florida on November 9, 2025, to take on the Miami Dolphins in a high-stakes AFC East matchup that carries significant playoff implications and a familiar narrative of dominance they’ll look to continue. The Bills have owned this rivalry in recent years, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings, and quarterback Josh Allen has played some of his best football against Miami—consistently torching the Dolphins’ defense with a combination of power, precision, and improvisation. Buffalo enters this game with a renewed sense of balance offensively, evolving from a pass-heavy attack into a more controlled and diversified scheme that blends Allen’s arm strength with an improved ground game led by running back James Cook. Cook has become one of the most explosive dual-threat backs in the league, capable of breaking runs outside the tackles and serving as a dependable receiver in space. Offensive coordinator Joe Brady has designed a system that emphasizes rhythm and tempo, allowing Allen to spread the ball to multiple weapons, including Stefon Diggs, Dalton Kincaid, and rookie wideout Keon Coleman, who has added physicality and contested-catch ability. Against a Miami defense that thrives on speed and pressure, the Bills will likely employ short, quick-developing routes and designed rollouts to neutralize the pass rush led by Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips. The offensive line’s performance will be critical; keeping Allen upright and allowing him to dictate pace is essential to sustaining drives and capitalizing in the red zone.
Defensively, Buffalo’s identity remains anchored in its ability to disrupt timing and force turnovers. Even with injuries throughout the season, the Bills’ defensive unit continues to rank among the league’s best in takeaways, sacks, and third-down stops. Defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier’s unit thrives on adaptability, disguising coverages that bait quarterbacks into mistakes. Linebacker Matt Milano and defensive tackle Ed Oliver will be instrumental in limiting Miami’s ground game, particularly against Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane, who fuel the Dolphins’ explosive offense with their speed and vision. The key for Buffalo’s defense will be maintaining discipline against Mike McDaniel’s motion-heavy system designed to create mismatches and confusion. Cornerbacks Rasul Douglas and Kaiir Elam, along with safety Jordan Poyer, will have their hands full trying to contain Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle—two of the NFL’s fastest receivers capable of flipping the game with a single play. The Bills will aim to keep Tua Tagovailoa uncomfortable, forcing him into tight windows and off-script situations where his efficiency tends to dip. On special teams, kicker Tyler Bass and punter Sam Martin will play key roles in controlling field position in what could become a battle of momentum swings. For Buffalo, the formula for success is straightforward but demanding—control the tempo, win the turnover battle, and maintain composure in Miami’s humid, hostile environment. If Allen continues his mastery of the Dolphins and the defense maintains its opportunistic edge, the Bills have every reason to believe they can extend their dominance in this rivalry. This game represents more than just another divisional test; it’s a statement opportunity for Buffalo to reinforce its status as the class of the AFC East and remind the league that even on the road, they remain one of the NFL’s most complete and dangerous teams.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins return home to Hard Rock Stadium on November 9, 2025, for a massive divisional showdown against the Buffalo Bills, a team that has long been their measuring stick in the AFC East. Despite Miami’s recent growth under head coach Mike McDaniel, the Bills have been a persistent thorn in their side, dominating the rivalry for nearly half a decade. This matchup gives the Dolphins a chance to rewrite that story—to prove they can stand toe-to-toe with one of the league’s elite and defend their home field against a team that has consistently exploited their weaknesses. The Dolphins’ offense remains one of the most electrifying in the NFL, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, whose quick release and accuracy make him a perfect fit for McDaniel’s fast-paced, motion-heavy system. When in rhythm, Tua has been deadly efficient, spreading the ball to the league’s most dynamic receiving duo in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who continue to redefine how speed changes defensive strategy. Hill, in particular, has been unstoppable at home, regularly surpassing 100 yards receiving and forcing defenses to adjust their coverage shells. Running backs Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane add an explosive element to the backfield, combining world-class speed with the vision and versatility to break open big plays both inside and outside the tackles. Against Buffalo, Miami’s offensive success will depend heavily on protection—keeping Tua upright against the Bills’ aggressive front seven, led by Ed Oliver and Greg Rousseau.
The Dolphins’ offensive line has improved but remains inconsistent, particularly against teams that disguise blitzes and force pre-snap confusion. Expect McDaniel to use quick throws, screens, and motion to offset Buffalo’s pressure and create favorable matchups in space. Defensively, the Dolphins have shown significant improvement under coordinator Anthony Weaver, emphasizing more physicality up front and improved discipline in the secondary. The return of Jalen Ramsey has brought leadership and swagger back to Miami’s defensive backfield, while Jevon Holland continues to develop into one of the premier safeties in the league. Linebacker David Long Jr. and edge rushers Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips will be tasked with containing Josh Allen, a quarterback who has tormented Miami for years with his ability to extend plays and punish coverage breakdowns. The Dolphins’ defensive plan will focus on forcing Allen to stay in the pocket and preventing him from converting broken plays into back-breaking gains. They must tackle cleanly, stay disciplined in pursuit, and limit Buffalo’s red-zone efficiency—a key factor that has tilted this rivalry heavily in the Bills’ favor. Special teams and crowd energy could play pivotal roles; Hard Rock Stadium’s atmosphere has become one of the loudest in football when the Dolphins start fast, and an early lead could energize a defense eager to make a statement. Miami’s formula for victory is clear—control tempo, win the turnover battle, and make explosive plays while avoiding them on defense. To finally conquer Buffalo, the Dolphins must marry discipline with aggression and prove they can finish drives under pressure. If Tagovailoa remains composed, the offensive line holds up, and the defense limits Allen’s improvisation, the Dolphins have a realistic path to pull off a long-awaited statement win. A victory here would not only snap Buffalo’s dominance but also cement Miami’s emergence as a legitimate AFC power—one capable of turning flash into substance and potential into postseason promise.
Thank you, JP 🧡 pic.twitter.com/H5OGvbQ6s7
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 3, 2025
Buffalo vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
Buffalo vs. Miami Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Bills and Dolphins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the growing factor emotional bettors regularly put on Miami’s strength factors between a Bills team going up against a possibly strong Dolphins team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Buffalo vs Miami picks, computer picks Bills vs Dolphins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Bills Betting Trends
Buffalo has posted a cover rate of approximately 42.9% this season, with an average margin above the spread of +1.9 points, indicating they’re winning somewhat convincingly when they do cover.
Dolphins Betting Trends
Miami currently sits at a cover rate of about 50.0%, with a negative average margin against the spread of –2.8 points, suggesting they often lose lesser than expected but struggle to dominate.
Bills vs. Dolphins Matchup Trends
Despite Miami’s neutral cover rate, their negative margin and Buffalo’s positive margin suggest the Bills may offer premium value even as the road team. Add in Buffalo’s recent dominance in the head-to-head rivalry (they’ve won 12 of the last 13 meetings) and this matchup presents a scenario where the away favourite could remain the best play against the spread.
Buffalo vs. Miami Game Info
What time does Buffalo vs Miami start on November 09, 2025?
Buffalo vs Miami starts on November 09, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is Buffalo vs Miami being played?
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Buffalo vs Miami?
Spread: Miami +9.5
Moneyline: Buffalo -495, Miami +375
Over/Under: 50.5
What are the records for Buffalo vs Miami?
Buffalo: (6-2) | Miami: (2-7)
What is the AI best bet for Buffalo vs Miami?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Achane over 58.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Buffalo vs Miami trending bets?
Despite Miami’s neutral cover rate, their negative margin and Buffalo’s positive margin suggest the Bills may offer premium value even as the road team. Add in Buffalo’s recent dominance in the head-to-head rivalry (they’ve won 12 of the last 13 meetings) and this matchup presents a scenario where the away favourite could remain the best play against the spread.
What are Buffalo trending bets?
BUF trend: Buffalo has posted a cover rate of approximately 42.9% this season, with an average margin above the spread of +1.9 points, indicating they’re winning somewhat convincingly when they do cover.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: Miami currently sits at a cover rate of about 50.0%, with a negative average margin against the spread of –2.8 points, suggesting they often lose lesser than expected but struggle to dominate.
Where can I find AI Picks for Buffalo vs Miami?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Buffalo vs. Miami Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Buffalo vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Buffalo vs Miami Opening Odds
BUF Moneyline:
-495 MIA Moneyline: +375
BUF Spread: -50.5
MIA Spread: +9.5
Over/Under: 50.5
Buffalo vs Miami Live Odds
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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11/13/25 8:15PM
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Patriots
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–
–
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+520
-800
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+12.5 (-110)
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O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
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+119
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Atlanta Falcons
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–
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+155
-200
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+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
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O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
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–
–
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+131
-169
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+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
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–
–
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-164
+129
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-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
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–
–
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-420
+300
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-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
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–
–
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+180
-236
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+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+187
-248
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
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–
–
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-420
+295
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-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
|
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
|
–
–
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-142
+111
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-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
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Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+129
-166
|
+3 (-120)
-3 (+100)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
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-208
+160
|
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
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–
–
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-429
+300
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-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
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O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
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–
–
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-106
-120
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+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
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O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
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Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
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–
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-194
+150
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-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins on November 09, 2025 at Hard Rock Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |