Giants vs Saints Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 05)
Updated: 2025-09-28T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
This Week 5 showdown in New Orleans pits a New York Giants squad riding momentum after their first win against a Saints team desperate to stave off a winless start. Both offenses have struggled to consistently produce, making turnovers, red zone execution, and situational efficiency likely determinants of the final result.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 05, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Caesars Superdome
Saints Record: (0-4)
Giants Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
NYG Moneyline: -106
NO Moneyline: -113
NYG Spread: +1.5
NO Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 40.5
NYG
Betting Trends
- The Giants have covered only 1 of their first 3 games this season, giving them a 33.3 % ATS cover rate.
NO
Betting Trends
- The Saints currently sit at 0–3 against the spread in 2025, failing to cover in any of their games thus far.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In matchups where both teams’ offenses are among the league’s poorest in output, lines often shift toward unders or tight spreads, and bettors will watch metrics like points off turnovers and red zone TD percentage closely — the team converting fewer red zone opportunities or committing more turnovers often fails to cover. Also, when a visiting team rides recent momentum (like NYG) into a home underdog that has underperformed ATS, contrarian angles on the road cover tend to attract sharper interest.
NYG vs. NO
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Rattler over 189.5 Passing Yards.
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New York vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/5/25
The Saints’ defense has its own issues, having given up chunk plays and struggling to stay disciplined against play-action, but facing a Giants team that just lost its most explosive playmaker, they may find opportunities to compress the field, challenge receivers at the line, and trust their safeties to clean up intermediate routes. This game feels like one that will be decided less by explosive plays and more by execution in high-leverage moments: red zone efficiency, third-down conversions, and turnover differential. Special teams could loom large as well, as both offenses may struggle to consistently finish drives, making hidden yardage from punts, coverage units, and field goal accuracy pivotal. From a betting perspective, both teams have underwhelmed ATS this season, with the Giants covering just once and the Saints failing to cover in all their games, which highlights how unpredictable each has been relative to expectations. Ultimately, the matchup boils down to which team can impose its will on tempo: if the Giants protect their quarterback, stay on schedule with quick-game passing, and play opportunistic defense, they could capitalize on the Saints’ desperation and steal a road win, but if New Orleans establishes the run, controls clock, and forces Dart into hurried throws or turnovers, the home team could finally notch its first victory and cover in front of a crowd demanding a response.
— New York Giants (@Giants) September 29, 2025
New York Giants NFL Preview
The New York Giants enter their October 5, 2025 road matchup against the New Orleans Saints with momentum after their first win of the season but also with the burden of having lost their most dynamic weapon in Malik Nabers, whose torn ACL forces the offense to reimagine itself on the fly and test the resilience of rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart in a hostile environment. Dart showed poise and athleticism in his first start, but without Nabers stretching the field vertically, the Giants must lean heavily on timing concepts, intermediate routes, quick screens, and pre-snap motion to manufacture separation and keep the chains moving, and their offensive line must be sharper than ever against a Saints defense that, while inconsistent, still brings disguised pressures and edge rushes capable of collapsing pockets quickly. The Giants’ running game becomes even more vital under these circumstances, as even moderate success on the ground forces New Orleans to respect balance and opens play-action opportunities that can attack linebackers and safeties who are tempted to creep downhill.
On defense, New York’s blueprint will be to control early downs by stifling Alvin Kamara and the Saints’ ground game, which would force Spencer Rattler into predictable passing situations where the Giants can unleash disguised coverages, mugged A-gap looks, and blitz packages designed to create confusion and turnovers. The Giants’ secondary will need to stay disciplined against New Orleans’s use of bunch formations and crossing concepts, while tackling in space is paramount to prevent routine completions from turning into explosive plays. Special teams execution may provide the margin, as in a contest likely to be defined by red zone efficiency and turnovers, hidden yardage on punts, field goal reliability, or one big return could decide the outcome. From a betting standpoint, the Giants have been poor ATS, covering only once in their first three outings, but as a road underdog facing a winless Saints squad that has yet to cover at all, the opportunity exists for New York to defy trends if they protect the football and force New Orleans into long fields. Their formula for success is clear but demanding: protect Dart long enough to let him settle into rhythm, sustain drives with efficiency rather than explosion, capitalize on any turnover chances created by their defense, and convert red zone opportunities into touchdowns rather than field goals. If the Giants manage that blend of discipline and opportunism, they not only have a path to covering the spread but also to pulling off an outright win that would flip the script on their season and further compound the Saints’ struggles.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New Orleans Saints NFL Preview
The New Orleans Saints enter their October 5, 2025 home matchup against the New York Giants in a state of urgency, searching for their first win of the season and desperate to prove that their new system under Kellen Moore can find traction before the campaign slips away, and they will look to use the energy of the Superdome to spark a roster that has underachieved badly to this point. Offensively, the Saints must establish rhythm early with Spencer Rattler managing possessions efficiently and Alvin Kamara shouldering the workload on the ground, because without a reliable run game the Saints’ offensive line, already under pressure from recent inconsistencies, risks exposing its quarterback to the Giants’ aggressive pass rush. Creative play-calling will be essential, with misdirection, screens, and layered route concepts designed to give Rattler easier reads and open lanes, and hitting tight ends and slot receivers on timing throws could be a way to exploit New York’s secondary in short spaces. Defensively, the Saints have been porous, failing to generate consistent pressure and giving up too many explosive plays, but facing a Giants team without Malik Nabers presents an opportunity to compress the field, load the box, and challenge less proven receivers to win outside.
Their defensive front must win on early downs, force Jaxson Dart into long passing situations, and disguise coverages to bait the rookie into mistakes, while their secondary has to communicate well to avoid giving up chunk gains off motion or busted assignments. Situational execution is where New Orleans can regain control: they must improve on third downs, finish drives with touchdowns in the red zone, and win the turnover battle, all areas that have betrayed them during their slow start. Special teams can also play a pivotal role, whether by flipping field position with directional punting, limiting return opportunities, or knocking through field goals to avoid empty possessions in a game that may hinge on every point. From a betting perspective, the Saints are 0-3 ATS and have consistently failed to meet expectations, making this matchup as much about restoring credibility as it is about getting into the win column, and their ability to leverage home-field advantage against a depleted Giants offense could finally align them with the market. Their formula for success is straightforward: lean on Kamara to set the tone, protect Rattler by dictating balance and pace, pressure Dart into hurried throws, and let the crowd energy feed into defensive intensity that has been missing. If they execute cleanly in those phases, avoid the sloppy mistakes that have haunted them, and find ways to control time of possession, the Saints have every reason to believe they can not only secure their first win but also cover the spread, stabilizing a rocky start to the season and providing the spark needed to keep their year alive.
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) September 29, 2025
New York vs. New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)
New York vs. New Orleans Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Giants and Saints and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on New York’s strength factors between a Giants team going up against a possibly improved Saints team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Giants vs Saints, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NFL | 10/23 | MIN@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/23 | MIN@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Giants Betting Trends
The Giants have covered only 1 of their first 3 games this season, giving them a 33.3 % ATS cover rate.
Saints Betting Trends
The Saints currently sit at 0–3 against the spread in 2025, failing to cover in any of their games thus far.
Giants vs. Saints Matchup Trends
In matchups where both teams’ offenses are among the league’s poorest in output, lines often shift toward unders or tight spreads, and bettors will watch metrics like points off turnovers and red zone TD percentage closely — the team converting fewer red zone opportunities or committing more turnovers often fails to cover. Also, when a visiting team rides recent momentum (like NYG) into a home underdog that has underperformed ATS, contrarian angles on the road cover tend to attract sharper interest.
New York vs. New Orleans Game Info
What time does New York vs New Orleans start on October 05, 2025?
New York vs New Orleans starts on October 05, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is New York vs New Orleans being played?
Venue: Caesars Superdome.
What are the opening odds for New York vs New Orleans?
Spread: New Orleans -1.5
Moneyline: New York -106, New Orleans -113
Over/Under: 40.5
What are the records for New York vs New Orleans?
New York: (1-3) | New Orleans: (0-4)
What is the AI best bet for New York vs New Orleans?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Rattler over 189.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York vs New Orleans trending bets?
In matchups where both teams’ offenses are among the league’s poorest in output, lines often shift toward unders or tight spreads, and bettors will watch metrics like points off turnovers and red zone TD percentage closely — the team converting fewer red zone opportunities or committing more turnovers often fails to cover. Also, when a visiting team rides recent momentum (like NYG) into a home underdog that has underperformed ATS, contrarian angles on the road cover tend to attract sharper interest.
What are New York trending bets?
NYG trend: The Giants have covered only 1 of their first 3 games this season, giving them a 33.3 % ATS cover rate.
What are New Orleans trending bets?
NO trend: The Saints currently sit at 0–3 against the spread in 2025, failing to cover in any of their games thus far.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York vs New Orleans?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. New Orleans Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New York vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York vs New Orleans Opening Odds
NYG Moneyline:
-106 NO Moneyline: -113
NYG Spread: +1.5
NO Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 40.5
New York vs New Orleans Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
In Progress
Vikings
Chargers
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3
24
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+4500
-50000
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+19.5 (-120)
-19.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-120)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
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–
–
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+300
-375
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+7 (-115)
-7 (-105)
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O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
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–
–
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-375
+300
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-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
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O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
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–
–
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+240
-300
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+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
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–
–
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+230
-285
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+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
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O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
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–
–
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+300
-375
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
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–
–
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+110
-130
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+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
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O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
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–
–
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+330
-425
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+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
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–
–
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-210
+175
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-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
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O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
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–
–
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+150
-180
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+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
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O 51 (-110)
U 51 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
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–
–
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+800
-1400
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+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
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–
–
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-170
+140
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-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
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O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
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Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
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–
–
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+550
-800
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+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Oct 30, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Miami Dolphins
10/30/25 8:15PM
Ravens
Dolphins
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–
–
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-395
+310
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
11/2/25 1PM
Bears
Bengals
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–
–
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-118
-102
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-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/2/25 1PM
Colts
Steelers
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–
–
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-148
+124
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-2.5 (-118)
+2.5 (-102)
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O 48.5 (-118)
U 48.5 (-102)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints on October 05, 2025 at Caesars Superdome.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |