Dolphins vs. Panthers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Oct 05 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-28T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Dolphins visit the Carolina Panthers on October 5, 2025 in a Week 5 matchup that pits a struggling Dolphins team against a Panthers squad eager to build on divisional momentum. With contrasting early season trajectories, this game presents a chance for both franchises to assert control in their respective divisions and gain confidence.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Oct 05, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​
Venue: Bank of America Stadium​
Panthers Record: (1-3)
Dolphins Record: (0-3)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: -125
CAR Moneyline: +105
MIA Spread: -1.5
CAR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 46.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- Through the first weeks of 2025, Miami is 1-2 against the spread, posting a 33.3 % cover rate, and on the road their ATS performance has been uneven in recent seasons, failing to deliver consistent value as underdogs or favorites.
CAR
Betting Trends
- Carolina enters the game with a 2-1 ATS record so far in 2025, covering in two of their three outings, and at home they have shown a modest edge in meeting or exceeding expectations in matchups where their defense and tempo control are factors.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- According to matchup analysis, the projected spread for this game is quite narrow, suggesting bettors may split or sway toward either side depending on sharper situational angles, and historical trend data indicates that in similar matchups the underdog has sometimes produced surprising ATS outcomes, especially when the favored team has shown inconsistency prior.
MIA vs. CAR
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup:
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Miami vs Carolina Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/5/25
The betting markets view this game narrowly, with spreads projected to hover around a field goal, which underscores how situational football could ultimately decide the outcome, including penalties, special teams swings, red-zone efficiency, and turnover differential. Miami’s history of ATS struggles, particularly on the road, complicates their outlook, while Carolina has shown an early ability to cover spreads when playing in Charlotte, suggesting an environment that favors the Panthers. Still, the Dolphins possess explosiveness that, if harnessed, could tilt momentum with one or two big plays, whether from their receiving corps breaking free or a defensive turnover creating a short field; they remain a dangerous team to underestimate even in poor form. This matchup may ultimately be decided by which quarterback handles pressure more effectively—Miami needs poise and accuracy under duress, while Carolina must avoid conservative stagnation that has occasionally limited their ceiling. With divisional aspirations on the line and the season entering a critical stretch, both sides know a win here not only builds confidence but also prevents further erosion of playoff hopes. Expect a tense, competitive game where neither team has the luxury of mistakes, and with the national spotlight smaller than primetime but still meaningful, both coaching staffs will be forced to get creative in order to exploit mismatches and secure an edge.
See you tomorrow @HardRockStadium 🏟️ pic.twitter.com/ml1sWnl793
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) September 29, 2025
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins enter their October 5, 2025 road matchup against the Carolina Panthers with urgency and pressure mounting after an 0-3 start to the season, and they will need to make significant improvements across the board if they hope to secure their first win and restore confidence in a campaign that has quickly tilted off course. Offensively, the Dolphins’ issues have stemmed from inconsistent offensive line play, turnovers, and stalled red-zone execution, and fixing those problems will be crucial in a hostile environment like Bank of America Stadium where crowd noise will amplify every mistake. Quarterback play will be under the microscope, as Miami needs composure, quick reads, and accuracy to neutralize Carolina’s defense, and the Dolphins must also find a way to integrate their running game more effectively to create balance and keep the Panthers from teeing off with pass rush pressure. The Dolphins’ wideouts remain capable of explosive plays, and their speed on the outside is one of the few areas where they can gain an advantage, but unless protection holds up and the scheme allows for quick-developing plays, those opportunities may be limited.
On defense, Miami has to adopt a bend-but-don’t-break mentality, focusing on shutting down Carolina’s ground game, limiting big plays through the air, and forcing turnovers to create short fields for their struggling offense; this opportunistic approach may be their best chance to offset deficiencies. Special teams discipline will also be vital, as flipping field position could give the Dolphins the incremental advantages they need to keep pace in what oddsmakers project as a close contest. Historically, Miami has not traveled well against the spread, with just one cover in their first three games this year and long-term inconsistency on the road, so they must lean on execution and resiliency to overcome both statistical trends and the Panthers’ home-field advantage. Head coach Mike McDaniel will be challenged to get creative with play-calling, finding ways to disguise protections, incorporate more motion to create mismatches, and keep Carolina’s defense guessing, while also ensuring his defense stays fresh by winning time-of-possession battles. The Dolphins’ path to victory or even a cover lies in playing mistake-free football, capitalizing on their rare opportunities, and staying mentally tough in what is likely to be a hostile setting; if they can find rhythm early and avoid the slow starts that have plagued them, they could tilt the game toward their explosive playmakers and make this contest more competitive than their record suggests.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Carolina Panthers NFL Preview
The Carolina Panthers head into their October 5, 2025 matchup against the Miami Dolphins with optimism and the momentum of playing at Bank of America Stadium, where they have been more reliable against the spread and have used their defensive identity to keep games competitive, and they know this contest presents a chance to solidify themselves as a team capable of rising within the NFC South race. At 1-2, the Panthers have not been perfect, but their defense has shown grit and discipline, particularly in limiting explosive plays and forcing opponents into uncomfortable third-down situations, and they will aim to continue that trend against a Dolphins offense that has struggled with turnovers, pass protection, and finishing drives. The front seven will be the key, as Carolina must apply steady pressure, collapse Miami’s pocket, and bottle up the run to make the Dolphins one-dimensional, and if they can control the trenches, it will allow their secondary to focus on preventing Miami’s speedy receivers from breaking free. On offense, the Panthers must remain balanced by establishing their ground game early and using it to set up play-action opportunities, while also taking calculated deep shots to stretch Miami’s defense and keep them guessing.
Carolina’s skill position talent has provided sparks, and emerging young players have offered signs of growth, giving quarterback support and a more diverse set of weapons to lean on, and this game is a chance to showcase that development against a defense that has been vulnerable. Discipline will be critical, as penalties and turnovers have occasionally stunted drives, but at home with the crowd behind them, the Panthers can harness energy to create momentum swings in their favor, especially on defense in high-leverage situations. With a 2-1 ATS record through three games, Carolina has been meeting market expectations, and a cover here would not only reinforce their reputation as a strong bet at home but also highlight their ability to control outcomes against struggling opponents. The coaching staff will need to prioritize situational execution, ensuring the team converts red-zone opportunities into touchdowns rather than field goals, as those points could make the difference in what oddsmakers project to be a narrow contest. Ultimately, the Panthers’ formula for victory is clear: win the line of scrimmage, sustain offensive balance, protect the football, and leverage the home-field advantage to keep Miami on its heels, and if they execute that blueprint, they will be well positioned not only to secure the win but also to cover the spread and continue building confidence in a season where every victory matters.
Four takeaways from Foxboro: Bryce Young on Tetairoa McMillan connection, and morehttps://t.co/TTeKN61YRm
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) September 28, 2025
Miami vs. Carolina Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Carolina Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Dolphins and Panthers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors often put on Carolina’s strength factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly improved Panthers team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Carolina picks, computer picks Dolphins vs Panthers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Dolphins Betting Trends
Through the first weeks of 2025, Miami is 1-2 against the spread, posting a 33.3 % cover rate, and on the road their ATS performance has been uneven in recent seasons, failing to deliver consistent value as underdogs or favorites.
Panthers Betting Trends
Carolina enters the game with a 2-1 ATS record so far in 2025, covering in two of their three outings, and at home they have shown a modest edge in meeting or exceeding expectations in matchups where their defense and tempo control are factors.
Dolphins vs. Panthers Matchup Trends
According to matchup analysis, the projected spread for this game is quite narrow, suggesting bettors may split or sway toward either side depending on sharper situational angles, and historical trend data indicates that in similar matchups the underdog has sometimes produced surprising ATS outcomes, especially when the favored team has shown inconsistency prior.
Miami vs. Carolina Game Info
What time does Miami vs Carolina start on October 05, 2025?
Miami vs Carolina starts on October 05, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Carolina being played?
Venue: Bank of America Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Carolina?
Spread: Carolina +1.5
Moneyline: Miami -125, Carolina +105
Over/Under: 46.5
What are the records for Miami vs Carolina?
Miami: (0-3) Â |Â Carolina: (1-3)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Carolina?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup:. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Carolina trending bets?
According to matchup analysis, the projected spread for this game is quite narrow, suggesting bettors may split or sway toward either side depending on sharper situational angles, and historical trend data indicates that in similar matchups the underdog has sometimes produced surprising ATS outcomes, especially when the favored team has shown inconsistency prior.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: Through the first weeks of 2025, Miami is 1-2 against the spread, posting a 33.3 % cover rate, and on the road their ATS performance has been uneven in recent seasons, failing to deliver consistent value as underdogs or favorites.
What are Carolina trending bets?
CAR trend: Carolina enters the game with a 2-1 ATS record so far in 2025, covering in two of their three outings, and at home they have shown a modest edge in meeting or exceeding expectations in matchups where their defense and tempo control are factors.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Carolina?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Carolina Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Carolina trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs Carolina Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
-125 CAR Moneyline: +105
MIA Spread: -1.5
CAR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 46.5
Miami vs Carolina Live Odds
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---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
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–
–
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+274
-340
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+7 (-106)
-7 (-104)
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O 46.5 (-107)
U 46.5 (-107)
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|
Oct 5, 2025 9:31AM EDT
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Cleveland Browns
10/5/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Browns
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–
–
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-195
+170
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-3.5 (-102)
+3.5 (-118)
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O 36 (-110)
U 36 (-110)
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Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
10/5/25 1:01PM
Raiders
Colts
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–
–
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+249
-305
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+6.5 (+107)
-6.5 (-118)
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O 48 (-107)
U 48 (-107)
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Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints
10/5/25 1:01PM
Giants
Saints
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–
–
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+112
-132
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+2 (-104)
-2 (-106)
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O 42 (-110)
U 42 (-104)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
10/5/25 1:01PM
Texans
Ravens
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1 (-110)
+1 (+100)
|
O 40 (-107)
U 40 (-107)
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Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Denver Broncos
Philadelphia Eagles
10/5/25 1:01PM
Broncos
Eagles
|
–
–
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+177
-205
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+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-105)
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O 43.5 (-113)
U 43.5 (-102)
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Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets
10/5/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Jets
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–
–
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-140
+120
|
-2.5 (-104)
+2.5 (-106)
|
O 47 (-113)
U 47 (-102)
|
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Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Carolina Panthers
10/5/25 1:01PM
Dolphins
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-118
-102
|
-1 (-113)
+1 (-107)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks
10/5/25 4:06PM
Buccaneers
Seahawks
|
–
–
|
+157
-180
|
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-102)
|
O 44.5 (-107)
U 44.5 (-107)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Arizona Cardinals
10/5/25 4:06PM
Titans
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
+327
-415
|
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-107)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Los Angeles Chargers
10/5/25 4:26PM
Commanders
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+125
-145
|
+2.5 (+104)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 48 (-107)
U 48 (-107)
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Oct 5, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Cincinnati Bengals
10/5/25 4:26PM
Lions
Bengals
|
–
–
|
-525
+400
|
-10 (-105)
+10 (-105)
|
O 49.5 (-107)
U 49.5 (-107)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 8:21PM EDT
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
10/5/25 8:21PM
Patriots
Bills
|
–
–
|
+316
-400
|
+7.5 (-112)
-7.5 (+101)
|
O 49.5 (-102)
U 49.5 (-113)
|
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Oct 6, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars
10/6/25 8:16PM
Chiefs
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-185
+161
|
-3.5 (+102)
+3.5 (-113)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-104)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
10/9/25 8:16PM
Eagles
Giants
|
–
–
|
-395
+310
|
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
|
O 42.5 (-107)
U 42.5 (-107)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 8:31AM EDT
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
10/12/25 8:31AM
Broncos
Jets
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–
–
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-298
+240
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-6.5 (+100)
+6.5 (-120)
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O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers on October 05, 2025 at Bank of America Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |