Cowboys vs. Jets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Oct 05 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-28T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
This Week 5 matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Jets pits a Cowboys team searching for defensive stability against a Jets squad still winless and under pressure to find consistency. Expect a game determined by turnovers, pass rush effectiveness, and how well either team can force negative plays in key moments.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Oct 05, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: MetLife Stadium
Jets Record: (0-4)
Cowboys Record: (1-2)
OPENING ODDS
DAL Moneyline: -147
NYJ Moneyline: +122
DAL Spread: -2.5
NYJ Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 46.5
DAL
Betting Trends
- Dallas has a 1–2 ATS record in 2025, covering only one of their first three games.
NYJ
Betting Trends
- While the Jets are 0–3 straight up this season, their ATS record is better: according to ATS trends they have covered in 2 of their first 3 games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In matchups where a team strong in offense but weak on defense (Dallas) faces a team desperate for wins (Jets), sportsbooks often narrow spreads and look for props tied to turnovers and sack differential. Also, lines might shift late as bettors weigh the Cowboys’ recent defensive woes, making angles on “gamescript props” and live adjustments more volatile than usual.
DAL vs. NYJ
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Prescott over 242.5 Passing Yards.
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Dallas vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/5/25
Offensively, New York’s plan centers on quarterback mobility, a physical ground approach, and selective shot plays off play-action designed to attack vacated zones when Dallas overplays the run; if the Jets can stay on schedule with efficient early-down runs, quick game to the perimeter, and occasional boot action, they not only help their defense by controlling tempo but also create chances for explosives versus safeties who peak into the backfield. Special teams and hidden yardage loom large in a potentially tight contest: directional punting, coverage discipline, and mid-range field goal reliability can convert stalled drives into points and flip the ATS calculus by a possession. The Jets’ avenue to a cover involves collapsing edges, creating second-and-long, and turning the game into a series of high-leverage snaps where their defense can tee off; Dallas’s avenue involves pace, protection, and red-zone touchdowns instead of field goals, leveraging their receiver separation advantages to force the Jets into lighter boxes the run game can exploit. Penalties are the quiet wildcard, as drive-extending flags or offensive holds that erase explosives have outsized impact in a game state the Jets prefer. Ultimately, if Dallas protects and finishes drives, their explosive ceiling becomes decisive; if New York dictates the down-and-distance ledger, steals an extra possession, and keeps Dallas behind the sticks, the home side can grind this into the sort of fourth-quarter coin flip that maps well to a home cover.
QB1️⃣@dak | @Gatorade pic.twitter.com/0opOGoI6wT
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) September 29, 2025
Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview
Dallas arrives with a mandate to reclaim offensive rhythm by protecting the quarterback, sequencing early-down efficiency into explosive play-action shots, and forcing the Jets’ defense into space where receiver depth and route craftsmanship can punish tight windows, and that process starts with a protection plan that acknowledges New York’s ability to win with four by incorporating chips, condensed splits, sprintouts, and moving launch points that prevent pure tee-off scenarios on long-developing concepts. The Cowboys want to stress the Jets horizontally with motion and quick perimeter touches before attacking vertically off double-moves and deep crossers, and when they lean into under-center play-action with wide zone or duo credibility, safeties are compelled to honor the run, opening the intermediate seams that define Dallas’s explosive identity; complementary screens to backs and tight ends can also blunt the rush and turn aggressiveness against it.
The run game does not need to dominate so much as remain credible at four-plus yards per carry to keep the script balanced and allow favorable second-and-medium calls that retain both the threat of shot plays and the comfort of high-percentage throws, and if the Cowboys hold penalties in check, they can stack successful plays into red-zone trips that must end in touchdowns rather than field goals to protect against late-game variance. Defensively, Dallas’s charge is to own first down by defeating blocks on the edge, spilling runs to pursuit, and forcing New York into obvious passing situations where simulated pressure, creepers, and post-snap rotation can bait hurried throws or scramble checks; tackling in space against the Jets’ screen game is non-negotiable to prevent five-yard designs from becoming chain-movers. Hidden yardage and special teams matter on the road, so winning field position through disciplined coverage units and solid punt efficiency reduces the number of long fields the defense must defend and offers the offense more short fields where execution trumps style. In the macro, Dallas’s ATS pathway is straightforward: stay ahead of the sticks, keep the pocket orderly, hit two or three explosives that flip expected points, and play clean football in the middle eight and the red zone; achieve those markers, and the matchup bends toward the Cowboys’ pace and spacing, dampening the Jets’ ability to grind the game and inviting a result that satisfies both the standings and the spread.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Jets NFL Preview
For the Jets, the blueprint at home starts with defense, ball control, and selective aggression, and the first imperative is to win the trench battle early to prevent Dallas from turning this into a space-and-pace showcase where their star receivers dictate leverage and force your safeties into conflict; that means crisp fits against the run on early downs, disciplined rush lanes that compress the pocket without losing contain, and coverage rotations timed to bait throws into trap looks on outbreaking routes. New York’s front must generate heat with four while mixing games up front to test Dallas’s communication, because simulated pressure that drops out behind can steal first-window throws and push the Cowboys off schedule, and when they arrive at third-and-medium, the Jets can toggle between tight man with inside help and bracket rules that deny primary reads.
Offensively, New York needs to lean into quarterback movement, perimeter quick game, and a two-headed backfield approach that forces Dallas to respect both edges and interior gaps, using jet motion, split-flow action, and RPO glances to hold second-level defenders just long enough to open slants and digs, and then, when Dallas squeezes, dial up play-action shot calls that test corner discipline without exposing protection too long. The offensive line’s task is to keep negative plays off the tape: avoid procedure penalties, reduce free runners with slide and half-slide protections, and turn potential sacks into throwaways that preserve field position, because in a tight-total environment, net punting and makeable field goals represent real value. Situationally, the Jets must be ruthless: win the middle eight minutes around halftime, turn red-zone trips into touchdowns via condensed sets that create rub leverage for quick hitters, and safeguard the ball on special teams, as a single return error can tilt both momentum and the spread. The Jets’ path to victory and an ATS result is to make Dallas labor for every drive, minimize explosives with deep safety integrity, and rely on a handful of scripted chunk plays paired with defensive takeaways; do that, and the game invites fourth-quarter variance that favors the home side, the crowd, and a defense that thrives when the opponent becomes one-dimensional.
final from Miami pic.twitter.com/At1QXzBFa1
— New York Jets (@nyjets) September 30, 2025
Dallas vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)
Dallas vs. New York Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Cowboys and Jets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing emphasis human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Cowboys team going up against a possibly strong Jets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Dallas vs New York picks, computer picks Cowboys vs Jets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Cowboys Betting Trends
Dallas has a 1–2 ATS record in 2025, covering only one of their first three games.
Jets Betting Trends
While the Jets are 0–3 straight up this season, their ATS record is better: according to ATS trends they have covered in 2 of their first 3 games.
Cowboys vs. Jets Matchup Trends
In matchups where a team strong in offense but weak on defense (Dallas) faces a team desperate for wins (Jets), sportsbooks often narrow spreads and look for props tied to turnovers and sack differential. Also, lines might shift late as bettors weigh the Cowboys’ recent defensive woes, making angles on “gamescript props” and live adjustments more volatile than usual.
Dallas vs. New York Game Info
What time does Dallas vs New York start on October 05, 2025?
Dallas vs New York starts on October 05, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Dallas vs New York being played?
Venue: MetLife Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Dallas vs New York?
Spread: New York +2.5
Moneyline: Dallas -147, New York +122
Over/Under: 46.5
What are the records for Dallas vs New York?
Dallas: (1-2) | New York: (0-4)
What is the AI best bet for Dallas vs New York?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Prescott over 242.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Dallas vs New York trending bets?
In matchups where a team strong in offense but weak on defense (Dallas) faces a team desperate for wins (Jets), sportsbooks often narrow spreads and look for props tied to turnovers and sack differential. Also, lines might shift late as bettors weigh the Cowboys’ recent defensive woes, making angles on “gamescript props” and live adjustments more volatile than usual.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: Dallas has a 1–2 ATS record in 2025, covering only one of their first three games.
What are New York trending bets?
NYJ trend: While the Jets are 0–3 straight up this season, their ATS record is better: according to ATS trends they have covered in 2 of their first 3 games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Dallas vs New York?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Dallas vs. New York Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Dallas vs New York Opening Odds
DAL Moneyline:
-147 NYJ Moneyline: +122
DAL Spread: -2.5
NYJ Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 46.5
Dallas vs New York Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
|
–
–
|
+260
-325
|
+7 (-115)
-7 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Cleveland Browns
10/5/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Browns
|
–
–
|
-200
+165
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 36.5 (-102)
U 36.5 (-118)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
10/5/25 1:01PM
Raiders
Colts
|
–
–
|
+249
-305
|
+6.5 (+107)
-6.5 (-118)
|
O 48 (-107)
U 48 (-107)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints
10/5/25 1:01PM
Giants
Saints
|
–
–
|
+112
-132
|
+2 (-104)
-2 (-106)
|
O 42 (-110)
U 42 (-104)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
10/5/25 1:01PM
Texans
Ravens
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
-1 (-110)
+1 (+100)
|
O 40 (-107)
U 40 (-107)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Denver Broncos
Philadelphia Eagles
10/5/25 1:01PM
Broncos
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+177
-205
|
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 43.5 (-113)
U 43.5 (-102)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets
10/5/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Jets
|
–
–
|
-140
+120
|
-2.5 (-104)
+2.5 (-106)
|
O 47 (-113)
U 47 (-102)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Carolina Panthers
10/5/25 1:01PM
Dolphins
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-118
-102
|
-1 (-113)
+1 (-107)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks
10/5/25 4:06PM
Buccaneers
Seahawks
|
–
–
|
+157
-180
|
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-102)
|
O 44.5 (-107)
U 44.5 (-107)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Arizona Cardinals
10/5/25 4:06PM
Titans
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
+327
-415
|
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-107)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Los Angeles Chargers
10/5/25 4:26PM
Commanders
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+130
-155
|
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Cincinnati Bengals
10/5/25 4:26PM
Lions
Bengals
|
–
–
|
-525
+400
|
-10 (-105)
+10 (-105)
|
O 49.5 (-107)
U 49.5 (-107)
|
|
Oct 5, 2025 8:21PM EDT
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
10/5/25 8:21PM
Patriots
Bills
|
–
–
|
+325
-425
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
|
Oct 6, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars
10/6/25 8:16PM
Chiefs
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-185
+161
|
-3.5 (+102)
+3.5 (-113)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-104)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
10/9/25 8:16PM
Eagles
Giants
|
–
–
|
-395
+310
|
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
|
O 42.5 (-107)
U 42.5 (-107)
|
|
Oct 12, 2025 8:31AM EDT
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
10/12/25 8:31AM
Broncos
Jets
|
–
–
|
-298
+240
|
-6.5 (+100)
+6.5 (-120)
|
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets on October 05, 2025 at MetLife Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |