Cowboys vs. Jets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Oct 05 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-28T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

This Week 5 matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Jets pits a Cowboys team searching for defensive stability against a Jets squad still winless and under pressure to find consistency. Expect a game determined by turnovers, pass rush effectiveness, and how well either team can force negative plays in key moments.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 05, 2025

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: MetLife Stadium​

Jets Record: (0-4)

Cowboys Record: (1-2)

OPENING ODDS

DAL Moneyline: -147

NYJ Moneyline: +122

DAL Spread: -2.5

NYJ Spread: +2.5

Over/Under: 46.5

DAL
Betting Trends

  • Dallas has a 1–2 ATS record in 2025, covering only one of their first three games.

NYJ
Betting Trends

  • While the Jets are 0–3 straight up this season, their ATS record is better: according to ATS trends they have covered in 2 of their first 3 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In matchups where a team strong in offense but weak on defense (Dallas) faces a team desperate for wins (Jets), sportsbooks often narrow spreads and look for props tied to turnovers and sack differential. Also, lines might shift late as bettors weigh the Cowboys’ recent defensive woes, making angles on “gamescript props” and live adjustments more volatile than usual.

DAL vs. NYJ
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Prescott over 242.5 Passing Yards.

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Dallas vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/5/25

This Week 5 clash between the Cowboys and Jets projects as a tempo tug-of-war where Dallas aims to spread the field and pile on explosive plays while New York tries to compress possessions and force a lower-scoring, trench-driven script, and the team that wins third down, red zone, and turnover margin should control the narrative. Dallas’s offense is built on pre-snap motion, formation versatility, and a vertical-intermediate passing tree that punishes soft zones and single coverage alike, but that machinery depends on protection holding up long enough for deep crossers, sail concepts, and dagger variations to develop; when the pocket is clean and early-down efficiency stays positive, the Cowboys can roll downhill and stress safeties with layered route combinations. The Jets counter with a defense-first identity that wants to create havoc with four-man pressure, squeeze windows with pattern-matching principles, and rally to the catch to limit yards after contact, and their best path to control is to win first down, force predictable passing downs, and unleash simulated pressure and twists that muddy post-snap reads.

Offensively, New York’s plan centers on quarterback mobility, a physical ground approach, and selective shot plays off play-action designed to attack vacated zones when Dallas overplays the run; if the Jets can stay on schedule with efficient early-down runs, quick game to the perimeter, and occasional boot action, they not only help their defense by controlling tempo but also create chances for explosives versus safeties who peak into the backfield. Special teams and hidden yardage loom large in a potentially tight contest: directional punting, coverage discipline, and mid-range field goal reliability can convert stalled drives into points and flip the ATS calculus by a possession. The Jets’ avenue to a cover involves collapsing edges, creating second-and-long, and turning the game into a series of high-leverage snaps where their defense can tee off; Dallas’s avenue involves pace, protection, and red-zone touchdowns instead of field goals, leveraging their receiver separation advantages to force the Jets into lighter boxes the run game can exploit. Penalties are the quiet wildcard, as drive-extending flags or offensive holds that erase explosives have outsized impact in a game state the Jets prefer. Ultimately, if Dallas protects and finishes drives, their explosive ceiling becomes decisive; if New York dictates the down-and-distance ledger, steals an extra possession, and keeps Dallas behind the sticks, the home side can grind this into the sort of fourth-quarter coin flip that maps well to a home cover.

Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview

Dallas arrives with a mandate to reclaim offensive rhythm by protecting the quarterback, sequencing early-down efficiency into explosive play-action shots, and forcing the Jets’ defense into space where receiver depth and route craftsmanship can punish tight windows, and that process starts with a protection plan that acknowledges New York’s ability to win with four by incorporating chips, condensed splits, sprintouts, and moving launch points that prevent pure tee-off scenarios on long-developing concepts. The Cowboys want to stress the Jets horizontally with motion and quick perimeter touches before attacking vertically off double-moves and deep crossers, and when they lean into under-center play-action with wide zone or duo credibility, safeties are compelled to honor the run, opening the intermediate seams that define Dallas’s explosive identity; complementary screens to backs and tight ends can also blunt the rush and turn aggressiveness against it.

The run game does not need to dominate so much as remain credible at four-plus yards per carry to keep the script balanced and allow favorable second-and-medium calls that retain both the threat of shot plays and the comfort of high-percentage throws, and if the Cowboys hold penalties in check, they can stack successful plays into red-zone trips that must end in touchdowns rather than field goals to protect against late-game variance. Defensively, Dallas’s charge is to own first down by defeating blocks on the edge, spilling runs to pursuit, and forcing New York into obvious passing situations where simulated pressure, creepers, and post-snap rotation can bait hurried throws or scramble checks; tackling in space against the Jets’ screen game is non-negotiable to prevent five-yard designs from becoming chain-movers. Hidden yardage and special teams matter on the road, so winning field position through disciplined coverage units and solid punt efficiency reduces the number of long fields the defense must defend and offers the offense more short fields where execution trumps style. In the macro, Dallas’s ATS pathway is straightforward: stay ahead of the sticks, keep the pocket orderly, hit two or three explosives that flip expected points, and play clean football in the middle eight and the red zone; achieve those markers, and the matchup bends toward the Cowboys’ pace and spacing, dampening the Jets’ ability to grind the game and inviting a result that satisfies both the standings and the spread.

This Week 5 matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Jets pits a Cowboys team searching for defensive stability against a Jets squad still winless and under pressure to find consistency. Expect a game determined by turnovers, pass rush effectiveness, and how well either team can force negative plays in key moments. Dallas vs New York AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Oct 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Jets NFL Preview

For the Jets, the blueprint at home starts with defense, ball control, and selective aggression, and the first imperative is to win the trench battle early to prevent Dallas from turning this into a space-and-pace showcase where their star receivers dictate leverage and force your safeties into conflict; that means crisp fits against the run on early downs, disciplined rush lanes that compress the pocket without losing contain, and coverage rotations timed to bait throws into trap looks on outbreaking routes. New York’s front must generate heat with four while mixing games up front to test Dallas’s communication, because simulated pressure that drops out behind can steal first-window throws and push the Cowboys off schedule, and when they arrive at third-and-medium, the Jets can toggle between tight man with inside help and bracket rules that deny primary reads.

Offensively, New York needs to lean into quarterback movement, perimeter quick game, and a two-headed backfield approach that forces Dallas to respect both edges and interior gaps, using jet motion, split-flow action, and RPO glances to hold second-level defenders just long enough to open slants and digs, and then, when Dallas squeezes, dial up play-action shot calls that test corner discipline without exposing protection too long. The offensive line’s task is to keep negative plays off the tape: avoid procedure penalties, reduce free runners with slide and half-slide protections, and turn potential sacks into throwaways that preserve field position, because in a tight-total environment, net punting and makeable field goals represent real value. Situationally, the Jets must be ruthless: win the middle eight minutes around halftime, turn red-zone trips into touchdowns via condensed sets that create rub leverage for quick hitters, and safeguard the ball on special teams, as a single return error can tilt both momentum and the spread. The Jets’ path to victory and an ATS result is to make Dallas labor for every drive, minimize explosives with deep safety integrity, and rely on a handful of scripted chunk plays paired with defensive takeaways; do that, and the game invites fourth-quarter variance that favors the home side, the crowd, and a defense that thrives when the opponent becomes one-dimensional.

Dallas vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Cowboys and Jets play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at MetLife Stadium in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Prescott over 242.5 Passing Yards.

Dallas vs. New York Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Cowboys and Jets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing emphasis human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Cowboys team going up against a possibly strong Jets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Dallas vs New York picks, computer picks Cowboys vs Jets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Cowboys Betting Trends

Dallas has a 1–2 ATS record in 2025, covering only one of their first three games.

Jets Betting Trends

While the Jets are 0–3 straight up this season, their ATS record is better: according to ATS trends they have covered in 2 of their first 3 games.

Cowboys vs. Jets Matchup Trends

In matchups where a team strong in offense but weak on defense (Dallas) faces a team desperate for wins (Jets), sportsbooks often narrow spreads and look for props tied to turnovers and sack differential. Also, lines might shift late as bettors weigh the Cowboys’ recent defensive woes, making angles on “gamescript props” and live adjustments more volatile than usual.

Dallas vs. New York Game Info

Dallas vs New York starts on October 05, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New York +2.5
Moneyline: Dallas -147, New York +122
Over/Under: 46.5

Dallas: (1-2)  |  New York: (0-4)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Prescott over 242.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In matchups where a team strong in offense but weak on defense (Dallas) faces a team desperate for wins (Jets), sportsbooks often narrow spreads and look for props tied to turnovers and sack differential. Also, lines might shift late as bettors weigh the Cowboys’ recent defensive woes, making angles on “gamescript props” and live adjustments more volatile than usual.

DAL trend: Dallas has a 1–2 ATS record in 2025, covering only one of their first three games.

NYJ trend: While the Jets are 0–3 straight up this season, their ATS record is better: according to ATS trends they have covered in 2 of their first 3 games.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Dallas vs. New York Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Dallas vs New York Opening Odds

DAL Moneyline: -147
NYJ Moneyline: +122
DAL Spread: -2.5
NYJ Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 46.5

Dallas vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
+260
-325
+7 (-115)
-7 (-105)
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
Oct 5, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Cleveland Browns
10/5/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Browns
-200
+165
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 36.5 (-102)
U 36.5 (-118)
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
10/5/25 1:01PM
Raiders
Colts
+249
-305
+6.5 (+107)
-6.5 (-118)
O 48 (-107)
U 48 (-107)
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New York Giants
New Orleans Saints
10/5/25 1:01PM
Giants
Saints
+112
-132
+2 (-104)
-2 (-106)
O 42 (-110)
U 42 (-104)
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens
10/5/25 1:01PM
Texans
Ravens
-120
+100
-1 (-110)
+1 (+100)
O 40 (-107)
U 40 (-107)
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Denver Broncos
Philadelphia Eagles
10/5/25 1:01PM
Broncos
Eagles
+177
-205
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-105)
O 43.5 (-113)
U 43.5 (-102)
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets
10/5/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Jets
-140
+120
-2.5 (-104)
+2.5 (-106)
O 47 (-113)
U 47 (-102)
Oct 5, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Carolina Panthers
10/5/25 1:01PM
Dolphins
Panthers
-118
-102
-1 (-113)
+1 (-107)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Oct 5, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Seattle Seahawks
10/5/25 4:06PM
Buccaneers
Seahawks
+157
-180
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-102)
O 44.5 (-107)
U 44.5 (-107)
Oct 5, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Arizona Cardinals
10/5/25 4:06PM
Titans
Cardinals
+327
-415
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-107)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Oct 5, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Los Angeles Chargers
10/5/25 4:26PM
Commanders
Chargers
+130
-155
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Oct 5, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Cincinnati Bengals
10/5/25 4:26PM
Lions
Bengals
-525
+400
-10 (-105)
+10 (-105)
O 49.5 (-107)
U 49.5 (-107)
Oct 5, 2025 8:21PM EDT
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
10/5/25 8:21PM
Patriots
Bills
+325
-425
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Oct 6, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars
10/6/25 8:16PM
Chiefs
Jaguars
-185
+161
-3.5 (+102)
+3.5 (-113)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-104)
Oct 9, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
10/9/25 8:16PM
Eagles
Giants
-395
+310
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
O 42.5 (-107)
U 42.5 (-107)
Oct 12, 2025 8:31AM EDT
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
10/12/25 8:31AM
Broncos
Jets
-298
+240
-6.5 (+100)
+6.5 (-120)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets on October 05, 2025 at MetLife Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS
KC@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT 54.1% 3 WIN
DAL@PHI GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@PHI JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS 53.90% 5 WIN
KC@PHI DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS 54.40% 6 WIN
KC@PHI PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP 55.00% 8 WIN
KC@PHI JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS 55.60% 8 WIN
BUF@KC DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.10% 8 LOSS
WAS@PHI DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS 55.80% 8 WIN
BUF@KC JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD 53.00% 5 WIN
LAR@PHI SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS 53.20% 5 LOSS