Chargers vs. Giants
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Los Angeles Chargers travel to face the New York Giants on September 28, 2025, looking to stay perfect at 4–0, while the Giants aim to avoid starting 0–4 under a new quarterback regime. The Chargers opened as 6.5-point favorites in East Rutherford, with a total line in the neighborhood of 44.5.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 28, 2025

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: MetLife Stadium​

Giants Record: (0-3)

Chargers Record: (3-0)

OPENING ODDS

LAC Moneyline: -295

NYG Moneyline: +236

LAC Spread: -6.5

NYG Spread: +6.5

Over/Under: 44

LAC
Betting Trends

  • Los Angeles is 6–1 ATS in its last 7 games overall, and 4–1 ATS in their last 5 on the road.

NYG
Betting Trends

  • The Giants are 2–6 SU in their last 8 home games and have struggled as underdogs, going 1–14 in SU in that span.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Los Angeles is 5–0 ATS in its last five meetings with New York. Also, the over has hit in 4 of the last 5 Chargers-Giants matchups.

LAC vs. NYG
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Dart under 36.5 Rushing Yards.

LIVE NFL ODDS

NFL ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
312-232
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+373.6
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,360
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1578-1345
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+397.7
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$39,769

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Los Angeles vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/28/25

The September 28, 2025 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and New York Giants at MetLife Stadium looks like one of the more lopsided contests on the Week 4 slate, as the undefeated Chargers enter with momentum and a polished offense while the winless Giants turn to a rookie quarterback to salvage their season. Los Angeles, led by Justin Herbert, has been sharp on both sides of the ball, with an offense that ranks among the NFL’s best in yards per game and a defense that has thrived on creating pressure and forcing turnovers. Herbert’s ability to distribute the ball efficiently to a deep group of receivers, paired with a running game that keeps defenses honest, has allowed the Chargers to set tempo early in games and control the pace for four quarters. Against a Giants defense that has struggled to stop both the pass and the run, the Chargers will likely lean into play-action and vertical concepts to create explosive plays while relying on their offensive line to keep Herbert upright. The Giants, meanwhile, are desperate for a spark after an 0–3 start, benching Russell Wilson in favor of rookie Jaxson Dart, whose debut as the starter will come against one of the AFC’s hottest teams.

Protecting Dart will be paramount, as the Chargers’ front seven can collapse pockets quickly and force hurried decisions, and his best chance for success will come through quick throws, screens, and a run game that must stay productive enough to prevent Los Angeles from teeing off on obvious passing downs. New York’s defense faces an equally tall task, needing to generate pressure on Herbert without leaving their secondary exposed to one-on-one mismatches that have burned them throughout September. Historically, the Chargers have dominated this matchup, going 5–0 ATS in their last five meetings against the Giants, and the betting line of –6.5 reflects confidence in their ability to continue that trend. The total of 44.5 suggests modest scoring expectations, but with Herbert’s offense capable of pushing 30-plus points by itself, much of that number may depend on whether Dart and the Giants’ offense can keep pace. For the Giants to pull an upset, they’ll need turnovers, field position wins, and a disciplined defensive game that limits explosive plays—factors that have been elusive so far this season. For the Chargers, the formula is straightforward: protect Herbert, let their playmakers exploit mismatches, and pressure the rookie quarterback into mistakes. If executed, Los Angeles has the tools to remain undefeated and cover the spread, while New York will be left searching for answers in a season that is already threatening to spiral.

Los Angeles Chargers NFL Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers head into MetLife Stadium on September 28, 2025 with confidence and purpose, looking to extend their perfect 3–0 start against a New York Giants team still searching for its first win of the season. Justin Herbert has been the driving force behind their success, orchestrating one of the league’s most efficient offenses with precision passing, smart decision-making, and a strong supporting cast of receivers who consistently create mismatches. The offensive line has done its part as well, giving Herbert time to operate and paving the way for a balanced run game that forces defenses to respect multiple threats. Against a Giants defense that has struggled both against the run and in coverage, the Chargers’ offense is positioned to dictate tempo early, using play-action and vertical shots to open up scoring opportunities. Defensively, Los Angeles has tightened up significantly since last season, combining steady pass rush pressure with opportunistic play in the secondary that has helped generate turnovers and momentum swings.

Their mission against rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart will be to collapse pockets quickly, take away his comfort reads, and force him to play from behind the sticks where inexperience can lead to costly mistakes. Special teams has also been steady, with the kicking game reliable and coverage units giving the Chargers an edge in hidden yardage that often matters most on the road. From a betting standpoint, Los Angeles has been one of the most profitable teams, covering six of their last seven games overall and four of their last five on the road, while also owning this series historically with a 5–0 ATS record in their last five meetings against New York. The total sits at 44.5, and given the Chargers’ offensive firepower, the over has appeal, particularly since four of the last five meetings between these two teams have gone that way. Ultimately, the Chargers’ formula is straightforward: protect Herbert, attack aggressively with their versatile offense, and pressure Dart into mistakes. If they execute on those fronts, Los Angeles not only has the edge to stay unbeaten but also to cover the spread comfortably, sending a strong message that they are serious contenders in the AFC.

The Los Angeles Chargers travel to face the New York Giants on September 28, 2025, looking to stay perfect at 4–0, while the Giants aim to avoid starting 0–4 under a new quarterback regime. The Chargers opened as 6.5-point favorites in East Rutherford, with a total line in the neighborhood of 44.5. Los Angeles vs New York AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Giants NFL Preview

The New York Giants return to MetLife Stadium on September 28, 2025 desperate to avoid an 0–4 start, but they face a daunting challenge against the unbeaten Los Angeles Chargers. After three straight losses, the Giants made a bold move by turning to rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart, benching veteran Russell Wilson in hopes that fresh energy under center can revive an offense that has been among the league’s least productive. For Dart, success will hinge on protection from an offensive line that has struggled to keep pressure away, as the Chargers’ front seven is relentless and capable of collapsing the pocket quickly. Expect New York to lean on a run-heavy script and short, high-percentage throws to establish rhythm, slow down Los Angeles’ pass rush, and keep drives alive. The Giants’ receivers will need to step up with precise route running and yards after the catch, because asking Dart to push the ball downfield too often against a disciplined Chargers secondary could spell disaster.

Defensively, New York has to find ways to disrupt Justin Herbert’s timing, whether through blitz packages, disguised coverages, or forcing turnovers that can shift momentum in front of their home crowd. Discipline in the secondary is crucial, as Herbert has been surgical in exploiting breakdowns, and the Giants’ history of allowing big plays is exactly what Los Angeles thrives on. Special teams must also contribute, as field position battles will be key to keeping this game competitive and giving Dart manageable situations. From a betting perspective, the Giants have been a tough sell, going 2–6 straight up in their last eight home games and a dismal 1–14 straight up as underdogs in that span, while the Chargers have dominated this head-to-head series with a perfect 5–0 ATS run. For New York, the formula is clear but demanding: protect their rookie quarterback, establish the run, limit explosive plays defensively, and feed off the energy of their home fans. If the Giants can play mistake-free football and force the Chargers into uncharacteristic errors, they could turn what looks like a mismatch into a scrappy fight, but without significant improvement, this may be another long afternoon in East Rutherford.

Los Angeles vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Chargers and Giants play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at MetLife Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Dart under 36.5 Rushing Yards.

Los Angeles vs. New York Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Chargers and Giants and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Chargers team going up against a possibly rested Giants team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Los Angeles vs New York picks, computer picks Chargers vs Giants, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/9 PHI@NYG UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Chargers Betting Trends

Los Angeles is 6–1 ATS in its last 7 games overall, and 4–1 ATS in their last 5 on the road.

Giants Betting Trends

The Giants are 2–6 SU in their last 8 home games and have struggled as underdogs, going 1–14 in SU in that span.

Chargers vs. Giants Matchup Trends

Los Angeles is 5–0 ATS in its last five meetings with New York. Also, the over has hit in 4 of the last 5 Chargers-Giants matchups.

Los Angeles vs. New York Game Info

Los Angeles vs New York starts on September 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New York +6.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles -295, New York +236
Over/Under: 44

Los Angeles: (3-0)  |  New York: (0-3)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Dart under 36.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Los Angeles is 5–0 ATS in its last five meetings with New York. Also, the over has hit in 4 of the last 5 Chargers-Giants matchups.

LAC trend: Los Angeles is 6–1 ATS in its last 7 games overall, and 4–1 ATS in their last 5 on the road.

NYG trend: The Giants are 2–6 SU in their last 8 home games and have struggled as underdogs, going 1–14 in SU in that span.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Los Angeles vs. New York Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Los Angeles vs New York Opening Odds

LAC Moneyline: -295
NYG Moneyline: +236
LAC Spread: -6.5
NYG Spread: +6.5
Over/Under: 44

Los Angeles vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 9, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
10/9/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Giants
-400
+315
-7.5 (-104)
+7.5 (-118)
O 40.5 (-115)
U 40.5 (-105)
Oct 12, 2025 9:30AM EDT
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
10/12/25 9:30AM
Broncos
Jets
-405
+320
-7 (-118)
+7 (-104)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Seattle Seahawks
Jacksonville Jaguars
10/12/25 1PM
Seahawks
Jaguars
-104
-112
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
10/12/25 1PM
Patriots
Saints
-180
+152
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-105)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Browns
Steelers
+225
-275
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-120)
O 38.5 (-108)
U 38.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
10/12/25 1:01PM
Chargers
Dolphins
-190
+160
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-120)
O 43.5 (-112)
U 43.5 (-108)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
10/12/25 1:01PM
Rams
Ravens
-370
+295
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Panthers
-172
+144
-3 (-120)
+3 (-102)
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cardinals
Colts
+295
-370
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Oct 12, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Las Vegas Raiders
10/12/25 4:06PM
Titans
Raiders
+180
-215
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 41.5 (-108)
U 41.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers
10/12/25 4:26PM
Bengals
Packers
+730
-1150
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
O 44.5 (-104)
U 44.5 (-118)
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10/12/25 4:26PM
49ers
Buccaneers
+130
-154
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 47.5 (-108)
U 47.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10/12/25 8:20PM
Lions
Chiefs
+118
-138
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
Oct 13, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons
10/13/25 7:15PM
Bills
Falcons
-230
+190
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)
Oct 13, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
10/13/25 8:16PM
Bears
Commanders
+188
-225
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)
Oct 16, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
10/16/25 8:16PM
Steelers
Bengals
-230
+190
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Giants on September 28, 2025 at MetLife Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS