Packers vs Cowboys Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 28)

Updated: 2025-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Green Bay Packers visit AT&T Stadium on September 28, 2025 to face the Dallas Cowboys in a matchup charged by recent roster changes and shifting narratives. The Cowboys enter this game with a weakened pass defense and key injuries at receiver and along the offensive line, opening the door for the Packers to exploit vulnerable seams.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 28, 2025

Start Time: 8:20 PM EST​

Venue: AT&T Stadium​

Cowboys Record: (1-2)

Packers Record: (2-1)

OPENING ODDS

GB Moneyline: -355

DAL Moneyline: +278

GB Spread: -7

DAL Spread: +7

Over/Under: 47.5

GB
Betting Trends

  • Green Bay’s ATS performance has been middling in recent seasons, sitting at 5–5 against the spread over their last 10 games.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • Dallas has posted a 50% cover rate so far in 2025, going 1–1 ATS through their first two games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Following the blockbuster trade that sent Micah Parsons from Dallas to Green Bay, betting markets have shifted sharply toward the Packers, with lines moving in their favor and public money backing them heavily.

GB vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Ferguson over 52.5 Receiving Yards.

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Green Bay vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/28/25

The September 28, 2025 matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium arrives with layers of intrigue beyond the standings, as the Packers enter riding the momentum of a blockbuster trade for Micah Parsons while the Cowboys scramble to adapt after losing both their defensive anchor and their top offensive playmaker in CeeDee Lamb. Green Bay has started the season competitively but comes into this one with offensive line concerns, as right tackle Zach Tom is sidelined, forcing Jordan Love and the Packers’ coaching staff to adjust protections against a Dallas front still capable of generating pressure through scheme even without Parsons. That said, Dallas’s pass defense has been exposed in recent weeks, giving up over 500 passing yards in a single outing, which opens the door for Green Bay to attack aggressively through the air with intermediate routes and timely vertical shots if their line can buy Love the time he needs. The Cowboys, meanwhile, face serious challenges in retooling their offense without Lamb, leaving Dak Prescott (or their starter under center if injuries complicate things further) to rely more heavily on tight ends and depth receivers to keep drives alive while leaning on the run game to shorten contests and protect a banged-up offensive line already missing Tyler Booker and Cooper Beebe.

On defense, Dallas must disguise pressures, blitz selectively, and play disciplined coverage to keep the Packers from dictating tempo, while Green Bay will count on Parsons’ immediate impact as a pass-rushing force to collapse pockets and help tilt the game in their favor. Special teams and hidden yardage will matter, as both clubs have shown vulnerabilities sustaining drives and will need short fields to maximize efficiency in the red zone. From a betting perspective, the line has shifted toward Green Bay, with the market heavily backing the Packers due to Dallas’s injury issues and the emotional jolt of Parsons suiting up against his former team, though Dallas’s home-field edge and capacity to grind out games prevent this from being a runaway pick. The game will likely come down to whether Green Bay can protect Love long enough to exploit Dallas’s weakened secondary and whether the Cowboys can manufacture enough offense without Lamb to keep pace. If the Packers establish rhythm early and Parsons wreaks havoc, they have every chance to notch a statement road win, but if Dallas steadies itself, leans on the ground game, and uses the AT&T crowd to fuel defensive energy, they could grind out a hard-fought result and remind the NFC they remain dangerous even amid adversity.

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Green Bay Packers NFL Preview

The Green Bay Packers head into AT&T Stadium on September 28, 2025 with confidence and urgency, knowing this matchup against the Dallas Cowboys is an opportunity to showcase how much their roster has evolved after adding star pass rusher Micah Parsons in a blockbuster trade. Offensively, the Packers’ focal point remains Jordan Love, who has shown steady growth but must overcome the loss of right tackle Zach Tom, which complicates protection schemes against a Dallas front that still has talent and creativity in generating pressure even without Parsons. Green Bay’s game plan will likely involve quick throws, play-action passes, and screen concepts to neutralize the Cowboys’ blitz looks, while also leaning on their run game to maintain balance and prevent the defense from teeing off on Love. The Cowboys’ secondary has been shaky in recent weeks, giving up explosive plays downfield, and the Packers will aim to capitalize by attacking intermediate routes and taking calculated deep shots if their offensive line can hold up long enough.

On defense, the Packers are positioned to make life difficult for Dak Prescott, as Parsons’ arrival instantly elevates their pass rush and allows their defensive front to dictate tempo against a Cowboys offensive line missing key starters like Tyler Booker and Cooper Beebe. Green Bay’s secondary will focus on clamping down on Dallas’s depth receivers and tight ends with CeeDee Lamb sidelined, forcing Prescott to operate with a limited playbook and make difficult throws under pressure. The Packers must also stay disciplined against the run, as Dallas will likely lean heavily on their ground game to control tempo, shorten possessions, and protect their weakened line. Special teams execution and field position management will be crucial, as this game could hinge on hidden yardage and red-zone efficiency in what oddsmakers see as a tight contest. From a betting standpoint, the Packers enter at a slight advantage, with the public leaning heavily their way due to Dallas’s injuries and Green Bay’s early-season resilience, and their ability to cover hinges on Love protecting the football and the defense turning pressure into turnovers. For Green Bay, the formula is clear: protect their quarterback, capitalize on Dallas’s vulnerable secondary, and let Parsons lead a defensive charge against his former team. If they execute in those areas, the Packers not only have a strong chance to cover but also to walk away with a statement road win that reshapes their season trajectory.

The Green Bay Packers visit AT&T Stadium on September 28, 2025 to face the Dallas Cowboys in a matchup charged by recent roster changes and shifting narratives. The Cowboys enter this game with a weakened pass defense and key injuries at receiver and along the offensive line, opening the door for the Packers to exploit vulnerable seams. Green Bay vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview

The Dallas Cowboys return to AT&T Stadium on September 28, 2025 facing one of the most emotionally charged games on their schedule, as they host the Green Bay Packers and former franchise cornerstone Micah Parsons, now wearing green and gold after a blockbuster trade that stunned the league. Dallas enters this matchup shorthanded, with their offensive line dealing with significant injuries to Tyler Booker and Cooper Beebe and their passing game missing star wideout CeeDee Lamb, leaving Dak Prescott in a position where he must rely on tight ends and depth receivers to keep the chains moving. The Cowboys’ offense will likely lean on the run game as its stabilizing force, both to control the tempo and to protect Prescott from a Packers pass rush that has been supercharged by the addition of Parsons, who will be eager to make a statement against his former teammates. Dallas must prioritize quick passing concepts, screens, and rollouts to counteract Green Bay’s pressure packages while hoping the home crowd can fuel long, methodical drives that keep Jordan Love and the Packers’ offense off the field. Defensively, the Cowboys face the daunting task of patching together a unit that has regressed since losing Parsons, particularly against the pass where they’ve been torched for explosive plays in recent weeks.

The game plan will need to emphasize disguised blitzes and zone coverages to confuse Love, forcing him into checkdowns and preventing the Packers from dictating with intermediate and vertical throws. The secondary will have to play more aggressively than usual, and the front seven must find a way to generate disruption without leaving gaps that Green Bay can exploit with its balanced run game. Special teams execution could prove decisive, as the Cowboys will need every advantage in field position to offset their offensive limitations. From a betting perspective, Dallas comes in at 1–1 ATS in 2025 and has struggled to cover at home recently, with the market heavily tilting toward Green Bay given their reinforcements and Dallas’s mounting injuries. Still, the Cowboys have the intangibles of playing at AT&T Stadium and the pride of facing a former star on their side, and in rivalry-style games with emotional weight, unexpected swings are always possible. For Dallas to emerge victorious, they must commit to ball security, control time of possession, and rely on their defense to create turnovers and limit big plays. If they can turn this contest into a grind rather than a shootout, the Cowboys have a chance to flip the narrative and protect their home turf against a Packers team viewed as the stronger side on paper.

Green Bay vs Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Packers and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at AT&T Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Ferguson over 52.5 Receiving Yards.

Green Bay vs Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Packers and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors often put on Green Bay’s strength factors between a Packers team going up against a possibly improved Cowboys team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Green Bay vs Dallas picks, computer picks Packers vs Cowboys, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 12/4 DAL@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
NFL 12/4 DAL@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 12/4 DAL@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL schedule.

Green Bay Betting Trends

Green Bay’s ATS performance has been middling in recent seasons, sitting at 5–5 against the spread over their last 10 games.

Dallas Betting Trends

Dallas has posted a 50% cover rate so far in 2025, going 1–1 ATS through their first two games.

Packers vs. Cowboys Matchup Trends

Following the blockbuster trade that sent Micah Parsons from Dallas to Green Bay, betting markets have shifted sharply toward the Packers, with lines moving in their favor and public money backing them heavily.

Green Bay vs. Dallas Game Info

September 28, 2025 • 8:20 PM EST • AT&T Stadium

Green Bay vs. Dallas Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Green Bay vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Green Bay vs Dallas

Green Bay vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/7/25 1PM
Saints
Buccaneers
+330
-425
+8.5 (-112)
-8.5 (-108)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/7/25 1PM
Colts
Jaguars
-130
+110
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
12/7/25 1PM
Steelers
Ravens
+210
-258
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
O 42.5 (-112)
U 42.5 (-108)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
Minnesota Vikings
12/7/25 1PM
Commanders
Vikings
-105
-115
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
O 42.5 (-112)
U 42.5 (-108)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills
12/7/25 1PM
Bengals
Bills
+220
-270
+5.5 (+100)
-5.5 (-120)
O 53.5 (-112)
U 53.5 (-108)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
12/7/25 1PM
Dolphins
Jets
-155
+130
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
12/7/25 1PM
Seahawks
Falcons
-355
+280
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
12/7/25 1PM
Titans
Browns
+180
-218
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
O 33.5 (-115)
U 33.5 (-105)
Dec 7, 2025 4:05PM EST
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
12/7/25 4:05PM
Broncos
Raiders
-410
+320
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-112)
O 40.5 (+102)
U 40.5 (-122)
Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
12/7/25 4:25PM
Rams
Cardinals
-455
+350
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
12/7/25 4:25PM
Bears
Packers
+270
-340
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Dec 7, 2025 8:20PM EST
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
12/7/25 8:20PM
Texans
Chiefs
+150
-180
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Dec 8, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Chargers
12/8/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Chargers
-148
+124
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 41.5 (-108)
U 41.5 (-112)
Dec 11, 2025 8:15PM EST
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/11/25 8:15PM
Falcons
Buccaneers
+205
-250
+6 (-112)
-6 (-108)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/14/25 1PM
Jets
Jaguars
+340
-440
+9.5 (-112)
-9.5 (-108)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
12/14/25 1PM
Ravens
Bengals
-155
+130
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
12/14/25 1PM
Commanders
Giants
-130
+110
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-105)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders
Philadelphia Eagles
12/14/25 1PM
Raiders
Eagles
+625
-950
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears
12/14/25 1PM
Browns
Bears
+340
-440
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
O 39.5 (-112)
U 39.5 (-108)
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Arizona Cardinals
Houston Texans
12/14/25 1PM
Cardinals
Texans
+280
-355
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys on September 28, 2025 at AT&T Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
ATL@NYJ NYJ +3 56.9% 6 WIN
MIN@SEA SEA -11.5 54.5% 4 WIN
BUF@PIT PIT +3.5 56.9% 6 LOSS
HOU@IND IND -3 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAR@CAR OVER 44.5 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@PHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 18.5 PASS COMP 55.7% 5 LOSS
KC@DAL DAL +3.5 56.3% 6 WIN
GB@DET JORDAN LOVE OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.6% 5 WIN
CIN@BAL LAMAR JACKSON OVER 24.5 RUSH YDS 56.7% 6 WIN
CAR@SF UNDER 49.5 53.0% 1 WIN
CAR@SF SF -7 54.0% 3 WIN
CAR@SF BRYCE YOUNG OVER 61.7 PASS COMP PCT 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@BAL DERRICK HENRY OVER 17.5 CARRIES 53.7% 3 WIN
JAC@ARI ARI +2.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
PHI@DAL DAL +3 53.3% 2 WIN
SEA@TEN SEA -12 57.1% 7 LOSS
MIN@GB GB -6 54.1% 3 WIN
IND@KC IND +3.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TB@LAR UNDER 49.5 52.4% 1 WIN
IND@KC UNDER 50.5 53.1% 2 WIN
NYJ@BAL BREECE HALL OVER 18.5 RECV YDS 56.7% 6 WIN
PHI@DAL JAKE ELLIOT OVER 2.5 EXTRA POINTS MADE 55.2% 5 WIN
BUF@HOU JAMES COOK UNDER 17.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
BUF@HOU JOSH ALLEN UNDER 63.3 PASS COMP PCT 56.8% 6 LOSS
DAL@LV UNDER 49.5 54.3% 3 WIN
DAL@LV BROCK BOWERS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS 57.6% 7 WIN
CAR@ATL BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT 56.1% 6 WIN
KC@DEN PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 266.5 PASS YDS 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@ARI SF -3 56.4% 6 WIN
GB@NYG GB -7 54.3% 4 PUSH
LAC@JAC LAC -3 53.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@LAR SEA +3.5 57.2% 7 WIN
CHI@MIN MIN -2.5 53.4% 2 LOSS
DET@PHI DET +3 55.8% 5 LOSS
KC@DEN DEN +4.5 53.0% 2 WIN
DET@PHI UNDER 47 53.4% 2 WIN
SEA@LAR OVER 48.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
NYJ@NE UNDER 43.5 53.4% 3 WIN
NYJ@NE JAMIEN SHERWOOD OVER 4.5 TACKLES 56.8% 6 LOSS
PHI@GB PHI +1.5 54.8% 4 WIN
PHI@GB UNDER 45.5 52.4% 2 WIN
PHI@GB SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 17.5 RUSH ATT 56.6% 6 WIN
PHI@GB JOSH JACOBS UNDER 42.5 1ST HALF RUSH + REC YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
NO@CAR CAR -5 55.4% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIN BAL -3.5 57.6% 7 WIN
CLE@NYJ CLE -130 65.4% 7 LOSS
NYG@CHI CHI -4.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
NE@TB TB -2 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAR@SF LAR -5.5 53.3% 2 WIN
JAC@HOU UNDER 38 54.8% 5 LOSS
ARI@SEA TREY MCBRIDE OVER 9 RECV TARGETS 55.8% 5 WIN