Panthers vs. Patriots
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Carolina Panthers travel to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots on September 28, 2025, with both teams sitting at 1–2 and seeking momentum. New England enters as a modest favorite at –4.5 in the spread, with the over/under line set around 44.5.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 28, 2025

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gillette Stadium​

Patriots Record: (1-2)

Panthers Record: (1-2)

OPENING ODDS

CAR Moneyline: +196

NE Moneyline: -240

CAR Spread: +5.5

NE Spread: -5.5

Over/Under: 43.5

CAR
Betting Trends

  • Carolina has a 1–2 ATS record this season, and their road ATS performance has been shaky, particularly in competitive matchups.

NE
Betting Trends

  • New England is 1–2 ATS so far in 2025, with a middling cover rate that hasn’t inspired full confidence in their home spreads.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The injury to Carolina’s starting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders—who will miss this game—removes a key target from Bryce Young’s offense and may tilt value toward New England’s side. Also, Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez is ramping up for a return from a hamstring injury, which could strengthen a pass defense that ranks near the bottom early this season.

CAR vs. NE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Henry over 38.5 Receiving Yards.

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Carolina vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/28/25

The September 28, 2025 matchup between the Carolina Panthers and the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium is the kind of early-season game that may not draw national headlines but carries plenty of intrigue for two franchises trying to define themselves after uneven starts. Both teams sit at 1–2, and the oddsmakers have installed New England as a modest 4.5-point favorite at home, a reflection of their slightly more consistent form and the challenge of Carolina adjusting without starting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders, who will miss the game with an injury. The Patriots’ defense has been under scrutiny, ranking near the bottom of the league in pass yards allowed, but the expected return of cornerback Christian Gonzalez provides a timely boost against Bryce Young and a Panthers offense still searching for rhythm. For Carolina, Young’s development remains the centerpiece of their long-term vision, but without Sanders, the short-to-intermediate passing game will need to be retooled, putting more pressure on their wide receivers and backs to create separation and give the young quarterback safe options. Establishing the run will be vital to balance out their attack, particularly if they want to prevent the Patriots from dialing up pressure and forcing Young into hurried decisions.

On the other side, New England’s offense has not been particularly explosive, but they’ve shown glimpses of balance, and against a Panthers defense that has struggled to close out games, they will try to control tempo with a mix of rushing attempts and timely passes. Both defenses figure to play central roles in determining the outcome, with turnovers, third-down execution, and red-zone efficiency likely to separate winner from loser. Special teams could also swing the game in a low-scoring environment, where field position and reliable kicking matter more than usual. From a betting perspective, the total around 44.5 reflects expectations of a modest, grind-it-out game rather than an offensive showcase, which fits given the weaknesses on both sides. New England’s home-field advantage and defensive reinforcements make them the safer pick, but Carolina’s ability to create turnovers and Young’s potential for improvisational plays leaves the door open for an upset if things break their way. Ultimately, this matchup looks less like a shootout and more like a battle of attrition, where whichever team minimizes mistakes, sustains drives, and capitalizes in the red zone will emerge with a critical second win to steady their season.

Carolina Panthers NFL Preview

The Carolina Panthers enter their September 28, 2025 matchup against the New England Patriots in Foxborough knowing they’ll need to overcome adversity to earn their second win of the season, particularly with Bryce Young missing one of his most reliable targets in tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders, who is sidelined by injury. Without Sanders, the Panthers’ offensive design will shift toward leaning more heavily on their wide receivers and running backs in the passing game, requiring Young to make quick, decisive reads to avoid pressure from a Patriots defense that thrives when it can collapse the pocket. Establishing the run early will be critical, not only to keep New England honest but also to alleviate some of the burden on their young quarterback and open up play-action opportunities. Carolina’s offensive line has been inconsistent, and in a hostile road environment, their ability to limit sacks and penalties will dictate whether drives can be sustained or stall out. On defense, the Panthers must tighten up against a Patriots offense that hasn’t been flashy but has been steady enough to exploit breakdowns in coverage and extend drives with balance.

Carolina’s front seven will need to control the line of scrimmage, stuff the run, and generate pressure on the quarterback without overcommitting, as New England is adept at using screens and short passes to punish aggressive blitzing. The secondary will be tested, particularly in key third-down situations where discipline and communication must be sharp to prevent chunk plays. Special teams could be the hidden X-factor for Carolina, as flipping field position and converting kicks will be vital in what projects to be a low-scoring, grind-it-out contest. From a betting perspective, the Panthers’ 1–2 ATS record and their road inconsistency don’t inspire confidence, but if their defense forces turnovers and Young takes care of the ball, they have enough playmaking talent to keep the game close. Ultimately, Carolina’s formula for success on the road is straightforward but demanding: control tempo with the run game, protect their quarterback, play mistake-free defense, and win the hidden battles on special teams. If they execute that plan, they can give themselves a chance to pull an upset in Foxborough and avoid falling deeper into an early-season hole.

The Carolina Panthers travel to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots on September 28, 2025, with both teams sitting at 1–2 and seeking momentum. New England enters as a modest favorite at –4.5 in the spread, with the over/under line set around 44.5.  Carolina vs New England AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots head into their September 28, 2025 matchup with the Carolina Panthers at Gillette Stadium with the advantage of home field and the motivation to even their record at 2–2 after a shaky start to the year. While New England’s pass defense has been one of the league’s weak spots through the opening three weeks, the expected return of cornerback Christian Gonzalez from a hamstring injury provides a much-needed boost to a secondary that has struggled to limit explosive plays. Offensively, the Patriots have leaned on a balanced approach, mixing steady rushing production with short, controlled passing to sustain drives and avoid putting too much pressure on their quarterback to carry the load. Against a Carolina defense that has been prone to breakdowns late in games, New England will look to establish tempo, control time of possession, and use screens and play-action to keep the Panthers’ front seven off balance.

Defensively, Bill Belichick’s group will prioritize pressuring Bryce Young, forcing him to make quick decisions without his trusted tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders, and crowding passing lanes to limit easy completions. The Patriots’ linebackers and safeties will also need to remain disciplined in containing the run, as Carolina will undoubtedly try to lean on the ground game to offset their depleted passing attack. Special teams has long been a New England strength, and in what projects to be a tight, modest-scoring contest with the total around 44.5, flipping field position or converting long field goals could be decisive. From a betting perspective, the Patriots’ 1–2 ATS record suggests they haven’t consistently rewarded backers yet, but the Panthers’ offensive injury issues and New England’s defensive reinforcements make them the safer play at –4.5 in front of their home crowd. Ultimately, the Patriots’ path to victory is clear: protect the football, execute with balance on offense, tighten up the secondary with Gonzalez back in action, and lean on Gillette Stadium’s home-field edge to grind out a crucial win that steadies their season.

Carolina vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Panthers and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Henry over 38.5 Receiving Yards.

Carolina vs. New England Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Panthers and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Panthers team going up against a possibly deflated Patriots team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Carolina vs New England picks, computer picks Panthers vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/9 PHI@NYG UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Panthers Betting Trends

Carolina has a 1–2 ATS record this season, and their road ATS performance has been shaky, particularly in competitive matchups.

Patriots Betting Trends

New England is 1–2 ATS so far in 2025, with a middling cover rate that hasn’t inspired full confidence in their home spreads.

Panthers vs. Patriots Matchup Trends

The injury to Carolina’s starting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders—who will miss this game—removes a key target from Bryce Young’s offense and may tilt value toward New England’s side. Also, Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez is ramping up for a return from a hamstring injury, which could strengthen a pass defense that ranks near the bottom early this season.

Carolina vs. New England Game Info

Carolina vs New England starts on September 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New England -5.5
Moneyline: Carolina +196, New England -240
Over/Under: 43.5

Carolina: (1-2)  |  New England: (1-2)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Henry over 38.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The injury to Carolina’s starting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders—who will miss this game—removes a key target from Bryce Young’s offense and may tilt value toward New England’s side. Also, Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez is ramping up for a return from a hamstring injury, which could strengthen a pass defense that ranks near the bottom early this season.

CAR trend: Carolina has a 1–2 ATS record this season, and their road ATS performance has been shaky, particularly in competitive matchups.

NE trend: New England is 1–2 ATS so far in 2025, with a middling cover rate that hasn’t inspired full confidence in their home spreads.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Carolina vs. New England Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Carolina vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Carolina vs New England Opening Odds

CAR Moneyline: +196
NE Moneyline: -240
CAR Spread: +5.5
NE Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 43.5

Carolina vs New England Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 9, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
10/9/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Giants
-420
+305
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
O 40.5 (-115)
U 40.5 (-105)
Oct 12, 2025 9:30AM EDT
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
10/12/25 9:30AM
Broncos
Jets
-400
+300
-7 (-111)
+7 (-111)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Seattle Seahawks
Jacksonville Jaguars
10/12/25 1PM
Seahawks
Jaguars
-108
-112
-1 (+100)
+1 (-125)
O 47.5 (-107)
U 47.5 (-114)
Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
10/12/25 1PM
Patriots
Saints
-193
+155
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-121)
O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-106)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Browns
Steelers
+215
-275
+5.5 (+100)
-5.5 (-121)
O 38.5 (-109)
U 38.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
10/12/25 1:01PM
Chargers
Dolphins
-213
+170
-4 (-109)
+4 (-112)
O 43.5 (-121)
U 43.5 (+100)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
10/12/25 1:01PM
Rams
Ravens
-400
+305
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-113)
O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-108)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Panthers
-176
+140
-3 (-109)
+3 (-112)
O 49.5 (-112)
U 49.5 (-109)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cardinals
Colts
+275
-360
+7.5 (-111)
-7.5 (-110)
O 46.5 (-113)
U 46.5 (-108)
Oct 12, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Las Vegas Raiders
10/12/25 4:06PM
Titans
Raiders
+185
-235
+4.5 (-117)
-4.5 (-105)
O 41.5 (-112)
U 41.5 (-109)
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers
10/12/25 4:26PM
Bengals
Packers
+700
-1250
+14 (-107)
-14 (-113)
O 44.5 (-109)
U 44.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10/12/25 4:26PM
49ers
Buccaneers
+135
-164
+3 (-108)
-3 (-113)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 12, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10/12/25 8:20PM
Lions
Chiefs
+115
-135
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 53 (-110)
U 53 (-110)
Oct 13, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons
10/13/25 7:15PM
Bills
Falcons
-230
+180
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-114)
U 49.5 (-106)
Oct 13, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
10/13/25 8:16PM
Bears
Commanders
+185
-230
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
O 50 (-108)
U 50 (-113)
Oct 16, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
10/16/25 8:16PM
Steelers
Bengals
-240
+185
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Carolina Panthers vs. New England Patriots on September 28, 2025 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS