Panthers vs. Patriots
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Carolina Panthers travel to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots on September 28, 2025, with both teams sitting at 1–2 and seeking momentum. New England enters as a modest favorite at –4.5 in the spread, with the over/under line set around 44.5.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (1-2)
Panthers Record: (1-2)
OPENING ODDS
CAR Moneyline: +196
NE Moneyline: -240
CAR Spread: +5.5
NE Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 43.5
CAR
Betting Trends
- Carolina has a 1–2 ATS record this season, and their road ATS performance has been shaky, particularly in competitive matchups.
NE
Betting Trends
- New England is 1–2 ATS so far in 2025, with a middling cover rate that hasn’t inspired full confidence in their home spreads.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The injury to Carolina’s starting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders—who will miss this game—removes a key target from Bryce Young’s offense and may tilt value toward New England’s side. Also, Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez is ramping up for a return from a hamstring injury, which could strengthen a pass defense that ranks near the bottom early this season.
CAR vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Henry over 38.5 Receiving Yards.
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Carolina vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/28/25
On the other side, New England’s offense has not been particularly explosive, but they’ve shown glimpses of balance, and against a Panthers defense that has struggled to close out games, they will try to control tempo with a mix of rushing attempts and timely passes. Both defenses figure to play central roles in determining the outcome, with turnovers, third-down execution, and red-zone efficiency likely to separate winner from loser. Special teams could also swing the game in a low-scoring environment, where field position and reliable kicking matter more than usual. From a betting perspective, the total around 44.5 reflects expectations of a modest, grind-it-out game rather than an offensive showcase, which fits given the weaknesses on both sides. New England’s home-field advantage and defensive reinforcements make them the safer pick, but Carolina’s ability to create turnovers and Young’s potential for improvisational plays leaves the door open for an upset if things break their way. Ultimately, this matchup looks less like a shootout and more like a battle of attrition, where whichever team minimizes mistakes, sustains drives, and capitalizes in the red zone will emerge with a critical second win to steady their season.
Time to lock back in pic.twitter.com/KMqZ3r5hr7
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) September 24, 2025
Carolina Panthers NFL Preview
The Carolina Panthers enter their September 28, 2025 matchup against the New England Patriots in Foxborough knowing they’ll need to overcome adversity to earn their second win of the season, particularly with Bryce Young missing one of his most reliable targets in tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders, who is sidelined by injury. Without Sanders, the Panthers’ offensive design will shift toward leaning more heavily on their wide receivers and running backs in the passing game, requiring Young to make quick, decisive reads to avoid pressure from a Patriots defense that thrives when it can collapse the pocket. Establishing the run early will be critical, not only to keep New England honest but also to alleviate some of the burden on their young quarterback and open up play-action opportunities. Carolina’s offensive line has been inconsistent, and in a hostile road environment, their ability to limit sacks and penalties will dictate whether drives can be sustained or stall out. On defense, the Panthers must tighten up against a Patriots offense that hasn’t been flashy but has been steady enough to exploit breakdowns in coverage and extend drives with balance.
Carolina’s front seven will need to control the line of scrimmage, stuff the run, and generate pressure on the quarterback without overcommitting, as New England is adept at using screens and short passes to punish aggressive blitzing. The secondary will be tested, particularly in key third-down situations where discipline and communication must be sharp to prevent chunk plays. Special teams could be the hidden X-factor for Carolina, as flipping field position and converting kicks will be vital in what projects to be a low-scoring, grind-it-out contest. From a betting perspective, the Panthers’ 1–2 ATS record and their road inconsistency don’t inspire confidence, but if their defense forces turnovers and Young takes care of the ball, they have enough playmaking talent to keep the game close. Ultimately, Carolina’s formula for success on the road is straightforward but demanding: control tempo with the run game, protect their quarterback, play mistake-free defense, and win the hidden battles on special teams. If they execute that plan, they can give themselves a chance to pull an upset in Foxborough and avoid falling deeper into an early-season hole.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots head into their September 28, 2025 matchup with the Carolina Panthers at Gillette Stadium with the advantage of home field and the motivation to even their record at 2–2 after a shaky start to the year. While New England’s pass defense has been one of the league’s weak spots through the opening three weeks, the expected return of cornerback Christian Gonzalez from a hamstring injury provides a much-needed boost to a secondary that has struggled to limit explosive plays. Offensively, the Patriots have leaned on a balanced approach, mixing steady rushing production with short, controlled passing to sustain drives and avoid putting too much pressure on their quarterback to carry the load. Against a Carolina defense that has been prone to breakdowns late in games, New England will look to establish tempo, control time of possession, and use screens and play-action to keep the Panthers’ front seven off balance.
Defensively, Bill Belichick’s group will prioritize pressuring Bryce Young, forcing him to make quick decisions without his trusted tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders, and crowding passing lanes to limit easy completions. The Patriots’ linebackers and safeties will also need to remain disciplined in containing the run, as Carolina will undoubtedly try to lean on the ground game to offset their depleted passing attack. Special teams has long been a New England strength, and in what projects to be a tight, modest-scoring contest with the total around 44.5, flipping field position or converting long field goals could be decisive. From a betting perspective, the Patriots’ 1–2 ATS record suggests they haven’t consistently rewarded backers yet, but the Panthers’ offensive injury issues and New England’s defensive reinforcements make them the safer play at –4.5 in front of their home crowd. Ultimately, the Patriots’ path to victory is clear: protect the football, execute with balance on offense, tighten up the secondary with Gonzalez back in action, and lean on Gillette Stadium’s home-field edge to grind out a crucial win that steadies their season.
The Panthers are coming to town for Week 4!
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 24, 2025
Enter to win 2 tickets to Sunday's matchup: https://t.co/XPwk5EOP0w pic.twitter.com/O8wseR2sLr
Carolina vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)
Carolina vs. New England Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Panthers and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Panthers team going up against a possibly deflated Patriots team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Carolina vs New England picks, computer picks Panthers vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 10/9 | PHI@NYG | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Panthers Betting Trends
Carolina has a 1–2 ATS record this season, and their road ATS performance has been shaky, particularly in competitive matchups.
Patriots Betting Trends
New England is 1–2 ATS so far in 2025, with a middling cover rate that hasn’t inspired full confidence in their home spreads.
Panthers vs. Patriots Matchup Trends
The injury to Carolina’s starting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders—who will miss this game—removes a key target from Bryce Young’s offense and may tilt value toward New England’s side. Also, Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez is ramping up for a return from a hamstring injury, which could strengthen a pass defense that ranks near the bottom early this season.
Carolina vs. New England Game Info
What time does Carolina vs New England start on September 28, 2025?
Carolina vs New England starts on September 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Carolina vs New England being played?
Venue: Gillette Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Carolina vs New England?
Spread: New England -5.5
Moneyline: Carolina +196, New England -240
Over/Under: 43.5
What are the records for Carolina vs New England?
Carolina: (1-2) | New England: (1-2)
What is the AI best bet for Carolina vs New England?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: H. Henry over 38.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Carolina vs New England trending bets?
The injury to Carolina’s starting tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders—who will miss this game—removes a key target from Bryce Young’s offense and may tilt value toward New England’s side. Also, Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez is ramping up for a return from a hamstring injury, which could strengthen a pass defense that ranks near the bottom early this season.
What are Carolina trending bets?
CAR trend: Carolina has a 1–2 ATS record this season, and their road ATS performance has been shaky, particularly in competitive matchups.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: New England is 1–2 ATS so far in 2025, with a middling cover rate that hasn’t inspired full confidence in their home spreads.
Where can I find AI Picks for Carolina vs New England?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Carolina vs. New England Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Carolina vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Carolina vs New England Opening Odds
CAR Moneyline:
+196 NE Moneyline: -240
CAR Spread: +5.5
NE Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 43.5
Carolina vs New England Live Odds
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–
–
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-420
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-7.5 (-105)
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O 40.5 (-115)
U 40.5 (-105)
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U 43.5 (-115)
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-108
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+1 (-125)
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O 47.5 (-107)
U 47.5 (-114)
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Patriots
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–
–
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-193
+155
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-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-121)
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O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-106)
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Browns
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–
–
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+215
-275
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+5.5 (+100)
-5.5 (-121)
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O 38.5 (-109)
U 38.5 (-112)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
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Chargers
Dolphins
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–
–
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-213
+170
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-4 (-109)
+4 (-112)
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O 43.5 (-121)
U 43.5 (+100)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
10/12/25 1:01PM
Rams
Ravens
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–
–
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-400
+305
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-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-113)
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O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-108)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
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–
–
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-176
+140
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-3 (-109)
+3 (-112)
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O 49.5 (-112)
U 49.5 (-109)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts
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Cardinals
Colts
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–
–
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+275
-360
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+7.5 (-111)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 46.5 (-113)
U 46.5 (-108)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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Las Vegas Raiders
10/12/25 4:06PM
Titans
Raiders
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–
–
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+185
-235
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+4.5 (-117)
-4.5 (-105)
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O 41.5 (-112)
U 41.5 (-109)
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Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
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–
–
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+700
-1250
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+14 (-107)
-14 (-113)
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O 44.5 (-109)
U 44.5 (-112)
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Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
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10/12/25 4:26PM
49ers
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–
–
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+135
-164
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+3 (-108)
-3 (-113)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 12, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10/12/25 8:20PM
Lions
Chiefs
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–
–
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+115
-135
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+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
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O 53 (-110)
U 53 (-110)
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Oct 13, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons
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Bills
Falcons
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–
–
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-230
+180
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-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
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O 49.5 (-114)
U 49.5 (-106)
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Oct 13, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Chicago Bears
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Bears
Commanders
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–
–
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+185
-230
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+4.5 (-110)
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O 50 (-108)
U 50 (-113)
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Oct 16, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Steelers
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10/16/25 8:16PM
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–
–
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-240
+185
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-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
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O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Carolina Panthers vs. New England Patriots on September 28, 2025 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |