Ravens vs. Chiefs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Baltimore Ravens travel to Arrowhead Stadium on September 28, 2025 to face the Kansas City Chiefs in what promises to be a clash of two high-powered offenses and playoff contenders. Early indications lean toward a tight betting landscape — KC has struggled in 2025 and Baltimore has shown flashes of strength, making this one of the more intriguing lines on the Week 4 slate.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Start Time: 4:25 PM EST
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs Record: (2-3)
Ravens Record: (1-2)
OPENING ODDS
BAL Moneyline: -147
KC Moneyline: +124
BAL Spread: -2.5
KC Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 48.5
BAL
Betting Trends
- Baltimore enters the game with a 1–2 ATS record this season, reflecting some inconsistency in covering lines despite expectations.
KC
Betting Trends
- Kansas City has had difficulty covering in 2025, sitting at 0–2 ATS so far, a surprising trend given their pedigree and past performance as favorites.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Baltimore’s historical ATS strength is notable — they’ve produced a 21–12–1 ATS record over the past two seasons, one of the more profitable trends in the league. Meanwhile, early betting markets have shown sharp money fading Kansas City, especially with concerns about injuries and offensive rhythm.
BAL vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Jackson over 39.5 Rushing Yards.
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Baltimore vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/28/25
Defensively, the Ravens will look to use disguised coverages, pressure packages, and disciplined gap control to contain Mahomes and frustrate a Chiefs offense that hasn’t looked as explosive as in recent years, while on the other side Kansas City’s defense must bottle up Jackson’s scrambling ability, stay disciplined against Baltimore’s RPO-heavy looks, and force him into tighter windows downfield where turnovers can change the game. This contest also sets up as one where hidden yardage—special teams returns, field position, and kicking reliability—could prove decisive, particularly in a stadium as hostile as Arrowhead where momentum swings are amplified by crowd noise. From a betting perspective, Baltimore’s strong ATS history over the past two seasons suggests they’ve been reliable in big spots, while Kansas City’s early ATS struggles have cooled public confidence, leading to sharp money leaning toward the Ravens despite the Chiefs’ home-field advantage. The total, expected to sit in the low 50s, reflects the anticipation of offensive fireworks, but the reality could be more situational—a game where red-zone efficiency, third-down conversions, and turnover margin determine whether this lives up to its billing as a shootout or turns into a grind-it-out chess match between two coaching staffs known for creative adjustments. Ultimately, the Ravens and Chiefs know each other well and have a history of tight, dramatic contests, and this one projects to be no different, with the outcome hinging less on star power—since both Jackson and Mahomes will make their share of highlight plays—and more on which team executes better in high-leverage moments.
Mandrewzzz#WallpaperWednesday x @Mandrews_81 pic.twitter.com/q8D2A6MlJZ
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) September 24, 2025
Baltimore Ravens NFL Preview
The Baltimore Ravens head into Arrowhead Stadium on September 28, 2025 looking to deliver a statement road win and shake off early inconsistency, and their fortunes will once again ride on Lamar Jackson’s ability to dictate pace with both his arm and his legs. Baltimore’s offense thrives when it leans into its balanced identity—using Jackson’s mobility to extend plays, Jonathan Taylor–esque power in the run game to grind yards, and an opportunistic passing attack to keep defenses from stacking the box—but they know that against Kansas City, efficiency and ball security are non-negotiable. The offensive line must give Jackson clean pockets and rushing lanes, because the Chiefs’ front seven will look to collapse the pocket and force him into hurried decisions, and the Ravens will counter by mixing RPOs, play-action, and quick throws to spread KC thin and limit pressure opportunities.
Defensively, Baltimore will aim to disrupt Patrick Mahomes’ rhythm by disguising coverages, sending pressure from multiple levels, and clamping down on Travis Kelce’s replacements in case the tight end remains limited; forcing Mahomes to rely on less experienced weapons increases the chance of incompletions or turnovers. The secondary, led by a physical cornerback group, must stay disciplined against Kansas City’s vertical shots and avoid breakdowns on improvised plays, where Mahomes often excels. Special teams could be a quiet advantage for Baltimore, as field position and hidden yardage are crucial in matchups of this magnitude, especially when facing a hostile crowd at Arrowhead. From a betting perspective, the Ravens’ 1–2 ATS record this season suggests inconsistency, but their broader two-year ATS track record shows they often rise to the occasion in marquee games, while Kansas City’s 0–2 ATS start raises questions about whether the market is still overvaluing them. For Baltimore to seize this opportunity, they must start fast, limit self-inflicted mistakes, and rely on Jackson’s improvisation without becoming one-dimensional. If they can execute that formula and match Kansas City’s intensity, the Ravens have every chance to silence the crowd and walk away with a defining win that would reestablish them as one of the AFC’s most dangerous teams.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs return to Arrowhead Stadium on September 28, 2025 with urgency in the air, sitting at 0–2 ATS to begin the season and facing mounting questions about whether their offensive inconsistencies are temporary growing pains or a sign of deeper issues. Patrick Mahomes remains the centerpiece of everything they do, but he has been forced to shoulder even more responsibility with Travis Kelce battling through health concerns and a supporting cast of receivers that has yet to consistently separate against top-tier defenses. This matchup against Baltimore provides both a challenge and an opportunity: the Ravens’ defense is aggressive, versatile, and more than capable of forcing mistakes, so Kansas City’s offensive line must step up to give Mahomes the time he needs to extend plays and find mismatches. Expect Andy Reid to mix in more quick passes, creative route combinations, and perhaps increased reliance on running backs as pass catchers to offset Baltimore’s pass rush and prevent Mahomes from facing constant third-and-long situations.
Defensively, the Chiefs know the key will be containing Lamar Jackson’s mobility—assigning spies, maintaining edge discipline, and staying gap-sound in the trenches will be critical, as Jackson can flip games with a single scramble if lanes open up. The secondary will be tested by Baltimore’s layered RPO looks and quick strikes, and they must avoid giving up explosive plays after extended breakdowns. Special teams execution will also be crucial, as flipping field position or capitalizing on long field goals could tilt momentum in a game expected to be tightly contested. From a betting standpoint, Kansas City’s failure to cover early this season has dented public confidence, but Arrowhead remains one of the league’s most intimidating environments, and historically Mahomes has excelled in bounce-back spots at home. For the Chiefs to regain momentum, they must play clean football, reestablish rhythm offensively even if it requires spreading touches beyond Kelce, and use their defensive speed to neutralize Baltimore’s misdirection and ground game. If Mahomes finds his groove and the Chiefs’ defense can limit Jackson’s impact, Kansas City has every chance to remind the AFC why Arrowhead remains one of the toughest places for any opponent to leave victorious.
Back at home for Week 4! pic.twitter.com/qLhI0jJwZ4
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 24, 2025
Baltimore vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
Baltimore vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Ravens and Chiefs and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Baltimore’s strength factors between a Ravens team going up against a possibly improved Chiefs team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Baltimore vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Ravens vs Chiefs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 10/9 | PHI@NYG | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Ravens Betting Trends
Baltimore enters the game with a 1–2 ATS record this season, reflecting some inconsistency in covering lines despite expectations.
Chiefs Betting Trends
Kansas City has had difficulty covering in 2025, sitting at 0–2 ATS so far, a surprising trend given their pedigree and past performance as favorites.
Ravens vs. Chiefs Matchup Trends
Baltimore’s historical ATS strength is notable — they’ve produced a 21–12–1 ATS record over the past two seasons, one of the more profitable trends in the league. Meanwhile, early betting markets have shown sharp money fading Kansas City, especially with concerns about injuries and offensive rhythm.
Baltimore vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does Baltimore vs Kansas City start on September 28, 2025?
Baltimore vs Kansas City starts on September 28, 2025 at 4:25 PM EST.
Where is Baltimore vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Baltimore vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City +2.5
Moneyline: Baltimore -147, Kansas City +124
Over/Under: 48.5
What are the records for Baltimore vs Kansas City?
Baltimore: (1-2) | Kansas City: (2-3)
What is the AI best bet for Baltimore vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Jackson over 39.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Baltimore vs Kansas City trending bets?
Baltimore’s historical ATS strength is notable — they’ve produced a 21–12–1 ATS record over the past two seasons, one of the more profitable trends in the league. Meanwhile, early betting markets have shown sharp money fading Kansas City, especially with concerns about injuries and offensive rhythm.
What are Baltimore trending bets?
BAL trend: Baltimore enters the game with a 1–2 ATS record this season, reflecting some inconsistency in covering lines despite expectations.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: Kansas City has had difficulty covering in 2025, sitting at 0–2 ATS so far, a surprising trend given their pedigree and past performance as favorites.
Where can I find AI Picks for Baltimore vs Kansas City?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Baltimore vs. Kansas City Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Baltimore vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Baltimore vs Kansas City Opening Odds
BAL Moneyline:
-147 KC Moneyline: +124
BAL Spread: -2.5
KC Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Baltimore vs Kansas City Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 9, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
10/9/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Giants
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–
–
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-400
+315
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-7.5 (-104)
+7.5 (-118)
|
O 40.5 (-115)
U 40.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 12, 2025 9:30AM EDT
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New York Jets
10/12/25 9:30AM
Broncos
Jets
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–
–
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-405
+320
|
-7 (-118)
+7 (-104)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Seattle Seahawks
Jacksonville Jaguars
10/12/25 1PM
Seahawks
Jaguars
|
–
–
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-104
-112
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
10/12/25 1PM
Patriots
Saints
|
–
–
|
-180
+152
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Browns
Steelers
|
–
–
|
+225
-275
|
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-120)
|
O 38.5 (-108)
U 38.5 (-112)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
10/12/25 1:01PM
Chargers
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
-190
+160
|
-4.5 (-102)
+4.5 (-120)
|
O 43.5 (-112)
U 43.5 (-108)
|
|
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
10/12/25 1:01PM
Rams
Ravens
|
–
–
|
-370
+295
|
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-172
+144
|
-3 (-120)
+3 (-102)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cardinals
Colts
|
–
–
|
+295
-370
|
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 12, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Las Vegas Raiders
10/12/25 4:06PM
Titans
Raiders
|
–
–
|
+180
-215
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-108)
U 41.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers
10/12/25 4:26PM
Bengals
Packers
|
–
–
|
+730
-1150
|
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-104)
U 44.5 (-118)
|
|
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10/12/25 4:26PM
49ers
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
+130
-154
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-108)
U 47.5 (-112)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10/12/25 8:20PM
Lions
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+118
-138
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 13, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons
10/13/25 7:15PM
Bills
Falcons
|
–
–
|
-230
+190
|
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
|
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)
|
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Oct 13, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
10/13/25 8:16PM
Bears
Commanders
|
–
–
|
+188
-225
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
|
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 16, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
10/16/25 8:16PM
Steelers
Bengals
|
–
–
|
-230
+190
|
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
|
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs on September 28, 2025 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |