Buccaneers vs. Texans
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 15 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
A Monday night matchup between the Buccaneers and Texans kicks off at 7:00 PM ET on September 15, 2025, in Houston. Two teams with playoff aspirations and contrasting strengths—Tampa Bay’s offensive power and veteran experience versus Houston’s rising defense and young quarterback—face off under the Monday Night Football spotlight.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 15, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Texans Record: (0-1)
Buccaneers Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: +125
HOU Moneyline: -148
TB Spread: +2.5
HOU Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 42.5
TB
Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay covered the spread in 10 of 18 games (10-8 ATS) in 2024, reflecting a 55.6% cover rate.
HOU
Betting Trends
- Houston finished last season 9-8-2 ATS, a modest 52.9% cover rate, indicating they were slightly more than average at beating betting expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Opening odds have the Texans as 2.5-point favorites with a total set at 44.5 points. The Buccaneers are +108 on the moneyline, while the Texans are −126. Historically, underdogs in early-season divisional or interconference games often outperform expectations—which could make Tampa Bay an appealing cover despite being on the road.
TB vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Mayfield over 244.5 Passing + Rushing Yards.
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Tampa Bay vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/15/25
The Buccaneers bring in one of the league’s most efficient and balanced offenses from 2024, leveraging historic numbers from Baker Mayfield (notably top-tier completion percentage, passer rating, and yardage) along with franchise-record efficiency in third-down conversions and red-zone scoring. Their formula—attacking with pace, capitalizing on explosive plays, and leaning on veteran savvy—now must be tested against one of the NFL’s stingiest defenses, one that excels at creating confusion, generating pressure, and turning mistakes into momentum. With the spotlight of a national primetime audience amplifying every miscue, the battle in the trenches, red-zone execution, turnover margin, and ability to adapt under duress could be the deciding factors. If Tampa Bay’s veteran leadership and offensive pedigree can navigate Houston’s early-season kinks and defensive ferocity, they’ll challenge the betting chalk; if Stroud and company can clean up execution and lean on defensive fortitude and home-field energy, the Texans could respond with an emphatic statement win. With stars—both established vets and ascending talents—counting on high-leverage moments in front of the crowd and cameras, this Week 2 duel promises to be a compelling mixture of tension, strategy, and high-stakes narrative for fans and bettors alike.
Just the beginning of @EgbukaEmeka's career in Tampa Bay 👏 pic.twitter.com/n8nfnrRj6f
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) September 9, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel into Houston for this Week 2 Monday Night Football matchup carrying momentum from their narrow 23-20 opening win in Atlanta, a victory that underscored their defensive poise and veteran leadership even as offensive execution remained a work in progress. Baker Mayfield, fresh off a 2024 campaign that ranked among the best in franchise history for efficiency and explosiveness, continues to be the anchor of this attack, but in Week 1 his rhythm was inconsistent, and the Buccaneers were forced to rely heavily on situational awareness and clutch third-down conversions rather than sustained drives. Mike Evans remains the heartbeat of the receiving corps, still capable of game-breaking plays and commanding attention that opens opportunities for Chris Godwin and rookie Emeka Egbuka, who is expected to see his workload expand as the season progresses. The Buccaneers’ offensive line, once a question mark, held up decently in the opener but will now face an enormous test against a Texans defense that thrives on pressure, disguises, and forcing hurried decisions. To offset this, Tampa Bay will need to mix tempo, incorporate quick-developing routes, and perhaps lean on play-action to create chunk gains, all while balancing the ground game through Rachaad White and the committee approach that keeps defenses honest.
Defensively, Tampa Bay demonstrated in Atlanta that they can still dictate terms late, with a unit anchored by linebackers Lavonte David and Devin White providing leadership and versatility, and a secondary that has shown flashes of opportunism. Against Stroud and a Texans offense missing several key weapons, Bowles’ defense will likely emphasize collapsing the pocket and forcing Houston to beat them with depth players, a formula that plays to Tampa Bay’s advantage. However, road primetime games bring unique challenges, from noise and communication hurdles to the emotional energy of a hostile crowd, and the Buccaneers must lean into their experience and composure to avoid costly penalties or turnovers that could tilt momentum. Their ATS track record, a solid 10-8 last season, reflects a team often undervalued by oddsmakers, and with bookmakers pegging them as small underdogs again, there is reason to believe they can outpace expectations if they strike early and keep the pressure on Houston’s undermanned offense. Ultimately, Tampa Bay’s path to success in this environment hinges on Mayfield finding early rhythm, Evans continuing to produce at an elite level, and the defense turning this into a grind where every possession matters. If the Buccaneers can complement explosive plays with disciplined situational football, they have the blueprint to silence the crowd, cover the number, and perhaps even walk away with a defining early-season victory that cements their status as one of the NFC’s tougher outs.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans enter their Week 2 Monday Night Football clash against the Buccaneers under the primetime lights at NRG Stadium with plenty to prove after a disappointing 14-9 loss in their opener, a game that highlighted both the potential and the current shortcomings of this roster. Quarterback C.J. Stroud, the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year and now the unquestioned face of the franchise, struggled to establish rhythm in Week 1 behind an offensive line that failed to protect consistently, and his candid postgame comments about practice habits showed both accountability and a leadership edge that could set the tone for how this team responds. The Texans’ biggest challenge remains the litany of injuries on the offensive side of the ball: Tank Dell and Brevin Jordan are out for the season, Stefon Diggs remains unavailable for multiple weeks, Christian Kirk’s timeline is uncertain, and Pro Bowl running back Joe Mixon continues to nurse an ankle injury. That leaves Stroud with Dalton Schultz as his most reliable tight end option and Nico Collins carrying the load in a depleted receiver corps, while the run game is expected to feature a rotation of younger, less proven backs. Against a Tampa Bay defense that thrives on collapsing the pocket and baiting quarterbacks into mistakes, the Texans’ offensive game plan will likely emphasize quick releases, spread concepts, and motion to generate mismatches, while also leaning heavily on Stroud’s accuracy and poise.
On the other side of the ball, Houston’s defense remains the franchise’s foundation and best hope for victory, ranking among the top units in pressure rate, turnovers, and scoring prevention in 2024, and continuing to improve under head coach DeMeco Ryans’ aggressive, detail-oriented scheme. Will Anderson Jr. headlines a disruptive front that can set the tone early, and in a game where bookmakers project a total of just 44.5, the Texans will aim to turn this into a low-scoring slugfest that maximizes their defense and minimizes their offensive vulnerabilities. The home crowd under the Monday night spotlight should amplify the energy, and Houston has historically fed off that environment with strong performances, but discipline will be paramount—costly penalties or turnovers could quickly negate defensive stops and hand Tampa Bay control. Oddsmakers have made Houston a slim 2.5-point favorite, a nod to their home advantage and defensive prowess, but the line also reflects skepticism about whether this undermanned offense can keep pace if Mayfield and Evans find rhythm. For the Texans to cover, Stroud must stay composed under duress, the patchwork offense must produce just enough sustained drives to complement the defense, and the front seven must make Mayfield uncomfortable throughout the night. If Houston executes that formula and capitalizes on their home-field edge, they have a clear path to an emotional and much-needed primetime win that would steady the ship, reaffirm their playoff ambitions, and showcase that even with injuries, their defense and leadership core can keep them firmly in the AFC conversation.
Pack the stadium next Monday. Simple as that! pic.twitter.com/m1dKxTYc0f
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 9, 2025
Tampa Bay vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Houston Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Buccaneers and Texans and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending factor emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Buccaneers team going up against a possibly rested Texans team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Houston picks, computer picks Buccaneers vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 10/9 | PHI@NYG | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
Tampa Bay covered the spread in 10 of 18 games (10-8 ATS) in 2024, reflecting a 55.6% cover rate.
Texans Betting Trends
Houston finished last season 9-8-2 ATS, a modest 52.9% cover rate, indicating they were slightly more than average at beating betting expectations.
Buccaneers vs. Texans Matchup Trends
Opening odds have the Texans as 2.5-point favorites with a total set at 44.5 points. The Buccaneers are +108 on the moneyline, while the Texans are −126. Historically, underdogs in early-season divisional or interconference games often outperform expectations—which could make Tampa Bay an appealing cover despite being on the road.
Tampa Bay vs. Houston Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Houston start on September 15, 2025?
Tampa Bay vs Houston starts on September 15, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Houston being played?
Venue: NRG Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Houston?
Spread: Houston -2.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +125, Houston -148
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Houston?
Tampa Bay: (1-0) | Houston: (0-1)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Houston?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Mayfield over 244.5 Passing + Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Houston trending bets?
Opening odds have the Texans as 2.5-point favorites with a total set at 44.5 points. The Buccaneers are +108 on the moneyline, while the Texans are −126. Historically, underdogs in early-season divisional or interconference games often outperform expectations—which could make Tampa Bay an appealing cover despite being on the road.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: Tampa Bay covered the spread in 10 of 18 games (10-8 ATS) in 2024, reflecting a 55.6% cover rate.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: Houston finished last season 9-8-2 ATS, a modest 52.9% cover rate, indicating they were slightly more than average at beating betting expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Houston?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Houston Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tampa Bay vs Houston Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
+125 HOU Moneyline: -148
TB Spread: +2.5
HOU Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 42.5
Tampa Bay vs Houston Live Odds
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–
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U 40.5 (-105)
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+1 (-125)
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O 47.5 (-107)
U 47.5 (-114)
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–
–
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-193
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-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-121)
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O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-106)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
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Browns
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–
–
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+215
-275
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+5.5 (+100)
-5.5 (-121)
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O 38.5 (-109)
U 38.5 (-112)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
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Chargers
Dolphins
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–
–
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-213
+170
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-4 (-109)
+4 (-112)
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O 43.5 (-121)
U 43.5 (+100)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
10/12/25 1:01PM
Rams
Ravens
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–
–
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-400
+305
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-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-113)
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O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-108)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Panthers
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–
–
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-176
+140
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-3 (-109)
+3 (-112)
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O 49.5 (-112)
U 49.5 (-109)
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Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cardinals
Colts
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–
–
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+275
-360
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+7.5 (-111)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 46.5 (-113)
U 46.5 (-108)
|
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Oct 12, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Las Vegas Raiders
10/12/25 4:06PM
Titans
Raiders
|
–
–
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+185
-235
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+4.5 (-117)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 41.5 (-112)
U 41.5 (-109)
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Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers
10/12/25 4:26PM
Bengals
Packers
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–
–
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+700
-1250
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+14 (-107)
-14 (-113)
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O 44.5 (-109)
U 44.5 (-112)
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Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10/12/25 4:26PM
49ers
Buccaneers
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–
–
|
+135
-164
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+3 (-108)
-3 (-113)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 12, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10/12/25 8:20PM
Lions
Chiefs
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–
–
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+115
-135
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+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
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O 53 (-110)
U 53 (-110)
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Oct 13, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons
10/13/25 7:15PM
Bills
Falcons
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–
–
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-230
+180
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-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
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O 49.5 (-114)
U 49.5 (-106)
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Oct 13, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
10/13/25 8:16PM
Bears
Commanders
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–
–
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+185
-230
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+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
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O 50 (-108)
U 50 (-113)
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Oct 16, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
10/16/25 8:16PM
Steelers
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–
–
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-240
+185
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-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
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O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans on September 15, 2025 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |