Bills vs. Jets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 14 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-07T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
Buffalo brings its high-powered offensive identity to MetLife Stadium as the Bills face the Jets on September 14, 2025, in Week 2 of the AFC East set for a 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff on CBS. Early lines peg Buffalo as a 7- to 8-point favorite with a total around 45.5, reflecting respect for their consistent output against a Jets team still seeking stability under new leadership.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 14, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: MetLife Stadium
Jets Record: (0-1)
Bills Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
BUF Moneyline: -319
NYJ Moneyline: +254
BUF Spread: -45.5
NYJ Spread: +6.5
Over/Under: 45.5
BUF
Betting Trends
- Buffalo posted a 12-8 record against the spread in 2024, sitting at 60% ATS—a strong figure, especially given their frequent favoritism.
NYJ
Betting Trends
- The Jets struggled to cover in 2024, finishing 6-11 ATS.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The opening spread of roughly 7 to 8 points favors Buffalo—a line shaped by their efficiency and Jets’ inconsistency—while the total near mid-40s suggests a moderately paced matchup potentially governed more by field position and defensive stops than fireworks.
BUF vs. NYJ
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hall over 79.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards.
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Buffalo vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/14/25
Red-zone efficiency may become the hinge point of the afternoon, with Buffalo leaning on tight formations, jet motion, and layered sequencing to free up easy looks for tight ends and backs, while New York must convert rare scoring opportunities into touchdowns by leaning on motion-to-bunch, quick-snap calls, and misdirection runs to avoid long-developing isolation routes, because trading threes for sevens is how the Jets have consistently fallen short in this series; special teams and hidden yardage will also loom large, as directional punting, coverage discipline, and avoiding penalties could easily swing four to seven points in a contest lined with a modest total in the mid-40s, and crowd noise at MetLife may provide the Jets’ defense one or two free plays if Buffalo’s offensive line is slow off the ball, but those advantages only matter if New York plays a clean game; ultimately, the Bills’ path to victory looks familiar—stay efficient on first down, keep Allen upright, finish drives with sevens, and let their defense collapse pockets to force the Jets into predictable passing situations—while New York’s upset hopes depend on winning turnover margin, shortening the game with sustained drives, and stealing one explosive play off play-action or special teams to ignite the crowd, and though Buffalo’s continuity and balance make them clear favorites, the rivalry’s unpredictable nature ensures this matchup could come down to late-game execution if the Jets find ways to hang close.
"I saw a really good practice, a really good team and I was excited to be a part of it."@GoBonnies | #BillsMafia
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) September 9, 2025
Buffalo Bills NFL Preview
The Buffalo Bills enter their Week 2 divisional road matchup at MetLife Stadium against the New York Jets with the confidence of a proven contender and the urgency of a team that knows divisional games on the road often define playoff seeding, and their formula for success remains rooted in quarterback Josh Allen’s ability to blend power running with high-level passing efficiency, using his arm talent and mobility to stress defenses horizontally and vertically in ways few other players can replicate; the Bills will want to start fast by leaning on their run-pass marriage, using inside zone and gap schemes to keep linebackers honest and then layering in play-action slants, crossers, and seam shots to Stefon Diggs and their versatile tight ends, while also sprinkling in designed quarterback runs and rollouts to punish defenses that overcommit to edge contain, and when Allen plays on schedule behind a clean pocket, Buffalo’s offense becomes almost impossible to slow, forcing opponents to pick their poison; the offensive line will be tested by a Jets front that thrives on simulated pressure and interior twists, so communication and pass-off discipline will be paramount, with running backs and tight ends likely tasked to chip and release to help Allen get the extra beats he needs to launch deeper routes, and if Buffalo protects adequately, the Jets’ secondary could be stretched thin in man coverage against Diggs and secondary weapons who benefit from Allen’s ability to extend plays.
Defensively, Buffalo will aim to dictate the line of scrimmage by bottling up New York’s run game early, because forcing the Jets’ quarterback into third-and-long situations plays into the strength of a Bills defense that can generate four-man pressure and rotate coverages late to bait throws into tight windows, and their linebackers will be critical in both fitting gaps and rallying to tackle Breece Hall on screens and draws, since the Jets will likely use those concepts to counter Buffalo’s rush; the secondary will focus on discipline over aggression, prioritizing clean tackling to prevent short completions from turning into explosive gains while also trusting disguised coverages to bait mistakes, and a turnover or two could be the decisive swing in what oddsmakers expect to be a mid-total contest; special teams and hidden yardage will also play a vital role, as field position in a divisional road game often becomes the invisible factor in victory, and Buffalo must maintain discipline in coverage and execution to prevent the Jets from stealing momentum; ultimately, the Bills’ path to a comfortable road win is straightforward—dominate early downs with balance, protect Allen just enough to let him work full-field progressions, finish red-zone trips with touchdowns, and let their defense pressure the Jets into low-percentage throws, because if they play to their identity and avoid self-inflicted mistakes, Buffalo’s combination of talent, experience, and quarterback advantage should allow them to leave East Rutherford with a divisional statement win.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Jets NFL Preview
The New York Jets return to MetLife Stadium for their Week 2 AFC East clash with the Buffalo Bills knowing that their chances hinge less on matching Buffalo’s star power and more on playing disciplined, efficient football in front of a charged home crowd, because while Josh Allen and the Bills enter as clear favorites, the Jets have the defensive front and playmaking ability to turn this into a rugged, low-possession battle if they execute properly; offensively, the Jets must insulate their quarterback with a rhythm-based approach built on quick-game throws—slants, stick routes, hitches, and shallow crossers—that keep the ball moving while limiting exposure to Buffalo’s disguised pressures, and screens to Breece Hall or perimeter touch passes will serve both as run extensions and as tools to slow down the Bills’ pass rush, while establishing at least a credible ground game with Hall and complementary backs will be critical to avoid predictable long-yardage situations where Buffalo’s four-man rush can collapse pockets without blitz help; the Jets’ offensive line will be under heavy scrutiny, tasked with handling interior movement and delayed pressures, and they must communicate at a high level to prevent the drive-killing sacks that can swing momentum, with tight ends and backs likely needed in chip-and-stay roles on obvious passing downs; in the red zone, New York must finish scarce scoring opportunities with touchdowns, leaning on motion-to-bunch, quick snaps, and misdirection runs to create leverage rather than expecting one-on-one wins against a disciplined secondary, because trading field goals for Buffalo touchdowns is the surest way to lose ground quickly.
Defensively, the Jets’ strength lies up front, where they can dent Buffalo’s run game with gap integrity and set disciplined edges to limit Allen’s scrambling lanes, forcing him to win from the pocket under pressure instead of on extended plays, and their secondary must play tight coverage while rallying to tackle Diggs and company to prevent short throws from becoming long gains, because limiting yards after the catch is paramount against a Buffalo offense built on efficiency and timing; situationally, expect the Jets to use creeper pressures and green-dog blitzes to try to generate one or two free runners at Allen, counting on the crowd noise to further complicate Buffalo’s protection communication, and a takeaway in the red zone or on third down could completely swing the game; special teams will be critical as well, with field position magnified in what could be a grind, and the Jets must be sharp in coverage and penalty-free in returns to ensure Buffalo is consistently asked to drive the length of the field; ultimately, New York’s path to an upset relies on complementary football—control the clock with balanced possessions, create one or two splash plays off play-action to ignite the home crowd, force Buffalo to settle for field goals rather than touchdowns, and win turnover margin—because if the Jets can keep the game within one score heading into the fourth quarter, the energy of MetLife and the volatility of rivalry football could tilt a matchup many expect to be one-sided into a late-game thriller.
🚨another angle of Justin Fields' first TD with the Jets just dropped 🚨 pic.twitter.com/31c9vg2wzE
— New York Jets (@nyjets) September 8, 2025
Buffalo vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)
Buffalo vs. New York Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Bills and Jets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the growing emphasis human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Bills team going up against a possibly rested Jets team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Buffalo vs New York picks, computer picks Bills vs Jets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 9/18 | MIA@BUF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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NFL | 9/18 | MIA@BUF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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NFL | 9/18 | MIA@BUF | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number.
Bills Betting Trends
Buffalo posted a 12-8 record against the spread in 2024, sitting at 60% ATS—a strong figure, especially given their frequent favoritism.
Jets Betting Trends
The Jets struggled to cover in 2024, finishing 6-11 ATS.
Bills vs. Jets Matchup Trends
The opening spread of roughly 7 to 8 points favors Buffalo—a line shaped by their efficiency and Jets’ inconsistency—while the total near mid-40s suggests a moderately paced matchup potentially governed more by field position and defensive stops than fireworks.
Buffalo vs. New York Game Info
What time does Buffalo vs New York start on September 14, 2025?
Buffalo vs New York starts on September 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Buffalo vs New York being played?
Venue: MetLife Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Buffalo vs New York?
Spread: New York +6.5
Moneyline: Buffalo -319, New York +254
Over/Under: 45.5
What are the records for Buffalo vs New York?
Buffalo: (1-0) | New York: (0-1)
What is the AI best bet for Buffalo vs New York?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hall over 79.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Buffalo vs New York trending bets?
The opening spread of roughly 7 to 8 points favors Buffalo—a line shaped by their efficiency and Jets’ inconsistency—while the total near mid-40s suggests a moderately paced matchup potentially governed more by field position and defensive stops than fireworks.
What are Buffalo trending bets?
BUF trend: Buffalo posted a 12-8 record against the spread in 2024, sitting at 60% ATS—a strong figure, especially given their frequent favoritism.
What are New York trending bets?
NYJ trend: The Jets struggled to cover in 2024, finishing 6-11 ATS.
Where can I find AI Picks for Buffalo vs New York?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Buffalo vs. New York Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Buffalo vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Buffalo vs New York Opening Odds
BUF Moneyline:
-319 NYJ Moneyline: +254
BUF Spread: -45.5
NYJ Spread: +6.5
Over/Under: 45.5
Buffalo vs New York Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/21/25 1PM
Jets
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
+255
-345
|
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-115)
|
O 43.5 (-113)
U 43.5 (-113)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Las Vegas Raiders
Washington Commanders
9/21/25 1PM
Raiders
Commanders
|
–
–
|
+143
-186
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 44 (-115)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
9/21/25 1PM
Falcons
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-250
+195
|
-5.5 (-114)
+5.5 (-112)
|
O 43.5 (-112)
U 43.5 (-113)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Cleveland Browns
9/21/25 1PM
Packers
Browns
|
–
–
|
-480
+330
|
-8 (-110)
+8 (-115)
|
O 41.5 (-113)
U 41.5 (-113)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
9/21/25 1PM
Texans
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
+100
-125
|
+1.5 (-113)
-1.5 (-113)
|
O 44 (-112)
U 44 (-114)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots
9/21/25 1PM
Steelers
Patriots
|
–
–
|
-125
+100
|
-1.5 (-113)
+1.5 (-113)
|
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-114)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Minnesota Vikings
9/21/25 1PM
Bengals
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+120
-152
|
+3 (-117)
-3 (-108)
|
O 42 (-114)
U 42 (-112)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
Philadelphia Eagles
9/21/25 1:01PM
Rams
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+155
-195
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (-107)
|
O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-113)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
9/21/25 1:01PM
Colts
Titans
|
–
–
|
-215
+165
|
-4 (-113)
+4 (-113)
|
O 43.5 (-114)
U 43.5 (-112)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
9/21/25 4:05PM
Broncos
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+120
-150
|
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 45.5 (-112)
U 45.5 (-114)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 4:05PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Seattle Seahawks
9/21/25 4:05PM
Saints
Seahawks
|
–
–
|
+295
-420
|
+7.5 (-117)
-7.5 (-109)
|
O 41.5 (-114)
U 41.5 (-112)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Chicago Bears
9/21/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Bears
|
–
–
|
-114
-110
|
pk
pk
|
O 50.5 (-112)
U 50.5 (-114)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
9/21/25 4:26PM
Cardinals
49ers
|
–
–
|
+123
-159
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 21, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Kansas City Chiefs
New York Giants
9/21/25 8:21PM
Chiefs
Giants
|
–
–
|
-315
+235
|
-6 (-112)
+6 (-114)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 22, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Baltimore Ravens
9/22/25 8:15PM
Lions
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+190
-250
|
+5 (-115)
-5 (-110)
|
O 52.5 (-112)
U 52.5 (-113)
|
|
Sep 25, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
9/25/25 8:16PM
Seahawks
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
+108
-137
|
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
|
O 43.5 (-113)
U 43.5 (-112)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets on September 14, 2025 at MetLife Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |
PIT@BAL | JUSTICE HILL OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.30% | 8 | WIN |
MIN@DET | DET -3 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
KC@DEN | DEN -11.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@DET | T.J. HOCKENSON RECV YDS OVER 46.5 | 55.00% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@LAR | ZACH CHARBONNET RECV YDS OVER 18.5 | 53.90% | 8 | WIN |
TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD PASS ATT OVER 31.5 | 53.80% | 8 | WIN |
CIN@PIT | CIN -130 | 56.20% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@PIT | RUSSELL WILSON PASS ATT OVER 31.5 | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
CLE@BAL | ELIJAH MOORE RECV TARGETS OVER 5.5 | 54.30% | 6 | LOSS |
CIN@PIT | PAT FREIERMUTH ANYTIME TD (UNITS ADJ FOR +400 ODDS) | 52.50% | 9 | WIN |
DET@SF | DET -3.5 | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DET@SF | JAHMYR GIBBS LONGEST RUSH OVER 16.5 YDS | 53.60% | 5 | WIN |