Commanders vs. Packers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 11 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-04T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

A marquee NFC clash opens Thursday Night Football as the Washington Commanders visit the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on September 11, 2025, with kickoff set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video. Both teams come off convincing Week 1 divisional wins and enter with early-season momentum in a game that could shape conference pecking order.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 11, 2025

Start Time: 8:15 PM EST​

Venue: Lambeau Field​

Packers Record: (1-0)

Commanders Record: (1-0)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: +156

GB Moneyline: -187

WAS Spread: +3.5

GB Spread: -3.5

Over/Under: 48

WAS
Betting Trends

  • Washington finished last season 12-7-1 against the spread, one of the league’s better cover rates, and now travels on a short week following a 21-6 opener.

GB
Betting Trends

  • Green Bay went 9-9 ATS last season and handled Detroit 27-13 in Week 1 to set up this primetime test at Lambeau.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Early markets list Green Bay around a field-goal favorite with a total in the high 40s, reflecting respect for both defenses and explosive quarterback play. Washington’s 2024 ATS profile was strong overall while Green Bay was break-even, adding intrigue to a classic rest-disparity TNF spot.

WAS vs. GB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Washington vs Green Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/11/25

The upcoming Week 2 Thursday Night Football clash between the Washington Commanders and the Green Bay Packers on September 11, 2025, at Lambeau Field promises to be one of the early-season tone-setters in the NFC, pitting two teams that both began their seasons with impressive divisional victories and now find themselves under the national spotlight in a short-week test that will gauge their depth, discipline, and ability to execute in a primetime environment; the Packers enter with the advantage of playing at home where the atmosphere and crowd noise routinely shift the momentum in their favor, and their balanced Week 1 win over Detroit showcased an offense led by Jordan Love that has matured in its efficiency, rhythm passing, and ability to capitalize on favorable down-and-distance situations while leaning on a ground game that keeps defenses honest, yet the challenge against Washington’s defense is much different, as Dan Quinn has built a group predicated on pressure packages, disguise, and physical coverage that will attempt to take away Green Bay’s intermediate passing windows, force Love to hold the ball, and allow Washington’s front to dictate the line of scrimmage; on the other side of the ball, Washington travels with a rookie quarterback who impressed in his debut by protecting the football and leaning into a game plan that mixed quick throws with a varied rushing attack, but Lambeau Field on a Thursday night is a far cry from a Week 1 home opener, and Green Bay’s defense under Jeff Hafley is designed to cause confusion with late rotations, heavy doses of man coverage, and a front four that penetrates quickly enough to collapse timing in the pocket, creating the sort of mistakes that can flip momentum instantly, so Washington will need to stay ahead of the sticks with early-down success and limit negative plays if they want to compete.

Much of this game will hinge on trench battles and situational execution, with Washington’s offensive line tasked with keeping its young passer upright against a relentless Packers pass rush, while Green Bay’s offensive line must handle Washington’s aggressive fronts and protect against disguised blitzes that threaten to swing field position, and beyond the X’s and O’s, the underlying storylines include Washington’s effort to prove it is a legitimate NFC contender under a new coaching regime and the Packers’ quest to validate their Week 1 statement by stacking another impressive win that affirms their playoff aspirations; special teams and turnovers loom large in short-week contests, where fatigue can manifest in missed assignments, and hidden yardage through punt coverage, kickoff returns, and penalty discipline could very well be the difference in a tight, physical matchup, and the game flow likely comes down to whether Green Bay can dictate tempo with its offensive balance and prevent Washington from generating chunk plays off play action, while Washington will seek to shorten the game, keep it close into the fourth quarter, and lean on its defensive line to deliver game-changing plays; ultimately, this matchup reflects the contrast between a team with a settled quarterback who is now entering his prime years and a team still grooming a talented but unproven signal-caller, and whether the Packers can leverage their home-field edge and consistent offensive identity or the Commanders can disrupt rhythm, steal possessions, and ride their defense to an upset will define the outcome of a game that has the look of a rugged, tactical, and highly competitive NFC battle under the lights.

Washington Commanders NFL Preview

The Washington Commanders enter their Week 2 Thursday night trip to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers with optimism but also the clear understanding that this contest will demand their best execution on both sides of the ball, as their impressive Week 1 performance, a comfortable win at home, showed flashes of a balanced offensive approach and a defensive unit that swarmed, disguised, and made life miserable for their opponent, yet playing on the road in prime time presents a different test for a young team still trying to establish its identity under new leadership; offensively, the Commanders are building around a rookie quarterback whose debut displayed poise and decision-making beyond his years, but the margin for error shrinks dramatically in a venue like Lambeau, where crowd noise, relentless pass rush, and tight coverage can quickly turn a solid drive into a punt or turnover, and Washington will need to insulate their young passer with a diversified ground game featuring both power and zone concepts, quick passing options, and timely designed quarterback runs or bootlegs to slow down Green Bay’s pressure, while their receivers must win on the perimeter against aggressive corners who will likely challenge them with press coverage; the offensive line, a group that played sound football in Week 1, faces an enormous challenge against a Packers front that thrives on generating pressure without blitzing, meaning protection calls, communication, and quick reactions to stunts and twists will be paramount, and any cracks could tilt the game heavily toward Green Bay.

Defensively, Washington brings one of the NFL’s most disruptive fronts, and that unit is their best chance to pull the upset, as Dan Quinn’s scheme blends aggression with disguise, creating confusion for opposing quarterbacks by showing pressure and dropping into coverage or by sending creative blitzes from different angles, and the Commanders will need to bottle up Green Bay’s run game early to force Jordan Love into third-and-long scenarios where their edge rushers can tee off, while the secondary must remain disciplined against play-action and motion that LaFleur loves to employ to create leverage advantages; Washington’s linebackers will be tested sideline to sideline by Green Bay’s backs catching passes out of the backfield and by jet motions designed to stress the edges, and tackling will need to be flawless to prevent small gains from becoming chunk plays; on special teams, Washington cannot afford breakdowns in coverage or missed field goals in a hostile environment where field position could swing momentum, and discipline will be key, as penalties are magnified in road prime-time games; the Commanders’ path to victory lies in keeping the game close into the fourth quarter, relying on their defensive front to make a critical play and their young quarterback to show maturity by protecting the football and capitalizing on scoring chances, and while they enter as underdogs, this is the type of matchup that can accelerate a team’s growth if they rise to the occasion, withstand the inevitable Green Bay surges, and prove capable of winning a slugfest in one of the NFL’s most storied venues, a test that will speak volumes about where Washington stands in the NFC hierarchy.

A marquee NFC clash opens Thursday Night Football as the Washington Commanders visit the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on September 11, 2025, with kickoff set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video. Both teams come off convincing Week 1 divisional wins and enter with early-season momentum in a game that could shape conference pecking order. Washington vs Green Bay AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Green Bay Packers NFL Preview

The Green Bay Packers step into their Week 2 Thursday Night Football clash against the Washington Commanders with the confidence of a team that opened its season with a strong divisional victory, and Lambeau Field provides them not only with home-field advantage but also with an opportunity to make an early-season statement that they remain one of the NFC’s most balanced and dangerous rosters, as Jordan Love continues to solidify himself as the face of the franchise by showing steady progression in his command of the offense, his poise in the pocket, and his growing chemistry with a young but explosive receiving corps; the Packers’ offensive identity has been shaped by Matt LaFleur’s balanced play calling, with a heavy emphasis on marrying the run game to play-action, giving Love defined reads and creating opportunities for deep shots down the field, and Green Bay’s offensive line, often a hallmark of the franchise, will need to deliver another strong performance to neutralize Washington’s highly disruptive defensive front that thrives on pressure, disguises, and physicality in the trenches, as the Commanders will seek to force long down-and-distance situations where their blitz packages and edge rushers can wreak havoc, but Green Bay has the tools to counter with quick passing concepts, creative motion, and a diverse run scheme featuring both inside zone and outside zone to keep the defense off balance; the Packers’ receivers and tight ends will be key in finding soft spots against Washington’s pattern-matching coverages, with timing routes, option routes, and screens playing an important role in keeping the chains moving, while running backs will not only be tasked with producing on the ground but also in pass protection and as receiving threats to test Washington’s linebackers in space, areas where Green Bay has historically been able to generate mismatches.

Defensively, Green Bay faces the task of slowing down a Washington offense that is gradually building around its rookie quarterback, and defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley’s scheme will look to confuse him with disguised coverages, post-snap rotations, and selective blitzes, while the Packers’ front four, which looked stout in their Week 1 showing, will aim to collapse the pocket without sacrificing coverage integrity, because forcing a young quarterback into hurried throws is the fastest route to turnovers and momentum swings; the secondary, featuring aggressive corners, will likely press early and often to test Washington’s receivers, while safeties will be tasked with preventing the deep play-action shots that could change the complexion of the game, and Green Bay’s linebackers will need to maintain discipline against Washington’s misdirection runs, screens, and quick-hitting concepts designed to alleviate pressure on their rookie passer; special teams, a unit that has made strides in consistency, must remain sharp in coverage and capitalize on field position advantages that Lambeau’s atmosphere often provides, while discipline in penalties will be critical in a matchup where the margin for error can shrink quickly; ultimately, the Packers’ formula for victory lies in maintaining their offensive balance, leveraging the crowd and environment to create confusion for Washington’s young quarterback, and turning the game into one where their consistency, experience, and depth allow them to dictate tempo, control field position, and make the Commanders chase the contest rather than dictate it, and if Green Bay executes to its standard, this game becomes an opportunity to affirm their standing as legitimate NFC contenders and send a strong message that Lambeau Field remains one of the most difficult places in football for opponents to steal a win.

Washington vs. Green Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Commanders and Packers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Lambeau Field in Sep can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Washington vs. Green Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Commanders and Packers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the growing weight emotional bettors tend to put on Green Bay’s strength factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly improved Packers team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Green Bay picks, computer picks Commanders vs Packers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/9 PHI@NYG UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Commanders Betting Trends

Washington finished last season 12-7-1 against the spread, one of the league’s better cover rates, and now travels on a short week following a 21-6 opener.

Packers Betting Trends

Green Bay went 9-9 ATS last season and handled Detroit 27-13 in Week 1 to set up this primetime test at Lambeau.

Commanders vs. Packers Matchup Trends

Early markets list Green Bay around a field-goal favorite with a total in the high 40s, reflecting respect for both defenses and explosive quarterback play. Washington’s 2024 ATS profile was strong overall while Green Bay was break-even, adding intrigue to a classic rest-disparity TNF spot.

Washington vs. Green Bay Game Info

Washington vs Green Bay starts on September 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM EST.

Spread: Green Bay -3.5
Moneyline: Washington +156, Green Bay -187
Over/Under: 48

Washington: (1-0)  |  Green Bay: (1-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Early markets list Green Bay around a field-goal favorite with a total in the high 40s, reflecting respect for both defenses and explosive quarterback play. Washington’s 2024 ATS profile was strong overall while Green Bay was break-even, adding intrigue to a classic rest-disparity TNF spot.

WAS trend: Washington finished last season 12-7-1 against the spread, one of the league’s better cover rates, and now travels on a short week following a 21-6 opener.

GB trend: Green Bay went 9-9 ATS last season and handled Detroit 27-13 in Week 1 to set up this primetime test at Lambeau.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Green Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Green Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Washington vs Green Bay Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: +156
GB Moneyline: -187
WAS Spread: +3.5
GB Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 48

Washington vs Green Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 9, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
10/9/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Giants
-420
+305
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
O 40.5 (-115)
U 40.5 (-105)
Oct 12, 2025 9:30AM EDT
Denver Broncos
New York Jets
10/12/25 9:30AM
Broncos
Jets
-400
+300
-7 (-111)
+7 (-111)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Seattle Seahawks
Jacksonville Jaguars
10/12/25 1PM
Seahawks
Jaguars
-108
-112
-1 (+100)
+1 (-125)
O 47.5 (-107)
U 47.5 (-114)
Oct 12, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
10/12/25 1PM
Patriots
Saints
-193
+155
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-121)
O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-106)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Browns
Steelers
+215
-275
+5.5 (+100)
-5.5 (-121)
O 38.5 (-109)
U 38.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins
10/12/25 1:01PM
Chargers
Dolphins
-213
+170
-4 (-109)
+4 (-112)
O 43.5 (-121)
U 43.5 (+100)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
10/12/25 1:01PM
Rams
Ravens
-400
+305
-7.5 (-108)
+7.5 (-113)
O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-108)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Carolina Panthers
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cowboys
Panthers
-176
+140
-3 (-109)
+3 (-112)
O 49.5 (-112)
U 49.5 (-109)
Oct 12, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts
10/12/25 1:01PM
Cardinals
Colts
+275
-360
+7.5 (-111)
-7.5 (-110)
O 46.5 (-113)
U 46.5 (-108)
Oct 12, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Las Vegas Raiders
10/12/25 4:06PM
Titans
Raiders
+185
-235
+4.5 (-117)
-4.5 (-105)
O 41.5 (-112)
U 41.5 (-109)
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers
10/12/25 4:26PM
Bengals
Packers
+700
-1250
+14 (-107)
-14 (-113)
O 44.5 (-109)
U 44.5 (-112)
Oct 12, 2025 4:26PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10/12/25 4:26PM
49ers
Buccaneers
+135
-164
+3 (-108)
-3 (-113)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 12, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Detroit Lions
Kansas City Chiefs
10/12/25 8:20PM
Lions
Chiefs
+115
-135
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 53 (-110)
U 53 (-110)
Oct 13, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons
10/13/25 7:15PM
Bills
Falcons
-230
+180
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-114)
U 49.5 (-106)
Oct 13, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Washington Commanders
10/13/25 8:16PM
Bears
Commanders
+185
-230
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-109)
O 50 (-108)
U 50 (-113)
Oct 16, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
10/16/25 8:16PM
Steelers
Bengals
-240
+185
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Green Bay Packers on September 11, 2025 at Lambeau Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS