Commanders vs. Packers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 11 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-04T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
A marquee NFC clash opens Thursday Night Football as the Washington Commanders visit the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on September 11, 2025, with kickoff set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video. Both teams come off convincing Week 1 divisional wins and enter with early-season momentum in a game that could shape conference pecking order.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 11, 2025
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: Lambeau Field
Packers Record: (1-0)
Commanders Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +156
GB Moneyline: -187
WAS Spread: +3.5
GB Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 48
WAS
Betting Trends
- Washington finished last season 12-7-1 against the spread, one of the league’s better cover rates, and now travels on a short week following a 21-6 opener.
GB
Betting Trends
- Green Bay went 9-9 ATS last season and handled Detroit 27-13 in Week 1 to set up this primetime test at Lambeau.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Early markets list Green Bay around a field-goal favorite with a total in the high 40s, reflecting respect for both defenses and explosive quarterback play. Washington’s 2024 ATS profile was strong overall while Green Bay was break-even, adding intrigue to a classic rest-disparity TNF spot.
WAS vs. GB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Washington vs Green Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/11/25
Much of this game will hinge on trench battles and situational execution, with Washington’s offensive line tasked with keeping its young passer upright against a relentless Packers pass rush, while Green Bay’s offensive line must handle Washington’s aggressive fronts and protect against disguised blitzes that threaten to swing field position, and beyond the X’s and O’s, the underlying storylines include Washington’s effort to prove it is a legitimate NFC contender under a new coaching regime and the Packers’ quest to validate their Week 1 statement by stacking another impressive win that affirms their playoff aspirations; special teams and turnovers loom large in short-week contests, where fatigue can manifest in missed assignments, and hidden yardage through punt coverage, kickoff returns, and penalty discipline could very well be the difference in a tight, physical matchup, and the game flow likely comes down to whether Green Bay can dictate tempo with its offensive balance and prevent Washington from generating chunk plays off play action, while Washington will seek to shorten the game, keep it close into the fourth quarter, and lean on its defensive line to deliver game-changing plays; ultimately, this matchup reflects the contrast between a team with a settled quarterback who is now entering his prime years and a team still grooming a talented but unproven signal-caller, and whether the Packers can leverage their home-field edge and consistent offensive identity or the Commanders can disrupt rhythm, steal possessions, and ride their defense to an upset will define the outcome of a game that has the look of a rugged, tactical, and highly competitive NFC battle under the lights.
came out swinging pic.twitter.com/ZZluqNYb5M
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) September 9, 2025
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders enter their Week 2 Thursday night trip to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers with optimism but also the clear understanding that this contest will demand their best execution on both sides of the ball, as their impressive Week 1 performance, a comfortable win at home, showed flashes of a balanced offensive approach and a defensive unit that swarmed, disguised, and made life miserable for their opponent, yet playing on the road in prime time presents a different test for a young team still trying to establish its identity under new leadership; offensively, the Commanders are building around a rookie quarterback whose debut displayed poise and decision-making beyond his years, but the margin for error shrinks dramatically in a venue like Lambeau, where crowd noise, relentless pass rush, and tight coverage can quickly turn a solid drive into a punt or turnover, and Washington will need to insulate their young passer with a diversified ground game featuring both power and zone concepts, quick passing options, and timely designed quarterback runs or bootlegs to slow down Green Bay’s pressure, while their receivers must win on the perimeter against aggressive corners who will likely challenge them with press coverage; the offensive line, a group that played sound football in Week 1, faces an enormous challenge against a Packers front that thrives on generating pressure without blitzing, meaning protection calls, communication, and quick reactions to stunts and twists will be paramount, and any cracks could tilt the game heavily toward Green Bay.
Defensively, Washington brings one of the NFL’s most disruptive fronts, and that unit is their best chance to pull the upset, as Dan Quinn’s scheme blends aggression with disguise, creating confusion for opposing quarterbacks by showing pressure and dropping into coverage or by sending creative blitzes from different angles, and the Commanders will need to bottle up Green Bay’s run game early to force Jordan Love into third-and-long scenarios where their edge rushers can tee off, while the secondary must remain disciplined against play-action and motion that LaFleur loves to employ to create leverage advantages; Washington’s linebackers will be tested sideline to sideline by Green Bay’s backs catching passes out of the backfield and by jet motions designed to stress the edges, and tackling will need to be flawless to prevent small gains from becoming chunk plays; on special teams, Washington cannot afford breakdowns in coverage or missed field goals in a hostile environment where field position could swing momentum, and discipline will be key, as penalties are magnified in road prime-time games; the Commanders’ path to victory lies in keeping the game close into the fourth quarter, relying on their defensive front to make a critical play and their young quarterback to show maturity by protecting the football and capitalizing on scoring chances, and while they enter as underdogs, this is the type of matchup that can accelerate a team’s growth if they rise to the occasion, withstand the inevitable Green Bay surges, and prove capable of winning a slugfest in one of the NFL’s most storied venues, a test that will speak volumes about where Washington stands in the NFC hierarchy.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Green Bay Packers NFL Preview
The Green Bay Packers step into their Week 2 Thursday Night Football clash against the Washington Commanders with the confidence of a team that opened its season with a strong divisional victory, and Lambeau Field provides them not only with home-field advantage but also with an opportunity to make an early-season statement that they remain one of the NFC’s most balanced and dangerous rosters, as Jordan Love continues to solidify himself as the face of the franchise by showing steady progression in his command of the offense, his poise in the pocket, and his growing chemistry with a young but explosive receiving corps; the Packers’ offensive identity has been shaped by Matt LaFleur’s balanced play calling, with a heavy emphasis on marrying the run game to play-action, giving Love defined reads and creating opportunities for deep shots down the field, and Green Bay’s offensive line, often a hallmark of the franchise, will need to deliver another strong performance to neutralize Washington’s highly disruptive defensive front that thrives on pressure, disguises, and physicality in the trenches, as the Commanders will seek to force long down-and-distance situations where their blitz packages and edge rushers can wreak havoc, but Green Bay has the tools to counter with quick passing concepts, creative motion, and a diverse run scheme featuring both inside zone and outside zone to keep the defense off balance; the Packers’ receivers and tight ends will be key in finding soft spots against Washington’s pattern-matching coverages, with timing routes, option routes, and screens playing an important role in keeping the chains moving, while running backs will not only be tasked with producing on the ground but also in pass protection and as receiving threats to test Washington’s linebackers in space, areas where Green Bay has historically been able to generate mismatches.
Defensively, Green Bay faces the task of slowing down a Washington offense that is gradually building around its rookie quarterback, and defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley’s scheme will look to confuse him with disguised coverages, post-snap rotations, and selective blitzes, while the Packers’ front four, which looked stout in their Week 1 showing, will aim to collapse the pocket without sacrificing coverage integrity, because forcing a young quarterback into hurried throws is the fastest route to turnovers and momentum swings; the secondary, featuring aggressive corners, will likely press early and often to test Washington’s receivers, while safeties will be tasked with preventing the deep play-action shots that could change the complexion of the game, and Green Bay’s linebackers will need to maintain discipline against Washington’s misdirection runs, screens, and quick-hitting concepts designed to alleviate pressure on their rookie passer; special teams, a unit that has made strides in consistency, must remain sharp in coverage and capitalize on field position advantages that Lambeau’s atmosphere often provides, while discipline in penalties will be critical in a matchup where the margin for error can shrink quickly; ultimately, the Packers’ formula for victory lies in maintaining their offensive balance, leveraging the crowd and environment to create confusion for Washington’s young quarterback, and turning the game into one where their consistency, experience, and depth allow them to dictate tempo, control field position, and make the Commanders chase the contest rather than dictate it, and if Green Bay executes to its standard, this game becomes an opportunity to affirm their standing as legitimate NFC contenders and send a strong message that Lambeau Field remains one of the most difficult places in football for opponents to steal a win.
One of those plays that makes you get up out of your seat pic.twitter.com/0SOv2R6tJY
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) September 9, 2025
Washington vs. Green Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Green Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Commanders and Packers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly unhealthy Packers team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Green Bay picks, computer picks Commanders vs Packers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 9/18 | MIA@BUF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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NFL | 9/18 | MIA@BUF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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NFL | 9/18 | MIA@BUF | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number.
Commanders Betting Trends
Washington finished last season 12-7-1 against the spread, one of the league’s better cover rates, and now travels on a short week following a 21-6 opener.
Packers Betting Trends
Green Bay went 9-9 ATS last season and handled Detroit 27-13 in Week 1 to set up this primetime test at Lambeau.
Commanders vs. Packers Matchup Trends
Early markets list Green Bay around a field-goal favorite with a total in the high 40s, reflecting respect for both defenses and explosive quarterback play. Washington’s 2024 ATS profile was strong overall while Green Bay was break-even, adding intrigue to a classic rest-disparity TNF spot.
Washington vs. Green Bay Game Info
What time does Washington vs Green Bay start on September 11, 2025?
Washington vs Green Bay starts on September 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Green Bay being played?
Venue: Lambeau Field.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Green Bay?
Spread: Green Bay -3.5
Moneyline: Washington +156, Green Bay -187
Over/Under: 48
What are the records for Washington vs Green Bay?
Washington: (1-0) | Green Bay: (1-0)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Green Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Green Bay trending bets?
Early markets list Green Bay around a field-goal favorite with a total in the high 40s, reflecting respect for both defenses and explosive quarterback play. Washington’s 2024 ATS profile was strong overall while Green Bay was break-even, adding intrigue to a classic rest-disparity TNF spot.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: Washington finished last season 12-7-1 against the spread, one of the league’s better cover rates, and now travels on a short week following a 21-6 opener.
What are Green Bay trending bets?
GB trend: Green Bay went 9-9 ATS last season and handled Detroit 27-13 in Week 1 to set up this primetime test at Lambeau.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Green Bay?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Green Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Green Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Washington vs Green Bay Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+156 GB Moneyline: -187
WAS Spread: +3.5
GB Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 48
Washington vs Green Bay Live Odds
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-480
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-8 (-110)
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O 41.5 (-113)
U 41.5 (-113)
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+100
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O 44 (-112)
U 44 (-114)
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-125
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O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-114)
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Sep 21, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
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+120
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+3 (-117)
-3 (-108)
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O 42 (-114)
U 42 (-112)
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Sep 21, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Los Angeles Rams
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Rams
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+155
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O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-113)
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Indianapolis Colts
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-215
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-4 (-113)
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O 43.5 (-114)
U 43.5 (-112)
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Chargers
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+120
-150
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+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-115)
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O 45.5 (-112)
U 45.5 (-114)
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–
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+295
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+7.5 (-117)
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O 41.5 (-114)
U 41.5 (-112)
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Dallas Cowboys
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–
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-114
-110
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O 50.5 (-112)
U 50.5 (-114)
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Sep 21, 2025 4:26PM EDT
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Cardinals
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–
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+123
-159
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+2.5 (-113)
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O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-110)
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-315
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O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-110)
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+190
-250
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+5 (-115)
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O 52.5 (-112)
U 52.5 (-113)
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+108
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O 43.5 (-113)
U 43.5 (-112)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Green Bay Packers on September 11, 2025 at Lambeau Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |
PIT@BAL | JUSTICE HILL OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.30% | 8 | WIN |
MIN@DET | DET -3 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
KC@DEN | DEN -11.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
MIN@DET | T.J. HOCKENSON RECV YDS OVER 46.5 | 55.00% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@LAR | ZACH CHARBONNET RECV YDS OVER 18.5 | 53.90% | 8 | WIN |
TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD PASS ATT OVER 31.5 | 53.80% | 8 | WIN |
CIN@PIT | CIN -130 | 56.20% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@PIT | RUSSELL WILSON PASS ATT OVER 31.5 | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
CLE@BAL | ELIJAH MOORE RECV TARGETS OVER 5.5 | 54.30% | 6 | LOSS |
CIN@PIT | PAT FREIERMUTH ANYTIME TD (UNITS ADJ FOR +400 ODDS) | 52.50% | 9 | WIN |
DET@SF | DET -3.5 | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
DET@SF | JAHMYR GIBBS LONGEST RUSH OVER 16.5 YDS | 53.60% | 5 | WIN |