Commanders vs Buccaneers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 12)
Updated: 2025-01-05T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Commanders (12-5) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7) in the NFC Wild Card round on January 12, 2025, at Raymond James Stadium. This matchup is a rematch of Week 1, where the Buccaneers secured a 37-20 victory over the Commanders. Both teams have shown significant growth since then, setting the stage for a compelling playoff encounter.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 12, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Buccaneers Record: (10-7)
Commanders Record: (12-5)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +141
TB Moneyline: -167
WAS Spread: +3
TB Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 50.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Commanders have been impressive against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting a 10-6-1 record. Their average margin of victory stands at 5.5 points, indicating their ability to outperform expectations. Notably, as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater, they have a 3-6-1 ATS record, demonstrating resilience in challenging matchups.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have also performed well ATS, achieving an 11-6 record over the season. At home, they are 3-5 ATS, with an overall home record of 4-4. As favorites of 3.5 points or more, they have a 1-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet betting expectations in favorable matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An intriguing ATS statistic is that Week 1 road underdogs that didn’t make the prior postseason are 50-30 (63%) since 2012. This trend suggests that teams like the Commanders, who were underdogs in Week 1 and missed the previous playoffs, have a history of covering the spread in such scenarios.
WAS vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Baker Mayfield Under 0.5 INT
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Washington vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/12/25
Daniels has had an impressive debut season, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns, and adding six rushing touchdowns, making him a frontrunner for Offensive Rookie of the Year. However, his performance under pressure has been inconsistent, which the Buccaneers’ defense will seek to exploit. The Commanders’ defense, led by standout performances from players like defensive tackle Jonathan Allen, will be tasked with containing Mayfield and limiting big plays from Evans. Special teams could also play a crucial role, with both teams needing to capitalize on field position and scoring opportunities. Given the Buccaneers’ slight edge as 3-point favorites and the game’s point total set at 50, this matchup is expected to be competitive, with both teams having legitimate paths to victory.
All hands on deck@VisitVirginia | #RaiseHail
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) January 9, 2025
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders have experienced a remarkable turnaround this season, finishing with a 12-5 record and securing the 6th seed in the NFC playoffs. Under the leadership of rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the offense has been revitalized, averaging 28.5 points per game. Daniels has amassed 3,568 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, and added six rushing touchdowns, positioning him as a leading candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Wide receiver Terry McLaurin has been a reliable target, setting a franchise record with 13 touchdown receptions this season. The defense, featuring standout players like defensive tackle Jonathan Allen, has been formidable, particularly in the latter part of the season. The Commanders are riding a five-game winning streak, showcasing resilience and the ability to perform under pressure. Their recent victory over the Dallas Cowboys, highlighted by a last-minute touchdown pass from backup quarterback Marcus Mariota to McLaurin, exemplifies their tenacity. As they prepare to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wild Card round, the Commanders will need to address challenges such as protecting Daniels from the Buccaneers’ aggressive pass rush and establishing a consistent running game to balance the offensive attack. Defensively, containing wide receiver Mike Evans and applying pressure on quarterback Baker Mayfield will be critical. Despite being 3-point underdogs, the Commanders’ recent form and dynamic offense suggest they are well-equipped to compete and potentially
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter the playoffs with a 10-7 record, having clinched the NFC South title following a 27-19 victory over the New Orleans Saints. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been a steady presence, leading an offense that averages 29.5 points per game. Wide receiver Mike Evans remains a cornerstone of the passing attack, recently tying Jerry Rice’s record with 11 consecutive seasons of over 1,000 receiving yards. The Buccaneers’ defense, orchestrated by head coach Todd Bowles, is renowned for its aggressive blitz packages, designed to apply pressure and force turnovers. However, the secondary has faced challenges, with injuries to key players such as Jordan Whitehead, Bryce Hall, and Christian Izien, potentially impacting their pass defense. Despite these setbacks, the defense has been effective in containing opponents, allowing an average of 19.21 points per game. Special teams have also contributed positively, with consistent performances in both the kicking and return games. As they prepare to host the Washington Commanders, the Buccaneers will aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage and playoff experience. The defense’s ability to pressure rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels could be a determining factor, as Daniels has shown susceptibility under duress. Offensively, maintaining a balanced attack and minimizing turnovers will be crucial to securing a victory. Given their status as 3-point favorites, the Buccaneers are expected to leverage their strengths on both sides of the ball to advance to the next round of the playoffs.
BACK-TO-BACK-TO-BACK-TO-BACK pic.twitter.com/dZJjn1JVID
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) January 5, 2025
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Commanders and Buccaneers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly deflated Buccaneers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Commanders vs Buccaneers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Commanders Betting Trends
The Commanders have been impressive against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting a 10-6-1 record. Their average margin of victory stands at 5.5 points, indicating their ability to outperform expectations. Notably, as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater, they have a 3-6-1 ATS record, demonstrating resilience in challenging matchups.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have also performed well ATS, achieving an 11-6 record over the season. At home, they are 3-5 ATS, with an overall home record of 4-4. As favorites of 3.5 points or more, they have a 1-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet betting expectations in favorable matchups.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Matchup Trends
An intriguing ATS statistic is that Week 1 road underdogs that didn’t make the prior postseason are 50-30 (63%) since 2012. This trend suggests that teams like the Commanders, who were underdogs in Week 1 and missed the previous playoffs, have a history of covering the spread in such scenarios.
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Washington vs Tampa Bay start on January 12, 2025?
Washington vs Tampa Bay starts on January 12, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: Raymond James Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay -3.0
Moneyline: Washington +141, Tampa Bay -167
Over/Under: 50.5
What are the records for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
Washington: (12-5) | Tampa Bay: (10-7)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Baker Mayfield Under 0.5 INT. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
An intriguing ATS statistic is that Week 1 road underdogs that didn’t make the prior postseason are 50-30 (63%) since 2012. This trend suggests that teams like the Commanders, who were underdogs in Week 1 and missed the previous playoffs, have a history of covering the spread in such scenarios.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Commanders have been impressive against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting a 10-6-1 record. Their average margin of victory stands at 5.5 points, indicating their ability to outperform expectations. Notably, as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater, they have a 3-6-1 ATS record, demonstrating resilience in challenging matchups.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Buccaneers have also performed well ATS, achieving an 11-6 record over the season. At home, they are 3-5 ATS, with an overall home record of 4-4. As favorites of 3.5 points or more, they have a 1-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet betting expectations in favorable matchups.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+141 TB Moneyline: -167
WAS Spread: +3
TB Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 50.5
Washington vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
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Chargers
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–
–
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+148
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+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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–
–
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+270
-374
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
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–
–
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-463
+321
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
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New York Jets
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Bengals
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–
–
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+242
-330
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
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–
–
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+229
-315
|
+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
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–
–
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+287
-407
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-110
-116
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+257
-355
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-220
+169
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+141
-181
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+682
-1442
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-192
+148
|
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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|
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Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+390
-599
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers on January 12, 2025 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |