Commanders vs Buccaneers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 12)
Updated: 2025-01-05T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Commanders (12-5) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7) in the NFC Wild Card round on January 12, 2025, at Raymond James Stadium. This matchup is a rematch of Week 1, where the Buccaneers secured a 37-20 victory over the Commanders. Both teams have shown significant growth since then, setting the stage for a compelling playoff encounter.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 12, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Buccaneers Record: (10-7)
Commanders Record: (12-5)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +141
TB Moneyline: -167
WAS Spread: +3
TB Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 50.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Commanders have been impressive against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting a 10-6-1 record. Their average margin of victory stands at 5.5 points, indicating their ability to outperform expectations. Notably, as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater, they have a 3-6-1 ATS record, demonstrating resilience in challenging matchups.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have also performed well ATS, achieving an 11-6 record over the season. At home, they are 3-5 ATS, with an overall home record of 4-4. As favorites of 3.5 points or more, they have a 1-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet betting expectations in favorable matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An intriguing ATS statistic is that Week 1 road underdogs that didn’t make the prior postseason are 50-30 (63%) since 2012. This trend suggests that teams like the Commanders, who were underdogs in Week 1 and missed the previous playoffs, have a history of covering the spread in such scenarios.
WAS vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Baker Mayfield Under 0.5 INT
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Washington vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/12/25
Daniels has had an impressive debut season, throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns, and adding six rushing touchdowns, making him a frontrunner for Offensive Rookie of the Year. However, his performance under pressure has been inconsistent, which the Buccaneers’ defense will seek to exploit. The Commanders’ defense, led by standout performances from players like defensive tackle Jonathan Allen, will be tasked with containing Mayfield and limiting big plays from Evans. Special teams could also play a crucial role, with both teams needing to capitalize on field position and scoring opportunities. Given the Buccaneers’ slight edge as 3-point favorites and the game’s point total set at 50, this matchup is expected to be competitive, with both teams having legitimate paths to victory.
All hands on deck@VisitVirginia | #RaiseHail
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) January 9, 2025
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders have experienced a remarkable turnaround this season, finishing with a 12-5 record and securing the 6th seed in the NFC playoffs. Under the leadership of rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the offense has been revitalized, averaging 28.5 points per game. Daniels has amassed 3,568 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, and added six rushing touchdowns, positioning him as a leading candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Wide receiver Terry McLaurin has been a reliable target, setting a franchise record with 13 touchdown receptions this season. The defense, featuring standout players like defensive tackle Jonathan Allen, has been formidable, particularly in the latter part of the season. The Commanders are riding a five-game winning streak, showcasing resilience and the ability to perform under pressure. Their recent victory over the Dallas Cowboys, highlighted by a last-minute touchdown pass from backup quarterback Marcus Mariota to McLaurin, exemplifies their tenacity. As they prepare to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wild Card round, the Commanders will need to address challenges such as protecting Daniels from the Buccaneers’ aggressive pass rush and establishing a consistent running game to balance the offensive attack. Defensively, containing wide receiver Mike Evans and applying pressure on quarterback Baker Mayfield will be critical. Despite being 3-point underdogs, the Commanders’ recent form and dynamic offense suggest they are well-equipped to compete and potentially
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter the playoffs with a 10-7 record, having clinched the NFC South title following a 27-19 victory over the New Orleans Saints. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been a steady presence, leading an offense that averages 29.5 points per game. Wide receiver Mike Evans remains a cornerstone of the passing attack, recently tying Jerry Rice’s record with 11 consecutive seasons of over 1,000 receiving yards. The Buccaneers’ defense, orchestrated by head coach Todd Bowles, is renowned for its aggressive blitz packages, designed to apply pressure and force turnovers. However, the secondary has faced challenges, with injuries to key players such as Jordan Whitehead, Bryce Hall, and Christian Izien, potentially impacting their pass defense. Despite these setbacks, the defense has been effective in containing opponents, allowing an average of 19.21 points per game. Special teams have also contributed positively, with consistent performances in both the kicking and return games. As they prepare to host the Washington Commanders, the Buccaneers will aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage and playoff experience. The defense’s ability to pressure rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels could be a determining factor, as Daniels has shown susceptibility under duress. Offensively, maintaining a balanced attack and minimizing turnovers will be crucial to securing a victory. Given their status as 3-point favorites, the Buccaneers are expected to leverage their strengths on both sides of the ball to advance to the next round of the playoffs.
BACK-TO-BACK-TO-BACK-TO-BACK pic.twitter.com/dZJjn1JVID
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) January 5, 2025
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Commanders and Buccaneers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly improved Buccaneers team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Commanders vs Buccaneers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Commanders Betting Trends
The Commanders have been impressive against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting a 10-6-1 record. Their average margin of victory stands at 5.5 points, indicating their ability to outperform expectations. Notably, as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater, they have a 3-6-1 ATS record, demonstrating resilience in challenging matchups.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have also performed well ATS, achieving an 11-6 record over the season. At home, they are 3-5 ATS, with an overall home record of 4-4. As favorites of 3.5 points or more, they have a 1-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet betting expectations in favorable matchups.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Matchup Trends
An intriguing ATS statistic is that Week 1 road underdogs that didn’t make the prior postseason are 50-30 (63%) since 2012. This trend suggests that teams like the Commanders, who were underdogs in Week 1 and missed the previous playoffs, have a history of covering the spread in such scenarios.
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Washington vs Tampa Bay start on January 12, 2025?
Washington vs Tampa Bay starts on January 12, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: Raymond James Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay -3.0
Moneyline: Washington +141, Tampa Bay -167
Over/Under: 50.5
What are the records for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
Washington: (12-5) | Tampa Bay: (10-7)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Baker Mayfield Under 0.5 INT. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
An intriguing ATS statistic is that Week 1 road underdogs that didn’t make the prior postseason are 50-30 (63%) since 2012. This trend suggests that teams like the Commanders, who were underdogs in Week 1 and missed the previous playoffs, have a history of covering the spread in such scenarios.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Commanders have been impressive against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting a 10-6-1 record. Their average margin of victory stands at 5.5 points, indicating their ability to outperform expectations. Notably, as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater, they have a 3-6-1 ATS record, demonstrating resilience in challenging matchups.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Buccaneers have also performed well ATS, achieving an 11-6 record over the season. At home, they are 3-5 ATS, with an overall home record of 4-4. As favorites of 3.5 points or more, they have a 1-1 ATS record, reflecting their capacity to meet betting expectations in favorable matchups.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Washington vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+141 TB Moneyline: -167
WAS Spread: +3
TB Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 50.5
Washington vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
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–
–
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-105
-115
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pk
pk
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O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
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–
–
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+550
-800
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+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
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–
–
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+125
-150
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+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
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–
–
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+165
-200
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+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
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O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+140
-170
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
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–
–
|
-425
+330
|
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
|
–
–
|
+200
-250
|
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+210
-260
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
|
–
–
|
-375
+300
|
-7 (-115)
+7 (-105)
|
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-145
+120
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-200
+165
|
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
|
–
–
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-190
+160
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-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers on January 12, 2025 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |