Chargers vs Texans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 11)
Updated: 2025-01-04T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Los Angeles Chargers are set to face the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card round on January 11, 2025, at NRG Stadium in Houston. Both teams have demonstrated strong performances this season, with the Chargers finishing 11-6 and the Texans at 10-7. This playoff matchup promises a compelling contest between two well-matched opponents.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 11, 2025
Start Time: 5:30 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Texans Record: (10-7)
Chargers Record: (11-6)
OPENING ODDS
LAC Moneyline: -158
HOU Moneyline: +133
LAC Spread: -3
HOU Spread: +3.0
Over/Under: 42.5
LAC
Betting Trends
- In recent games, the Chargers have shown a solid performance against the spread (ATS). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, indicating a strong finish to the regular season. Additionally, the Chargers have been successful on the road, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This trend suggests that the Chargers have been exceeding expectations, particularly in challenging environments.
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans have also demonstrated commendable ATS performance recently. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games, reflecting their ability to perform well against the betting lines. However, it’s noteworthy that the Texans have struggled at home, with a 1-7-1 straight-up record in their last nine home games. This discrepancy indicates that while the Texans often keep games competitive, they have faced challenges securing outright victories at NRG Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the Chargers’ recent success against the Texans. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games when playing Houston, suggesting a historical advantage in covering the spread. This trend could influence betting perspectives, as the Chargers have consistently performed well against the Texans in past meetings.
LAC vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Justin Herbert Over 19.5 Rushing Yards
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Los Angeles vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/11/25
This matchup pits two distinct styles against each other: the Chargers’ explosive passing game versus the Texans’ disciplined defensive front. The battle at NRG Stadium will likely hinge on critical moments, particularly in the trenches, as both teams will seek to establish dominance upfront. The Chargers’ offensive line, tasked with protecting Herbert, will face a formidable Texans pass rush, headlined by Danielle Hunter. Conversely, Houston’s offensive success will depend on neutralizing the Chargers’ relentless pressure, spearheaded by linebacker Daiyan Henley. Both teams are entering this game with strong ATS records, adding another layer of excitement for fans and bettors alike. With so much at stake, this Wild Card clash is shaping up to be a must-watch event.
true to it. pic.twitter.com/PNifMctsCr
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) January 9, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers NFL Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers head into this playoff matchup with momentum and an 11-6 record, showcasing why they are a serious contender in the postseason. Led by head coach Jim Harbaugh, the Chargers have established a balanced approach on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Justin Herbert has been the linchpin of their offense, amassing 3,870 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. His ability to read defenses and exploit openings, particularly over the middle, has been a hallmark of the Chargers’ success. The offense is further bolstered by running back J.K. Dobbins, who has contributed 905 rushing yards and nine touchdowns this season, adding a layer of versatility to their attack. Defensively, the Chargers have been exceptional, ranking first in points allowed per game. Linebacker Daiyan Henley has been a revelation, leading the charge with his ability to disrupt plays and provide leadership on the field. The Chargers have also proven to be road warriors, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This resilience away from home could be a critical factor as they face the Texans in Houston. One potential challenge for the Chargers is the Texans’ pass rush, which could disrupt Herbert’s rhythm if the offensive line falters. However, with their combination of offensive firepower and defensive solidity, the Chargers are well-positioned to secure a victory and advance deeper into the playoffs. For the Chargers, this game represents an opportunity to solidify their status as legitimate Super Bowl contenders.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans have taken remarkable strides this season, clinching a playoff berth with a 10-7 record and capturing the AFC South title. Under head coach DeMeco Ryans, the Texans have undergone a transformation, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. Ranking fifth in total yards allowed per game, their defense has become a cornerstone of their success. Danielle Hunter has been a standout, consistently disrupting opposing quarterbacks and anchoring the Texans’ defensive front. Meanwhile, their secondary, though talented, has struggled at times, particularly against passes over the middle. This vulnerability could be exploited by the Chargers, who excel in that area. Offensively, rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has exceeded expectations, throwing for 3,727 yards and 20 touchdowns in the regular season. His poise and accuracy have been instrumental in leading the Texans to several key victories. Running back Joe Mixon has also been a critical asset, providing balance to the offense with his dual-threat ability as a rusher and receiver. However, Houston’s Achilles’ heel has been their home performance. Despite their overall success, they hold a 1-7-1 straight-up record at NRG Stadium in recent games, a statistic that raises concerns as they host the Chargers. For the Texans to advance, they will need to find ways to generate consistent offense against a stout Chargers defense while mitigating their secondary’s weaknesses. With home-field advantage on their side, Houston hopes to break their recent struggles at NRG Stadium and make a deep postseason run.
SAVE THE DATE & DON'T BE LATE‼️ pic.twitter.com/cIcbAWEnLo
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) January 6, 2025
Los Angeles vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)
Los Angeles vs. Houston Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Chargers and Texans and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Los Angeles’s strength factors between a Chargers team going up against a possibly improved Texans team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Los Angeles vs Houston picks, computer picks Chargers vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Chargers Betting Trends
In recent games, the Chargers have shown a solid performance against the spread (ATS). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, indicating a strong finish to the regular season. Additionally, the Chargers have been successful on the road, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This trend suggests that the Chargers have been exceeding expectations, particularly in challenging environments.
Texans Betting Trends
The Texans have also demonstrated commendable ATS performance recently. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games, reflecting their ability to perform well against the betting lines. However, it’s noteworthy that the Texans have struggled at home, with a 1-7-1 straight-up record in their last nine home games. This discrepancy indicates that while the Texans often keep games competitive, they have faced challenges securing outright victories at NRG Stadium.
Chargers vs. Texans Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the Chargers’ recent success against the Texans. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games when playing Houston, suggesting a historical advantage in covering the spread. This trend could influence betting perspectives, as the Chargers have consistently performed well against the Texans in past meetings.
Los Angeles vs. Houston Game Info
What time does Los Angeles vs Houston start on January 11, 2025?
Los Angeles vs Houston starts on January 11, 2025 at 5:30 PM EST.
Where is Los Angeles vs Houston being played?
Venue: NRG Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Los Angeles vs Houston?
Spread: Houston +3.0
Moneyline: Los Angeles -158, Houston +133
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for Los Angeles vs Houston?
Los Angeles: (11-6) | Houston: (10-7)
What is the AI best bet for Los Angeles vs Houston?
Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Justin Herbert Over 19.5 Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Los Angeles vs Houston trending bets?
An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the Chargers’ recent success against the Texans. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games when playing Houston, suggesting a historical advantage in covering the spread. This trend could influence betting perspectives, as the Chargers have consistently performed well against the Texans in past meetings.
What are Los Angeles trending bets?
LAC trend: In recent games, the Chargers have shown a solid performance against the spread (ATS). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, indicating a strong finish to the regular season. Additionally, the Chargers have been successful on the road, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This trend suggests that the Chargers have been exceeding expectations, particularly in challenging environments.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Texans have also demonstrated commendable ATS performance recently. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games, reflecting their ability to perform well against the betting lines. However, it’s noteworthy that the Texans have struggled at home, with a 1-7-1 straight-up record in their last nine home games. This discrepancy indicates that while the Texans often keep games competitive, they have faced challenges securing outright victories at NRG Stadium.
Where can I find AI Picks for Los Angeles vs Houston?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Los Angeles vs. Houston Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Los Angeles vs Houston Opening Odds
LAC Moneyline:
-158 HOU Moneyline: +133
LAC Spread: -3
HOU Spread: +3.0
Over/Under: 42.5
Los Angeles vs Houston Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
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–
–
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+144
-172
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+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
|
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
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Patriots
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–
–
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+290
-360
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+7 (-114)
-7 (-106)
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O 40.5 (-105)
U 40.5 (-115)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
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–
–
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-430
+340
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
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–
–
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+245
-300
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+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
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+265
-330
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+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
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O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
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–
–
|
+270
-335
|
+7 (-108)
-7 (-112)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
|
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|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-108
-108
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
|
O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-235
+194
|
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+146
-174
|
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
|
O 49.5 (-120)
U 49.5 (-102)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-174
+146
|
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+430
-590
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans on January 11, 2025 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |