Chargers vs Texans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 11)
Updated: 2025-01-04T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Los Angeles Chargers are set to face the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card round on January 11, 2025, at NRG Stadium in Houston. Both teams have demonstrated strong performances this season, with the Chargers finishing 11-6 and the Texans at 10-7. This playoff matchup promises a compelling contest between two well-matched opponents.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 11, 2025
Start Time: 5:30 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Texans Record: (10-7)
Chargers Record: (11-6)
OPENING ODDS
LAC Moneyline: -158
HOU Moneyline: +133
LAC Spread: -3
HOU Spread: +3.0
Over/Under: 42.5
LAC
Betting Trends
- In recent games, the Chargers have shown a solid performance against the spread (ATS). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, indicating a strong finish to the regular season. Additionally, the Chargers have been successful on the road, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This trend suggests that the Chargers have been exceeding expectations, particularly in challenging environments.
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans have also demonstrated commendable ATS performance recently. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games, reflecting their ability to perform well against the betting lines. However, it’s noteworthy that the Texans have struggled at home, with a 1-7-1 straight-up record in their last nine home games. This discrepancy indicates that while the Texans often keep games competitive, they have faced challenges securing outright victories at NRG Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the Chargers’ recent success against the Texans. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games when playing Houston, suggesting a historical advantage in covering the spread. This trend could influence betting perspectives, as the Chargers have consistently performed well against the Texans in past meetings.
LAC vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Justin Herbert Over 19.5 Rushing Yards
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Los Angeles vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/11/25
This matchup pits two distinct styles against each other: the Chargers’ explosive passing game versus the Texans’ disciplined defensive front. The battle at NRG Stadium will likely hinge on critical moments, particularly in the trenches, as both teams will seek to establish dominance upfront. The Chargers’ offensive line, tasked with protecting Herbert, will face a formidable Texans pass rush, headlined by Danielle Hunter. Conversely, Houston’s offensive success will depend on neutralizing the Chargers’ relentless pressure, spearheaded by linebacker Daiyan Henley. Both teams are entering this game with strong ATS records, adding another layer of excitement for fans and bettors alike. With so much at stake, this Wild Card clash is shaping up to be a must-watch event.
true to it. pic.twitter.com/PNifMctsCr
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) January 9, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers NFL Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers head into this playoff matchup with momentum and an 11-6 record, showcasing why they are a serious contender in the postseason. Led by head coach Jim Harbaugh, the Chargers have established a balanced approach on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Justin Herbert has been the linchpin of their offense, amassing 3,870 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. His ability to read defenses and exploit openings, particularly over the middle, has been a hallmark of the Chargers’ success. The offense is further bolstered by running back J.K. Dobbins, who has contributed 905 rushing yards and nine touchdowns this season, adding a layer of versatility to their attack. Defensively, the Chargers have been exceptional, ranking first in points allowed per game. Linebacker Daiyan Henley has been a revelation, leading the charge with his ability to disrupt plays and provide leadership on the field. The Chargers have also proven to be road warriors, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This resilience away from home could be a critical factor as they face the Texans in Houston. One potential challenge for the Chargers is the Texans’ pass rush, which could disrupt Herbert’s rhythm if the offensive line falters. However, with their combination of offensive firepower and defensive solidity, the Chargers are well-positioned to secure a victory and advance deeper into the playoffs. For the Chargers, this game represents an opportunity to solidify their status as legitimate Super Bowl contenders.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans have taken remarkable strides this season, clinching a playoff berth with a 10-7 record and capturing the AFC South title. Under head coach DeMeco Ryans, the Texans have undergone a transformation, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. Ranking fifth in total yards allowed per game, their defense has become a cornerstone of their success. Danielle Hunter has been a standout, consistently disrupting opposing quarterbacks and anchoring the Texans’ defensive front. Meanwhile, their secondary, though talented, has struggled at times, particularly against passes over the middle. This vulnerability could be exploited by the Chargers, who excel in that area. Offensively, rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has exceeded expectations, throwing for 3,727 yards and 20 touchdowns in the regular season. His poise and accuracy have been instrumental in leading the Texans to several key victories. Running back Joe Mixon has also been a critical asset, providing balance to the offense with his dual-threat ability as a rusher and receiver. However, Houston’s Achilles’ heel has been their home performance. Despite their overall success, they hold a 1-7-1 straight-up record at NRG Stadium in recent games, a statistic that raises concerns as they host the Chargers. For the Texans to advance, they will need to find ways to generate consistent offense against a stout Chargers defense while mitigating their secondary’s weaknesses. With home-field advantage on their side, Houston hopes to break their recent struggles at NRG Stadium and make a deep postseason run.
SAVE THE DATE & DON'T BE LATE‼️ pic.twitter.com/cIcbAWEnLo
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) January 6, 2025
Los Angeles vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)
Los Angeles vs. Houston Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Chargers and Texans and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Chargers team going up against a possibly deflated Texans team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Los Angeles vs Houston picks, computer picks Chargers vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Chargers Betting Trends
In recent games, the Chargers have shown a solid performance against the spread (ATS). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, indicating a strong finish to the regular season. Additionally, the Chargers have been successful on the road, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This trend suggests that the Chargers have been exceeding expectations, particularly in challenging environments.
Texans Betting Trends
The Texans have also demonstrated commendable ATS performance recently. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games, reflecting their ability to perform well against the betting lines. However, it’s noteworthy that the Texans have struggled at home, with a 1-7-1 straight-up record in their last nine home games. This discrepancy indicates that while the Texans often keep games competitive, they have faced challenges securing outright victories at NRG Stadium.
Chargers vs. Texans Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the Chargers’ recent success against the Texans. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games when playing Houston, suggesting a historical advantage in covering the spread. This trend could influence betting perspectives, as the Chargers have consistently performed well against the Texans in past meetings.
Los Angeles vs. Houston Game Info
What time does Los Angeles vs Houston start on January 11, 2025?
Los Angeles vs Houston starts on January 11, 2025 at 5:30 PM EST.
Where is Los Angeles vs Houston being played?
Venue: NRG Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Los Angeles vs Houston?
Spread: Houston +3.0
Moneyline: Los Angeles -158, Houston +133
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for Los Angeles vs Houston?
Los Angeles: (11-6) | Houston: (10-7)
What is the AI best bet for Los Angeles vs Houston?
Remi's searched hard and found the perfect prop bet for this game: QB Justin Herbert Over 19.5 Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Los Angeles vs Houston trending bets?
An interesting ATS statistic for this matchup is the Chargers’ recent success against the Texans. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games when playing Houston, suggesting a historical advantage in covering the spread. This trend could influence betting perspectives, as the Chargers have consistently performed well against the Texans in past meetings.
What are Los Angeles trending bets?
LAC trend: In recent games, the Chargers have shown a solid performance against the spread (ATS). They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, indicating a strong finish to the regular season. Additionally, the Chargers have been successful on the road, covering the spread in five of their last six away games. This trend suggests that the Chargers have been exceeding expectations, particularly in challenging environments.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Texans have also demonstrated commendable ATS performance recently. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games, reflecting their ability to perform well against the betting lines. However, it’s noteworthy that the Texans have struggled at home, with a 1-7-1 straight-up record in their last nine home games. This discrepancy indicates that while the Texans often keep games competitive, they have faced challenges securing outright victories at NRG Stadium.
Where can I find AI Picks for Los Angeles vs Houston?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Los Angeles vs. Houston Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Los Angeles vs Houston Opening Odds
LAC Moneyline:
-158 HOU Moneyline: +133
LAC Spread: -3
HOU Spread: +3.0
Over/Under: 42.5
Los Angeles vs Houston Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
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–
–
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+550
-800
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+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
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Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
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–
–
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+125
-150
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+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
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–
–
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+160
-190
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+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
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O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
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–
–
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+140
-170
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+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-400
+310
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
|
–
–
|
+190
-240
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+210
-260
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
|
–
–
|
-375
+300
|
-7 (-115)
+7 (-105)
|
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-145
+120
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+130
-160
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-200
+165
|
-3.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
|
–
–
|
-190
+160
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans on January 11, 2025 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |