Commanders vs. Cowboys
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jan 05 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2024-12-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Commanders (11-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (7-9) on January 5, 2025, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Commanders, having secured a playoff spot, are favored by 3.5 points over the Cowboys, who are looking to end their season on a positive note.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 05, 2025

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: AT&T Stadium​

Cowboys Record: (7-9)

Commanders Record: (11-5)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: -228

DAL Moneyline: +188

WAS Spread: -4.5

DAL Spread: +4.5

Over/Under: 44

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

WAS vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Washington vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/5/25

The Washington Commanders, boasting an 11-5 record, are set to conclude their regular season against the Dallas Cowboys, who stand at 7-9. This NFC East showdown at AT&T Stadium carries significant weight for the Commanders as they seek to secure the No. 6 seed in the playoffs. Conversely, the Cowboys, already eliminated from postseason contention, aim to play spoiler and finish their season with a morale-boosting victory. Under the guidance of head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have experienced a remarkable turnaround this season. Quinn’s defensive expertise has been evident, with Washington’s defense ranking eighth in the NFL in yards allowed. The offense, orchestrated by offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury, has been dynamic, averaging 65 plays per game, placing them fourth-best in the league. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been instrumental, leading multiple game-winning drives and demonstrating poise beyond his years. The Commanders’ rushing attack, led by Brian Robinson Jr., has been formidable, with the team attempting 31.8 carries per game, the fourth-highest in the league. This balanced offensive approach has kept defenses on their heels, allowing playmakers like Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz to exploit openings in the passing game. Defensively, the emergence of safety Quan Martin has bolstered the secondary, adding a playmaking element that complements a stout front seven.

The Cowboys, meanwhile, have faced a tumultuous season marked by inconsistency and off-field distractions. Head coach Mike McCarthy’s future with the team has been a topic of speculation, especially after a series of disappointing performances. The offense, despite ranking sixth in offensive plays per game, has struggled to find rhythm, particularly after the release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott. Quarterback Cooper Rush has been serviceable, but the lack of explosive plays has hampered the unit’s effectiveness. Defensively, the Cowboys have been vulnerable, allowing opponents to capitalize on both the ground and through the air. The secondary has been particularly susceptible, with communication breakdowns leading to big plays. Special teams have been a relative bright spot, with kicker Austin Seibert providing reliability in the kicking game. For the Commanders, the key to victory lies in maintaining their balanced offensive attack and leveraging their defensive strengths to pressure Rush and force turnovers. Establishing the run early will be crucial to control the tempo and keep the Cowboys’ defense on the field. On defense, containing the Cowboys’ passing game and preventing explosive plays will be paramount. The Cowboys, on the other hand, will need to find a spark offensively to challenge Washington’s defense. Incorporating creative play-calling and taking calculated risks may provide the opportunities needed to keep the game competitive. Defensively, tightening up coverage and applying consistent pressure on Daniels will be essential to disrupt the Commanders’ offensive flow. As the Commanders look to enter the playoffs with momentum, this game serves as a critical test of their focus and execution. For the Cowboys, it’s an opportunity to end a disappointing season on a positive note and potentially influence the playoff landscape. With both teams motivated for different reasons, this matchup promises to deliver an intense and hard-fought contest.

Washington Commanders NFL Preview

The Washington Commanders head into their Week 18 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys with an 11-5 record and a playoff berth already secured. Despite clinching a postseason spot, the Commanders have plenty to play for as they aim to improve their seeding and enter the playoffs with momentum. Under the leadership of head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have emerged as one of the league’s most improved teams, combining a balanced offense with a top-tier defense. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been the driving force behind Washington’s resurgence. The rookie has exceeded expectations, displaying a rare combination of composure, accuracy, and athleticism. Daniels has led multiple game-winning drives this season and has developed strong connections with his receiving corps, including star wideout Terry McLaurin. McLaurin, known for his precise route running and reliable hands, leads the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. Tight end Zach Ertz has also been a valuable asset, providing a dependable target in the red zone and on critical third downs. The Commanders’ rushing attack has been a cornerstone of their offensive success. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been a workhorse, consistently moving the chains and wearing down defenses. The offensive line, anchored by veterans and emerging talents, has provided solid protection for Daniels and opened up running lanes for Robinson. Defensively, Washington has been one of the league’s most formidable units. The front seven, led by Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne, has been dominant, consistently disrupting opposing offenses with their ability to generate pressure and stop the run. Linebacker Jamin Davis has been a standout, showcasing his versatility in both run support and pass coverage. The secondary, bolstered by the emergence of safety Quan Martin, has been opportunistic, creating turnovers and limiting big plays. Special teams have been another area of strength for the Commanders. Kicker Joey Slye has been reliable, converting critical field goals in high-pressure situations. The return game, led by Dax Milne, has provided occasional sparks, giving the offense favorable field position. As the Commanders prepare to face the Cowboys, their focus will be on maintaining their balanced attack and executing their game plan. Keys to victory include protecting Jayden Daniels from Dallas’s pass rush, led by Micah Parsons, and continuing to establish the run to control the tempo. Defensively, Washington will look to pressure Cooper Rush and capitalize on any mistakes to limit Dallas’s scoring opportunities. With playoff implications still in play, the Commanders are motivated to deliver a strong performance and build momentum heading into the postseason. A win against a division rival on the road would not only enhance their seeding but also reinforce their status as a legitimate contender. For a team that has made significant strides this season, this game serves as both a challenge and an opportunity to showcase their growth and resilience.

The Washington Commanders (11-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (7-9) on January 5, 2025, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Commanders, having secured a playoff spot, are favored by 3.5 points over the Cowboys, who are looking to end their season on a positive note. Washington vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Jan 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview

The Dallas Cowboys approach their final game of the 2024 NFL season with a 7-9 record, facing the Washington Commanders at AT&T Stadium. Eliminated from playoff contention, the Cowboys aim to conclude their season on a high note, providing a foundation to build upon for the future. Head coach Mike McCarthy, amid speculation about his job security, will be looking to galvanize his team for a strong finish. Offensively, the Cowboys have experienced a season of upheaval. The release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott marked a significant shift, placing greater responsibility on the shoulders of quarterback Cooper Rush and the remaining offensive weapons. Rush, stepping in after the departure of Dak Prescott, has delivered mixed results. While he has shown moments of composure and accuracy, the offense has struggled to generate explosive plays, ranking in the bottom third of the league in yards per play. Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb remains the focal point of the passing attack, leading the team in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. However, inconsistent protection from the offensive line has limited Rush’s ability to exploit deep opportunities. The rushing game, once a cornerstone of the Cowboys’ offense, has been inconsistent this season. Tony Pollard, stepping into the lead role, has provided flashes of brilliance but has faced challenges behind an offensive line that has battled injuries and inconsistent play. Establishing a productive ground game will be critical against Washington’s stout defensive front. Defensively, the Cowboys have been a work in progress. Despite the presence of standout players like linebacker Micah Parsons, the unit has struggled to maintain consistency. Parsons, known for his versatility and relentless pursuit, has been a bright spot, leading the team in sacks and tackles for loss. However, the secondary has been a liability, with communication breakdowns and missed assignments leading to big plays by opposing offenses. Special teams have been a relative strength for the Cowboys. Kicker Austin Seibert has been dependable, converting key field goals throughout the season. The punt and kickoff coverage units have also performed well, limiting opponents’ return opportunities and providing a field position advantage. As the Cowboys prepare for their final game, head coach Mike McCarthy will focus on rallying his team to deliver a spirited performance in front of the home crowd. A win against a playoff-bound division rival like Washington would serve as a morale booster and provide a positive conclusion to a disappointing season. Keys to victory for the Cowboys include protecting Cooper Rush to give him time to find playmakers like Lamb and tight end Jake Ferguson. Establishing a balanced offensive attack with contributions from Pollard in the running game will be essential to keep Washington’s defense off balance. On the defensive side, the Cowboys must focus on pressuring Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels and tightening coverage in the secondary to limit big plays. Despite the challenges they’ve faced this season, the Cowboys have an opportunity to end the year with a statement win. A victory over the Commanders would not only boost team morale but also create momentum heading into the offseason. For a franchise accustomed to high expectations, this game provides a chance to demonstrate resilience and lay the groundwork for a stronger campaign in 2025.

Washington vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Commanders and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at AT&T Stadium in Jan almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Washington vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Commanders and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors often put on Washington’s strength factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly strong Cowboys team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Washington vs Dallas picks, computer picks Commanders vs Cowboys, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Commanders Betting Trends

The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

Cowboys Betting Trends

The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Matchup Trends

Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

Washington vs. Dallas Game Info

Washington vs Dallas starts on January 05, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: Dallas +4.5
Moneyline: Washington -228, Dallas +188
Over/Under: 44

Washington: (11-5)  |  Dallas: (7-9)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

WAS trend: The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

DAL trend: The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Washington vs Dallas Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: -228
DAL Moneyline: +188
WAS Spread: -4.5
DAL Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 44

Washington vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
-135
+115
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 41 (-105)
U 41 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
+400
-575
+10 (-105)
-10 (-115)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
-310
+255
-6 (-115)
+6 (-105)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
+300
-400
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
-185
+160
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 44 (-115)
U 44 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
+125
-145
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
+750
-1400
+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
+205
-245
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
+155
-180
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
+155
-180
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
-150
+130
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
+105
-125
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
-350
+275
-6.5 (-120)
+6.5 (+100)
O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
Sep 29, 2025 7:16PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:16PM
Jets
Dolphins
+130
-150
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Sep 29, 2025 8:16PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:16PM
Bengals
Broncos
+320
-430
+8 (-115)
-8 (-105)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 7:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 7:16PM
49ers
Rams
+135
-160
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys on January 05, 2025 at AT&T Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS
KC@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT 54.1% 3 WIN
DAL@PHI GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@PHI JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS 53.90% 5 WIN
KC@PHI DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS 54.40% 6 WIN
KC@PHI PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP 55.00% 8 WIN
KC@PHI JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS 55.60% 8 WIN
BUF@KC DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.10% 8 LOSS
WAS@PHI DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS 55.80% 8 WIN
BUF@KC JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD 53.00% 5 WIN
LAR@PHI SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS 53.20% 5 LOSS
BAL@BUF LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS 54.50% 6 LOSS
HOU@KC C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 53.10% 5 LOSS
WAS@DET JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 53.30% 5 WIN
WAS@DET JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 54.30% 6 WIN
MIN@LAR COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN 52.60% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAR MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP 54.10% 6 LOSS
WAS@TB BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS 53.50% 5 WIN
WAS@TB BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT 54.90% 6 WIN
GB@PHI JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE 54.60% 6 LOSS
LAC@HOU J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD 52.80% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU LAC -2.5 53.40% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS 53.40% 5 LOSS