Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 05)

Updated: 2024-12-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Commanders (11-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (7-9) on January 5, 2025, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Commanders, having secured a playoff spot, are favored by 3.5 points over the Cowboys, who are looking to end their season on a positive note.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 05, 2025

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: AT&T Stadium​

Cowboys Record: (7-9)

Commanders Record: (11-5)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: -228

DAL Moneyline: +188

WAS Spread: -4.5

DAL Spread: +4.5

Over/Under: 44

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

WAS vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Washington vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/5/25

The Washington Commanders, boasting an 11-5 record, are set to conclude their regular season against the Dallas Cowboys, who stand at 7-9. This NFC East showdown at AT&T Stadium carries significant weight for the Commanders as they seek to secure the No. 6 seed in the playoffs. Conversely, the Cowboys, already eliminated from postseason contention, aim to play spoiler and finish their season with a morale-boosting victory. Under the guidance of head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have experienced a remarkable turnaround this season. Quinn’s defensive expertise has been evident, with Washington’s defense ranking eighth in the NFL in yards allowed. The offense, orchestrated by offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury, has been dynamic, averaging 65 plays per game, placing them fourth-best in the league. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been instrumental, leading multiple game-winning drives and demonstrating poise beyond his years. The Commanders’ rushing attack, led by Brian Robinson Jr., has been formidable, with the team attempting 31.8 carries per game, the fourth-highest in the league. This balanced offensive approach has kept defenses on their heels, allowing playmakers like Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz to exploit openings in the passing game. Defensively, the emergence of safety Quan Martin has bolstered the secondary, adding a playmaking element that complements a stout front seven.

The Cowboys, meanwhile, have faced a tumultuous season marked by inconsistency and off-field distractions. Head coach Mike McCarthy’s future with the team has been a topic of speculation, especially after a series of disappointing performances. The offense, despite ranking sixth in offensive plays per game, has struggled to find rhythm, particularly after the release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott. Quarterback Cooper Rush has been serviceable, but the lack of explosive plays has hampered the unit’s effectiveness. Defensively, the Cowboys have been vulnerable, allowing opponents to capitalize on both the ground and through the air. The secondary has been particularly susceptible, with communication breakdowns leading to big plays. Special teams have been a relative bright spot, with kicker Austin Seibert providing reliability in the kicking game. For the Commanders, the key to victory lies in maintaining their balanced offensive attack and leveraging their defensive strengths to pressure Rush and force turnovers. Establishing the run early will be crucial to control the tempo and keep the Cowboys’ defense on the field. On defense, containing the Cowboys’ passing game and preventing explosive plays will be paramount. The Cowboys, on the other hand, will need to find a spark offensively to challenge Washington’s defense. Incorporating creative play-calling and taking calculated risks may provide the opportunities needed to keep the game competitive. Defensively, tightening up coverage and applying consistent pressure on Daniels will be essential to disrupt the Commanders’ offensive flow. As the Commanders look to enter the playoffs with momentum, this game serves as a critical test of their focus and execution. For the Cowboys, it’s an opportunity to end a disappointing season on a positive note and potentially influence the playoff landscape. With both teams motivated for different reasons, this matchup promises to deliver an intense and hard-fought contest.

Washington Commanders NFL Preview

The Washington Commanders head into their Week 18 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys with an 11-5 record and a playoff berth already secured. Despite clinching a postseason spot, the Commanders have plenty to play for as they aim to improve their seeding and enter the playoffs with momentum. Under the leadership of head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have emerged as one of the league’s most improved teams, combining a balanced offense with a top-tier defense. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been the driving force behind Washington’s resurgence. The rookie has exceeded expectations, displaying a rare combination of composure, accuracy, and athleticism. Daniels has led multiple game-winning drives this season and has developed strong connections with his receiving corps, including star wideout Terry McLaurin. McLaurin, known for his precise route running and reliable hands, leads the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. Tight end Zach Ertz has also been a valuable asset, providing a dependable target in the red zone and on critical third downs. The Commanders’ rushing attack has been a cornerstone of their offensive success. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been a workhorse, consistently moving the chains and wearing down defenses. The offensive line, anchored by veterans and emerging talents, has provided solid protection for Daniels and opened up running lanes for Robinson. Defensively, Washington has been one of the league’s most formidable units. The front seven, led by Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne, has been dominant, consistently disrupting opposing offenses with their ability to generate pressure and stop the run. Linebacker Jamin Davis has been a standout, showcasing his versatility in both run support and pass coverage. The secondary, bolstered by the emergence of safety Quan Martin, has been opportunistic, creating turnovers and limiting big plays. Special teams have been another area of strength for the Commanders. Kicker Joey Slye has been reliable, converting critical field goals in high-pressure situations. The return game, led by Dax Milne, has provided occasional sparks, giving the offense favorable field position. As the Commanders prepare to face the Cowboys, their focus will be on maintaining their balanced attack and executing their game plan. Keys to victory include protecting Jayden Daniels from Dallas’s pass rush, led by Micah Parsons, and continuing to establish the run to control the tempo. Defensively, Washington will look to pressure Cooper Rush and capitalize on any mistakes to limit Dallas’s scoring opportunities. With playoff implications still in play, the Commanders are motivated to deliver a strong performance and build momentum heading into the postseason. A win against a division rival on the road would not only enhance their seeding but also reinforce their status as a legitimate contender. For a team that has made significant strides this season, this game serves as both a challenge and an opportunity to showcase their growth and resilience.

The Washington Commanders (11-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (7-9) on January 5, 2025, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Commanders, having secured a playoff spot, are favored by 3.5 points over the Cowboys, who are looking to end their season on a positive note. Washington vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Jan 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview

The Dallas Cowboys approach their final game of the 2024 NFL season with a 7-9 record, facing the Washington Commanders at AT&T Stadium. Eliminated from playoff contention, the Cowboys aim to conclude their season on a high note, providing a foundation to build upon for the future. Head coach Mike McCarthy, amid speculation about his job security, will be looking to galvanize his team for a strong finish. Offensively, the Cowboys have experienced a season of upheaval. The release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott marked a significant shift, placing greater responsibility on the shoulders of quarterback Cooper Rush and the remaining offensive weapons. Rush, stepping in after the departure of Dak Prescott, has delivered mixed results. While he has shown moments of composure and accuracy, the offense has struggled to generate explosive plays, ranking in the bottom third of the league in yards per play. Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb remains the focal point of the passing attack, leading the team in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. However, inconsistent protection from the offensive line has limited Rush’s ability to exploit deep opportunities. The rushing game, once a cornerstone of the Cowboys’ offense, has been inconsistent this season. Tony Pollard, stepping into the lead role, has provided flashes of brilliance but has faced challenges behind an offensive line that has battled injuries and inconsistent play. Establishing a productive ground game will be critical against Washington’s stout defensive front. Defensively, the Cowboys have been a work in progress. Despite the presence of standout players like linebacker Micah Parsons, the unit has struggled to maintain consistency. Parsons, known for his versatility and relentless pursuit, has been a bright spot, leading the team in sacks and tackles for loss. However, the secondary has been a liability, with communication breakdowns and missed assignments leading to big plays by opposing offenses. Special teams have been a relative strength for the Cowboys. Kicker Austin Seibert has been dependable, converting key field goals throughout the season. The punt and kickoff coverage units have also performed well, limiting opponents’ return opportunities and providing a field position advantage. As the Cowboys prepare for their final game, head coach Mike McCarthy will focus on rallying his team to deliver a spirited performance in front of the home crowd. A win against a playoff-bound division rival like Washington would serve as a morale booster and provide a positive conclusion to a disappointing season. Keys to victory for the Cowboys include protecting Cooper Rush to give him time to find playmakers like Lamb and tight end Jake Ferguson. Establishing a balanced offensive attack with contributions from Pollard in the running game will be essential to keep Washington’s defense off balance. On the defensive side, the Cowboys must focus on pressuring Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels and tightening coverage in the secondary to limit big plays. Despite the challenges they’ve faced this season, the Cowboys have an opportunity to end the year with a statement win. A victory over the Commanders would not only boost team morale but also create momentum heading into the offseason. For a franchise accustomed to high expectations, this game provides a chance to demonstrate resilience and lay the groundwork for a stronger campaign in 2025.

Washington vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Commanders and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at AT&T Stadium in Jan rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Washington vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Commanders and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly unhealthy Cowboys team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Dallas picks, computer picks Commanders vs Cowboys, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Commanders Betting Trends

The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

Cowboys Betting Trends

The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Matchup Trends

Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

Washington vs. Dallas Game Info

Washington vs Dallas starts on January 05, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: Dallas +4.5
Moneyline: Washington -228, Dallas +188
Over/Under: 44

Washington: (11-5)  |  Dallas: (7-9)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

WAS trend: The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

DAL trend: The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Washington vs Dallas Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: -228
DAL Moneyline: +188
WAS Spread: -4.5
DAL Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 44

Washington vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+136
-162
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+260
-320
+7 (-118)
-7 (-104)
O 40.5 (-105)
U 40.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-460
+350
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+245
-300
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+265
-330
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+265
-330
+7 (-112)
-7 (-108)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-106
-110
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+285
-355
+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-235
+194
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+146
-174
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
O 49.5 (-120)
U 49.5 (-102)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+730
-1150
+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-168
+142
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+440
-590
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys on January 05, 2025 at AT&T Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS