Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 05)

Updated: 2024-12-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Commanders (11-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (7-9) on January 5, 2025, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Commanders, having secured a playoff spot, are favored by 3.5 points over the Cowboys, who are looking to end their season on a positive note.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 05, 2025

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: AT&T Stadium​

Cowboys Record: (7-9)

Commanders Record: (11-5)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: -228

DAL Moneyline: +188

WAS Spread: -4.5

DAL Spread: +4.5

Over/Under: 44

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

WAS vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Washington vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/5/25

The Washington Commanders, boasting an 11-5 record, are set to conclude their regular season against the Dallas Cowboys, who stand at 7-9. This NFC East showdown at AT&T Stadium carries significant weight for the Commanders as they seek to secure the No. 6 seed in the playoffs. Conversely, the Cowboys, already eliminated from postseason contention, aim to play spoiler and finish their season with a morale-boosting victory. Under the guidance of head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have experienced a remarkable turnaround this season. Quinn’s defensive expertise has been evident, with Washington’s defense ranking eighth in the NFL in yards allowed. The offense, orchestrated by offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury, has been dynamic, averaging 65 plays per game, placing them fourth-best in the league. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been instrumental, leading multiple game-winning drives and demonstrating poise beyond his years. The Commanders’ rushing attack, led by Brian Robinson Jr., has been formidable, with the team attempting 31.8 carries per game, the fourth-highest in the league. This balanced offensive approach has kept defenses on their heels, allowing playmakers like Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz to exploit openings in the passing game. Defensively, the emergence of safety Quan Martin has bolstered the secondary, adding a playmaking element that complements a stout front seven.

The Cowboys, meanwhile, have faced a tumultuous season marked by inconsistency and off-field distractions. Head coach Mike McCarthy’s future with the team has been a topic of speculation, especially after a series of disappointing performances. The offense, despite ranking sixth in offensive plays per game, has struggled to find rhythm, particularly after the release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott. Quarterback Cooper Rush has been serviceable, but the lack of explosive plays has hampered the unit’s effectiveness. Defensively, the Cowboys have been vulnerable, allowing opponents to capitalize on both the ground and through the air. The secondary has been particularly susceptible, with communication breakdowns leading to big plays. Special teams have been a relative bright spot, with kicker Austin Seibert providing reliability in the kicking game. For the Commanders, the key to victory lies in maintaining their balanced offensive attack and leveraging their defensive strengths to pressure Rush and force turnovers. Establishing the run early will be crucial to control the tempo and keep the Cowboys’ defense on the field. On defense, containing the Cowboys’ passing game and preventing explosive plays will be paramount. The Cowboys, on the other hand, will need to find a spark offensively to challenge Washington’s defense. Incorporating creative play-calling and taking calculated risks may provide the opportunities needed to keep the game competitive. Defensively, tightening up coverage and applying consistent pressure on Daniels will be essential to disrupt the Commanders’ offensive flow. As the Commanders look to enter the playoffs with momentum, this game serves as a critical test of their focus and execution. For the Cowboys, it’s an opportunity to end a disappointing season on a positive note and potentially influence the playoff landscape. With both teams motivated for different reasons, this matchup promises to deliver an intense and hard-fought contest.

Washington Commanders NFL Preview

The Washington Commanders head into their Week 18 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys with an 11-5 record and a playoff berth already secured. Despite clinching a postseason spot, the Commanders have plenty to play for as they aim to improve their seeding and enter the playoffs with momentum. Under the leadership of head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have emerged as one of the league’s most improved teams, combining a balanced offense with a top-tier defense. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been the driving force behind Washington’s resurgence. The rookie has exceeded expectations, displaying a rare combination of composure, accuracy, and athleticism. Daniels has led multiple game-winning drives this season and has developed strong connections with his receiving corps, including star wideout Terry McLaurin. McLaurin, known for his precise route running and reliable hands, leads the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. Tight end Zach Ertz has also been a valuable asset, providing a dependable target in the red zone and on critical third downs. The Commanders’ rushing attack has been a cornerstone of their offensive success. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been a workhorse, consistently moving the chains and wearing down defenses. The offensive line, anchored by veterans and emerging talents, has provided solid protection for Daniels and opened up running lanes for Robinson. Defensively, Washington has been one of the league’s most formidable units. The front seven, led by Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne, has been dominant, consistently disrupting opposing offenses with their ability to generate pressure and stop the run. Linebacker Jamin Davis has been a standout, showcasing his versatility in both run support and pass coverage. The secondary, bolstered by the emergence of safety Quan Martin, has been opportunistic, creating turnovers and limiting big plays. Special teams have been another area of strength for the Commanders. Kicker Joey Slye has been reliable, converting critical field goals in high-pressure situations. The return game, led by Dax Milne, has provided occasional sparks, giving the offense favorable field position. As the Commanders prepare to face the Cowboys, their focus will be on maintaining their balanced attack and executing their game plan. Keys to victory include protecting Jayden Daniels from Dallas’s pass rush, led by Micah Parsons, and continuing to establish the run to control the tempo. Defensively, Washington will look to pressure Cooper Rush and capitalize on any mistakes to limit Dallas’s scoring opportunities. With playoff implications still in play, the Commanders are motivated to deliver a strong performance and build momentum heading into the postseason. A win against a division rival on the road would not only enhance their seeding but also reinforce their status as a legitimate contender. For a team that has made significant strides this season, this game serves as both a challenge and an opportunity to showcase their growth and resilience.

The Washington Commanders (11-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (7-9) on January 5, 2025, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Commanders, having secured a playoff spot, are favored by 3.5 points over the Cowboys, who are looking to end their season on a positive note. Washington vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Jan 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview

The Dallas Cowboys approach their final game of the 2024 NFL season with a 7-9 record, facing the Washington Commanders at AT&T Stadium. Eliminated from playoff contention, the Cowboys aim to conclude their season on a high note, providing a foundation to build upon for the future. Head coach Mike McCarthy, amid speculation about his job security, will be looking to galvanize his team for a strong finish. Offensively, the Cowboys have experienced a season of upheaval. The release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott marked a significant shift, placing greater responsibility on the shoulders of quarterback Cooper Rush and the remaining offensive weapons. Rush, stepping in after the departure of Dak Prescott, has delivered mixed results. While he has shown moments of composure and accuracy, the offense has struggled to generate explosive plays, ranking in the bottom third of the league in yards per play. Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb remains the focal point of the passing attack, leading the team in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. However, inconsistent protection from the offensive line has limited Rush’s ability to exploit deep opportunities. The rushing game, once a cornerstone of the Cowboys’ offense, has been inconsistent this season. Tony Pollard, stepping into the lead role, has provided flashes of brilliance but has faced challenges behind an offensive line that has battled injuries and inconsistent play. Establishing a productive ground game will be critical against Washington’s stout defensive front. Defensively, the Cowboys have been a work in progress. Despite the presence of standout players like linebacker Micah Parsons, the unit has struggled to maintain consistency. Parsons, known for his versatility and relentless pursuit, has been a bright spot, leading the team in sacks and tackles for loss. However, the secondary has been a liability, with communication breakdowns and missed assignments leading to big plays by opposing offenses. Special teams have been a relative strength for the Cowboys. Kicker Austin Seibert has been dependable, converting key field goals throughout the season. The punt and kickoff coverage units have also performed well, limiting opponents’ return opportunities and providing a field position advantage. As the Cowboys prepare for their final game, head coach Mike McCarthy will focus on rallying his team to deliver a spirited performance in front of the home crowd. A win against a playoff-bound division rival like Washington would serve as a morale booster and provide a positive conclusion to a disappointing season. Keys to victory for the Cowboys include protecting Cooper Rush to give him time to find playmakers like Lamb and tight end Jake Ferguson. Establishing a balanced offensive attack with contributions from Pollard in the running game will be essential to keep Washington’s defense off balance. On the defensive side, the Cowboys must focus on pressuring Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels and tightening coverage in the secondary to limit big plays. Despite the challenges they’ve faced this season, the Cowboys have an opportunity to end the year with a statement win. A victory over the Commanders would not only boost team morale but also create momentum heading into the offseason. For a franchise accustomed to high expectations, this game provides a chance to demonstrate resilience and lay the groundwork for a stronger campaign in 2025.

Washington vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Commanders and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at AT&T Stadium in Jan seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Washington vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Commanders and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly strong Cowboys team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Dallas picks, computer picks Commanders vs Cowboys, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Commanders Betting Trends

The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

Cowboys Betting Trends

The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

Commanders vs. Cowboys Matchup Trends

Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

Washington vs. Dallas Game Info

Washington vs Dallas starts on January 05, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: Dallas +4.5
Moneyline: Washington -228, Dallas +188
Over/Under: 44

Washington: (11-5)  |  Dallas: (7-9)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.

WAS trend: The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

DAL trend: The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Washington vs Dallas Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: -228
DAL Moneyline: +188
WAS Spread: -4.5
DAL Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 44

Washington vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
-105
-115
pk
pk
O 45 (-107)
U 45 (-107)
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+534
-750
+11.5 (-103)
-11.5 (-107)
O 43 (-107)
U 43 (-107)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+132
-152
+3 (-107)
-3 (-103)
O 47.5 (-109)
U 47.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+170
-195
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-105)
O 42.5 (-107)
U 42.5 (-107)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+142
-162
+3 (-105)
-3 (-105)
O 48.5 (-113)
U 48.5 (-102)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-150
+130
-2.5 (-118)
+2.5 (+107)
O 44 (-107)
U 44 (-107)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-460
+360
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-105)
O 44.5 (-102)
U 44.5 (-113)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+200
-240
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (+100)
O 49 (-107)
U 49 (-107)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+215
-260
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-105)
O 49 (-107)
U 49 (-107)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-355
+285
-7 (-108)
+7 (-102)
O 39 (-114)
U 39 (-101)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-140
+120
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-105)
O 49 (-107)
U 49 (-107)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+130
-150
+2.5 (+104)
-2.5 (-115)
O 49 (-102)
U 49 (-113)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-200
+174
-4 (-103)
+4 (-107)
O 44.5 (-107)
U 44.5 (-107)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-425
+334
-8.5 (-102)
+8.5 (-108)
O 40.5 (-118)
U 40.5 (+103)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+100
-120
+1.5 (-107)
-1.5 (-103)
O 49 (-107)
U 49 (-107)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-185
+161
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-105)
O 51 (-101)
U 51 (-114)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys on January 05, 2025 at AT&T Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS