Commanders vs. Cowboys
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jan 05 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-12-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Commanders (11-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (7-9) on January 5, 2025, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Commanders, having secured a playoff spot, are favored by 3.5 points over the Cowboys, who are looking to end their season on a positive note.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jan 05, 2025
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​
Venue: AT&T Stadium​
Cowboys Record: (7-9)
Commanders Record: (11-5)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: -228
DAL Moneyline: +188
WAS Spread: -4.5
DAL Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 44
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.
WAS vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Washington vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/5/25
The Cowboys, meanwhile, have faced a tumultuous season marked by inconsistency and off-field distractions. Head coach Mike McCarthy’s future with the team has been a topic of speculation, especially after a series of disappointing performances. The offense, despite ranking sixth in offensive plays per game, has struggled to find rhythm, particularly after the release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott. Quarterback Cooper Rush has been serviceable, but the lack of explosive plays has hampered the unit’s effectiveness. Defensively, the Cowboys have been vulnerable, allowing opponents to capitalize on both the ground and through the air. The secondary has been particularly susceptible, with communication breakdowns leading to big plays. Special teams have been a relative bright spot, with kicker Austin Seibert providing reliability in the kicking game. For the Commanders, the key to victory lies in maintaining their balanced offensive attack and leveraging their defensive strengths to pressure Rush and force turnovers. Establishing the run early will be crucial to control the tempo and keep the Cowboys’ defense on the field. On defense, containing the Cowboys’ passing game and preventing explosive plays will be paramount. The Cowboys, on the other hand, will need to find a spark offensively to challenge Washington’s defense. Incorporating creative play-calling and taking calculated risks may provide the opportunities needed to keep the game competitive. Defensively, tightening up coverage and applying consistent pressure on Daniels will be essential to disrupt the Commanders’ offensive flow. As the Commanders look to enter the playoffs with momentum, this game serves as a critical test of their focus and execution. For the Cowboys, it’s an opportunity to end a disappointing season on a positive note and potentially influence the playoff landscape. With both teams motivated for different reasons, this matchup promises to deliver an intense and hard-fought contest.
An NFL-record five games with a TD pass in the final 30 seconds@JayD__5 is always coming up clutch pic.twitter.com/Dhg1KU2T4h
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) January 3, 2025
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders head into their Week 18 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys with an 11-5 record and a playoff berth already secured. Despite clinching a postseason spot, the Commanders have plenty to play for as they aim to improve their seeding and enter the playoffs with momentum. Under the leadership of head coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders have emerged as one of the league’s most improved teams, combining a balanced offense with a top-tier defense. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been the driving force behind Washington’s resurgence. The rookie has exceeded expectations, displaying a rare combination of composure, accuracy, and athleticism. Daniels has led multiple game-winning drives this season and has developed strong connections with his receiving corps, including star wideout Terry McLaurin. McLaurin, known for his precise route running and reliable hands, leads the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. Tight end Zach Ertz has also been a valuable asset, providing a dependable target in the red zone and on critical third downs. The Commanders’ rushing attack has been a cornerstone of their offensive success. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been a workhorse, consistently moving the chains and wearing down defenses. The offensive line, anchored by veterans and emerging talents, has provided solid protection for Daniels and opened up running lanes for Robinson. Defensively, Washington has been one of the league’s most formidable units. The front seven, led by Jonathan Allen and Daron Payne, has been dominant, consistently disrupting opposing offenses with their ability to generate pressure and stop the run. Linebacker Jamin Davis has been a standout, showcasing his versatility in both run support and pass coverage. The secondary, bolstered by the emergence of safety Quan Martin, has been opportunistic, creating turnovers and limiting big plays. Special teams have been another area of strength for the Commanders. Kicker Joey Slye has been reliable, converting critical field goals in high-pressure situations. The return game, led by Dax Milne, has provided occasional sparks, giving the offense favorable field position. As the Commanders prepare to face the Cowboys, their focus will be on maintaining their balanced attack and executing their game plan. Keys to victory include protecting Jayden Daniels from Dallas’s pass rush, led by Micah Parsons, and continuing to establish the run to control the tempo. Defensively, Washington will look to pressure Cooper Rush and capitalize on any mistakes to limit Dallas’s scoring opportunities. With playoff implications still in play, the Commanders are motivated to deliver a strong performance and build momentum heading into the postseason. A win against a division rival on the road would not only enhance their seeding but also reinforce their status as a legitimate contender. For a team that has made significant strides this season, this game serves as both a challenge and an opportunity to showcase their growth and resilience.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview
The Dallas Cowboys approach their final game of the 2024 NFL season with a 7-9 record, facing the Washington Commanders at AT&T Stadium. Eliminated from playoff contention, the Cowboys aim to conclude their season on a high note, providing a foundation to build upon for the future. Head coach Mike McCarthy, amid speculation about his job security, will be looking to galvanize his team for a strong finish. Offensively, the Cowboys have experienced a season of upheaval. The release of veteran running back Ezekiel Elliott marked a significant shift, placing greater responsibility on the shoulders of quarterback Cooper Rush and the remaining offensive weapons. Rush, stepping in after the departure of Dak Prescott, has delivered mixed results. While he has shown moments of composure and accuracy, the offense has struggled to generate explosive plays, ranking in the bottom third of the league in yards per play. Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb remains the focal point of the passing attack, leading the team in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. However, inconsistent protection from the offensive line has limited Rush’s ability to exploit deep opportunities. The rushing game, once a cornerstone of the Cowboys’ offense, has been inconsistent this season. Tony Pollard, stepping into the lead role, has provided flashes of brilliance but has faced challenges behind an offensive line that has battled injuries and inconsistent play. Establishing a productive ground game will be critical against Washington’s stout defensive front. Defensively, the Cowboys have been a work in progress. Despite the presence of standout players like linebacker Micah Parsons, the unit has struggled to maintain consistency. Parsons, known for his versatility and relentless pursuit, has been a bright spot, leading the team in sacks and tackles for loss. However, the secondary has been a liability, with communication breakdowns and missed assignments leading to big plays by opposing offenses. Special teams have been a relative strength for the Cowboys. Kicker Austin Seibert has been dependable, converting key field goals throughout the season. The punt and kickoff coverage units have also performed well, limiting opponents’ return opportunities and providing a field position advantage. As the Cowboys prepare for their final game, head coach Mike McCarthy will focus on rallying his team to deliver a spirited performance in front of the home crowd. A win against a playoff-bound division rival like Washington would serve as a morale booster and provide a positive conclusion to a disappointing season. Keys to victory for the Cowboys include protecting Cooper Rush to give him time to find playmakers like Lamb and tight end Jake Ferguson. Establishing a balanced offensive attack with contributions from Pollard in the running game will be essential to keep Washington’s defense off balance. On the defensive side, the Cowboys must focus on pressuring Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels and tightening coverage in the secondary to limit big plays. Despite the challenges they’ve faced this season, the Cowboys have an opportunity to end the year with a statement win. A victory over the Commanders would not only boost team morale but also create momentum heading into the offseason. For a franchise accustomed to high expectations, this game provides a chance to demonstrate resilience and lay the groundwork for a stronger campaign in 2025.
🚨 DOUBLE VOTING DAY GIVEAWAY 🚨
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) January 2, 2025
Repost this for a chance to win an autographed #ZackMartin jersey and to vote for @thegob70 for the 2024 Walter Payton Man of the Year!
đź”—: https://t.co/1b0IUdEd0P#WPMOYChallenge | @Nationwide pic.twitter.com/F8wPjOZg51
Washington vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Commanders and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors often put on Washington’s strength factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly strong Cowboys team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Dallas picks, computer picks Commanders vs Cowboys, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Commanders Betting Trends
The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.
Cowboys Betting Trends
The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Matchup Trends
Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.
Washington vs. Dallas Game Info
What time does Washington vs Dallas start on January 05, 2025?
Washington vs Dallas starts on January 05, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Dallas being played?
Venue: AT&T Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Dallas?
Spread: Dallas +4.5
Moneyline: Washington -228, Dallas +188
Over/Under: 44
What are the records for Washington vs Dallas?
Washington: (11-5) Â |Â Dallas: (7-9)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Dallas?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Dallas trending bets?
Historically, the Commanders have had success against the Cowboys, especially in games with playoff implications. With the Commanders aiming to solidify their playoff seeding and the Cowboys looking to end their season on a high note, this matchup presents intriguing betting opportunities.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Commanders have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly in recent games. Their strong offensive performances, led by quarterback Jayden Daniels, have contributed to their success in covering spreads. In their recent victory against the Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders secured a 30-24 overtime win, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: The Cowboys have had a challenging season, reflected in their 7-9 record. Their performance against the spread has been inconsistent, with struggles in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. In their recent loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys were defeated 41-7, indicating significant areas that need improvement.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Dallas?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Dallas Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Washington vs Dallas Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
-228 DAL Moneyline: +188
WAS Spread: -4.5
DAL Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 44
Washington vs Dallas Live Odds
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U 43.5 (-115)
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+300
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O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
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–
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-185
+160
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-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
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O 44 (-115)
U 44 (-105)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
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–
–
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+125
-145
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+2.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
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Bills
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–
–
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+750
-1400
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+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
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9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
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–
–
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+205
-245
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+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
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O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
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49ers
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–
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+155
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+3 (+100)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
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Rams
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–
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+155
-180
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+3.5 (-120)
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
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Ravens
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–
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-150
+130
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-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
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–
–
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+105
-125
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
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Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
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Packers
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–
–
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-350
+275
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-6.5 (-120)
+6.5 (+100)
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O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
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Sep 29, 2025 7:16PM EDT
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Miami Dolphins
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Jets
Dolphins
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–
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+130
-150
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+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
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O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
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Bengals
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–
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+320
-430
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+8 (-115)
-8 (-105)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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San Francisco 49ers
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–
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+135
-160
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+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys on January 05, 2025 at AT&T Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |