Saints vs Buccaneers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 05)

Updated: 2024-12-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New Orleans Saints (5-11) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7) on January 5, 2025, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. The Buccaneers, aiming to secure a playoff berth, will look to capitalize on their home-field advantage against a Saints team concluding a challenging season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 05, 2025

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: Raymond James Stadium​

Buccaneers Record: (9-7)

Saints Record: (5-11)

OPENING ODDS

NO Moneyline: +612

TB Moneyline: -917

NO Spread: +13.5

TB Spread: -13.5

Over/Under: 43.5

NO
Betting Trends

  • The Saints have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, reflecting their overall performance challenges. Their ATS record indicates difficulties in covering the spread, often due to offensive inconsistencies and defensive lapses.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, aligning with their strong season performance. Their ability to cover the spread has been consistent, showcasing both offensive prowess and defensive stability.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their previous matchup earlier this season, the Buccaneers covered the spread against the Saints, winning decisively. With the Buccaneers seeking playoff qualification, their motivation could influence ATS outcomes in this upcoming game.

NO vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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New Orleans vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/5/25

The upcoming NFC South clash between the New Orleans Saints and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers presents a game with significant implications, particularly for the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay, holding a 9-7 record, is vying for a playoff spot and will be highly motivated to secure a victory at home. The Saints, at 5-11, are looking to conclude a disappointing season on a positive note, potentially playing the role of spoiler against their division rivals. Offensively, the Buccaneers have been led by quarterback Baker Mayfield, who has amassed 4,279 passing yards and 39 touchdowns this season. His connection with wide receiver Mike Evans, who has recorded 915 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, has been a cornerstone of Tampa Bay’s aerial attack. Additionally, running back Bucky Irving has contributed over 1,000 rushing yards, providing balance to the offense. The Buccaneers’ offensive line has been effective in both pass protection and run blocking, enabling a versatile and potent offense. Defensively, Tampa Bay has shown strengths, particularly in stopping the run, allowing just over 104 rushing yards per game. However, their pass defense has been vulnerable, conceding approximately 250 passing yards per game. The defensive front, featuring players like Vita Vea, has been successful in generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which will be crucial in disrupting the Saints’ offensive rhythm.

The Saints have faced challenges on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Derek Carr has been limited by injuries, leading to opportunities for backups like Spencer Rattler, who has shown potential but also inexperience. Running back Alvin Kamara has been a consistent performer, nearing 1,000 rushing yards, and will be a focal point of the Saints’ offense. The receiving corps, including Marquez Valdes-Scantling, has had moments of productivity but lacks consistency. Defensively, New Orleans has struggled, allowing nearly 400 total yards per game. Their run defense has been particularly porous, which could be exploited by Tampa Bay’s balanced offensive approach. The secondary has been susceptible to big plays, a concern when facing a quarterback of Mayfield’s caliber. Special teams could play a pivotal role in this matchup. The Buccaneers’ kicking game has been reliable, while the Saints have experienced inconsistencies. Field position and the ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities will be critical, especially in a game with playoff implications for Tampa Bay. In summary, the Buccaneers enter this game with a clear objective: win and enhance their playoff prospects. Their balanced offense and solid run defense position them favorably against a Saints team seeking to end the season with a strong performance. The dynamics of division rivalries often lead to unpredictable outcomes, but Tampa Bay’s motivation and home-field advantage make them the favorites in this contest.

New Orleans Saints NFL Preview

The New Orleans Saints enter their season finale against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a 5-11 record, capping a season of ups and downs. While the playoffs are out of reach, the Saints aim to finish on a positive note by upsetting a divisional rival and potentially spoiling Tampa Bay’s postseason aspirations. Under head coach Dennis Allen, the Saints are focused on evaluating their roster and laying the groundwork for future success. Offensively, the Saints have struggled with consistency, particularly at the quarterback position. Starter Derek Carr has dealt with injuries throughout the season, leading to opportunities for backup Spencer Rattler. Rattler, while showing flashes of potential, has been prone to mistakes and inconsistency. Regardless of who starts, the Saints will look to establish a balanced offensive attack to keep Tampa Bay’s defense on its heels. Running back Alvin Kamara remains the focal point of the Saints’ offense, providing versatility as both a runner and a receiver. Kamara is nearing the 1,000-yard rushing mark and has been one of the few constants in an otherwise inconsistent offense. His ability to make plays in open space will be key against a Buccaneers defense that excels at stopping the run. The Saints’ receiving corps has been a mixed bag, with Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Chris Olave leading the way. While both receivers have had standout moments, the lack of consistency in quarterback play has limited their overall impact. For the Saints to compete, the passing game must improve, with Rattler or Carr needing to make quick and decisive throws to neutralize Tampa Bay’s pass rush. Defensively, the Saints have faced significant challenges, particularly in stopping the run. They rank near the bottom of the league in run defense, a weakness that could be exploited by the Buccaneers’ balanced offensive attack. The secondary, led by Marshon Lattimore, has been more reliable, but it will be tested by the Buccaneers’ dynamic passing game. Special teams have been inconsistent for the Saints this season. Kicker Wil Lutz has had moments of reliability but has also missed critical kicks. Improving special teams performance will be essential to staying competitive in a game where field position and execution will likely play a significant role. As the Saints prepare for this matchup, their focus will be on execution and effort. Dennis Allen has emphasized the importance of ending the season on a strong note, not only for morale but also to evaluate young players and assess areas for improvement heading into the offseason. Keys to victory for New Orleans include controlling the clock with a strong ground game, protecting the quarterback, and forcing turnovers on defense. Special teams could also be a deciding factor, with clean execution needed to avoid giving the Buccaneers any additional advantages. While the Saints are significant underdogs, their role as potential spoilers adds intrigue to this divisional rivalry. A strong performance would provide a sense of optimism heading into the offseason and demonstrate the team’s resilience in the face of adversity.

The New Orleans Saints (5-11) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7) on January 5, 2025, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. The Buccaneers, aiming to secure a playoff berth, will look to capitalize on their home-field advantage against a Saints team concluding a challenging season. New Orleans vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Jan 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers approach their regular-season finale against the New Orleans Saints with a 9-7 record, fully aware that a victory could secure their place in the postseason. Under the guidance of head coach Todd Bowles, the Buccaneers have demonstrated resilience and adaptability throughout the season, positioning themselves for a potential playoff berth. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been instrumental in the Buccaneers’ offensive success, throwing for 4,279 yards and 39 touchdowns. His leadership and decision-making have been pivotal, particularly in high-pressure situations. Mayfield’s rapport with veteran wide receiver Mike Evans has been a highlight, with Evans contributing 915 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. This dynamic duo poses a significant threat to opposing defenses, especially in red-zone scenarios. The ground game, led by running back Bucky Irving, has provided balance to Tampa Bay’s offense. Irving has surpassed the 1,000-yard rushing mark, showcasing a combination of power and agility that keeps defenses honest. The offensive line has played a crucial role, excelling in run blocking and offering Mayfield the protection needed to execute the passing game effectively. Defensively, the Buccaneers have been formidable against the run, limiting opponents to just over 104 rushing yards per game. The defensive line, anchored by Vita Vea, has been effective in controlling the line of scrimmage and disrupting opposing backfields. However, the secondary has faced challenges, allowing approximately 250 passing yards per game. Addressing these vulnerabilities will be essential, particularly against a Saints team that may look to exploit the passing game. Special teams have been a consistent asset for Tampa Bay. The kicking unit has delivered under pressure, and the coverage teams have been proficient in managing field position. In a game with significant stakes, the reliability of special teams cannot be overstated. Special teams execution will be vital for the Buccaneers in ensuring they capitalize on scoring opportunities and limit any potential momentum shifts caused by the Saints. Field position, driven by effective punting and kick coverage, could play a pivotal role in determining the flow of the game. Head coach Todd Bowles has emphasized a focused and disciplined approach leading up to this game. Recognizing the importance of this matchup, Bowles will likely implement a balanced game plan that leverages the team’s strengths while minimizing risks. Offensive coordinator Dave Canales will focus on maintaining a steady rhythm through a mix of short passes, deep threats with Mike Evans, and a strong ground game led by Bucky Irving. On defense, adjustments in coverage and pressure packages are expected to address the secondary’s weaknesses and disrupt the Saints’ offensive rhythm. Keys to victory for Tampa Bay include dominating the line of scrimmage, executing efficiently in the red zone, and avoiding turnovers. Establishing the run early will be critical to controlling the tempo of the game, while Mayfield’s ability to exploit mismatches in the Saints’ secondary could lead to big plays that swing momentum. Defensively, containing Alvin Kamara and forcing Derek Carr or Spencer Rattler into uncomfortable situations will be crucial. A victory in this game would not only secure a playoff berth for the Buccaneers but also solidify their status as a resilient team capable of competing in high-stakes matchups. With home-field advantage and a supportive crowd at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay has the tools and motivation to deliver a strong performance and take the next step toward postseason success.

New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Saints and Buccaneers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Raymond James Stadium in Jan seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Saints and Buccaneers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on New Orleans’s strength factors between a Saints team going up against a possibly improved Buccaneers team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Saints vs Buccaneers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Saints Betting Trends

The Saints have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, reflecting their overall performance challenges. Their ATS record indicates difficulties in covering the spread, often due to offensive inconsistencies and defensive lapses.

Buccaneers Betting Trends

The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, aligning with their strong season performance. Their ability to cover the spread has been consistent, showcasing both offensive prowess and defensive stability.

Saints vs. Buccaneers Matchup Trends

In their previous matchup earlier this season, the Buccaneers covered the spread against the Saints, winning decisively. With the Buccaneers seeking playoff qualification, their motivation could influence ATS outcomes in this upcoming game.

New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

New Orleans vs Tampa Bay starts on January 05, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.

Venue: Raymond James Stadium.

Spread: Tampa Bay -13.5
Moneyline: New Orleans +612, Tampa Bay -917
Over/Under: 43.5

New Orleans: (5-11)  |  Tampa Bay: (9-7)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their previous matchup earlier this season, the Buccaneers covered the spread against the Saints, winning decisively. With the Buccaneers seeking playoff qualification, their motivation could influence ATS outcomes in this upcoming game.

NO trend: The Saints have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, reflecting their overall performance challenges. Their ATS record indicates difficulties in covering the spread, often due to offensive inconsistencies and defensive lapses.

TB trend: The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, aligning with their strong season performance. Their ability to cover the spread has been consistent, showcasing both offensive prowess and defensive stability.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

New Orleans vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

NO Moneyline: +612
TB Moneyline: -917
NO Spread: +13.5
TB Spread: -13.5
Over/Under: 43.5

New Orleans vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
-105
-115
pk
pk
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+534
-750
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+132
-152
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+170
-195
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+142
-162
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-150
+130
-2.5 (-122)
+2.5 (+102)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-460
+360
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+200
-240
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+215
-260
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-355
+285
-7 (-113)
+7 (-107)
O 39 (-116)
U 39 (-104)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-140
+120
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+130
-150
+2.5 (-101)
-2.5 (-119)
O 49 (-105)
U 49 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-200
+174
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-425
+334
-8.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-113)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+100
-120
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-185
+161
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 51 (-104)
U 51 (-116)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers on January 05, 2025 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS