Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Jan 05)

Updated: 2024-12-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) will face the Denver Broncos (9-7) on January 5, 2025, at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. With the Chiefs having secured the AFC’s top seed, head coach Andy Reid has announced that key starters, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, will rest, providing the Broncos a crucial opportunity to clinch a playoff berth with a victory.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 05, 2025

Start Time: 5:25 PM EST​

Venue: Empower Field at Mile High​

Broncos Record: (9-7)

Chiefs Record: (15-1)

OPENING ODDS

KC Moneyline: +429

DEN Moneyline: -581

KC Spread: +10.5

DEN Spread: -10.5

Over/Under: 40

KC
Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs have a 7-9 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating that while they have been successful outright, they have struggled to cover the spread in several games. This suggests that their victories have often been closer than betting lines anticipated.

DEN
Betting Trends

  • The Broncos have been more favorable for bettors, boasting an 11-5 ATS record. This demonstrates that Denver has frequently exceeded expectations, keeping games competitive and often covering the spread, particularly in home matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their previous encounter this season, the Chiefs were favored but failed to cover the spread against the Broncos, who managed to keep the game closer than projected. This history suggests that, despite Kansas City’s superior record, Denver has the potential to challenge them effectively, especially with the Chiefs resting key players.

KC vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Kansas City vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 1/5/25

The upcoming AFC West showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos carries significant implications, particularly for Denver’s playoff aspirations. The Chiefs, with a commanding 15-1 record, have secured the AFC’s top seed, allowing them the luxury to rest key starters, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, ahead of the postseason. This strategic decision opens a window of opportunity for the Broncos, who, at 9-7, can clinch a playoff berth with a victory in this matchup. Offensively, the Chiefs will turn to backup quarterback Carson Wentz to lead the unit in Mahomes’ absence. Wentz, a former starter with significant experience, has had limited playing time this season but possesses the skill set to execute head coach Andy Reid’s game plan effectively. The receiving corps, featuring talents like Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Skyy Moore, will need to establish chemistry with Wentz quickly to maintain offensive rhythm. Running back Isiah Pacheco is expected to shoulder a heavier load, providing balance through the ground game. The Broncos’ defense, under coordinator Vance Joseph, will aim to capitalize on the Chiefs’ lineup adjustments. Linebacker Josey Jewell has been a standout, leading the team in tackles and providing leadership on the field. The secondary, featuring cornerback Pat Surtain II, has been effective in limiting opposing passing attacks and will look to challenge Wentz’s command of the offense. Generating pressure and forcing turnovers will be pivotal for Denver to disrupt Kansas City’s offensive flow Denver’s offense, led by quarterback Bo Nix, has shown improvement throughout the season.

Nix’s mobility and decision-making have been assets, complemented by a strong rushing attack spearheaded by running back Javonte Williams. Wide receiver Jerry Jeudy has emerged as a reliable target, contributing significantly to the passing game. The offensive line’s ability to protect Nix and create running lanes will be crucial against a Chiefs defense known for its pass-rushing capabilities. The Chiefs’ defense, coordinated by Steve Spagnuolo, has been formidable, ranking among the league’s top units. Defensive tackle Chris Jones anchors the line, with his ability to disrupt both the run and pass games. Linebacker Nick Bolton leads the team in tackles, showcasing sideline-to-sideline range. The secondary, including safety Justin Reid, has been effective in limiting big plays, a trend they will aim to continue against Denver’s offense. Special teams could play a decisive role in this matchup. Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker has been reliable, while the Broncos’ special teams have shown variability. Field position and the ability to convert scoring opportunities will be essential factors influencing the game’s outcome. In summary, this matchup presents a critical opportunity for the Broncos to secure postseason participation by capitalizing on the Chiefs’ decision to rest key players. However, Kansas City’s depth and coaching acumen ensure that they remain a formidable opponent. The dynamics of this game, influenced by strategic roster decisions and playoff implications, set the stage for a compelling and competitive contest at Empower Field at Mile High.

Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs enter their regular-season finale against the Denver Broncos with a dominant 15-1 record, having already clinched the AFC’s top seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. With their postseason position secure, head coach Andy Reid has opted to rest key starters, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce, to ensure their health for the upcoming playoff run. This strategic decision provides an opportunity for Kansas City’s depth players to gain valuable experience and showcase their capabilities. Offensively, the Chiefs will rely on backup quarterback Carson Wentz to lead the unit in Mahomes’ absence. Wentz, a former starter with significant experience, will aim to execute Reid’s game plan effectively and maintain the offense’s rhythm. The receiving corps, led by Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Skyy Moore, and rookie Rashee Rice, offers a mix of speed and playmaking ability. These players will look to step up and provide reliable targets for Wentz, particularly in critical third-down and red-zone situations. Running back Isiah Pacheco will be a focal point of the Chiefs’ offense, taking on a heavier workload to balance the attack. Pacheco has been a standout this season, rushing for over 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns, showcasing a combination of power and elusiveness. Backup running back Jerick McKinnon is expected to play a significant role as well, particularly in passing situations, where his receiving skills add an additional dimension to the offense. Defensively, the Chiefs have been one of the league’s top units, allowing just 18.5 points per game. Defensive tackle Chris Jones continues to anchor the line, providing a consistent pass rush and disrupting opponents’ running games. Linebacker Nick Bolton leads the team in tackles and has been a key figure in stopping the run and covering short-to-intermediate passes. The secondary, featuring safety Justin Reid and cornerbacks Trent McDuffie and L’Jarius Sneed, has excelled in limiting big plays and creating turnovers. Special teams have been a strength for Kansas City this season, with kicker Harrison Butker delivering clutch performances and punter Tommy Townsend consistently flipping field position. The Chiefs’ return units have also contributed, with Kadarius Toney adding a spark in the punt return game. As the Chiefs approach this game, the focus will be on execution and staying sharp, even with backups playing significant roles. Head coach Andy Reid will use this opportunity to evaluate depth players and experiment with different personnel groupings, which could prove valuable in the postseason. Keys to victory for Kansas City include establishing the run to control the clock, protecting Wentz from Denver’s pass rush, and maintaining defensive discipline to limit Denver’s offensive opportunities. Special teams execution will also be crucial in a game where field position could play a significant role. While the outcome of this game will not affect the Chiefs’ playoff positioning, it serves as a chance to reinforce the team’s depth and build momentum heading into the postseason. Kansas City’s ability to adapt and perform effectively, even with lineup changes, underscores the depth and resilience that have defined their dominant 2024 campaign.

The Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) will face the Denver Broncos (9-7) on January 5, 2025, at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. With the Chiefs having secured the AFC’s top seed, head coach Andy Reid has announced that key starters, including quarterback Patrick Mahomes, will rest, providing the Broncos a crucial opportunity to clinch a playoff berth with a victory. Kansas City vs Denver AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Jan 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Denver Broncos NFL Preview

The Denver Broncos enter their regular-season finale against the Kansas City Chiefs with a 9-7 record, poised on the brink of their first playoff appearance since their Super Bowl 50 victory. Under the guidance of head coach Sean Payton, the Broncos have undergone a transformative season, marked by significant improvements on both sides of the ball. A victory in this matchup would secure their postseason berth, making this game pivotal for the franchise’s resurgence. Offensively, the Broncos have been led by rookie quarterback Bo Nix, whose development has been a focal point of the season. Nix has demonstrated poise and adaptability, throwing for over 3,200 yards and 22 touchdowns, while also contributing with his mobility, adding 350 rushing yards and four touchdowns on the ground. His ability to extend plays and make critical decisions under pressure has been instrumental in the Broncos’ offensive success. The ground game has been anchored by running back Javonte Williams, who has amassed over 1,100 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Williams’ combination of power and agility has provided balance to the offense, allowing for effective play-action opportunities. Complementing Williams, rookie running back Tank Bigsby has emerged as a reliable second option, contributing 600 rushing yards and five touchdowns, showcasing depth in the backfield. The receiving corps has been spearheaded by wide receiver Jerry Jeudy, who has recorded 75 receptions for 1,050 yards and eight touchdowns this season. Jeudy’s route-running and ability to create separation have made him a reliable target for Bo Nix. Additionally, wide receiver Courtland Sutton and tight end Greg Dulcich have provided valuable contributions, giving the Broncos a diverse array of weapons in the passing game. The offensive line, led by left tackle Garett Bolles, has shown improvement in both pass protection and run blocking, though maintaining consistency will be crucial against Kansas City’s formidable defensive front. Defensively, the Broncos have been one of the league’s more consistent units under defensive coordinator Vance Joseph. Linebacker Josey Jewell has been a standout, leading the team in tackles and serving as the heart of the defense. The pass rush, led by defensive end Randy Gregory and rookie edge rusher Will McDonald IV, has shown the ability to generate pressure, which will be critical in disrupting Kansas City’s offensive rhythm, even with their backups playing. The secondary, anchored by cornerback Pat Surtain II, has been one of the strongest aspects of the Broncos’ defense. Surtain has excelled in limiting opposing receivers and forcing quarterbacks to look elsewhere. Safety Justin Simmons has continued to provide leadership and playmaking ability, contributing to turnovers and key stops. The Broncos’ ability to contain Kansas City’s passing attack and force Carson Wentz into difficult situations will be a key to their success. Special teams have been an area of concern for Denver throughout the season, with inconsistent performances in the kicking and return games. Kicker Brandon McManus has been reliable on field goals but has struggled with accuracy on longer attempts. Improving special teams execution will be vital, as field position could play a significant role in this game. Head coach Sean Payton has emphasized the importance of staying focused and disciplined as the Broncos prepare for their most crucial game of the season. Payton’s offensive expertise has been evident in the team’s improved efficiency and ability to adapt to different game situations. His experience in high-pressure games will be invaluable as Denver faces the challenge of securing a playoff berth against a top-tier opponent. Keys to victory for the Broncos include maintaining offensive balance by establishing the run early, protecting Nix to allow him time to make plays, and capitalizing on opportunities in the red zone. Defensively, the Broncos must limit big plays, create turnovers, and apply consistent pressure on Wentz to force mistakes. Special teams must execute cleanly to avoid giving the Chiefs any additional advantages. With their playoff hopes on the line and a home crowd at Empower Field at Mile High providing support, the Broncos have every incentive to deliver a strong performance. A victory over the Chiefs would not only secure their place in the postseason but also mark a significant milestone in the franchise’s resurgence under Sean Payton’s leadership.

Kansas City vs. Denver Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Chiefs and Broncos play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Empower Field at Mile High in Jan seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Kansas City vs. Denver Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Chiefs and Broncos and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Denver’s strength factors between a Chiefs team going up against a possibly improved Broncos team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Denver picks, computer picks Chiefs vs Broncos, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Chiefs Betting Trends

The Chiefs have a 7-9 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating that while they have been successful outright, they have struggled to cover the spread in several games. This suggests that their victories have often been closer than betting lines anticipated.

Broncos Betting Trends

The Broncos have been more favorable for bettors, boasting an 11-5 ATS record. This demonstrates that Denver has frequently exceeded expectations, keeping games competitive and often covering the spread, particularly in home matchups.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Matchup Trends

In their previous encounter this season, the Chiefs were favored but failed to cover the spread against the Broncos, who managed to keep the game closer than projected. This history suggests that, despite Kansas City’s superior record, Denver has the potential to challenge them effectively, especially with the Chiefs resting key players.

Kansas City vs. Denver Game Info

Kansas City vs Denver starts on January 05, 2025 at 5:25 PM EST.

Venue: Empower Field at Mile High.

Spread: Denver -10.5
Moneyline: Kansas City +429, Denver -581
Over/Under: 40

Kansas City: (15-1)  |  Denver: (9-7)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their previous encounter this season, the Chiefs were favored but failed to cover the spread against the Broncos, who managed to keep the game closer than projected. This history suggests that, despite Kansas City’s superior record, Denver has the potential to challenge them effectively, especially with the Chiefs resting key players.

KC trend: The Chiefs have a 7-9 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating that while they have been successful outright, they have struggled to cover the spread in several games. This suggests that their victories have often been closer than betting lines anticipated.

DEN trend: The Broncos have been more favorable for bettors, boasting an 11-5 ATS record. This demonstrates that Denver has frequently exceeded expectations, keeping games competitive and often covering the spread, particularly in home matchups.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Kansas City vs. Denver Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Kansas City vs Denver Opening Odds

KC Moneyline: +429
DEN Moneyline: -581
KC Spread: +10.5
DEN Spread: -10.5
Over/Under: 40

Kansas City vs Denver Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
-105
-115
-1 (-110)
+1 (-110)
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+550
-850
+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
O 43 (-115)
U 43 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+130
-150
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+165
-195
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+140
-165
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-150
+130
-3 (+100)
+3 (-120)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-460
+360
-7.5 (-120)
+7.5 (-102)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+205
-245
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+225
-275
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-370
+285
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-150
+130
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 49 (-115)
U 49 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+130
-150
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 48 (-115)
U 48 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-210
+175
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-470
+345
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+104
-122
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-185
+160
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos on January 05, 2025 at Empower Field at Mile High.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS