Jets vs. Bills
Prediction, Odds & Props
Dec 29 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-12-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Jets (4-11) are set to face the Buffalo Bills (12-3) at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, December 29, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET. The Bills, having secured the AFC East title, aim to maintain momentum for playoff seeding, while the Jets seek to end their season on a positive note by upsetting a division rival.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Dec 29, 2024
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Bills Record: (12-3)
Jets Record: (4-11)
OPENING ODDS
NYJ Moneyline: +356
BUF Moneyline: -465
NYJ Spread: +9.5
BUF Spread: -9.5
Over/Under: 47
NYJ
Betting Trends
- The Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, holding a 5-9 ATS record. In their last five games, they have covered the spread only once, reflecting their difficulties in meeting betting expectations during this stretch.
BUF
Betting Trends
- The Bills, conversely, have been more reliable for bettors, boasting a 9-5 ATS record. Notably, they have covered the spread in four of their last five games, aligning with their strong performances on the field.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS statistic is the Bills’ performance at home. They are favored by 10.5 points in this matchup and have a 7-0 record at home this season, indicating a strong home-field advantage that could influence their ability to cover the spread.
NYJ vs. BUF
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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New York vs Buffalo Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/29/24
Betting lines favor the Bills by 10.5 points, with an over/under set at 47.5 points. The Bills’ recent ATS success and perfect home record suggest they may cover the spread, especially given the Jets’ struggles both on the field and against the spread. For the Bills, maintaining offensive balance and leveraging their defensive strengths will be key. Establishing the run game to complement Allen’s passing attack can keep the Jets’ defense off balance. Defensively, containing Rodgers and limiting big plays will be crucial to securing a victory. The Jets must focus on protecting Rodgers and sustaining drives to keep the Bills’ offense off the field. Utilizing short, quick passes to mitigate the pass rush and involving running back Breece Hall can help in controlling the tempo. Defensively, the Jets need to find ways to disrupt Allen’s rhythm and force the Bills into third-and-long situations, where their pass defense can attempt to make plays. In summary, this matchup features a Bills team looking to secure favorable playoff positioning against a Jets squad aiming to end a disappointing season on a high note. Execution in all phases will be pivotal, with the Bills looking to capitalize on the Jets’ vulnerabilities to secure a victory at Highmark Stadium.
running back work 🏃♂️💨 pic.twitter.com/zC2tghXC4y
— New York Jets (@nyjets) December 26, 2024
New York Jets NFL Preview
The New York Jets come into this Week 17 matchup with a 4-11 record, closing out a season filled with struggles and unfulfilled expectations. Despite the challenges, head coach Robert Saleh remains focused on building a competitive culture and evaluating young talent for the future. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers, while still effective, has been unable to elevate the team to playoff contention, throwing for over 3,500 yards with 24 touchdowns but dealing with increased pressure due to injuries on the offensive line. The Jets’ offensive struggles stem largely from a lack of consistency in protection and execution. The injury to rookie left tackle Olu Fashanu has left the line vulnerable, forcing Rodgers to work under constant duress. Running back Breece Hall has been a standout performer, showcasing his explosiveness and accumulating over 1,200 yards from scrimmage. Hall’s ability to create big plays remains a critical component of the Jets’ offense, but he has often lacked the support needed to sustain drives. In the passing game, Garrett Wilson has been Rodgers’ most reliable target, surpassing 1,000 receiving yards and solidifying his role as the team’s No. 1 wideout. Tight end Tyler Conklin and wide receiver Allen Lazard have contributed sporadically, but the lack of a consistent secondary option has limited the offense’s ability to stretch the field. The Jets will need to find creative ways to involve their playmakers against a tough Bills defense. Defensively, the Jets have shown flashes of potential but have been inconsistent overall, allowing 23.2 points per game. Defensive tackle Quinnen Williams remains a force in the trenches, leading the charge in stopping the run and pressuring opposing quarterbacks. Cornerback Sauce Gardner has continued to develop into one of the league’s premier shutdown corners, but the rest of the secondary has struggled to keep pace. The defense will need to play its best game of the season to slow down Buffalo’s high-powered offense. Special teams have been a bright spot for the Jets, with kicker Greg Zuerlein converting 87% of his field goal attempts, including several from beyond 50 yards. The return game, led by Braxton Berrios, has also provided occasional sparks, giving the offense favorable field position. However, these contributions have not been enough to compensate for the team’s overall struggles. To compete with the Bills, the Jets will need to execute a near-perfect game plan. Offensively, protecting Rodgers and establishing Breece Hall early will be critical to controlling the clock and limiting Buffalo’s possessions. Defensively, generating turnovers and containing Josh Allen’s mobility will be key to keeping the game within reach. Although the Jets are significant underdogs, a spirited performance against a division rival could provide a sense of pride and momentum heading into the offseason. This matchup serves as an opportunity for the Jets to evaluate their roster and identify building blocks for the future while attempting to pull off an upset against one of the league’s top teams.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Buffalo Bills NFL Preview
The Buffalo Bills enter Week 17 with a 12-3 record, having clinched the AFC East title and positioning themselves for a deep playoff run. Under head coach Sean McDermott, the Bills have exhibited a high-powered offense and a resilient defense throughout the season. Quarterback Josh Allen continues to be the linchpin of the offense, throwing for over 4,200 yards and accounting for 35 total touchdowns. His dual-threat capability poses significant challenges for opposing defenses. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs remains Allen’s favorite target, leading the team with 1,200 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. The emergence of rookie wideout Khalil Shakir has added depth to the receiving corps, providing Allen with another reliable option. Tight end Dawson Knox contributes as a dependable red-zone target, enhancing the Bills’ scoring efficiency. The running game, spearheaded by Devin Singletary and complemented by rookie James Cook, offers a balanced attack that keeps defenses honest. Singletary has accumulated over 900 rushing yards, showcasing his ability to handle a significant workload. The offensive line has been effective in both pass protection and run blocking, allowing the offense to operate at a high level. Defensively, the Bills have been formidable, allowing 22.1 points per game. The pass rush, led by Von Miller and Greg Rousseau, has been effective in disrupting opposing quarterbacks, contributing to a high turnover rate. Linebacker Tremaine Edmunds leads the team in tackles, providing stability in the middle of the defense. The secondary, anchored by All-Pro cornerback Tre’Davious White, has been adept at limiting big plays and securing interceptions. Special teams have been a consistent asset for the Bills. Kicker Tyler Bass has been reliable, converting 90% of his field goal attempts, including several from beyond 50 yards. Punter Matt Haack has excelled in pinning opponents deep, aiding the defense with favorable field position. The return game, led by Isaiah McKenzie, has provided occasional sparks, contributing to the team’s overall momentum. Facing the New York Jets in Week 17, the Bills have an opportunity to maintain their perfect home record and strengthen their position for playoff seeding. Offensively, establishing a balanced attack will be key. Utilizing play-action passes to exploit the Jets’ secondary and maintaining a strong running game will help keep the Jets’ defense on its heels. Josh Allen’s ability to extend plays with his legs and find receivers downfield adds a dynamic element to the offense that the Jets will struggle to contain. Look for Stefon Diggs to be a focal point of the passing game, with complementary contributions from Dawson Knox and Khalil Shakir. Defensively, the Bills will aim to disrupt Aaron Rodgers’ rhythm by applying consistent pressure with their pass rush. Von Miller and Greg Rousseau are critical to this strategy, as forcing Rodgers into hurried throws could lead to turnovers. The Bills’ secondary, led by Tre’Davious White, will focus on containing the Jets’ top receiving threats, particularly Garrett Wilson. Additionally, the defense must be prepared to limit the impact of running back Breece Hall, whose ability to break long runs has been a bright spot for the Jets. Special teams could play a key role in securing field position and controlling the flow of the game. Tyler Bass’ accuracy in long-range field goals ensures the Bills can capitalize on scoring opportunities, while Matt Haack’s punting can pin the Jets deep in their own territory. Isaiah McKenzie’s potential to provide a game-changing return adds another layer of advantage for the Bills. In summary, the Bills enter this matchup as heavy favorites and are well-positioned to maintain their dominance at home. With a disciplined, balanced performance in all phases, Buffalo can secure a strong finish to the regular season while preparing for what promises to be a competitive postseason.
They grow up so fast. 🥹@Taronj11 is excited for his 100th NFL game this Sunday: https://t.co/jx3PvzeCBK@GoBonnies | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/cpwgCf2ebT
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 26, 2024
New York vs. Buffalo Prop Picks (AI)
New York vs. Buffalo Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Jets and Bills and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Jets team going up against a possibly improved Bills team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York vs Buffalo picks, computer picks Jets vs Bills, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Jets Betting Trends
The Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, holding a 5-9 ATS record. In their last five games, they have covered the spread only once, reflecting their difficulties in meeting betting expectations during this stretch.
Bills Betting Trends
The Bills, conversely, have been more reliable for bettors, boasting a 9-5 ATS record. Notably, they have covered the spread in four of their last five games, aligning with their strong performances on the field.
Jets vs. Bills Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS statistic is the Bills’ performance at home. They are favored by 10.5 points in this matchup and have a 7-0 record at home this season, indicating a strong home-field advantage that could influence their ability to cover the spread.
New York vs. Buffalo Game Info
What time does New York vs Buffalo start on December 29, 2024?
New York vs Buffalo starts on December 29, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is New York vs Buffalo being played?
Venue: Highmark Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New York vs Buffalo?
Spread: Buffalo -9.5
Moneyline: New York +356, Buffalo -465
Over/Under: 47
What are the records for New York vs Buffalo?
New York: (4-11) | Buffalo: (12-3)
What is the AI best bet for New York vs Buffalo?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York vs Buffalo trending bets?
An interesting ATS statistic is the Bills’ performance at home. They are favored by 10.5 points in this matchup and have a 7-0 record at home this season, indicating a strong home-field advantage that could influence their ability to cover the spread.
What are New York trending bets?
NYJ trend: The Jets have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, holding a 5-9 ATS record. In their last five games, they have covered the spread only once, reflecting their difficulties in meeting betting expectations during this stretch.
What are Buffalo trending bets?
BUF trend: The Bills, conversely, have been more reliable for bettors, boasting a 9-5 ATS record. Notably, they have covered the spread in four of their last five games, aligning with their strong performances on the field.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York vs Buffalo?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Buffalo Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the New York vs Buffalo trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York vs Buffalo Opening Odds
NYJ Moneyline:
+356 BUF Moneyline: -465
NYJ Spread: +9.5
BUF Spread: -9.5
Over/Under: 47
New York vs Buffalo Live Odds
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U 43.5 (-110)
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+870
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+14.5 (-105)
-14.5 (-115)
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O 48.5 (-104)
U 48.5 (-118)
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+198
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O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
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Browns
Lions
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–
–
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+430
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+9.5 (-102)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
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Chargers
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–
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-290
+235
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-6.5 (-106)
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 3:06PM
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+148
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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–
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+156
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+3.5 (-115)
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O 49.5 (-112)
U 49.5 (-108)
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–
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+108
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
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O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
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Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
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–
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-144
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-2.5 (-118)
+2.5 (-104)
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O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
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Cowboys
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–
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-320
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-6.5 (-115)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Dolphins
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–
–
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+132
-156
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+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
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O 44.5 (-108)
U 44.5 (-112)
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+340
-430
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+7.5 (-108)
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O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
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+134
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O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills on December 29, 2024 at Highmark Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |