Chargers vs. Patriots
Prediction, Odds & Props
Dec 28 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2024-12-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) will face the New England Patriots (3-12) at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, December 28, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET. The Chargers aim to secure a playoff berth with a victory, while the Patriots look to end a five-game losing streak and play spoiler in their final home game of the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Dec 28, 2024

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gillette Stadium​

Patriots Record: (3-12)

Chargers Record: (9-6)

OPENING ODDS

LAC Moneyline: -220

NE Moneyline: +180

LAC Spread: -4.5

NE Spread: +4.5

Over/Under: 42.5

LAC
Betting Trends

  • The Chargers have been reliable against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting an 11-4-0 record. As road favorites, they are undefeated ATS, covering the spread in all three instances. Their strong ATS performance reflects their ability to meet or exceed expectations, particularly when favored away from home.

NE
Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have struggled both straight up and ATS, holding a 6-8-1 record. As home underdogs, they are 2-3-1 ATS, indicating inconsistency in covering the spread at Gillette Stadium. Their challenges in surpassing betting expectations mirror their on-field difficulties throughout the season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • An interesting ATS statistic is the Chargers’ performance in games with a total set around 42.5 points. In such scenarios, they have a tendency to hit the over, with six of their games surpassing the point total this season. This suggests that matchups involving the Chargers often result in higher-scoring affairs, potentially influencing betting strategies regarding the over/under.

LAC vs. NE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Los Angeles vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/28/24

The Week 17 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the New England Patriots presents contrasting narratives for both teams. The Chargers, standing at 9-6, are on the cusp of clinching a playoff spot. A win in this game would secure their place in the postseason, making this contest crucial for their aspirations. Quarterback Justin Herbert has been instrumental in their success, leading an offense that averages 21 points per game. Herbert’s connection with wide receivers and the support of a balanced rushing attack have been pivotal. Defensively, the Chargers have been formidable, allowing only 17.6 points per game, tying them for first in the league. Their ability to stifle opposing offenses has been a cornerstone of their success this season. In contrast, the Patriots have endured a challenging season, holding a 3-12 record and currently on a five-game losing streak. Their offense has struggled, averaging 17 points per game, which ranks them 31st in the league. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown potential but has faced the typical growing pains associated with transitioning to the NFL.

The Patriots’ defense has also been porous, allowing 24.1 points per game, placing them in the lower tier of the league. Injuries and inconsistent play have plagued both sides of the ball, contributing to their disappointing record. Betting lines favor the Chargers as 5.5-point favorites, with an over/under set at 43.5 points. The Chargers’ strong ATS record, particularly as road favorites, contrasts with the Patriots’ struggles to cover the spread as home underdogs. This disparity highlights the differing trajectories of the two teams this season. For the Chargers, the key to victory lies in maintaining offensive efficiency and leveraging their defensive strengths to pressure the rookie quarterback. Establishing an early lead could force the Patriots into a pass-heavy approach, playing into the Chargers’ defensive capabilities. Conversely, the Patriots will need to protect Maye and find ways to exploit any defensive lapses by the Chargers. A balanced offensive attack and minimizing turnovers will be essential for New England to stay competitive. Weather conditions in Foxborough during late December can be unpredictable, potentially impacting game dynamics. Both teams will need to adapt to the elements, which could influence game plans, particularly in the passing game. In summary, this matchup features a Chargers team looking to solidify their playoff position against a Patriots squad aiming to salvage pride in a disappointing season. The contrast in motivations and performances sets the stage for an intriguing contest at Gillette Stadium.

Los Angeles Chargers NFL Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers head into this matchup with a 9-6 record, driven by their sights set firmly on securing a playoff berth. A win against the Patriots would not only solidify their postseason aspirations but also bolster confidence heading into the final week of the regular season. The Chargers have been a balanced team throughout the year, with both their offense and defense ranking among the league’s most reliable units. Justin Herbert has once again proven to be one of the league’s premier quarterbacks, throwing for over 4,000 yards this season. His ability to extend plays and make accurate throws under pressure has been instrumental in the Chargers’ success. Keenan Allen remains Herbert’s go-to target, leading the team in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Mike Williams and rookie Quentin Johnston have also contributed significantly, adding depth to a dangerous receiving corps. The running game, anchored by Austin Ekeler, complements the passing attack, with Ekeler providing both rushing production and a reliable option in the short passing game. Defensively, the Chargers have been stout, allowing just 17.6 points per game, which ties them for the best mark in the NFL. Their pass rush, led by Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack, has been relentless, consistently disrupting opposing quarterbacks and creating turnovers. The secondary, featuring standout safety Derwin James, has been equally impressive, limiting big plays and tightening coverage in critical moments. This balance between the pass rush and secondary has made the Chargers a difficult team to score against. Special teams have been solid, with kicker Cameron Dicker proving reliable in clutch situations and the return game providing occasional sparks. Field position has been a hidden strength for the Chargers, as they often start drives in advantageous positions, putting added pressure on their opponents. Heading into this game, the Chargers will look to exploit the Patriots’ weaknesses, particularly on the offensive line and in the secondary. By applying pressure on rookie quarterback Drake Maye, the Chargers’ defense can create turnovers and provide their offense with short fields. Offensively, Herbert and his weapons will aim to test the Patriots’ injury-depleted defense with a mix of deep shots and quick passes. For the Chargers, this game is not just about making the playoffs; it’s about building momentum for a potential deep postseason run. With their talent on both sides of the ball and a coach in Brandon Staley who thrives in high-stakes situations, the Chargers are positioned to capitalize on their opportunities. A decisive victory against New England would send a strong message to the rest of the league about their readiness to compete in January.

The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) will face the New England Patriots (3-12) at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, December 28, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET. The Chargers aim to secure a playoff berth with a victory, while the Patriots look to end a five-game losing streak and play spoiler in their final home game of the season. Los Angeles vs New England AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Dec 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots enter Week 17 with a 3-12 record, enduring a five-game losing streak that has marred their 2024 season. Their most recent defeat, a narrow 24-21 loss to the Buffalo Bills, exemplifies the team’s struggles to close out games. Offensively, the Patriots have been underwhelming, averaging 17 points per game, ranking them 31st in the league. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown flashes of potential but has been inconsistent, a common trait among first-year signal-callers. The offensive line has faced challenges, contributing to Maye’s difficulties in finding rhythm and consistency. The rushing attack, averaging 119.3 yards per game, has been a relative bright spot, but it hasn’t been sufficient to compensate for the deficiencies in the passing game. Defensively, the Patriots allow 24.1 points per game, placing them in the lower half of the league. Injuries to key players have exacerbated their defensive woes, leading to lapses in coverage and an inability to generate a consistent pass rush. The secondary has been particularly vulnerable, allowing 216.7 passing yards per game. Despite these challenges, cornerback Christian Gonzalez has been a standout performer, earning comparisons to top former Patriots cornerbacks. However, his individual success has not been enough to elevate the overall defensive performance. Special teams have also been a point of concern, with inconsistent performances in the kicking game and punt coverage. These issues have occasionally resulted in unfavorable field positions, further straining both the offense and defense. Head coach Jerod Mayo faces the daunting task of motivating his team to finish the season with resilience and determination. The development of Drake Maye remains a focal point, as the organization looks to build around him for the future. Wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster has provided a veteran presence and a reliable target for Maye, but the lack of explosive playmakers has hindered the Patriots’ ability to stretch the field. Tight end Hunter Henry has also been a consistent contributor, particularly in the red zone, yet the offensive scheme has struggled to produce big plays. Establishing a more dynamic and unpredictable offense will be a priority in this game to challenge the Chargers’ formidable defense. The Patriots’ game plan against the Chargers must focus on ball control and minimizing mistakes. With a strong rushing attack led by Rhamondre Stevenson, the Patriots should aim to dominate time of possession and keep Justin Herbert off the field. Defensively, their key will be to pressure Herbert and disrupt his timing, as allowing him too much comfort in the pocket could lead to a high-scoring affair. Limiting wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams will also be critical, as both are capable of explosive plays that could break the game wide open. While the Patriots are out of playoff contention, this game provides an opportunity for younger players to gain valuable experience and for the team to evaluate talent heading into the offseason. A strong showing against a playoff-caliber opponent like the Chargers would also serve as a morale booster for the fanbase and a sign of potential for the future.

Los Angeles vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Chargers and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Dec can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Los Angeles vs. New England Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Chargers and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors regularly put on New England’s strength factors between a Chargers team going up against a possibly rested Patriots team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Los Angeles vs New England picks, computer picks Chargers vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Chargers Betting Trends

The Chargers have been reliable against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting an 11-4-0 record. As road favorites, they are undefeated ATS, covering the spread in all three instances. Their strong ATS performance reflects their ability to meet or exceed expectations, particularly when favored away from home.

Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have struggled both straight up and ATS, holding a 6-8-1 record. As home underdogs, they are 2-3-1 ATS, indicating inconsistency in covering the spread at Gillette Stadium. Their challenges in surpassing betting expectations mirror their on-field difficulties throughout the season.

Chargers vs. Patriots Matchup Trends

An interesting ATS statistic is the Chargers’ performance in games with a total set around 42.5 points. In such scenarios, they have a tendency to hit the over, with six of their games surpassing the point total this season. This suggests that matchups involving the Chargers often result in higher-scoring affairs, potentially influencing betting strategies regarding the over/under.

Los Angeles vs. New England Game Info

Los Angeles vs New England starts on December 28, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: New England +4.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles -220, New England +180
Over/Under: 42.5

Los Angeles: (9-6)  |  New England: (3-12)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

An interesting ATS statistic is the Chargers’ performance in games with a total set around 42.5 points. In such scenarios, they have a tendency to hit the over, with six of their games surpassing the point total this season. This suggests that matchups involving the Chargers often result in higher-scoring affairs, potentially influencing betting strategies regarding the over/under.

LAC trend: The Chargers have been reliable against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting an 11-4-0 record. As road favorites, they are undefeated ATS, covering the spread in all three instances. Their strong ATS performance reflects their ability to meet or exceed expectations, particularly when favored away from home.

NE trend: The Patriots have struggled both straight up and ATS, holding a 6-8-1 record. As home underdogs, they are 2-3-1 ATS, indicating inconsistency in covering the spread at Gillette Stadium. Their challenges in surpassing betting expectations mirror their on-field difficulties throughout the season.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Los Angeles vs. New England Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Los Angeles vs New England Opening Odds

LAC Moneyline: -220
NE Moneyline: +180
LAC Spread: -4.5
NE Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 42.5

Los Angeles vs New England Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
-140
+115
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
+400
-550
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
-285
+230
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
+300
-375
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
-190
+160
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
+110
-130
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
+800
-1300
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
+200
-250
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
+150
-180
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
+160
-190
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
-150
+125
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
+100
-120
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
-325
+250
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
+125
-150
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
+310
-400
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
+134
-158
+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots on December 28, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS
KC@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT 54.1% 3 WIN
DAL@PHI GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@PHI JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS 53.90% 5 WIN
KC@PHI DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS 54.40% 6 WIN
KC@PHI PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP 55.00% 8 WIN
KC@PHI JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS 55.60% 8 WIN
BUF@KC DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.10% 8 LOSS
WAS@PHI DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS 55.80% 8 WIN
BUF@KC JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD 53.00% 5 WIN
LAR@PHI SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS 53.20% 5 LOSS
BAL@BUF LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS 54.50% 6 LOSS
HOU@KC C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 53.10% 5 LOSS
WAS@DET JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 53.30% 5 WIN
WAS@DET JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 54.30% 6 WIN
MIN@LAR COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN 52.60% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAR MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP 54.10% 6 LOSS
WAS@TB BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS 53.50% 5 WIN
WAS@TB BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT 54.90% 6 WIN
GB@PHI JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE 54.60% 6 LOSS
LAC@HOU J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD 52.80% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU LAC -2.5 53.40% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS 53.40% 5 LOSS