Chargers vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Dec 28)
Updated: 2024-12-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) will face the New England Patriots (3-12) at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, December 28, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET. The Chargers aim to secure a playoff berth with a victory, while the Patriots look to end a five-game losing streak and play spoiler in their final home game of the season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 28, 2024
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (3-12)
Chargers Record: (9-6)
OPENING ODDS
LAC Moneyline: -220
NE Moneyline: +180
LAC Spread: -4.5
NE Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 42.5
LAC
Betting Trends
- The Chargers have been reliable against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting an 11-4-0 record. As road favorites, they are undefeated ATS, covering the spread in all three instances. Their strong ATS performance reflects their ability to meet or exceed expectations, particularly when favored away from home.
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots have struggled both straight up and ATS, holding a 6-8-1 record. As home underdogs, they are 2-3-1 ATS, indicating inconsistency in covering the spread at Gillette Stadium. Their challenges in surpassing betting expectations mirror their on-field difficulties throughout the season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS statistic is the Chargers’ performance in games with a total set around 42.5 points. In such scenarios, they have a tendency to hit the over, with six of their games surpassing the point total this season. This suggests that matchups involving the Chargers often result in higher-scoring affairs, potentially influencing betting strategies regarding the over/under.
LAC vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
LIVE NFL ODDS
NFL ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
VS. SPREAD
346-264
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+366.4
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$36,643
VS. SPREAD
1604-1367
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+391.6
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$39,159
AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS
Create a Free Account
‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today. Remi Finds New Picks
Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line. Remi Works 24/7
Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.
Get Remi's AI Picks
Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
Los Angeles vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/28/24
The Patriots’ defense has also been porous, allowing 24.1 points per game, placing them in the lower tier of the league. Injuries and inconsistent play have plagued both sides of the ball, contributing to their disappointing record. Betting lines favor the Chargers as 5.5-point favorites, with an over/under set at 43.5 points. The Chargers’ strong ATS record, particularly as road favorites, contrasts with the Patriots’ struggles to cover the spread as home underdogs. This disparity highlights the differing trajectories of the two teams this season. For the Chargers, the key to victory lies in maintaining offensive efficiency and leveraging their defensive strengths to pressure the rookie quarterback. Establishing an early lead could force the Patriots into a pass-heavy approach, playing into the Chargers’ defensive capabilities. Conversely, the Patriots will need to protect Maye and find ways to exploit any defensive lapses by the Chargers. A balanced offensive attack and minimizing turnovers will be essential for New England to stay competitive. Weather conditions in Foxborough during late December can be unpredictable, potentially impacting game dynamics. Both teams will need to adapt to the elements, which could influence game plans, particularly in the passing game. In summary, this matchup features a Chargers team looking to solidify their playoff position against a Patriots squad aiming to salvage pride in a disappointing season. The contrast in motivations and performances sets the stage for an intriguing contest at Gillette Stadium.
wknd fit pic.twitter.com/JEfp8WsQLg
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) December 26, 2024
Los Angeles Chargers NFL Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers head into this matchup with a 9-6 record, driven by their sights set firmly on securing a playoff berth. A win against the Patriots would not only solidify their postseason aspirations but also bolster confidence heading into the final week of the regular season. The Chargers have been a balanced team throughout the year, with both their offense and defense ranking among the league’s most reliable units. Justin Herbert has once again proven to be one of the league’s premier quarterbacks, throwing for over 4,000 yards this season. His ability to extend plays and make accurate throws under pressure has been instrumental in the Chargers’ success. Keenan Allen remains Herbert’s go-to target, leading the team in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Mike Williams and rookie Quentin Johnston have also contributed significantly, adding depth to a dangerous receiving corps. The running game, anchored by Austin Ekeler, complements the passing attack, with Ekeler providing both rushing production and a reliable option in the short passing game. Defensively, the Chargers have been stout, allowing just 17.6 points per game, which ties them for the best mark in the NFL. Their pass rush, led by Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack, has been relentless, consistently disrupting opposing quarterbacks and creating turnovers. The secondary, featuring standout safety Derwin James, has been equally impressive, limiting big plays and tightening coverage in critical moments. This balance between the pass rush and secondary has made the Chargers a difficult team to score against. Special teams have been solid, with kicker Cameron Dicker proving reliable in clutch situations and the return game providing occasional sparks. Field position has been a hidden strength for the Chargers, as they often start drives in advantageous positions, putting added pressure on their opponents. Heading into this game, the Chargers will look to exploit the Patriots’ weaknesses, particularly on the offensive line and in the secondary. By applying pressure on rookie quarterback Drake Maye, the Chargers’ defense can create turnovers and provide their offense with short fields. Offensively, Herbert and his weapons will aim to test the Patriots’ injury-depleted defense with a mix of deep shots and quick passes. For the Chargers, this game is not just about making the playoffs; it’s about building momentum for a potential deep postseason run. With their talent on both sides of the ball and a coach in Brandon Staley who thrives in high-stakes situations, the Chargers are positioned to capitalize on their opportunities. A decisive victory against New England would send a strong message to the rest of the league about their readiness to compete in January.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots enter Week 17 with a 3-12 record, enduring a five-game losing streak that has marred their 2024 season. Their most recent defeat, a narrow 24-21 loss to the Buffalo Bills, exemplifies the team’s struggles to close out games. Offensively, the Patriots have been underwhelming, averaging 17 points per game, ranking them 31st in the league. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown flashes of potential but has been inconsistent, a common trait among first-year signal-callers. The offensive line has faced challenges, contributing to Maye’s difficulties in finding rhythm and consistency. The rushing attack, averaging 119.3 yards per game, has been a relative bright spot, but it hasn’t been sufficient to compensate for the deficiencies in the passing game. Defensively, the Patriots allow 24.1 points per game, placing them in the lower half of the league. Injuries to key players have exacerbated their defensive woes, leading to lapses in coverage and an inability to generate a consistent pass rush. The secondary has been particularly vulnerable, allowing 216.7 passing yards per game. Despite these challenges, cornerback Christian Gonzalez has been a standout performer, earning comparisons to top former Patriots cornerbacks. However, his individual success has not been enough to elevate the overall defensive performance. Special teams have also been a point of concern, with inconsistent performances in the kicking game and punt coverage. These issues have occasionally resulted in unfavorable field positions, further straining both the offense and defense. Head coach Jerod Mayo faces the daunting task of motivating his team to finish the season with resilience and determination. The development of Drake Maye remains a focal point, as the organization looks to build around him for the future. Wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster has provided a veteran presence and a reliable target for Maye, but the lack of explosive playmakers has hindered the Patriots’ ability to stretch the field. Tight end Hunter Henry has also been a consistent contributor, particularly in the red zone, yet the offensive scheme has struggled to produce big plays. Establishing a more dynamic and unpredictable offense will be a priority in this game to challenge the Chargers’ formidable defense. The Patriots’ game plan against the Chargers must focus on ball control and minimizing mistakes. With a strong rushing attack led by Rhamondre Stevenson, the Patriots should aim to dominate time of possession and keep Justin Herbert off the field. Defensively, their key will be to pressure Herbert and disrupt his timing, as allowing him too much comfort in the pocket could lead to a high-scoring affair. Limiting wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams will also be critical, as both are capable of explosive plays that could break the game wide open. While the Patriots are out of playoff contention, this game provides an opportunity for younger players to gain valuable experience and for the team to evaluate talent heading into the offseason. A strong showing against a playoff-caliber opponent like the Chargers would also serve as a morale booster for the fanbase and a sign of potential for the future.
Who will the Patriots have at center on Saturday?@ezlazar’s O-line options: https://t.co/DnulqVkpnJ pic.twitter.com/eMB2chUqgU
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) December 26, 2024
Los Angeles vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)
Los Angeles vs. New England Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Chargers and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor human bettors often put on Los Angeles’s strength factors between a Chargers team going up against a possibly deflated Patriots team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Los Angeles vs New England picks, computer picks Chargers vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
|
|
| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
|
|
| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
|
|
| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
|
|
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Chargers Betting Trends
The Chargers have been reliable against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting an 11-4-0 record. As road favorites, they are undefeated ATS, covering the spread in all three instances. Their strong ATS performance reflects their ability to meet or exceed expectations, particularly when favored away from home.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots have struggled both straight up and ATS, holding a 6-8-1 record. As home underdogs, they are 2-3-1 ATS, indicating inconsistency in covering the spread at Gillette Stadium. Their challenges in surpassing betting expectations mirror their on-field difficulties throughout the season.
Chargers vs. Patriots Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS statistic is the Chargers’ performance in games with a total set around 42.5 points. In such scenarios, they have a tendency to hit the over, with six of their games surpassing the point total this season. This suggests that matchups involving the Chargers often result in higher-scoring affairs, potentially influencing betting strategies regarding the over/under.
Los Angeles vs. New England Game Info
What time does Los Angeles vs New England start on December 28, 2024?
Los Angeles vs New England starts on December 28, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is Los Angeles vs New England being played?
Venue: Gillette Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Los Angeles vs New England?
Spread: New England +4.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles -220, New England +180
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for Los Angeles vs New England?
Los Angeles: (9-6) | New England: (3-12)
What is the AI best bet for Los Angeles vs New England?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Los Angeles vs New England trending bets?
An interesting ATS statistic is the Chargers’ performance in games with a total set around 42.5 points. In such scenarios, they have a tendency to hit the over, with six of their games surpassing the point total this season. This suggests that matchups involving the Chargers often result in higher-scoring affairs, potentially influencing betting strategies regarding the over/under.
What are Los Angeles trending bets?
LAC trend: The Chargers have been reliable against the spread (ATS) this season, boasting an 11-4-0 record. As road favorites, they are undefeated ATS, covering the spread in all three instances. Their strong ATS performance reflects their ability to meet or exceed expectations, particularly when favored away from home.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots have struggled both straight up and ATS, holding a 6-8-1 record. As home underdogs, they are 2-3-1 ATS, indicating inconsistency in covering the spread at Gillette Stadium. Their challenges in surpassing betting expectations mirror their on-field difficulties throughout the season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Los Angeles vs New England?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Los Angeles vs. New England Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Los Angeles vs New England Opening Odds
LAC Moneyline:
-220 NE Moneyline: +180
LAC Spread: -4.5
NE Spread: +4.5
Over/Under: 42.5
Los Angeles vs New England Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+534
-750
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
|
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+132
-152
|
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
|
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+165
-190
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+142
-162
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 49 (-115)
U 49 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-150
+130
|
-2.5 (-122)
+2.5 (+102)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-395
+310
|
-7.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-108)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
|
–
–
|
+200
-240
|
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+215
-260
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
|
–
–
|
-355
+285
|
-7 (-113)
+7 (-107)
|
O 39 (-116)
U 39 (-104)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-140
+120
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+130
-150
|
+2.5 (-101)
-2.5 (-119)
|
O 49 (-105)
U 49 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-200
+174
|
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
|
–
–
|
-425
+334
|
-8.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-113)
|
O 40.5 (-120)
U 40.5 (+100)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+102
-122
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
|
–
–
|
-185
+161
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots on December 28, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |