Dolphins vs Texans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Dec 15)
Updated: 2024-12-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Dolphins will face the Houston Texans on December 15, 2024, at NRG Stadium in Houston. This Week 15 matchup holds significant playoff implications, with both teams vying to improve their postseason prospects.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Dec 15, 2024
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Texans Record: (8-5)
Dolphins Record: (6-7)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +127
HOU Moneyline: -151
MIA Spread: +3
HOU Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 47
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Dolphins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only five of their first thirteen games this season. Their inconsistency, particularly on the road, has made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans have also faced challenges ATS, failing to cover in their last four games against AFC opponents. Despite a strong overall record, their performance relative to betting lines has been unpredictable.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS statistic is that the total has gone under in four of the last six games between the Dolphins and Texans, suggesting that their matchups tend to be lower-scoring than anticipated.
MIA vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Miami vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/15/24
The Dolphins’ defense has been opportunistic, but inconsistency has plagued the unit, leading to concerns about their ability to contain high-powered offenses. Historically, the Texans have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning eight of the eleven encounters between the two teams. However, Miami has claimed victory in three of the last four meetings, indicating a shift in recent trends. The over/under for this game is set at 47.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair. Key factors that could influence the outcome include the performance of both quarterbacks under pressure, the effectiveness of each team’s running game, and the ability of the defenses to generate turnovers. Special teams play may also be pivotal, particularly in a game where field position could determine the victor. For bettors, it’s noteworthy that both teams have struggled ATS this season, each covering only five times in their first thirteen games. Additionally, the total has gone under in four of the last six games between these teams, indicating a potential trend for a lower-scoring game than the over/under suggests. In summary, this Week 15 matchup between the Dolphins and Texans is poised to be a closely contested battle with significant playoff implications. Both teams have strengths and vulnerabilities that could sway the game in either direction. Fans and bettors alike should anticipate a hard-fought game that may come down to the final possession.
Lock screen refresh 📱🆕 pic.twitter.com/lSqFz0Qs8D
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) December 11, 2024
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins enter their Week 15 showdown against the Houston Texans with a 6-7 record, fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive in a highly competitive AFC. Despite the ups and downs of their season, the Dolphins have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly on offense, and they remain a dangerous team capable of beating any opponent on any given day. Head coach Mike McDaniel continues to lead a dynamic team that thrives on speed and creativity, making Miami a challenging matchup for any defense. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been the centerpiece of Miami’s offense, delivering an efficient and accurate season. Tua’s ability to quickly process defenses and deliver precise throws has allowed the Dolphins to capitalize on their biggest strength: explosive plays. Wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are among the fastest and most dangerous duos in the league, capable of turning short gains into game-breaking touchdowns. Hill, in particular, has been having an MVP-caliber season, consistently torching opposing secondaries and leading the league in receiving yards. The Dolphins’ ground game, while less heralded, has also been a key component of their offense. Running back Raheem Mostert has provided a steady presence, contributing both as a rusher and a receiver out of the backfield. Miami’s offensive line, which has dealt with injuries throughout the season, has managed to hold up well enough to allow Tua and the skill players to thrive. However, the unit faces a tough challenge against a Texans defensive front that excels in generating pressure. Defensively, the Dolphins have been inconsistent, with moments of brilliance overshadowed by breakdowns in coverage and missed assignments. The secondary, anchored by Xavien Howard and Jevon Holland, has been opportunistic in creating turnovers but has also given up big plays at inopportune times. Miami’s pass rush, led by Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb, has been effective in certain games but has struggled to consistently impact the quarterback. Against Houston’s rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, generating pressure will be critical to disrupting the Texans’ rhythm and forcing mistakes. Special teams have been solid for the Dolphins, with kicker Jason Sanders delivering in key moments and the return game providing occasional sparks. However, Miami will need a complete and disciplined performance in all three phases to overcome a tough Texans team on the road. The Dolphins’ keys to victory include exploiting mismatches in the passing game, limiting turnovers, and improving their third-down efficiency on both sides of the ball. Defensively, containing Stroud and preventing the Texans from establishing a rhythm will be essential. Offensively, Tua’s ability to spread the ball to his playmakers and keep Houston’s defense guessing could be the difference. This game is a must-win for Miami if they hope to remain in the playoff hunt. With their season on the line, expect the Dolphins to come out aggressive, relying on their explosive offense and opportunistic defense to try and secure a critical road victory. A win in Houston would keep their postseason aspirations alive and demonstrate the resilience of a team still striving to reach its full potential.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans approach their Week 15 matchup against the Miami Dolphins with an 8-5 record, leading the AFC South and eyeing a potential playoff berth. Under the guidance of head coach DeMeco Ryans, the Texans have exceeded preseason expectations, showcasing a balanced team capable of competing with the league’s best. Offensively, rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been a revelation. His composure and accuracy have propelled Houston’s passing attack, with Stroud amassing impressive yardage and maintaining a favorable touchdown-to-interception ratio. The chemistry between Stroud and wide receiver Tank Dell has been particularly noteworthy, with Dell emerging as a reliable target in critical situations. Complementing the aerial assault is a robust running game, featuring a committee approach that keeps defenses guessing. The offensive line, despite facing injuries, has provided adequate protection, allowing Stroud to make plays downfield. Defensively, the Texans have been stout, ranking among the top teams in points allowed per game. The front seven, anchored by defensive end Jonathan Greenard, has been effective in stopping the run and pressuring opposing quarterbacks. The secondary, led by safety Jalen Pitre, has been opportunistic, capitalizing on errant throws and creating turnovers. However, the defense has shown vulnerability against deep passes, a concern when facing Miami’s speedy receivers. Special teams have been a consistent asset for Houston. Kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn has been reliable, converting a high percentage of field goals, including several from long range. The return game, spearheaded by Desmond King, has provided favorable field position, contributing to the offense’s success. As the Texans prepare to host the Dolphins, they focus on maintaining their defensive discipline, particularly in the secondary. Containing Miami’s explosive playmakers, such as Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, will be paramount. Offensively, sustaining long drives to keep Miami’s offense off the field will be crucial. The Texans’ ability to execute in the red zone, converting opportunities into touchdowns rather than settling for field goals, could be a determining factor. The coaching staff emphasizes the importance of minimizing penalties and mental errors, which have occasionally stalled drives or extended opponents’ possessions. With the playoffs within reach, maintaining focus and composure is essential. The late-season bye in Week 14 has afforded the team an opportunity to rest and recover, potentially providing an edge in terms of freshness and preparation. In summary, the Texans are positioned to make a significant statement against a competitive Dolphins team. With a strong home record and a motivated roster, Houston aims to leverage its strengths on both sides of the ball to secure a critical victory. The Texans’ defensive front, combined with their efficient offensive system led by C.J. Stroud, places them in an advantageous position to dictate the game’s pace and neutralize Miami’s high-octane attack. A win against the Dolphins would not only bolster their playoff chances but also serve as a testament to the team’s growth and resilience throughout the season.
Sunday's best for week 1️⃣5️⃣ pic.twitter.com/w25Z1uZ3Rp
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) December 11, 2024
Miami vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Houston Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Dolphins and Texans and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors regularly put on Miami’s strength factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly healthy Texans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Houston picks, computer picks Dolphins vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Dolphins Betting Trends
The Dolphins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only five of their first thirteen games this season. Their inconsistency, particularly on the road, has made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.
Texans Betting Trends
The Texans have also faced challenges ATS, failing to cover in their last four games against AFC opponents. Despite a strong overall record, their performance relative to betting lines has been unpredictable.
Dolphins vs. Texans Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS statistic is that the total has gone under in four of the last six games between the Dolphins and Texans, suggesting that their matchups tend to be lower-scoring than anticipated.
Miami vs. Houston Game Info
What time does Miami vs Houston start on December 15, 2024?
Miami vs Houston starts on December 15, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Houston being played?
Venue: NRG Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Houston?
Spread: Houston -3.0
Moneyline: Miami +127, Houston -151
Over/Under: 47
What are the records for Miami vs Houston?
Miami: (6-7) | Houston: (8-5)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Houston?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Houston trending bets?
An interesting ATS statistic is that the total has gone under in four of the last six games between the Dolphins and Texans, suggesting that their matchups tend to be lower-scoring than anticipated.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Dolphins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only five of their first thirteen games this season. Their inconsistency, particularly on the road, has made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Texans have also faced challenges ATS, failing to cover in their last four games against AFC opponents. Despite a strong overall record, their performance relative to betting lines has been unpredictable.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Houston?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Houston Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Miami vs Houston Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+127 HOU Moneyline: -151
MIA Spread: +3
HOU Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 47
Miami vs Houston Live Odds
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+229
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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U 43.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
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10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
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–
–
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-110
-116
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+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
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O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
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–
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+257
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
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-220
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans on December 15, 2024 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |