Dolphins vs. Texans
Prediction, Odds & Props
Dec 15 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2024-12-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Dolphins will face the Houston Texans on December 15, 2024, at NRG Stadium in Houston. This Week 15 matchup holds significant playoff implications, with both teams vying to improve their postseason prospects.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Dec 15, 2024

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: NRG Stadium​

Texans Record: (8-5)

Dolphins Record: (6-7)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +127

HOU Moneyline: -151

MIA Spread: +3

HOU Spread: -3.0

Over/Under: 47

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Dolphins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only five of their first thirteen games this season. Their inconsistency, particularly on the road, has made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Texans have also faced challenges ATS, failing to cover in their last four games against AFC opponents. Despite a strong overall record, their performance relative to betting lines has been unpredictable.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • An interesting ATS statistic is that the total has gone under in four of the last six games between the Dolphins and Texans, suggesting that their matchups tend to be lower-scoring than anticipated.

MIA vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Miami vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/15/24

The Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans are set to clash in a pivotal Week 15 matchup at NRG Stadium. The Texans, leading the AFC South with an 8-5 record, aim to solidify their playoff positioning, while the Dolphins, at 6-7, are fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive. This game carries significant weight for both teams as the regular season approaches its conclusion. Houston enters the game as a 2.5-point favorite, reflecting their superior record and home-field advantage. The Texans have showcased resilience throughout the season, with quarterback C.J. Stroud leading a balanced offensive attack. Stroud’s poise and decision-making have been instrumental in Houston’s success, complemented by a strong running game and a receiving corps that includes standout rookie Tank Dell. Defensively, the Texans have been formidable, with a unit that excels in creating turnovers and applying pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The Dolphins, meanwhile, are coming off a crucial overtime victory against the New York Jets, a win that has kept their playoff aspirations intact. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been the linchpin of Miami’s offense, demonstrating accuracy and leadership. His connection with wide receivers Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill has been a highlight, with both players capable of turning short passes into significant gains.

The Dolphins’ defense has been opportunistic, but inconsistency has plagued the unit, leading to concerns about their ability to contain high-powered offenses. Historically, the Texans have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning eight of the eleven encounters between the two teams. However, Miami has claimed victory in three of the last four meetings, indicating a shift in recent trends. The over/under for this game is set at 47.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair. Key factors that could influence the outcome include the performance of both quarterbacks under pressure, the effectiveness of each team’s running game, and the ability of the defenses to generate turnovers. Special teams play may also be pivotal, particularly in a game where field position could determine the victor. For bettors, it’s noteworthy that both teams have struggled ATS this season, each covering only five times in their first thirteen games. Additionally, the total has gone under in four of the last six games between these teams, indicating a potential trend for a lower-scoring game than the over/under suggests. In summary, this Week 15 matchup between the Dolphins and Texans is poised to be a closely contested battle with significant playoff implications. Both teams have strengths and vulnerabilities that could sway the game in either direction. Fans and bettors alike should anticipate a hard-fought game that may come down to the final possession.

Miami Dolphins NFL Preview

The Miami Dolphins enter their Week 15 showdown against the Houston Texans with a 6-7 record, fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive in a highly competitive AFC. Despite the ups and downs of their season, the Dolphins have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly on offense, and they remain a dangerous team capable of beating any opponent on any given day. Head coach Mike McDaniel continues to lead a dynamic team that thrives on speed and creativity, making Miami a challenging matchup for any defense. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been the centerpiece of Miami’s offense, delivering an efficient and accurate season. Tua’s ability to quickly process defenses and deliver precise throws has allowed the Dolphins to capitalize on their biggest strength: explosive plays. Wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are among the fastest and most dangerous duos in the league, capable of turning short gains into game-breaking touchdowns. Hill, in particular, has been having an MVP-caliber season, consistently torching opposing secondaries and leading the league in receiving yards. The Dolphins’ ground game, while less heralded, has also been a key component of their offense. Running back Raheem Mostert has provided a steady presence, contributing both as a rusher and a receiver out of the backfield. Miami’s offensive line, which has dealt with injuries throughout the season, has managed to hold up well enough to allow Tua and the skill players to thrive. However, the unit faces a tough challenge against a Texans defensive front that excels in generating pressure. Defensively, the Dolphins have been inconsistent, with moments of brilliance overshadowed by breakdowns in coverage and missed assignments. The secondary, anchored by Xavien Howard and Jevon Holland, has been opportunistic in creating turnovers but has also given up big plays at inopportune times. Miami’s pass rush, led by Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb, has been effective in certain games but has struggled to consistently impact the quarterback. Against Houston’s rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, generating pressure will be critical to disrupting the Texans’ rhythm and forcing mistakes. Special teams have been solid for the Dolphins, with kicker Jason Sanders delivering in key moments and the return game providing occasional sparks. However, Miami will need a complete and disciplined performance in all three phases to overcome a tough Texans team on the road. The Dolphins’ keys to victory include exploiting mismatches in the passing game, limiting turnovers, and improving their third-down efficiency on both sides of the ball. Defensively, containing Stroud and preventing the Texans from establishing a rhythm will be essential. Offensively, Tua’s ability to spread the ball to his playmakers and keep Houston’s defense guessing could be the difference. This game is a must-win for Miami if they hope to remain in the playoff hunt. With their season on the line, expect the Dolphins to come out aggressive, relying on their explosive offense and opportunistic defense to try and secure a critical road victory. A win in Houston would keep their postseason aspirations alive and demonstrate the resilience of a team still striving to reach its full potential.

The Miami Dolphins will face the Houston Texans on December 15, 2024, at NRG Stadium in Houston. This Week 15 matchup holds significant playoff implications, with both teams vying to improve their postseason prospects. Miami vs Houston AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Dec 15. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Houston Texans NFL Preview

The Houston Texans approach their Week 15 matchup against the Miami Dolphins with an 8-5 record, leading the AFC South and eyeing a potential playoff berth. Under the guidance of head coach DeMeco Ryans, the Texans have exceeded preseason expectations, showcasing a balanced team capable of competing with the league’s best. Offensively, rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been a revelation. His composure and accuracy have propelled Houston’s passing attack, with Stroud amassing impressive yardage and maintaining a favorable touchdown-to-interception ratio. The chemistry between Stroud and wide receiver Tank Dell has been particularly noteworthy, with Dell emerging as a reliable target in critical situations. Complementing the aerial assault is a robust running game, featuring a committee approach that keeps defenses guessing. The offensive line, despite facing injuries, has provided adequate protection, allowing Stroud to make plays downfield. Defensively, the Texans have been stout, ranking among the top teams in points allowed per game. The front seven, anchored by defensive end Jonathan Greenard, has been effective in stopping the run and pressuring opposing quarterbacks. The secondary, led by safety Jalen Pitre, has been opportunistic, capitalizing on errant throws and creating turnovers. However, the defense has shown vulnerability against deep passes, a concern when facing Miami’s speedy receivers. Special teams have been a consistent asset for Houston. Kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn has been reliable, converting a high percentage of field goals, including several from long range. The return game, spearheaded by Desmond King, has provided favorable field position, contributing to the offense’s success. As the Texans prepare to host the Dolphins, they focus on maintaining their defensive discipline, particularly in the secondary. Containing Miami’s explosive playmakers, such as Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, will be paramount. Offensively, sustaining long drives to keep Miami’s offense off the field will be crucial. The Texans’ ability to execute in the red zone, converting opportunities into touchdowns rather than settling for field goals, could be a determining factor. The coaching staff emphasizes the importance of minimizing penalties and mental errors, which have occasionally stalled drives or extended opponents’ possessions. With the playoffs within reach, maintaining focus and composure is essential. The late-season bye in Week 14 has afforded the team an opportunity to rest and recover, potentially providing an edge in terms of freshness and preparation. In summary, the Texans are positioned to make a significant statement against a competitive Dolphins team. With a strong home record and a motivated roster, Houston aims to leverage its strengths on both sides of the ball to secure a critical victory. The Texans’ defensive front, combined with their efficient offensive system led by C.J. Stroud, places them in an advantageous position to dictate the game’s pace and neutralize Miami’s high-octane attack. A win against the Dolphins would not only bolster their playoff chances but also serve as a testament to the team’s growth and resilience throughout the season.

Miami vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Dolphins and Texans play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at NRG Stadium in Dec seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Miami vs. Houston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Dolphins and Texans and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly rested Texans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miami vs Houston picks, computer picks Dolphins vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Dolphins Betting Trends

The Dolphins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only five of their first thirteen games this season. Their inconsistency, particularly on the road, has made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.

Texans Betting Trends

The Texans have also faced challenges ATS, failing to cover in their last four games against AFC opponents. Despite a strong overall record, their performance relative to betting lines has been unpredictable.

Dolphins vs. Texans Matchup Trends

An interesting ATS statistic is that the total has gone under in four of the last six games between the Dolphins and Texans, suggesting that their matchups tend to be lower-scoring than anticipated.

Miami vs. Houston Game Info

Miami vs Houston starts on December 15, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: Houston -3.0
Moneyline: Miami +127, Houston -151
Over/Under: 47

Miami: (6-7)  |  Houston: (8-5)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

An interesting ATS statistic is that the total has gone under in four of the last six games between the Dolphins and Texans, suggesting that their matchups tend to be lower-scoring than anticipated.

MIA trend: The Dolphins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only five of their first thirteen games this season. Their inconsistency, particularly on the road, has made them a challenging team for bettors to predict.

HOU trend: The Texans have also faced challenges ATS, failing to cover in their last four games against AFC opponents. Despite a strong overall record, their performance relative to betting lines has been unpredictable.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. Houston Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Miami vs Houston Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +127
HOU Moneyline: -151
MIA Spread: +3
HOU Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 47

Miami vs Houston Live Odds

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U 39 (-110)
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Washington Commanders
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+105
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
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+800
-1300
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-15 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Carolina Panthers
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+200
-250
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O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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+150
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Indianapolis Colts
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+160
-190
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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-150
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U 48.5 (-110)
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U 47 (-110)
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+125
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U 44 (-110)
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+134
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NFL Past Picks

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans on December 15, 2024 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS
KC@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT 54.1% 3 WIN
DAL@PHI GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@PHI JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS 53.90% 5 WIN
KC@PHI DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS 54.40% 6 WIN
KC@PHI PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP 55.00% 8 WIN
KC@PHI JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS 55.60% 8 WIN
BUF@KC DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.10% 8 LOSS
WAS@PHI DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS 55.80% 8 WIN
BUF@KC JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD 53.00% 5 WIN
LAR@PHI SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS 53.20% 5 LOSS
BAL@BUF LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS 54.50% 6 LOSS
HOU@KC C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 53.10% 5 LOSS
WAS@DET JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 53.30% 5 WIN
WAS@DET JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 54.30% 6 WIN
MIN@LAR COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN 52.60% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAR MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP 54.10% 6 LOSS
WAS@TB BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS 53.50% 5 WIN
WAS@TB BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT 54.90% 6 WIN
GB@PHI JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE 54.60% 6 LOSS
LAC@HOU J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD 52.80% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU LAC -2.5 53.40% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS 53.40% 5 LOSS