Colts vs. Patriots
Prediction, Odds & Props
Dec 01 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2024-11-24T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Indianapolis Colts (5-7) are set to face the New England Patriots (3-9) on December 1, 2024, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. This Week 13 matchup features two AFC teams aiming to rebound from recent losses, with the Colts striving to keep their playoff hopes alive and the Patriots looking to end a disappointing season on a positive note.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Dec 01, 2024

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gillette Stadium​

Patriots Record: (3-9)

Colts Record: (5-7)

OPENING ODDS

IND Moneyline: -152

NE Moneyline: +128

IND Spread: -2.5

NE Spread: +2.5

Over/Under: 42.5

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Colts have a 5-7 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in approximately 42% of their games. Their average margin of victory (MOV) is -3.5 points, indicating losses by an average of more than a field goal. Notably, they have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only two of their six away games.

NE
Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have been less successful ATS, with a 3-9 record. Their average MOV is -6.2 points, reflecting losses by nearly a touchdown. At home, they have covered the spread in just one of five games, highlighting challenges in meeting betting expectations at Gillette Stadium.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • An interesting ATS statistic for this game is the Colts being favored by 2.5 points, despite their losing record and playing on the road. The over/under is set at 42.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately low-scoring game. Bettors should note both teams’ struggles to cover spreads this season, particularly the Patriots’ difficulties at home.

IND vs. NE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Indianapolis vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/1/24

The upcoming game between the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots presents a matchup between two teams facing challenging seasons. The Colts, at 5-7, are coming off a 28-27 victory over the New York Jets, showcasing resilience in close games. Their offense, led by rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson, has shown flashes of potential, averaging 20.8 points per game. However, the defense has been a concern, allowing 22.3 points per game.

The Patriots, at 3-9, are enduring a disappointing season, with their most recent game being a 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Quarterback Drake Maye has faced challenges in his rookie season, and the offense has struggled, averaging just 16 points per game. Defensively, the Patriots have been more solid, allowing 22 points per game, but have been unable to compensate for the offensive shortcomings. This matchup offers both teams an opportunity to address their weaknesses and strive for a positive outcome as the season progresses.

Indianapolis Colts NFL Preview

The Indianapolis Colts approach this game with a 5-7 record, placing them second in the AFC South. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, with the offense showing potential under rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson. The team averages 20.8 points per game, with the running game contributing 121.3 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Colts have faced challenges, allowing 22.3 points per game, indicating areas needing improvement. The upcoming game against the Patriots offers an opportunity to capitalize on their opponent’s struggles and improve their standing in the division. A victory would not only enhance their playoff prospects but also provide a confidence boost for the team.

The Indianapolis Colts (5-7) are set to face the New England Patriots (3-9) on December 1, 2024, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. This Week 13 matchup features two AFC teams aiming to rebound from recent losses, with the Colts striving to keep their playoff hopes alive and the Patriots looking to end a disappointing season on a positive note. Indianapolis vs New England AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Dec 01. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots enter this matchup amid a challenging season. With a 3-9 record, they are currently at the bottom of the AFC East. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown promise but has also faced the typical growing pains associated with transitioning to the NFL. The offense has struggled, averaging just 16 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league. The running game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been a bright spot, averaging 114.3 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Patriots have been more reliable, allowing 22 points per game, but have been unable to compensate for the offensive struggles. The upcoming game against the Colts presents an opportunity to end their losing streak and build momentum for the remainder of the season.

Indianapolis vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Colts and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Dec rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Indianapolis vs. New England Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Colts and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Colts team going up against a possibly tired Patriots team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Indianapolis vs New England picks, computer picks Colts vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Colts Betting Trends

The Colts have a 5-7 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in approximately 42% of their games. Their average margin of victory (MOV) is -3.5 points, indicating losses by an average of more than a field goal. Notably, they have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only two of their six away games.

Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have been less successful ATS, with a 3-9 record. Their average MOV is -6.2 points, reflecting losses by nearly a touchdown. At home, they have covered the spread in just one of five games, highlighting challenges in meeting betting expectations at Gillette Stadium.

Colts vs. Patriots Matchup Trends

An interesting ATS statistic for this game is the Colts being favored by 2.5 points, despite their losing record and playing on the road. The over/under is set at 42.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately low-scoring game. Bettors should note both teams’ struggles to cover spreads this season, particularly the Patriots’ difficulties at home.

Indianapolis vs. New England Game Info

Indianapolis vs New England starts on December 01, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: New England +2.5
Moneyline: Indianapolis -152, New England +128
Over/Under: 42.5

Indianapolis: (5-7)  |  New England: (3-9)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

An interesting ATS statistic for this game is the Colts being favored by 2.5 points, despite their losing record and playing on the road. The over/under is set at 42.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately low-scoring game. Bettors should note both teams’ struggles to cover spreads this season, particularly the Patriots’ difficulties at home.

IND trend: The Colts have a 5-7 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in approximately 42% of their games. Their average margin of victory (MOV) is -3.5 points, indicating losses by an average of more than a field goal. Notably, they have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only two of their six away games.

NE trend: The Patriots have been less successful ATS, with a 3-9 record. Their average MOV is -6.2 points, reflecting losses by nearly a touchdown. At home, they have covered the spread in just one of five games, highlighting challenges in meeting betting expectations at Gillette Stadium.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Indianapolis vs. New England Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Indianapolis vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Indianapolis vs New England Opening Odds

IND Moneyline: -152
NE Moneyline: +128
IND Spread: -2.5
NE Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 42.5

Indianapolis vs New England Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
-140
+115
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
+400
-550
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
-285
+230
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
+300
-375
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
-190
+160
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
+105
-125
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
+800
-1300
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
+200
-250
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
+150
-180
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
+160
-190
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
-150
+125
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
+100
-120
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
-325
+250
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
+125
-150
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
+310
-400
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
+134
-158
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots on December 01, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS
KC@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT 54.1% 3 WIN
DAL@PHI GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@PHI JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS 53.90% 5 WIN
KC@PHI DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS 54.40% 6 WIN
KC@PHI PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP 55.00% 8 WIN
KC@PHI JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS 55.60% 8 WIN
BUF@KC DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.10% 8 LOSS
WAS@PHI DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS 55.80% 8 WIN
BUF@KC JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD 53.00% 5 WIN
LAR@PHI SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS 53.20% 5 LOSS
BAL@BUF LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS 54.50% 6 LOSS
HOU@KC C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 53.10% 5 LOSS
WAS@DET JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 53.30% 5 WIN
WAS@DET JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 54.30% 6 WIN
MIN@LAR COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN 52.60% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAR MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP 54.10% 6 LOSS
WAS@TB BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS 53.50% 5 WIN
WAS@TB BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT 54.90% 6 WIN
GB@PHI JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE 54.60% 6 LOSS
LAC@HOU J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD 52.80% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU LAC -2.5 53.40% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS 53.40% 5 LOSS