Colts vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Dec 01)
Updated: 2024-11-24T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Indianapolis Colts (5-7) are set to face the New England Patriots (3-9) on December 1, 2024, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. This Week 13 matchup features two AFC teams aiming to rebound from recent losses, with the Colts striving to keep their playoff hopes alive and the Patriots looking to end a disappointing season on a positive note.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 01, 2024
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (3-9)
Colts Record: (5-7)
OPENING ODDS
IND Moneyline: -152
NE Moneyline: +128
IND Spread: -2.5
NE Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 42.5
IND
Betting Trends
- The Colts have a 5-7 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in approximately 42% of their games. Their average margin of victory (MOV) is -3.5 points, indicating losses by an average of more than a field goal. Notably, they have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only two of their six away games.
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots have been less successful ATS, with a 3-9 record. Their average MOV is -6.2 points, reflecting losses by nearly a touchdown. At home, they have covered the spread in just one of five games, highlighting challenges in meeting betting expectations at Gillette Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS statistic for this game is the Colts being favored by 2.5 points, despite their losing record and playing on the road. The over/under is set at 42.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately low-scoring game. Bettors should note both teams’ struggles to cover spreads this season, particularly the Patriots’ difficulties at home.
IND vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Indianapolis vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 12/1/24
The Patriots, at 3-9, are enduring a disappointing season, with their most recent game being a 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Quarterback Drake Maye has faced challenges in his rookie season, and the offense has struggled, averaging just 16 points per game. Defensively, the Patriots have been more solid, allowing 22 points per game, but have been unable to compensate for the offensive shortcomings. This matchup offers both teams an opportunity to address their weaknesses and strive for a positive outcome as the season progresses.
Run, break, spin. #INDvsNE 12/1 on CBS pic.twitter.com/lEDSVXJdNS
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) November 27, 2024
Indianapolis Colts NFL Preview
The Indianapolis Colts approach this game with a 5-7 record, placing them second in the AFC South. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, with the offense showing potential under rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson. The team averages 20.8 points per game, with the running game contributing 121.3 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Colts have faced challenges, allowing 22.3 points per game, indicating areas needing improvement. The upcoming game against the Patriots offers an opportunity to capitalize on their opponent’s struggles and improve their standing in the division. A victory would not only enhance their playoff prospects but also provide a confidence boost for the team.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots enter this matchup amid a challenging season. With a 3-9 record, they are currently at the bottom of the AFC East. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown promise but has also faced the typical growing pains associated with transitioning to the NFL. The offense has struggled, averaging just 16 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league. The running game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been a bright spot, averaging 114.3 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Patriots have been more reliable, allowing 22 points per game, but have been unable to compensate for the offensive struggles. The upcoming game against the Colts presents an opportunity to end their losing streak and build momentum for the remainder of the season.
.@chrisgonzo28’s first NFL TD 😈 pic.twitter.com/l8CpA05XA4
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 26, 2024
Indianapolis vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)
Indianapolis vs. New England Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Colts and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Colts team going up against a possibly tired Patriots team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Indianapolis vs New England picks, computer picks Colts vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Colts Betting Trends
The Colts have a 5-7 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in approximately 42% of their games. Their average margin of victory (MOV) is -3.5 points, indicating losses by an average of more than a field goal. Notably, they have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only two of their six away games.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots have been less successful ATS, with a 3-9 record. Their average MOV is -6.2 points, reflecting losses by nearly a touchdown. At home, they have covered the spread in just one of five games, highlighting challenges in meeting betting expectations at Gillette Stadium.
Colts vs. Patriots Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS statistic for this game is the Colts being favored by 2.5 points, despite their losing record and playing on the road. The over/under is set at 42.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately low-scoring game. Bettors should note both teams’ struggles to cover spreads this season, particularly the Patriots’ difficulties at home.
Indianapolis vs. New England Game Info
What time does Indianapolis vs New England start on December 01, 2024?
Indianapolis vs New England starts on December 01, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is Indianapolis vs New England being played?
Venue: Gillette Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Indianapolis vs New England?
Spread: New England +2.5
Moneyline: Indianapolis -152, New England +128
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for Indianapolis vs New England?
Indianapolis: (5-7) | New England: (3-9)
What is the AI best bet for Indianapolis vs New England?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Indianapolis vs New England trending bets?
An interesting ATS statistic for this game is the Colts being favored by 2.5 points, despite their losing record and playing on the road. The over/under is set at 42.5 points, suggesting expectations of a moderately low-scoring game. Bettors should note both teams’ struggles to cover spreads this season, particularly the Patriots’ difficulties at home.
What are Indianapolis trending bets?
IND trend: The Colts have a 5-7 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in approximately 42% of their games. Their average margin of victory (MOV) is -3.5 points, indicating losses by an average of more than a field goal. Notably, they have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only two of their six away games.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots have been less successful ATS, with a 3-9 record. Their average MOV is -6.2 points, reflecting losses by nearly a touchdown. At home, they have covered the spread in just one of five games, highlighting challenges in meeting betting expectations at Gillette Stadium.
Where can I find AI Picks for Indianapolis vs New England?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Indianapolis vs. New England Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Indianapolis vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Indianapolis vs New England Opening Odds
IND Moneyline:
-152 NE Moneyline: +128
IND Spread: -2.5
NE Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 42.5
Indianapolis vs New England Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+148
-185
|
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+270
-374
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-463
+321
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
|
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|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+242
-330
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+229
-315
|
+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+287
-407
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-110
-116
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+257
-355
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-220
+169
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+141
-181
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+682
-1442
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-192
+148
|
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+390
-599
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots on December 01, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |