Patriots vs. Dolphins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Nov 24 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2024-11-17T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On November 24, 2024, the New England Patriots (3-8) will visit the Miami Dolphins (4-6) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Both teams are looking to rebound from recent losses and improve their standings in the AFC East.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 24, 2024

Start Time: 2:00 PM EST​

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium​

Dolphins Record: (4-6)

Patriots Record: (3-8)

OPENING ODDS

NE Moneyline: +279

MIA Moneyline: -351

NE Spread: +7

MIA Spread: -7.0

Over/Under: 46

NE
Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 9 games. Their inconsistent performance, particularly on offense, has contributed to this trend.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Dolphins have also faced challenges ATS, covering in just 2 of their last 8 games. Despite a strong start, recent defensive lapses have affected their ability to meet betting expectations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their previous meeting this season, the Dolphins were favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread with a 15-10 victory over the Patriots. This suggests a potential trend favoring Miami in this matchup.

NE vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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New England vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/24/24

The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins are set to clash in a pivotal AFC East matchup on November 24, 2024. Both teams have faced a tumultuous season, with the Patriots holding a 3-8 record and the Dolphins at 4-6. The Patriots are coming off a narrow 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, while the Dolphins recently secured a 34-19 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. Offensively, the Patriots have struggled with consistency. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown flashes of potential but has been hindered by a lack of support from the offensive line and receiving corps. The running game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been a bright spot, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Defensively, New England has been stout against the run but vulnerable against the pass, allowing an average of 250 passing yards per game.

The Dolphins, on the other hand, have experienced a resurgence with the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. His connection with wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has revitalized Miami’s passing attack, which ranks in the top 10 in the league. The running game has been less effective, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. Defensively, the Dolphins have been opportunistic, forcing turnovers at key moments but have struggled with consistency, particularly in the secondary. Key factors in this matchup include the Patriots’ ability to protect Maye against Miami’s pass rush and the Dolphins’ capacity to exploit New England’s secondary. Special teams could also play a pivotal role, as both teams have had issues with field goal accuracy this season.

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots have endured a challenging season, holding a 3-8 record and facing questions about the direction of the franchise. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has been thrust into the starting role and has shown promise, displaying a strong arm and mobility. However, his inexperience has led to turnovers and missed opportunities. The offensive line has been a point of concern, allowing 30 sacks on the season, which has disrupted the offensive rhythm. The receiving corps has been inconsistent, with drops and miscommunications hindering the passing game. The running game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been a relative bright spot, providing balance and helping to control the clock. Defensively, the Patriots have been stout against the run, ranking in the top 10 in rushing yards allowed. The pass defense, however, has been vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. Linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley has been a leader on defense, leading the team in tackles and providing stability. Special teams have been uncharacteristically shaky, with missed field goals and issues in punt coverage contributing to the team’s struggles. The coaching staff has faced criticism for play-calling and game management decisions. With the playoffs out of reach, the focus has shifted to developing young talent and building for the future. This game provides an opportunity for the Patriots to evaluate their roster and gain momentum heading into the offseason.

On November 24, 2024, the New England Patriots (3-8) will visit the Miami Dolphins (4-6) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Both teams are looking to rebound from recent losses and improve their standings in the AFC East. New England vs Miami AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Nov 24. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Dolphins NFL Preview

The Miami Dolphins enter this matchup with a 4-6 record, aiming to build on their recent victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. The return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been a significant boost for the offense. Tagovailoa’s chemistry with wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has been evident, with both receivers ranking among the league leaders in yards after catch. The offensive line has shown improvement, allowing fewer sacks in recent games, which has contributed to the passing game’s success. However, the running game remains a concern, with the team averaging under 100 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Dolphins have been a mixed bag. The pass rush, led by defensive end Emmanuel Ogbah, has been effective, recording 25 sacks on the season. The secondary, however, has been inconsistent, allowing several big plays that have cost the team in close games. Linebacker Jerome Baker has been a standout, leading the team in tackles and providing leadership on the field. Special teams have been solid, with kicker Jason Sanders converting 85% of his field goal attempts. The coaching staff has emphasized the importance of reducing penalties and mental errors, which have plagued the team throughout the season. With the playoffs still within reach, the Dolphins view this game as a must-win to keep their postseason hopes alive.

New England vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Patriots and Dolphins play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Hard Rock Stadium in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

New England vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Patriots and Dolphins and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Patriots team going up against a possibly strong Dolphins team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New England vs Miami picks, computer picks Patriots vs Dolphins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 9 games. Their inconsistent performance, particularly on offense, has contributed to this trend.

Dolphins Betting Trends

The Dolphins have also faced challenges ATS, covering in just 2 of their last 8 games. Despite a strong start, recent defensive lapses have affected their ability to meet betting expectations.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Matchup Trends

In their previous meeting this season, the Dolphins were favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread with a 15-10 victory over the Patriots. This suggests a potential trend favoring Miami in this matchup.

New England vs. Miami Game Info

New England vs Miami starts on November 24, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.

Spread: Miami -7.0
Moneyline: New England +279, Miami -351
Over/Under: 46

New England: (3-8)  |  Miami: (4-6)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their previous meeting this season, the Dolphins were favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread with a 15-10 victory over the Patriots. This suggests a potential trend favoring Miami in this matchup.

NE trend: The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 9 games. Their inconsistent performance, particularly on offense, has contributed to this trend.

MIA trend: The Dolphins have also faced challenges ATS, covering in just 2 of their last 8 games. Despite a strong start, recent defensive lapses have affected their ability to meet betting expectations.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

New England vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the New England vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New England vs Miami Opening Odds

NE Moneyline: +279
MIA Moneyline: -351
NE Spread: +7
MIA Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 46

New England vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
-140
+115
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
+400
-550
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
-285
+230
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
+300
-375
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
-190
+160
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
+105
-125
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
+800
-1300
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
+200
-250
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
+150
-180
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
+160
-190
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
-150
+125
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
+100
-120
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
-325
+250
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
+125
-150
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
+310
-400
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
+134
-158
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins on November 24, 2024 at Hard Rock Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS
KC@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT 54.1% 3 WIN
DAL@PHI GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@PHI JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS 53.90% 5 WIN
KC@PHI DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS 54.40% 6 WIN
KC@PHI PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP 55.00% 8 WIN
KC@PHI JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS 55.60% 8 WIN
BUF@KC DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.10% 8 LOSS
WAS@PHI DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS 55.80% 8 WIN
BUF@KC JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD 53.00% 5 WIN
LAR@PHI SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS 53.20% 5 LOSS
BAL@BUF LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS 54.50% 6 LOSS
HOU@KC C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 53.10% 5 LOSS
WAS@DET JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 53.30% 5 WIN
WAS@DET JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 54.30% 6 WIN
MIN@LAR COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN 52.60% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAR MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP 54.10% 6 LOSS
WAS@TB BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS 53.50% 5 WIN
WAS@TB BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT 54.90% 6 WIN
GB@PHI JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE 54.60% 6 LOSS
LAC@HOU J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD 52.80% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU LAC -2.5 53.40% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS 53.40% 5 LOSS