Patriots vs. Dolphins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Nov 24 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-11-17T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On November 24, 2024, the New England Patriots (3-8) will visit the Miami Dolphins (4-6) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Both teams are looking to rebound from recent losses and improve their standings in the AFC East.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Nov 24, 2024
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Dolphins Record: (4-6)
Patriots Record: (3-8)
OPENING ODDS
NE Moneyline: +279
MIA Moneyline: -351
NE Spread: +7
MIA Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 46
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 9 games. Their inconsistent performance, particularly on offense, has contributed to this trend.
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Dolphins have also faced challenges ATS, covering in just 2 of their last 8 games. Despite a strong start, recent defensive lapses have affected their ability to meet betting expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their previous meeting this season, the Dolphins were favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread with a 15-10 victory over the Patriots. This suggests a potential trend favoring Miami in this matchup.
NE vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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New England vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/24/24
The Dolphins, on the other hand, have experienced a resurgence with the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. His connection with wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has revitalized Miami’s passing attack, which ranks in the top 10 in the league. The running game has been less effective, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. Defensively, the Dolphins have been opportunistic, forcing turnovers at key moments but have struggled with consistency, particularly in the secondary. Key factors in this matchup include the Patriots’ ability to protect Maye against Miami’s pass rush and the Dolphins’ capacity to exploit New England’s secondary. Special teams could also play a pivotal role, as both teams have had issues with field goal accuracy this season.
Three Patriots legends move one step closer to @ProFootballHOF immortality.@MikeDussault19 on Vinatieri, Harrison and Wilfork's gold jacket eligibility: https://t.co/QghnNVPwp0 pic.twitter.com/OQeqtxkyz5
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 20, 2024
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots have endured a challenging season, holding a 3-8 record and facing questions about the direction of the franchise. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has been thrust into the starting role and has shown promise, displaying a strong arm and mobility. However, his inexperience has led to turnovers and missed opportunities. The offensive line has been a point of concern, allowing 30 sacks on the season, which has disrupted the offensive rhythm. The receiving corps has been inconsistent, with drops and miscommunications hindering the passing game. The running game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been a relative bright spot, providing balance and helping to control the clock. Defensively, the Patriots have been stout against the run, ranking in the top 10 in rushing yards allowed. The pass defense, however, has been vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. Linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley has been a leader on defense, leading the team in tackles and providing stability. Special teams have been uncharacteristically shaky, with missed field goals and issues in punt coverage contributing to the team’s struggles. The coaching staff has faced criticism for play-calling and game management decisions. With the playoffs out of reach, the focus has shifted to developing young talent and building for the future. This game provides an opportunity for the Patriots to evaluate their roster and gain momentum heading into the offseason.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins enter this matchup with a 4-6 record, aiming to build on their recent victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. The return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been a significant boost for the offense. Tagovailoa’s chemistry with wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has been evident, with both receivers ranking among the league leaders in yards after catch. The offensive line has shown improvement, allowing fewer sacks in recent games, which has contributed to the passing game’s success. However, the running game remains a concern, with the team averaging under 100 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Dolphins have been a mixed bag. The pass rush, led by defensive end Emmanuel Ogbah, has been effective, recording 25 sacks on the season. The secondary, however, has been inconsistent, allowing several big plays that have cost the team in close games. Linebacker Jerome Baker has been a standout, leading the team in tackles and providing leadership on the field. Special teams have been solid, with kicker Jason Sanders converting 85% of his field goal attempts. The coaching staff has emphasized the importance of reducing penalties and mental errors, which have plagued the team throughout the season. With the playoffs still within reach, the Dolphins view this game as a must-win to keep their postseason hopes alive.
8 minutes and 6 seconds of Mike McDaniel mic'd up. You're welcome 😌 pic.twitter.com/XD1RVOlv9b
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 20, 2024
New England vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
New England vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Patriots and Dolphins and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Patriots team going up against a possibly strong Dolphins team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New England vs Miami picks, computer picks Patriots vs Dolphins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 9 games. Their inconsistent performance, particularly on offense, has contributed to this trend.
Dolphins Betting Trends
The Dolphins have also faced challenges ATS, covering in just 2 of their last 8 games. Despite a strong start, recent defensive lapses have affected their ability to meet betting expectations.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Matchup Trends
In their previous meeting this season, the Dolphins were favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread with a 15-10 victory over the Patriots. This suggests a potential trend favoring Miami in this matchup.
New England vs. Miami Game Info
What time does New England vs Miami start on November 24, 2024?
New England vs Miami starts on November 24, 2024 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is New England vs Miami being played?
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New England vs Miami?
Spread: Miami -7.0
Moneyline: New England +279, Miami -351
Over/Under: 46
What are the records for New England vs Miami?
New England: (3-8) | Miami: (4-6)
What is the AI best bet for New England vs Miami?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New England vs Miami trending bets?
In their previous meeting this season, the Dolphins were favored by 1.5 points and covered the spread with a 15-10 victory over the Patriots. This suggests a potential trend favoring Miami in this matchup.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in only 3 of their last 9 games. Their inconsistent performance, particularly on offense, has contributed to this trend.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Dolphins have also faced challenges ATS, covering in just 2 of their last 8 games. Despite a strong start, recent defensive lapses have affected their ability to meet betting expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for New England vs Miami?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
New England vs. Miami Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the New England vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New England vs Miami Opening Odds
NE Moneyline:
+279 MIA Moneyline: -351
NE Spread: +7
MIA Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 46
New England vs Miami Live Odds
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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U 43.5 (-115)
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U 49.5 (-110)
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+1 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
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U 44.5 (-105)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins on November 24, 2024 at Hard Rock Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |