Falcons vs Broncos Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Nov 17)
Updated: 2024-11-10T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On November 17, 2024, the Atlanta Falcons (6-4) will visit the Denver Broncos (5-5) at Empower Field at Mile High. Both teams are seeking to rebound from recent losses and strengthen their playoff prospects.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 17, 2024
Start Time: 5:05 PM EST
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Broncos Record: (5-5)
Falcons Record: (6-4)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: +103
DEN Moneyline: -123
ATL Spread: +1.5
DEN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 44
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons have covered the spread in 4 of their last 8 games this season, reflecting a 50% success rate against the spread (ATS).
DEN
Betting Trends
- The Broncos have been more successful ATS, covering in 6 of their last 8 games, indicating strong performances relative to betting expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Broncos have covered the spread in 75% of their games this season, showcasing their ability to perform well against betting expectations.
ATL vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Atlanta vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/17/24
However, the defense has occasionally struggled against the run, allowing 120 rushing yards per game, indicating an area for improvement. The Denver Broncos, holding a 5-5 record, are looking to recover from a close loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has shown promise, throwing for over 2,500 yards and 18 touchdowns, along with 300 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. Wide receiver Jerry Jeudy has been his primary target, accumulating 750 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. The running game, spearheaded by Javonte Williams with 800 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns, adds depth to the offense. The Broncos’ offense averages 24 points per game, reflecting a balanced attack. Defensively, Denver allows an average of 21 points per game. Linebacker Josey Jewell has been a standout, recording 90 tackles and providing leadership on the field. The secondary, led by cornerback Pat Surtain II, has been formidable, contributing to the team’s 12 interceptions. The defense excels in pass coverage but has faced challenges against the run, allowing 125 rushing yards per game. Special teams could play a crucial role in this matchup. Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo has been reliable, converting 90% of his field goal attempts, while Broncos kicker Brandon McManus has maintained an 85% conversion rate. Field position and the kicking game may influence the outcome in what is expected to be a closely contested battle. In summary, this game features two teams with potent offenses and defenses that have shown both strengths and vulnerabilities. The Falcons will aim to exploit the Broncos’ run defense, while Denver seeks to capitalize on Atlanta’s occasional struggles against the run. Turnovers and third-down efficiency are likely to be key factors in determining the winner of this contest.
The longest active streak of games with 100+ scrimmage yards in the @NFL this season@Bijan5Robinson 🔥 pic.twitter.com/ama4JPKZef
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) November 11, 2024
Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview
The Denver Broncos have had a season filled with ups and downs, holding a 5-5 record as they look to find consistency. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has shown flashes of potential, throwing for over 2,500 yards and 18 touchdowns while also contributing with 300 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground. His connection with wide receiver Jerry Jeudy has been a highlight, with Jeudy recording 750 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Running back Javonte Williams has also been a central figure in the offense, amassing 800 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Denver’s offensive line has provided adequate protection but has room for improvement in supporting Nix’s growth and effectiveness. Defensively, the Broncos have leaned heavily on linebacker Josey Jewell, who leads the team with 90 tackles and has consistently played a key role in stopping the run. Cornerback Pat Surtain II has been a standout in the secondary, recording multiple interceptions and effectively limiting opposing receivers. The Broncos’ defense, allowing 21 points per game, has been efficient but has occasionally struggled against strong rushing attacks, surrendering an average of 125 rushing yards per game. Special teams have also been a steady component for the Broncos. Kicker Brandon McManus has converted 85% of his field goal attempts, and punter Corliss Waitman has consistently helped with field position, averaging 46 yards per punt. The return game has been reliable, though explosive plays have been limited, keeping Denver’s starting field position around the league average. Under head coach Sean Payton, the Broncos have focused on improving consistency on both sides of the ball. Offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi has crafted schemes that leverage Nix’s mobility and playmaking ability, while defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has emphasized a disciplined and aggressive approach to keep offenses in check. For the Broncos, reducing turnovers and enhancing run defense will be essential as they aim to climb in the standings and compete for a playoff spot. Looking forward, the Broncos will focus on maintaining balanced offense, strengthening the defense, and limiting errors in high-stakes games. Building on the chemistry between Nix and his primary targets, as well as shoring up run defense, will be pivotal as they face tougher matchups in the latter part of the season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Denver Broncos NFL Preview
The Atlanta Falcons have experienced a season of highs and lows, currently holding a 6-4 record. Offensively, quarterback Kirk Cousins has been instrumental, throwing for over 2,800 yards and 20 touchdowns. His rapport with wide receiver Drake London remains strong, with London amassing 800 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. The addition of rookie wideout Michael Penix Jr. has provided an additional target, contributing 500 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. The running game, led by Bijan Robinson, has added balance, with Robinson rushing for 900 yards and 8 touchdowns. The offensive line has faced challenges, allowing 20 sacks, which has occasionally disrupted the offensive rhythm. Defensively, the Falcons have been anchored by linebacker Troy Andersen, who has recorded 85 tackles and consistently disrupted opposing offenses. Linebacker Lorenzo Carter leads the team with 7 sacks, showcasing his ability to pressure quarterbacks. The secondary, featuring cornerback A.J. Terrell, has been effective, with the team recording 10 interceptions. However, the defense has shown vulnerability against the run, allowing 120 rushing yards per game, indicating an area for improvement. Special teams have been a consistent asset for the Falcons. Kicker Younghoe Koo has been reliable, converting 90% of his field goal attempts, including several from beyond 50 yards. Punter Bradley Pinion has been effective in flipping field position, averaging 47 yards per punt. The return game, led by Avery Williams, has provided solid field position, contributing to the offense’s success. The coaching staff, under head coach Arthur Smith, has emphasized a balanced offensive attack and aggressive defensive schemes. Offensive coordinator Dave Ragone has implemented creative play designs that maximize the talents of Cousins and the receiving corps. Defensive coordinator Dean Pees has focused on leveraging the strengths of key players like Andersen and Carter to create pressure and force turnovers. Looking ahead, the Falcons aim to address their inconsistencies and make a push for the playoffs. Maintaining offensive balance and improving run defense will be crucial as they face formidable opponents in the latter part of the season.
"There's this belief in the building that no matter what challenge is thrown at us, no matter what happens, [we can respond]."
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) November 12, 2024
After loss at Kansas City, resilient Broncos turn attention to Falcons » https://t.co/2IPHuIwfM1 pic.twitter.com/PwlFgquNlx
Atlanta vs. Denver Prop Picks (AI)
Atlanta vs. Denver Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Falcons and Broncos and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Falcons team going up against a possibly deflated Broncos team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Denver picks, computer picks Falcons vs Broncos, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons have covered the spread in 4 of their last 8 games this season, reflecting a 50% success rate against the spread (ATS).
Broncos Betting Trends
The Broncos have been more successful ATS, covering in 6 of their last 8 games, indicating strong performances relative to betting expectations.
Falcons vs. Broncos Matchup Trends
The Broncos have covered the spread in 75% of their games this season, showcasing their ability to perform well against betting expectations.
Atlanta vs. Denver Game Info
What time does Atlanta vs Denver start on November 17, 2024?
Atlanta vs Denver starts on November 17, 2024 at 5:05 PM EST.
Where is Atlanta vs Denver being played?
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High.
What are the opening odds for Atlanta vs Denver?
Spread: Denver -1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta +103, Denver -123
Over/Under: 44
What are the records for Atlanta vs Denver?
Atlanta: (6-4) | Denver: (5-5)
What is the AI best bet for Atlanta vs Denver?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Atlanta vs Denver trending bets?
The Broncos have covered the spread in 75% of their games this season, showcasing their ability to perform well against betting expectations.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Falcons have covered the spread in 4 of their last 8 games this season, reflecting a 50% success rate against the spread (ATS).
What are Denver trending bets?
DEN trend: The Broncos have been more successful ATS, covering in 6 of their last 8 games, indicating strong performances relative to betting expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Atlanta vs Denver?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Denver Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Atlanta vs Denver Opening Odds
ATL Moneyline:
+103 DEN Moneyline: -123
ATL Spread: +1.5
DEN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 44
Atlanta vs Denver Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+520
-720
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-102)
U 43.5 (-120)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
|
–
–
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+128
-152
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-104)
U 47.5 (-118)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+164
-196
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 42.5 (-118)
U 42.5 (-104)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+3 (-118)
-3 (-104)
|
O 47.5 (-120)
U 47.5 (-102)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-146
+126
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
|
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
|
–
–
|
+190
-230
|
+5.5 (-118)
-5.5 (-104)
|
O 49.5 (-102)
U 49.5 (-120)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+215
-260
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
|
–
–
|
-400
+315
|
-7.5 (-106)
+7.5 (-114)
|
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-156
+132
|
-3 (-104)
+3 (-118)
|
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+124
-146
|
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
|
O 48.5 (-112)
U 48.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-188
+158
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
|
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+106
-124
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
|
–
–
|
-196
+164
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos on November 17, 2024 at Empower Field at Mile High.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |