Buccaneers vs. Chiefs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Nov 04 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-10-28T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs meet on November 3, 2024, for an exciting NFC-AFC clash in primetime. Tampa Bay’s offense, powered by Baker Mayfield, faces the high-octane Chiefs led by Patrick Mahomes, who aims to continue their dominant season at home.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 04, 2024
Start Time: 9:15 PM EST
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs Record: (7-0)
Buccaneers Record: (4-4)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: +349
KC Moneyline: -452
TB Spread: +9
KC Spread: -9.0
Over/Under: 44.5
TB
Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have struggled ATS in recent road games, particularly in high-scoring matchups, as their defense has occasionally allowed significant yardage.
KC
Betting Trends
- The Chiefs have been consistent ATS at Arrowhead, especially when favored by more than a touchdown, capitalizing on their strong home-field advantage and elite offense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Kansas City has frequently covered the spread against NFC teams, especially in games where they’ve scored over 30 points, a trend that may favor them against Tampa Bay.
TB vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/4/24
On the other hand, Kansas City continues to excel under Mahomes’ leadership, maintaining one of the NFL’s highest-scoring offenses. Tight end Travis Kelce remains his most reliable target, while rookie Rakim Jarrett has added depth to the receiving corps. The Chiefs’ offensive line has solidified over recent games, giving Mahomes more time to extend plays and connect on deeper routes. Defensively, Kansas City’s front, anchored by Chris Jones, has been instrumental in limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, particularly at home where they capitalize on Arrowhead’s energy. This game may come down to whether Tampa Bay can protect Mayfield long enough to sustain drives and keep up with Mahomes.
“We have the mental makeup to overcome anything, and I truly believe that. I believe that’s the group we have.” 💪 pic.twitter.com/GLCmUe1IuN
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 28, 2024
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Buccaneers arrive in Kansas City with an offense that has shown resilience under Mayfield, who has developed a solid connection with Evans and Otton. Tampa Bay’s ground game, though inconsistent, provides a necessary change of pace, but they rely heavily on Mayfield’s passing to convert scoring opportunities. Facing a strong Chiefs defense, Tampa Bay will need to ensure solid protection for Mayfield to avoid pressures that could lead to turnovers. If they can establish rhythm early, Tampa Bay may have opportunities to challenge Kansas City’s secondary. Defensively, the Buccaneers have been vulnerable to deep passing and high-scoring offenses, which could be a challenge against Mahomes. Tampa Bay’s front seven, led by Shaquil Barrett, has excelled in rushing the passer but has occasionally struggled with consistency, particularly against well-coordinated offenses like Kansas City’s. The secondary will face the difficult task of containing Kelce while staying alert to Mahomes’ ability to connect with his receivers downfield. A disciplined approach and minimizing turnovers will be critical if the Buccaneers hope to compete on the road against one of the league’s top offenses.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview
The Chiefs return to Arrowhead with the confidence of a strong season, aiming to extend their win streak and remain atop the AFC standings. Mahomes’ accuracy and ability to extend plays has been key, with Kelce acting as a versatile threat both in the short and intermediate routes. Kansas City’s run game, led by Clyde Edwards-Helaire, has provided balance, allowing the Chiefs to manage game flow and control time of possession effectively. The offensive line, although previously an area of concern, has shown improvement, giving Mahomes the protection needed to stay productive. Defensively, Kansas City’s front seven, spearheaded by Jones, has been critical in applying pressure and disrupting opposing quarterbacks. Their secondary has also performed well, limiting big plays and creating turnovers in crucial moments. Against Tampa Bay, the Chiefs’ defense will focus on forcing Mayfield into pressured situations and containing the Buccaneers’ passing game. Playing at home, the Chiefs hold an advantage, using Arrowhead’s loud environment to disrupt Tampa Bay’s offensive timing.
We could get used to this. pic.twitter.com/t22kgWSq3a
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 28, 2024
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Buccaneers and Chiefs and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor human bettors regularly put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Buccaneers team going up against a possibly rested Chiefs team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Buccaneers vs Chiefs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have struggled ATS in recent road games, particularly in high-scoring matchups, as their defense has occasionally allowed significant yardage.
Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs have been consistent ATS at Arrowhead, especially when favored by more than a touchdown, capitalizing on their strong home-field advantage and elite offense.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Matchup Trends
Kansas City has frequently covered the spread against NFC teams, especially in games where they’ve scored over 30 points, a trend that may favor them against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Kansas City start on November 04, 2024?
Tampa Bay vs Kansas City starts on November 04, 2024 at 9:15 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City -9.0
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +349, Kansas City -452
Over/Under: 44.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
Tampa Bay: (4-4) | Kansas City: (7-0)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Kansas City trending bets?
Kansas City has frequently covered the spread against NFC teams, especially in games where they’ve scored over 30 points, a trend that may favor them against Tampa Bay.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Buccaneers have struggled ATS in recent road games, particularly in high-scoring matchups, as their defense has occasionally allowed significant yardage.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Chiefs have been consistent ATS at Arrowhead, especially when favored by more than a touchdown, capitalizing on their strong home-field advantage and elite offense.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
+349 KC Moneyline: -452
TB Spread: +9
KC Spread: -9.0
Over/Under: 44.5
Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
|
–
–
|
+400
-550
|
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-285
+230
|
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
|
–
–
|
+300
-375
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
-190
+160
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
|
–
–
|
+800
-1300
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+200
-250
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
|
–
–
|
+160
-190
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+310
-400
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
|
–
–
|
+134
-158
|
+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs on November 04, 2024 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |