Buccaneers vs Chiefs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Nov 04)
Updated: 2024-10-28T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs meet on November 3, 2024, for an exciting NFC-AFC clash in primetime. Tampa Bay’s offense, powered by Baker Mayfield, faces the high-octane Chiefs led by Patrick Mahomes, who aims to continue their dominant season at home.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 04, 2024
Start Time: 9:15 PM EST
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs Record: (7-0)
Buccaneers Record: (4-4)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: +349
KC Moneyline: -452
TB Spread: +9
KC Spread: -9.0
Over/Under: 44.5
TB
Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have struggled ATS in recent road games, particularly in high-scoring matchups, as their defense has occasionally allowed significant yardage.
KC
Betting Trends
- The Chiefs have been consistent ATS at Arrowhead, especially when favored by more than a touchdown, capitalizing on their strong home-field advantage and elite offense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Kansas City has frequently covered the spread against NFC teams, especially in games where they’ve scored over 30 points, a trend that may favor them against Tampa Bay.
TB vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/4/24
On the other hand, Kansas City continues to excel under Mahomes’ leadership, maintaining one of the NFL’s highest-scoring offenses. Tight end Travis Kelce remains his most reliable target, while rookie Rakim Jarrett has added depth to the receiving corps. The Chiefs’ offensive line has solidified over recent games, giving Mahomes more time to extend plays and connect on deeper routes. Defensively, Kansas City’s front, anchored by Chris Jones, has been instrumental in limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, particularly at home where they capitalize on Arrowhead’s energy. This game may come down to whether Tampa Bay can protect Mayfield long enough to sustain drives and keep up with Mahomes.
“We have the mental makeup to overcome anything, and I truly believe that. I believe that’s the group we have.” 💪 pic.twitter.com/GLCmUe1IuN
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 28, 2024
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Buccaneers arrive in Kansas City with an offense that has shown resilience under Mayfield, who has developed a solid connection with Evans and Otton. Tampa Bay’s ground game, though inconsistent, provides a necessary change of pace, but they rely heavily on Mayfield’s passing to convert scoring opportunities. Facing a strong Chiefs defense, Tampa Bay will need to ensure solid protection for Mayfield to avoid pressures that could lead to turnovers. If they can establish rhythm early, Tampa Bay may have opportunities to challenge Kansas City’s secondary. Defensively, the Buccaneers have been vulnerable to deep passing and high-scoring offenses, which could be a challenge against Mahomes. Tampa Bay’s front seven, led by Shaquil Barrett, has excelled in rushing the passer but has occasionally struggled with consistency, particularly against well-coordinated offenses like Kansas City’s. The secondary will face the difficult task of containing Kelce while staying alert to Mahomes’ ability to connect with his receivers downfield. A disciplined approach and minimizing turnovers will be critical if the Buccaneers hope to compete on the road against one of the league’s top offenses.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview
The Chiefs return to Arrowhead with the confidence of a strong season, aiming to extend their win streak and remain atop the AFC standings. Mahomes’ accuracy and ability to extend plays has been key, with Kelce acting as a versatile threat both in the short and intermediate routes. Kansas City’s run game, led by Clyde Edwards-Helaire, has provided balance, allowing the Chiefs to manage game flow and control time of possession effectively. The offensive line, although previously an area of concern, has shown improvement, giving Mahomes the protection needed to stay productive. Defensively, Kansas City’s front seven, spearheaded by Jones, has been critical in applying pressure and disrupting opposing quarterbacks. Their secondary has also performed well, limiting big plays and creating turnovers in crucial moments. Against Tampa Bay, the Chiefs’ defense will focus on forcing Mayfield into pressured situations and containing the Buccaneers’ passing game. Playing at home, the Chiefs hold an advantage, using Arrowhead’s loud environment to disrupt Tampa Bay’s offensive timing.
We could get used to this. pic.twitter.com/t22kgWSq3a
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 28, 2024
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Buccaneers and Chiefs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the trending weight emotional bettors tend to put on Kansas City’s strength factors between a Buccaneers team going up against a possibly improved Chiefs team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Buccaneers vs Chiefs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have struggled ATS in recent road games, particularly in high-scoring matchups, as their defense has occasionally allowed significant yardage.
Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs have been consistent ATS at Arrowhead, especially when favored by more than a touchdown, capitalizing on their strong home-field advantage and elite offense.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Matchup Trends
Kansas City has frequently covered the spread against NFC teams, especially in games where they’ve scored over 30 points, a trend that may favor them against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Kansas City start on November 04, 2024?
Tampa Bay vs Kansas City starts on November 04, 2024 at 9:15 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City -9.0
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +349, Kansas City -452
Over/Under: 44.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
Tampa Bay: (4-4) | Kansas City: (7-0)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Kansas City trending bets?
Kansas City has frequently covered the spread against NFC teams, especially in games where they’ve scored over 30 points, a trend that may favor them against Tampa Bay.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Buccaneers have struggled ATS in recent road games, particularly in high-scoring matchups, as their defense has occasionally allowed significant yardage.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Chiefs have been consistent ATS at Arrowhead, especially when favored by more than a touchdown, capitalizing on their strong home-field advantage and elite offense.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Kansas City?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
+349 KC Moneyline: -452
TB Spread: +9
KC Spread: -9.0
Over/Under: 44.5
Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
|
–
–
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+142
-165
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
|
–
–
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+290
-360
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
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–
–
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-400
+320
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+250
-300
|
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+265
-325
|
+7 (-120)
-7 (+100)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+290
-360
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-110
-106
|
-1.5 (-104)
+1.5 (-118)
|
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-220
+184
|
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
|
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+146
-170
|
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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|
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-185
+159
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 45 (-113)
U 45 (-107)
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|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+465
-630
|
+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs on November 04, 2024 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |