Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 27)
Updated: 2024-10-20T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Atlanta Falcons (4-3) will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) on October 27, 2024, at Raymond James Stadium. This NFC South showdown is crucial as both teams vie for control of the division. Tampa Bay is slightly favored at home, but the game is expected to be tight.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 27, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Buccaneers Record: (4-2)
Falcons Record: (4-3)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: -125
TB Moneyline: +109
ATL Spread: -2.5
TB Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 47.5
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.
ATL vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/27/24
Tampa Bay, on the other hand, has leaned on veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield to manage the offense efficiently. Mayfield has thrown for over 1,500 yards this season and has been particularly effective in play-action situations. Wide receiver Mike Evans continues to be his primary target, while the Buccaneers’ defense, led by linebacker Lavonte David, has been solid against both the run and the pass. The key matchup to watch will be Tampa Bay’s defense against Atlanta’s rushing attack. The Buccaneers rank in the top 10 in run defense, allowing just over 100 yards per game, while the Falcons rely heavily on their ground game to control the pace of the game. If Tampa Bay can limit Robinson’s production, they could force Ridder into more passing situations, where the Buccaneers’ secondary can capitalize. With the Buccaneers favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 48.5, expect a close, competitive game. Both teams will be looking to avoid costly mistakes and take control of the division in this key matchup.
Growth Mindset pic.twitter.com/MCMJYUrv43
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) October 21, 2024
Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview
The Atlanta Falcons come into this contest at 4-3, looking to stay competitive in the NFC South. Their season has been marked by ups and downs, largely driven by the development of rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder. While Ridder has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in his connection with Kyle Pitts and Drake London, he has also been prone to making rookie mistakes. His ability to handle the Buccaneers’ aggressive defense will be key to Atlanta’s chances in this game. On the ground, the Falcons have been one of the most productive rushing teams in the league, led by standout rookie Bijan Robinson. Robinson is averaging over 4.5 yards per carry and has been a dynamic playmaker, both running and receiving out of the backfield. The Falcons will look to establish the run early and often, hoping to control the clock and limit Tampa Bay’s offensive opportunities. Defensively, the Falcons have struggled to generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which could be problematic against a veteran like Mayfield. However, if they can disrupt Tampa Bay’s passing rhythm and force the Bucs into third-and-long situations, they’ll have a chance to keep the game within reach. For Atlanta, the key to success will be limiting turnovers and controlling the game on the ground. If they can win the time of possession battle and keep Mayfield off the field, they’ll have a good shot at pulling off the upset on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter this game looking to build on their 4-2 record and strengthen their grip on the NFC South. Led by Baker Mayfield, the Bucs have been efficient offensively, though not spectacular. Mayfield has managed the game well, limiting turnovers and relying on veteran playmakers like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Evans, in particular, has been a standout, leading the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s defense, however, has been the backbone of their success this season. The front seven, anchored by Lavonte David and Vita Vea, has been particularly effective in stopping the run, which will be crucial against the Falcons’ potent ground attack. The Buccaneers have allowed just over 100 rushing yards per game, putting them among the league leaders in run defense. In this game, the Buccaneers will need to maintain their strong defensive play while continuing to capitalize on big plays through the air. If Mayfield can stay clean in the pocket and avoid turnovers, the Bucs should be able to control the game and come out with a win. Home-field advantage also plays a factor, as Tampa Bay is 3-1 at Raymond James Stadium this season, giving them added confidence in this matchup.
On to the next one.#WeAreTheKrewe pic.twitter.com/1a20jimDbm
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 22, 2024
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Falcons and Buccaneers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Falcons team going up against a possibly deflated Buccaneers team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Falcons vs Buccaneers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Matchup Trends
In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Atlanta vs Tampa Bay start on October 27, 2024?
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay starts on October 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Atlanta vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: Raymond James Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay +2.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -125, Tampa Bay +109
Over/Under: 47.5
What are the records for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Atlanta: (4-3) | Tampa Bay: (4-2)
What is the AI best bet for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Atlanta vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.
Where can I find AI Picks for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
ATL Moneyline:
-125 TB Moneyline: +109
ATL Spread: -2.5
TB Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 47.5
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+146
-174
|
+3 (-102)
-3 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+290
-360
|
+7 (-114)
-7 (-106)
|
O 40.5 (-105)
U 40.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-370
+295
|
-7.5 (-102)
+7.5 (-120)
|
O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+245
-300
|
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+265
-330
|
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+285
-355
|
+7 (-108)
-7 (-112)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-102
-118
|
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
|
O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-225
+188
|
-4.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-114)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+146
-174
|
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
|
O 49.5 (-120)
U 49.5 (-102)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-176
+148
|
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+430
-590
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 27, 2024 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |