Falcons vs. Buccaneers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Oct 27 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-10-20T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Atlanta Falcons (4-3) will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) on October 27, 2024, at Raymond James Stadium. This NFC South showdown is crucial as both teams vie for control of the division. Tampa Bay is slightly favored at home, but the game is expected to be tight.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 27, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​
Venue: Raymond James Stadium​
Buccaneers Record: (4-2)
Falcons Record: (4-3)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: -125
TB Moneyline: +109
ATL Spread: -2.5
TB Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 47.5
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.
ATL vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/27/24
Tampa Bay, on the other hand, has leaned on veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield to manage the offense efficiently. Mayfield has thrown for over 1,500 yards this season and has been particularly effective in play-action situations. Wide receiver Mike Evans continues to be his primary target, while the Buccaneers’ defense, led by linebacker Lavonte David, has been solid against both the run and the pass. The key matchup to watch will be Tampa Bay’s defense against Atlanta’s rushing attack. The Buccaneers rank in the top 10 in run defense, allowing just over 100 yards per game, while the Falcons rely heavily on their ground game to control the pace of the game. If Tampa Bay can limit Robinson’s production, they could force Ridder into more passing situations, where the Buccaneers’ secondary can capitalize. With the Buccaneers favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 48.5, expect a close, competitive game. Both teams will be looking to avoid costly mistakes and take control of the division in this key matchup.
Growth Mindset pic.twitter.com/MCMJYUrv43
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) October 21, 2024
Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview
The Atlanta Falcons come into this contest at 4-3, looking to stay competitive in the NFC South. Their season has been marked by ups and downs, largely driven by the development of rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder. While Ridder has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in his connection with Kyle Pitts and Drake London, he has also been prone to making rookie mistakes. His ability to handle the Buccaneers’ aggressive defense will be key to Atlanta’s chances in this game. On the ground, the Falcons have been one of the most productive rushing teams in the league, led by standout rookie Bijan Robinson. Robinson is averaging over 4.5 yards per carry and has been a dynamic playmaker, both running and receiving out of the backfield. The Falcons will look to establish the run early and often, hoping to control the clock and limit Tampa Bay’s offensive opportunities. Defensively, the Falcons have struggled to generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which could be problematic against a veteran like Mayfield. However, if they can disrupt Tampa Bay’s passing rhythm and force the Bucs into third-and-long situations, they’ll have a chance to keep the game within reach. For Atlanta, the key to success will be limiting turnovers and controlling the game on the ground. If they can win the time of possession battle and keep Mayfield off the field, they’ll have a good shot at pulling off the upset on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter this game looking to build on their 4-2 record and strengthen their grip on the NFC South. Led by Baker Mayfield, the Bucs have been efficient offensively, though not spectacular. Mayfield has managed the game well, limiting turnovers and relying on veteran playmakers like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Evans, in particular, has been a standout, leading the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s defense, however, has been the backbone of their success this season. The front seven, anchored by Lavonte David and Vita Vea, has been particularly effective in stopping the run, which will be crucial against the Falcons’ potent ground attack. The Buccaneers have allowed just over 100 rushing yards per game, putting them among the league leaders in run defense. In this game, the Buccaneers will need to maintain their strong defensive play while continuing to capitalize on big plays through the air. If Mayfield can stay clean in the pocket and avoid turnovers, the Bucs should be able to control the game and come out with a win. Home-field advantage also plays a factor, as Tampa Bay is 3-1 at Raymond James Stadium this season, giving them added confidence in this matchup.
On to the next one.#WeAreTheKrewe pic.twitter.com/1a20jimDbm
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 22, 2024
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Falcons and Buccaneers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the growing emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Falcons team going up against a possibly deflated Buccaneers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Falcons vs Buccaneers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Matchup Trends
In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Atlanta vs Tampa Bay start on October 27, 2024?
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay starts on October 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Atlanta vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: Raymond James Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay +2.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -125, Tampa Bay +109
Over/Under: 47.5
What are the records for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Atlanta: (4-3) Â |Â Tampa Bay: (4-2)
What is the AI best bet for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Atlanta vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.
Where can I find AI Picks for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
ATL Moneyline:
-125 TB Moneyline: +109
ATL Spread: -2.5
TB Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 47.5
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
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-140
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O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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+800
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+15 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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+200
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U 43 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
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+125
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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U 44 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 27, 2024 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |