Texans vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 13)
Updated: 2024-10-06T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Houston Texans take on the New England Patriots on October 13, 2024, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The Texans, sitting at 4-1, look to extend their winning streak, while the struggling Patriots, at 1-4, hope to end their four-game skid.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 13, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (0-2)
Texans Record: (1-1)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -313
NE Moneyline: +249
HOU Spread: -7
NE Spread: +7.0
Over/Under: 37.5
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering just 2 out of their last 6 games. They are also winless (0-7) in their last 7 games at Gillette Stadium, showing a historical difficulty when visiting the Patriots.
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots have been one of the least reliable ATS teams recently, going 1-4-1 in their last 6 games. They have also failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games at home following a loss, making them a risky bet despite the +7 spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS trend is that New England has covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Houston. Meanwhile, the Texans have failed to cover as road favorites in their last seven Sunday matchups, making this a potentially favorable spot for the Patriots to cover as underdogs.
HOU vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Drake Maye Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards
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Houston vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/13/24
The offense has struggled to find its rhythm, averaging a mere 12.4 points per game. Rhamondre Stevenson has been a bright spot, rushing for 356 yards and contributing in the short passing game. However, New England’s defensive efforts have been undermined by their inability to consistently pressure opposing quarterbacks, ranking low in sacks and takeaways. The key matchup will be Houston’s high-powered offense against a Patriots defense that has allowed over 20 points in four of their five games. If the Texans can continue to get production from their playmakers and protect C.J. Stroud, they should be able to control the game. Conversely, the Patriots will need to rely on ball control and mistake-free football to keep this contest close. With New England as a home underdog, they could cover the spread, but Houston is the clear favorite to win outright.
1-0 in the H-Town uniforms 😤 pic.twitter.com/AMQLS96i0O
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) October 8, 2024
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans have been one of the surprise teams this season, starting 4-1 and sitting atop the AFC South. Led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, the Texans have exceeded expectations. Stroud has thrown for 1,385 yards and 7 touchdowns, showing poise and accuracy in the pocket. Wide receiver Nico Collins has emerged as a go-to option, leading the team with 567 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs has also been impactful, complementing Collins with 31 receptions for 315 yards. On the ground, the Texans have relied on a committee approach, with Joe Mixon and Cam Akers combining for over 300 rushing yards. Houston’s balanced offensive attack has kept defenses off balance and allowed them to put up over 20 points in four of their five games. Defensively, the Texans have been stout against the pass, allowing just 154 passing yards per game, but have been susceptible to strong rushing teams. The pass rush, led by Will Anderson Jr., has been effective, accumulating 15 sacks on the season. Heading into this game, Houston will look to establish the run early to set up play-action opportunities for Stroud. If they can protect the ball and avoid turnovers, the Texans should be able to outscore a struggling Patriots team. However, they must remain vigilant, as they have historically struggled when playing in Foxborough.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots enter this matchup with a disappointing 1-4 record and are looking to rebound from a four-game losing streak. The Patriots’ offense has struggled mightily, averaging just 12.4 points per game. Veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett has taken over due to injuries at the position and has managed only 696 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in five games. With top receiving options limited, tight end Hunter Henry (180 yards) has been one of the few bright spots. On the ground, Rhamondre Stevenson has been the focal point, rushing for 356 yards and 3 touchdowns, but he has often been contained by opposing defenses. The offensive line has also been a weak point, contributing to Brissett’s inability to generate big plays in the passing game. Defensively, the Patriots have been inconsistent. While they rank respectably against the run, allowing just 118 yards per game, their secondary has been exposed, giving up 239 passing yards per contest. To have a chance against the Texans, New England will need to control the clock and keep Houston’s high-octane offense off the field. Establishing the run game early and limiting turnovers will be crucial. If Brissett can connect on a few deep shots and the defense can force Houston into mistakes, the Patriots might be able to make it competitive.
A second look at second-year CB Christian Gonzalez against Miami.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 7, 2024
🎥: https://t.co/Lqi6hzbb3O pic.twitter.com/At7Z6kGShb
Houston vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. New England Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Texans and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Texans team going up against a possibly unhealthy Patriots team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs New England picks, computer picks Texans vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Texans Betting Trends
The Texans have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering just 2 out of their last 6 games. They are also winless (0-7) in their last 7 games at Gillette Stadium, showing a historical difficulty when visiting the Patriots.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots have been one of the least reliable ATS teams recently, going 1-4-1 in their last 6 games. They have also failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games at home following a loss, making them a risky bet despite the +7 spread.
Texans vs. Patriots Matchup Trends
An interesting ATS trend is that New England has covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Houston. Meanwhile, the Texans have failed to cover as road favorites in their last seven Sunday matchups, making this a potentially favorable spot for the Patriots to cover as underdogs.
Houston vs. New England Game Info
What time does Houston vs New England start on October 13, 2024?
Houston vs New England starts on October 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs New England being played?
Venue: Gillette Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs New England?
Spread: New England +7.0
Moneyline: Houston -313, New England +249
Over/Under: 37.5
What are the records for Houston vs New England?
Houston: (1-1) | New England: (0-2)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs New England?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Drake Maye Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards . Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs New England trending bets?
An interesting ATS trend is that New England has covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Houston. Meanwhile, the Texans have failed to cover as road favorites in their last seven Sunday matchups, making this a potentially favorable spot for the Patriots to cover as underdogs.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Texans have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering just 2 out of their last 6 games. They are also winless (0-7) in their last 7 games at Gillette Stadium, showing a historical difficulty when visiting the Patriots.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots have been one of the least reliable ATS teams recently, going 1-4-1 in their last 6 games. They have also failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games at home following a loss, making them a risky bet despite the +7 spread.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs New England?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. New England Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Houston vs New England Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
-313 NE Moneyline: +249
HOU Spread: -7
NE Spread: +7.0
Over/Under: 37.5
Houston vs New England Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
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–
–
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+148
-185
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+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
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–
–
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+270
-374
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
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–
–
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-463
+321
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
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–
–
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+242
-330
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+229
-315
|
+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+287
-407
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-110
-116
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+257
-355
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-220
+169
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+141
-181
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+682
-1442
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-192
+148
|
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
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Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+390
-599
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots on October 13, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |