Texans vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 13)

Updated: 2024-10-06T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Houston Texans take on the New England Patriots on October 13, 2024, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The Texans, sitting at 4-1, look to extend their winning streak, while the struggling Patriots, at 1-4, hope to end their four-game skid.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 13, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gillette Stadium​

Patriots Record: (0-2)

Texans Record: (1-1)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: -313

NE Moneyline: +249

HOU Spread: -7

NE Spread: +7.0

Over/Under: 37.5

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Texans have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering just 2 out of their last 6 games. They are also winless (0-7) in their last 7 games at Gillette Stadium, showing a historical difficulty when visiting the Patriots.

NE
Betting Trends

  • The Patriots have been one of the least reliable ATS teams recently, going 1-4-1 in their last 6 games. They have also failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games at home following a loss, making them a risky bet despite the +7 spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • An interesting ATS trend is that New England has covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Houston. Meanwhile, the Texans have failed to cover as road favorites in their last seven Sunday matchups, making this a potentially favorable spot for the Patriots to cover as underdogs.

HOU vs. NE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Drake Maye Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards

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Houston vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/13/24

The Houston Texans visit the New England Patriots in a Week 6 AFC matchup at Gillette Stadium. The Texans, riding high on a two-game winning streak, have surprised many with their strong start to the season under rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. Stroud has amassed 1,385 passing yards with 7 touchdowns against only 3 interceptions. His primary targets, Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs, have been instrumental in the team’s passing success, while Joe Mixon and Cam Akers lead a balanced ground attack. Houston’s defense has been effective, ranking among the top 10 in passing yards allowed per game and holding opponents to 22.8 points per contest. On the other hand, the Patriots have faced a challenging season with Jacoby Brissett under center after injuries to key starters. Brissett has been steady but unspectacular, throwing for just 696 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

The offense has struggled to find its rhythm, averaging a mere 12.4 points per game. Rhamondre Stevenson has been a bright spot, rushing for 356 yards and contributing in the short passing game. However, New England’s defensive efforts have been undermined by their inability to consistently pressure opposing quarterbacks, ranking low in sacks and takeaways. The key matchup will be Houston’s high-powered offense against a Patriots defense that has allowed over 20 points in four of their five games. If the Texans can continue to get production from their playmakers and protect C.J. Stroud, they should be able to control the game. Conversely, the Patriots will need to rely on ball control and mistake-free football to keep this contest close. With New England as a home underdog, they could cover the spread, but Houston is the clear favorite to win outright.

Houston Texans NFL Preview

The Houston Texans have been one of the surprise teams this season, starting 4-1 and sitting atop the AFC South. Led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, the Texans have exceeded expectations. Stroud has thrown for 1,385 yards and 7 touchdowns, showing poise and accuracy in the pocket. Wide receiver Nico Collins has emerged as a go-to option, leading the team with 567 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs has also been impactful, complementing Collins with 31 receptions for 315 yards. On the ground, the Texans have relied on a committee approach, with Joe Mixon and Cam Akers combining for over 300 rushing yards. Houston’s balanced offensive attack has kept defenses off balance and allowed them to put up over 20 points in four of their five games. Defensively, the Texans have been stout against the pass, allowing just 154 passing yards per game, but have been susceptible to strong rushing teams. The pass rush, led by Will Anderson Jr., has been effective, accumulating 15 sacks on the season. Heading into this game, Houston will look to establish the run early to set up play-action opportunities for Stroud. If they can protect the ball and avoid turnovers, the Texans should be able to outscore a struggling Patriots team. However, they must remain vigilant, as they have historically struggled when playing in Foxborough.

The Houston Texans take on the New England Patriots on October 13, 2024, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The Texans, sitting at 4-1, look to extend their winning streak, while the struggling Patriots, at 1-4, hope to end their four-game skid. Houston vs New England AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Oct 13. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots enter this matchup with a disappointing 1-4 record and are looking to rebound from a four-game losing streak. The Patriots’ offense has struggled mightily, averaging just 12.4 points per game. Veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett has taken over due to injuries at the position and has managed only 696 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in five games. With top receiving options limited, tight end Hunter Henry (180 yards) has been one of the few bright spots. On the ground, Rhamondre Stevenson has been the focal point, rushing for 356 yards and 3 touchdowns, but he has often been contained by opposing defenses. The offensive line has also been a weak point, contributing to Brissett’s inability to generate big plays in the passing game. Defensively, the Patriots have been inconsistent. While they rank respectably against the run, allowing just 118 yards per game, their secondary has been exposed, giving up 239 passing yards per contest. To have a chance against the Texans, New England will need to control the clock and keep Houston’s high-octane offense off the field. Establishing the run game early and limiting turnovers will be crucial. If Brissett can connect on a few deep shots and the defense can force Houston into mistakes, the Patriots might be able to make it competitive.

Houston vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Texans and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Drake Maye Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards

Houston vs. New England Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Texans and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing weight emotional bettors regularly put on Houston’s strength factors between a Texans team going up against a possibly deflated Patriots team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs New England picks, computer picks Texans vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Texans Betting Trends

The Texans have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering just 2 out of their last 6 games. They are also winless (0-7) in their last 7 games at Gillette Stadium, showing a historical difficulty when visiting the Patriots.

Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have been one of the least reliable ATS teams recently, going 1-4-1 in their last 6 games. They have also failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games at home following a loss, making them a risky bet despite the +7 spread.

Texans vs. Patriots Matchup Trends

An interesting ATS trend is that New England has covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Houston. Meanwhile, the Texans have failed to cover as road favorites in their last seven Sunday matchups, making this a potentially favorable spot for the Patriots to cover as underdogs.

Houston vs. New England Game Info

Houston vs New England starts on October 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New England +7.0
Moneyline: Houston -313, New England +249
Over/Under: 37.5

Houston: (1-1)  |  New England: (0-2)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Drake Maye Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards . Prices move—always shop for the best number.

An interesting ATS trend is that New England has covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Houston. Meanwhile, the Texans have failed to cover as road favorites in their last seven Sunday matchups, making this a potentially favorable spot for the Patriots to cover as underdogs.

HOU trend: The Texans have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering just 2 out of their last 6 games. They are also winless (0-7) in their last 7 games at Gillette Stadium, showing a historical difficulty when visiting the Patriots.

NE trend: The Patriots have been one of the least reliable ATS teams recently, going 1-4-1 in their last 6 games. They have also failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games at home following a loss, making them a risky bet despite the +7 spread.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. New England Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Houston vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Houston vs New England Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: -313
NE Moneyline: +249
HOU Spread: -7
NE Spread: +7.0
Over/Under: 37.5

Houston vs New England Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
-105
-115
pk
pk
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+534
-750
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+132
-152
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+170
-195
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+142
-162
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-150
+130
-2.5 (-122)
+2.5 (+102)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-460
+360
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+200
-240
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+215
-260
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-355
+285
-7 (-113)
+7 (-107)
O 39 (-116)
U 39 (-104)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-140
+120
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+130
-150
+2.5 (-101)
-2.5 (-119)
O 49 (-105)
U 49 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-200
+174
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-425
+334
-8.5 (-107)
+8.5 (-113)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+100
-120
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-185
+161
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 51 (-104)
U 51 (-116)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots on October 13, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS