Saints vs Chiefs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 07)
Updated: 2024-09-30T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New Orleans Saints (2-2) will visit the Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) on October 7, 2024, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are looking to maintain their perfect record and extend their winning streak, while the Saints hope to bounce back and avoid dropping to 2-3 after a couple of close losses.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 07, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs Record: (4-0)
Saints Record: (2-2)
OPENING ODDS
NO Moneyline: +190
KC Moneyline: -230
NO Spread: +5.5
KC Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 42.5
NO
Betting Trends
- The Saints are 3-1 ATS this season, but they have historically struggled against the Chiefs, failing to cover in five of their last seven matchups. Their road ATS performance has been better, with the total going over in five of their last seven away games.
KC
Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS this season and have been dominant at home, covering in each of their last five home games. They have also been strong against NFC opponents, winning 15 of their last 18 games in such matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone under in four of the last five games between the Saints and Chiefs, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring matchups when these two teams meet. Additionally, the Chiefs have covered the spread in eight of their last ten games, making them a reliable pick for bettors.
NO vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Travis Kelce Under 61.5 Passing Yards
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New Orleans vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/7/24
Derek Carr has been steady but not spectacular, throwing for 824 yards and 7 touchdowns. New Orleans’ offense has been inconsistent, which has led to their recent struggles, especially in tight games. Their defense has been the stronger unit, allowing only 17.5 points per game, but they face a daunting challenge against a Kansas City team that has a plethora of weapons. The key to this game will be whether the Saints’ defense can contain Mahomes and force turnovers. If New Orleans can slow down the Chiefs’ potent passing attack and control time of possession with their run game, they could keep it close. However, if the Chiefs jump out to an early lead, it could put too much pressure on Carr and the Saints’ offense to keep pace.
Alvin Kamara leads the @NFL in scrimmage yards (536) and is tied for the #NFL lead in TDs (6) ⚜️ pic.twitter.com/qzSRuevliF
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) October 1, 2024
New Orleans Saints NFL Preview
The New Orleans Saints are at a crossroads after a 2-2 start. Their offense has shown flashes of brilliance, but consistency has been an issue. Derek Carr has been efficient, throwing for 824 yards and 7 touchdowns, but the team has struggled to finish drives, leading to a disappointing loss to the Falcons last week. Kamara has been the focal point of their offense, both in the running and passing game, but the Saints need more from their receiving corps, led by Chris Olave with 265 yards. Defensively, the Saints have been solid, allowing just 17.5 points per game. Paulson Adebo has been a standout with 32 tackles, and Alontae Taylor has been a disruptive force with 4 sacks. To beat the Chiefs, New Orleans will need to generate pressure on Mahomes and force turnovers. If they can control the tempo and avoid costly mistakes, the Saints have a chance to pull off the upset on the road. However, if they fall behind early, it will be difficult for them to mount a comeback against one of the league’s best teams
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs have been one of the most dominant teams in the NFL so far in 2024, boasting a 4-0 record and a top spot in the AFC West. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 904 yards and 6 touchdowns, spreading the ball around effectively to his top receivers. Rashee Rice has emerged as a solid contributor with 288 receiving yards, while tight end Travis Kelce continues to be a reliable target. The Chiefs’ offense has been balanced, averaging 112.5 rushing yards per game, although they will miss Pacheco, who was recently placed on injured reserve. Defensively, Kansas City has been stout, allowing only 18 points per game. Linebacker Nick Bolton has been a force in the middle, leading the team with 27 tackles, and Chris Jones has contributed 3 sacks to anchor the pass rush. The Chiefs’ secondary has also been effective, giving up just 227.8 passing yards per game. If they can pressure Derek Carr and shut down Kamara, Kansas City should have the upper hand at home.
.@DTranquill led our team with 10 total tackles against the Chargers on Sunday 🫡 pic.twitter.com/Ux2VUqHjIA
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 1, 2024
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Saints and Chiefs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing factor emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Saints team going up against a possibly strong Chiefs team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Saints vs Chiefs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Saints Betting Trends
The Saints are 3-1 ATS this season, but they have historically struggled against the Chiefs, failing to cover in five of their last seven matchups. Their road ATS performance has been better, with the total going over in five of their last seven away games.
Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS this season and have been dominant at home, covering in each of their last five home games. They have also been strong against NFC opponents, winning 15 of their last 18 games in such matchups.
Saints vs. Chiefs Matchup Trends
The total has gone under in four of the last five games between the Saints and Chiefs, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring matchups when these two teams meet. Additionally, the Chiefs have covered the spread in eight of their last ten games, making them a reliable pick for bettors.
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does New Orleans vs Kansas City start on October 07, 2024?
New Orleans vs Kansas City starts on October 07, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is New Orleans vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City -5.5
Moneyline: New Orleans +190, Kansas City -230
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
New Orleans: (2-2) | Kansas City: (4-0)
What is the AI best bet for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Travis Kelce Under 61.5 Passing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New Orleans vs Kansas City trending bets?
The total has gone under in four of the last five games between the Saints and Chiefs, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring matchups when these two teams meet. Additionally, the Chiefs have covered the spread in eight of their last ten games, making them a reliable pick for bettors.
What are New Orleans trending bets?
NO trend: The Saints are 3-1 ATS this season, but they have historically struggled against the Chiefs, failing to cover in five of their last seven matchups. Their road ATS performance has been better, with the total going over in five of their last seven away games.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS this season and have been dominant at home, covering in each of their last five home games. They have also been strong against NFC opponents, winning 15 of their last 18 games in such matchups.
Where can I find AI Picks for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New Orleans vs Kansas City Opening Odds
NO Moneyline:
+190 KC Moneyline: -230
NO Spread: +5.5
KC Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 42.5
New Orleans vs Kansas City Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+133
-167
|
+3 (-114)
-3 (-112)
|
O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+265
-375
|
+7 (-118)
-7 (-108)
|
O 40.5 (-109)
U 40.5 (-117)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-500
+340
|
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 46.5 (-112)
U 46.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+235
-315
|
+6.5 (-112)
-6.5 (-114)
|
O 44 (-109)
U 44 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+260
-360
|
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-115)
|
O 50 (-115)
U 50 (-109)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+275
-385
|
+7 (-113)
-7 (-113)
|
O 43 (-114)
U 43 (-112)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-109
-117
|
+1 (-115)
-1 (-109)
|
O 41 (-115)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+295
-420
|
+7 (-108)
-7 (-118)
|
O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-245
+185
|
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-109)
U 47.5 (-117)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+135
-175
|
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-108)
|
O 50 (-109)
U 50 (-117)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+650
-1250
|
+14 (-108)
-14 (-118)
|
O 47 (-113)
U 47 (-113)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-177
+135
|
-3 (-113)
+3 (-113)
|
O 45 (-112)
U 45 (-113)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+420
-670
|
+10.5 (-114)
-10.5 (-112)
|
O 48 (-113)
U 48 (-113)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs on October 07, 2024 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |