Saints vs. Chiefs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Oct 07 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-30T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New Orleans Saints (2-2) will visit the Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) on October 7, 2024, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are looking to maintain their perfect record and extend their winning streak, while the Saints hope to bounce back and avoid dropping to 2-3 after a couple of close losses.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 07, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST​
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium​
Chiefs Record: (4-0)
Saints Record: (2-2)
OPENING ODDS
NO Moneyline: +190
KC Moneyline: -230
NO Spread: +5.5
KC Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 42.5
NO
Betting Trends
- The Saints are 3-1 ATS this season, but they have historically struggled against the Chiefs, failing to cover in five of their last seven matchups. Their road ATS performance has been better, with the total going over in five of their last seven away games.
KC
Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS this season and have been dominant at home, covering in each of their last five home games. They have also been strong against NFC opponents, winning 15 of their last 18 games in such matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone under in four of the last five games between the Saints and Chiefs, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring matchups when these two teams meet. Additionally, the Chiefs have covered the spread in eight of their last ten games, making them a reliable pick for bettors.
NO vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Travis Kelce Under 61.5 Passing Yards
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New Orleans vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/7/24
Derek Carr has been steady but not spectacular, throwing for 824 yards and 7 touchdowns. New Orleans’ offense has been inconsistent, which has led to their recent struggles, especially in tight games. Their defense has been the stronger unit, allowing only 17.5 points per game, but they face a daunting challenge against a Kansas City team that has a plethora of weapons. The key to this game will be whether the Saints’ defense can contain Mahomes and force turnovers. If New Orleans can slow down the Chiefs’ potent passing attack and control time of possession with their run game, they could keep it close. However, if the Chiefs jump out to an early lead, it could put too much pressure on Carr and the Saints’ offense to keep pace.
Alvin Kamara leads the @NFL in scrimmage yards (536) and is tied for the #NFL lead in TDs (6) ⚜️ pic.twitter.com/qzSRuevliF
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) October 1, 2024
New Orleans Saints NFL Preview
The New Orleans Saints are at a crossroads after a 2-2 start. Their offense has shown flashes of brilliance, but consistency has been an issue. Derek Carr has been efficient, throwing for 824 yards and 7 touchdowns, but the team has struggled to finish drives, leading to a disappointing loss to the Falcons last week. Kamara has been the focal point of their offense, both in the running and passing game, but the Saints need more from their receiving corps, led by Chris Olave with 265 yards. Defensively, the Saints have been solid, allowing just 17.5 points per game. Paulson Adebo has been a standout with 32 tackles, and Alontae Taylor has been a disruptive force with 4 sacks. To beat the Chiefs, New Orleans will need to generate pressure on Mahomes and force turnovers. If they can control the tempo and avoid costly mistakes, the Saints have a chance to pull off the upset on the road. However, if they fall behind early, it will be difficult for them to mount a comeback against one of the league’s best teams
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs have been one of the most dominant teams in the NFL so far in 2024, boasting a 4-0 record and a top spot in the AFC West. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 904 yards and 6 touchdowns, spreading the ball around effectively to his top receivers. Rashee Rice has emerged as a solid contributor with 288 receiving yards, while tight end Travis Kelce continues to be a reliable target. The Chiefs’ offense has been balanced, averaging 112.5 rushing yards per game, although they will miss Pacheco, who was recently placed on injured reserve. Defensively, Kansas City has been stout, allowing only 18 points per game. Linebacker Nick Bolton has been a force in the middle, leading the team with 27 tackles, and Chris Jones has contributed 3 sacks to anchor the pass rush. The Chiefs’ secondary has also been effective, giving up just 227.8 passing yards per game. If they can pressure Derek Carr and shut down Kamara, Kansas City should have the upper hand at home.
.@DTranquill led our team with 10 total tackles against the Chargers on Sunday 🫡 pic.twitter.com/Ux2VUqHjIA
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 1, 2024
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Saints and Chiefs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the trending factor emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Saints team going up against a possibly unhealthy Chiefs team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Saints vs Chiefs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Saints Betting Trends
The Saints are 3-1 ATS this season, but they have historically struggled against the Chiefs, failing to cover in five of their last seven matchups. Their road ATS performance has been better, with the total going over in five of their last seven away games.
Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS this season and have been dominant at home, covering in each of their last five home games. They have also been strong against NFC opponents, winning 15 of their last 18 games in such matchups.
Saints vs. Chiefs Matchup Trends
The total has gone under in four of the last five games between the Saints and Chiefs, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring matchups when these two teams meet. Additionally, the Chiefs have covered the spread in eight of their last ten games, making them a reliable pick for bettors.
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does New Orleans vs Kansas City start on October 07, 2024?
New Orleans vs Kansas City starts on October 07, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is New Orleans vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City -5.5
Moneyline: New Orleans +190, Kansas City -230
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
New Orleans: (2-2) Â |Â Kansas City: (4-0)
What is the AI best bet for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Travis Kelce Under 61.5 Passing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New Orleans vs Kansas City trending bets?
The total has gone under in four of the last five games between the Saints and Chiefs, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring matchups when these two teams meet. Additionally, the Chiefs have covered the spread in eight of their last ten games, making them a reliable pick for bettors.
What are New Orleans trending bets?
NO trend: The Saints are 3-1 ATS this season, but they have historically struggled against the Chiefs, failing to cover in five of their last seven matchups. Their road ATS performance has been better, with the total going over in five of their last seven away games.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS this season and have been dominant at home, covering in each of their last five home games. They have also been strong against NFC opponents, winning 15 of their last 18 games in such matchups.
Where can I find AI Picks for New Orleans vs Kansas City?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
New Orleans vs. Kansas City Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New Orleans vs Kansas City Opening Odds
NO Moneyline:
+190 KC Moneyline: -230
NO Spread: +5.5
KC Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 42.5
New Orleans vs Kansas City Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
|
–
–
|
+400
-550
|
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-285
+230
|
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
|
–
–
|
+300
-375
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
-190
+160
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
|
–
–
|
+800
-1300
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+200
-250
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
|
–
–
|
+160
-190
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+310
-400
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
|
–
–
|
+134
-158
|
+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New Orleans Saints vs. Kansas City Chiefs on October 07, 2024 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |