Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 06)

Updated: 2024-09-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Dolphins (1-3) will travel to face the New England Patriots (1-3) on October 6, 2024, at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are desperate for a win as they look to turn around their struggling seasons in a competitive AFC East division.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 06, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gillette Stadium​

Patriots Record: (1-3)

Dolphins Record: (1-3)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: -105

NE Moneyline: -114

MIA Spread: +1.5

NE Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 35.5

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.

NE
Betting Trends

  • The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.

MIA vs. NE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD

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Miami vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24

The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots, two AFC East rivals, will clash in Week 5 at Gillette Stadium. Both teams enter with identical 1-3 records, but the similarities end there. The Dolphins are struggling offensively, averaging just 11.3 points per game. Injuries to starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and backup Skylar Thompson have left Miami in a precarious position. They have cycled through quarterbacks, with Tyler Huntley starting in their most recent loss to the Tennessee Titans. Miami’s typically dynamic passing game has been muted, and their running game has been ineffective, producing less than 100 rushing yards per game.

The Patriots, meanwhile, have had their own struggles, but their issues are more centered around execution rather than personnel availability. Mac Jones has been inconsistent, and the team’s offensive line has failed to provide adequate protection, resulting in a lackluster 112.3 passing yards per game. The bright spot for New England has been their rushing attack, which has been more effective, thanks to Rhamondre Stevenson, who leads the team with 267 rushing yards. Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up 25.8 points per game, and their secondary has shown vulnerabilities, especially against teams with deep threats. The Patriots, on the other hand, are allowing 21.8 points per game, but their pass defense has been a major concern, giving up 254 passing yards per game. With both teams struggling to find consistency, this game will likely come down to which side can avoid turnovers and establish a semblance of offensive rhythm early on.

Miami Dolphins NFL Preview

The Miami Dolphins have had a rocky start to the season. Injuries to both Tua Tagovailoa and Skylar Thompson have left the Dolphins rotating through quarterbacks, and their offense has sputtered as a result. Miami’s wide receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has not been able to produce as expected, primarily due to poor quarterback play and a lack of consistent protection up front. The ground game has been similarly ineffective, with De’Von Achane leading the team with just 165 rushing yards on the season. On defense, Miami has had some success in pressuring opposing quarterbacks, thanks to a strong performance from defensive ends Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb. However, the unit as a whole has struggled against both the run and the pass, allowing 25.8 points per game. Their secondary, led by Xavien Howard and Jevon Holland, has the talent to be effective, but injuries and a lack of cohesion have left them vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. To beat New England, Miami will need to establish their ground game early and avoid putting too much pressure on their backup quarterback. If they can get Hill and Waddle involved with quick passes and screens, they might be able to exploit New England’s secondary and take some pressure off their defense.

The Miami Dolphins (1-3) will travel to face the New England Patriots (1-3) on October 6, 2024, at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are desperate for a win as they look to turn around their struggling seasons in a competitive AFC East division. Miami vs New England AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Oct 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots are in a rebuilding phase under new head coach Jerod Mayo. Their 1-3 start has been marked by poor offensive execution, and Mac Jones has been unable to string together consistent performances. Jones has thrown for 536 yards with just two touchdowns through four games, and New England’s offensive line has been a major concern, allowing significant pressure on their young quarterback. Despite these issues, the Patriots’ ground game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been effective, averaging 126.5 rushing yards per game. New England’s defense has been the team’s strength, ranking among the top ten in the league in rush defense, allowing just 99.3 yards per game on the ground. The Patriots’ front seven, led by Matthew Judon and rookie Keion White, have been disruptive, generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks. However, the secondary has struggled, particularly in deep coverage, which could be a problem against Miami’s speedsters if Tua Tagovailoa or Tyler Huntley can connect downfield.

Miami vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Dolphins and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD

Miami vs. New England Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Dolphins and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly strong Patriots team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miami vs New England picks, computer picks Dolphins vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Dolphins Betting Trends

The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.

Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Matchup Trends

The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.

Miami vs. New England Game Info

Miami vs New England starts on October 06, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New England -1.5
Moneyline: Miami -105, New England -114
Over/Under: 35.5

Miami: (1-3)  |  New England: (1-3)

Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.

MIA trend: The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.

NE trend: The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. New England Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Miami vs New England Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: -105
NE Moneyline: -114
MIA Spread: +1.5
NE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 35.5

Miami vs New England Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+148
-185
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+270
-374
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-463
+321
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+242
-330
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+229
-315
+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+287
-407
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-110
-116
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+257
-355
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-220
+169
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+141
-181
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+682
-1442
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-192
+148
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+390
-599
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots on October 06, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS