Dolphins vs. Patriots
Prediction, Odds & Props
Oct 06 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Dolphins (1-3) will travel to face the New England Patriots (1-3) on October 6, 2024, at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are desperate for a win as they look to turn around their struggling seasons in a competitive AFC East division.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 06, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (1-3)
Dolphins Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: -105
NE Moneyline: -114
MIA Spread: +1.5
NE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 35.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.
MIA vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD
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Miami vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24
The Patriots, meanwhile, have had their own struggles, but their issues are more centered around execution rather than personnel availability. Mac Jones has been inconsistent, and the team’s offensive line has failed to provide adequate protection, resulting in a lackluster 112.3 passing yards per game. The bright spot for New England has been their rushing attack, which has been more effective, thanks to Rhamondre Stevenson, who leads the team with 267 rushing yards. Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up 25.8 points per game, and their secondary has shown vulnerabilities, especially against teams with deep threats. The Patriots, on the other hand, are allowing 21.8 points per game, but their pass defense has been a major concern, giving up 254 passing yards per game. With both teams struggling to find consistency, this game will likely come down to which side can avoid turnovers and establish a semblance of offensive rhythm early on.
QB Tyler Huntley is live at the podium after #TENvsMIA
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 1, 2024
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins have had a rocky start to the season. Injuries to both Tua Tagovailoa and Skylar Thompson have left the Dolphins rotating through quarterbacks, and their offense has sputtered as a result. Miami’s wide receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has not been able to produce as expected, primarily due to poor quarterback play and a lack of consistent protection up front. The ground game has been similarly ineffective, with De’Von Achane leading the team with just 165 rushing yards on the season. On defense, Miami has had some success in pressuring opposing quarterbacks, thanks to a strong performance from defensive ends Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb. However, the unit as a whole has struggled against both the run and the pass, allowing 25.8 points per game. Their secondary, led by Xavien Howard and Jevon Holland, has the talent to be effective, but injuries and a lack of cohesion have left them vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. To beat New England, Miami will need to establish their ground game early and avoid putting too much pressure on their backup quarterback. If they can get Hill and Waddle involved with quick passes and screens, they might be able to exploit New England’s secondary and take some pressure off their defense.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots are in a rebuilding phase under new head coach Jerod Mayo. Their 1-3 start has been marked by poor offensive execution, and Mac Jones has been unable to string together consistent performances. Jones has thrown for 536 yards with just two touchdowns through four games, and New England’s offensive line has been a major concern, allowing significant pressure on their young quarterback. Despite these issues, the Patriots’ ground game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been effective, averaging 126.5 rushing yards per game. New England’s defense has been the team’s strength, ranking among the top ten in the league in rush defense, allowing just 99.3 yards per game on the ground. The Patriots’ front seven, led by Matthew Judon and rookie Keion White, have been disruptive, generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks. However, the secondary has struggled, particularly in deep coverage, which could be a problem against Miami’s speedsters if Tua Tagovailoa or Tyler Huntley can connect downfield.
.@AustinHooper18's first Patriots TD 🔥 pic.twitter.com/7n0VoMmgJ7
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 1, 2024
Miami vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. New England Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Dolphins and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight human bettors tend to put on New England’s strength factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly strong Patriots team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs New England picks, computer picks Dolphins vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Dolphins Betting Trends
The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Matchup Trends
The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.
Miami vs. New England Game Info
What time does Miami vs New England start on October 06, 2024?
Miami vs New England starts on October 06, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs New England being played?
Venue: Gillette Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs New England?
Spread: New England -1.5
Moneyline: Miami -105, New England -114
Over/Under: 35.5
What are the records for Miami vs New England?
Miami: (1-3) | New England: (1-3)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs New England?
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs New England trending bets?
The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs New England?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. New England Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs New England Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
-105 NE Moneyline: -114
MIA Spread: +1.5
NE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 35.5
Miami vs New England Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
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|
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Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
|
–
–
|
+400
-550
|
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
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–
–
|
-285
+230
|
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
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–
–
|
+300
-375
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
-190
+160
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
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–
–
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+105
-125
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
|
–
–
|
+800
-1300
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+200
-250
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
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Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
|
–
–
|
+160
-190
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
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Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
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|
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
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Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
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Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+310
-400
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
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Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
|
–
–
|
+134
-158
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots on October 06, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |