Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 06)

Updated: 2024-09-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Dolphins (1-3) will travel to face the New England Patriots (1-3) on October 6, 2024, at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are desperate for a win as they look to turn around their struggling seasons in a competitive AFC East division.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 06, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gillette Stadium​

Patriots Record: (1-3)

Dolphins Record: (1-3)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: -105

NE Moneyline: -114

MIA Spread: +1.5

NE Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 35.5

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.

NE
Betting Trends

  • The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.

MIA vs. NE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD

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Miami vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24

The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots, two AFC East rivals, will clash in Week 5 at Gillette Stadium. Both teams enter with identical 1-3 records, but the similarities end there. The Dolphins are struggling offensively, averaging just 11.3 points per game. Injuries to starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and backup Skylar Thompson have left Miami in a precarious position. They have cycled through quarterbacks, with Tyler Huntley starting in their most recent loss to the Tennessee Titans. Miami’s typically dynamic passing game has been muted, and their running game has been ineffective, producing less than 100 rushing yards per game.

The Patriots, meanwhile, have had their own struggles, but their issues are more centered around execution rather than personnel availability. Mac Jones has been inconsistent, and the team’s offensive line has failed to provide adequate protection, resulting in a lackluster 112.3 passing yards per game. The bright spot for New England has been their rushing attack, which has been more effective, thanks to Rhamondre Stevenson, who leads the team with 267 rushing yards. Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up 25.8 points per game, and their secondary has shown vulnerabilities, especially against teams with deep threats. The Patriots, on the other hand, are allowing 21.8 points per game, but their pass defense has been a major concern, giving up 254 passing yards per game. With both teams struggling to find consistency, this game will likely come down to which side can avoid turnovers and establish a semblance of offensive rhythm early on.

Miami Dolphins NFL Preview

The Miami Dolphins have had a rocky start to the season. Injuries to both Tua Tagovailoa and Skylar Thompson have left the Dolphins rotating through quarterbacks, and their offense has sputtered as a result. Miami’s wide receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has not been able to produce as expected, primarily due to poor quarterback play and a lack of consistent protection up front. The ground game has been similarly ineffective, with De’Von Achane leading the team with just 165 rushing yards on the season. On defense, Miami has had some success in pressuring opposing quarterbacks, thanks to a strong performance from defensive ends Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb. However, the unit as a whole has struggled against both the run and the pass, allowing 25.8 points per game. Their secondary, led by Xavien Howard and Jevon Holland, has the talent to be effective, but injuries and a lack of cohesion have left them vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. To beat New England, Miami will need to establish their ground game early and avoid putting too much pressure on their backup quarterback. If they can get Hill and Waddle involved with quick passes and screens, they might be able to exploit New England’s secondary and take some pressure off their defense.

The Miami Dolphins (1-3) will travel to face the New England Patriots (1-3) on October 6, 2024, at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are desperate for a win as they look to turn around their struggling seasons in a competitive AFC East division. Miami vs New England AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Oct 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots are in a rebuilding phase under new head coach Jerod Mayo. Their 1-3 start has been marked by poor offensive execution, and Mac Jones has been unable to string together consistent performances. Jones has thrown for 536 yards with just two touchdowns through four games, and New England’s offensive line has been a major concern, allowing significant pressure on their young quarterback. Despite these issues, the Patriots’ ground game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been effective, averaging 126.5 rushing yards per game. New England’s defense has been the team’s strength, ranking among the top ten in the league in rush defense, allowing just 99.3 yards per game on the ground. The Patriots’ front seven, led by Matthew Judon and rookie Keion White, have been disruptive, generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks. However, the secondary has struggled, particularly in deep coverage, which could be a problem against Miami’s speedsters if Tua Tagovailoa or Tyler Huntley can connect downfield.

Miami vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Dolphins and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD

Miami vs. New England Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Dolphins and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly unhealthy Patriots team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Miami vs New England picks, computer picks Dolphins vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Dolphins Betting Trends

The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.

Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Matchup Trends

The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.

Miami vs. New England Game Info

Miami vs New England starts on October 06, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New England -1.5
Moneyline: Miami -105, New England -114
Over/Under: 35.5

Miami: (1-3)  |  New England: (1-3)

Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.

MIA trend: The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.

NE trend: The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. New England Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Miami vs New England Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: -105
NE Moneyline: -114
MIA Spread: +1.5
NE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 35.5

Miami vs New England Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
-105
-115
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+500
-700
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-102)
U 43.5 (-120)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+128
-152
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
O 47.5 (-104)
U 47.5 (-118)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+176
-210
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
O 42.5 (-118)
U 42.5 (-104)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+136
-162
+3 (-118)
-3 (-104)
O 47.5 (-120)
U 47.5 (-102)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-146
+126
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-460
+360
-7.5 (-120)
+7.5 (-102)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+198
-240
+5.5 (-118)
-5.5 (-104)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+215
-260
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-400
+315
-7.5 (-106)
+7.5 (-114)
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-156
+132
-3 (-104)
+3 (-118)
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+124
-146
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
O 48.5 (-112)
U 48.5 (-108)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-188
+158
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-510
+390
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+104
-122
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-196
+164
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots on October 06, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS