Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 06)
Updated: 2024-09-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Dolphins (1-3) will travel to face the New England Patriots (1-3) on October 6, 2024, at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are desperate for a win as they look to turn around their struggling seasons in a competitive AFC East division.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Oct 06, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (1-3)
Dolphins Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: -105
NE Moneyline: -114
MIA Spread: +1.5
NE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 35.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.
MIA vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD
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Miami vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24
The Patriots, meanwhile, have had their own struggles, but their issues are more centered around execution rather than personnel availability. Mac Jones has been inconsistent, and the team’s offensive line has failed to provide adequate protection, resulting in a lackluster 112.3 passing yards per game. The bright spot for New England has been their rushing attack, which has been more effective, thanks to Rhamondre Stevenson, who leads the team with 267 rushing yards. Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up 25.8 points per game, and their secondary has shown vulnerabilities, especially against teams with deep threats. The Patriots, on the other hand, are allowing 21.8 points per game, but their pass defense has been a major concern, giving up 254 passing yards per game. With both teams struggling to find consistency, this game will likely come down to which side can avoid turnovers and establish a semblance of offensive rhythm early on.
QB Tyler Huntley is live at the podium after #TENvsMIA
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 1, 2024
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins have had a rocky start to the season. Injuries to both Tua Tagovailoa and Skylar Thompson have left the Dolphins rotating through quarterbacks, and their offense has sputtered as a result. Miami’s wide receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has not been able to produce as expected, primarily due to poor quarterback play and a lack of consistent protection up front. The ground game has been similarly ineffective, with De’Von Achane leading the team with just 165 rushing yards on the season. On defense, Miami has had some success in pressuring opposing quarterbacks, thanks to a strong performance from defensive ends Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb. However, the unit as a whole has struggled against both the run and the pass, allowing 25.8 points per game. Their secondary, led by Xavien Howard and Jevon Holland, has the talent to be effective, but injuries and a lack of cohesion have left them vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. To beat New England, Miami will need to establish their ground game early and avoid putting too much pressure on their backup quarterback. If they can get Hill and Waddle involved with quick passes and screens, they might be able to exploit New England’s secondary and take some pressure off their defense.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots are in a rebuilding phase under new head coach Jerod Mayo. Their 1-3 start has been marked by poor offensive execution, and Mac Jones has been unable to string together consistent performances. Jones has thrown for 536 yards with just two touchdowns through four games, and New England’s offensive line has been a major concern, allowing significant pressure on their young quarterback. Despite these issues, the Patriots’ ground game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been effective, averaging 126.5 rushing yards per game. New England’s defense has been the team’s strength, ranking among the top ten in the league in rush defense, allowing just 99.3 yards per game on the ground. The Patriots’ front seven, led by Matthew Judon and rookie Keion White, have been disruptive, generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks. However, the secondary has struggled, particularly in deep coverage, which could be a problem against Miami’s speedsters if Tua Tagovailoa or Tyler Huntley can connect downfield.
.@AustinHooper18's first Patriots TD 🔥 pic.twitter.com/7n0VoMmgJ7
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 1, 2024
Miami vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. New England Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Dolphins and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly strong Patriots team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs New England picks, computer picks Dolphins vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Dolphins Betting Trends
The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Matchup Trends
The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.
Miami vs. New England Game Info
What time does Miami vs New England start on October 06, 2024?
Miami vs New England starts on October 06, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs New England being played?
Venue: Gillette Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs New England?
Spread: New England -1.5
Moneyline: Miami -105, New England -114
Over/Under: 35.5
What are the records for Miami vs New England?
Miami: (1-3) | New England: (1-3)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs New England?
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs New England trending bets?
The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs New England?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. New England Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs New England Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
-105 NE Moneyline: -114
MIA Spread: +1.5
NE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 35.5
Miami vs New England Live Odds
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Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
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–
–
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+148
-185
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+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
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10/26/25 1PM
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Patriots
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–
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+270
-374
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
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Bills
Panthers
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–
–
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-463
+321
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-7.5 (-110)
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O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
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–
–
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+242
-330
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
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+229
-315
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+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
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–
–
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+287
-407
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-110
-116
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+257
-355
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
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-220
+169
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-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
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+141
-181
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+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
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+682
-1442
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+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
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–
–
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-192
+148
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-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
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–
–
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+390
-599
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+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots on October 06, 2024 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |