Browns vs Commanders Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 06)
Updated: 2024-09-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cleveland Browns (1-3) will travel to face the Washington Commanders (3-1) on October 6, 2024, at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. The Commanders are looking to extend their winning streak to four games, while the Browns aim to bounce back after a narrow 20-16 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 06, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Northwest Stadium
Commanders Record: (3-1)
Browns Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
CLE Moneyline: +145
WAS Moneyline: -173
CLE Spread: +3.5
WAS Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 44.5
CLE
Betting Trends
- The Browns are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have struggled to cover, particularly in games where their offense has been stymied by strong defenses.
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 3-1 ATS this season, consistently outperforming expectations. Their offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, has been explosive, and their strong defensive play has helped them secure victories by significant margins.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Commanders have covered the spread in three consecutive games and are favored by 3.5 points in this matchup. They are averaging 30.3 points per game, making them a high-scoring team compared to the Browns, who have struggled offensively with just 16.5 points per game.
CLE vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Zach Ertz Under 28.5 Receiving Yards
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Cleveland vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24
Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been a revelation, throwing for 897 yards and 7 touchdowns while showcasing his dual-threat capabilities. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been a key component of their success, racking up 307 rushing yards and helping balance the offense. The key matchup will be whether Cleveland’s defense, which allows 123.3 rushing yards per game, can slow down Robinson and force Daniels to win the game through the air. The Browns will also need their offense to produce more consistently, especially on third downs, where they have struggled to sustain drives. If Cleveland’s pass rush, led by Myles Garrett, can disrupt Daniels, they might have a chance to keep the game close.
you should definitely click the link below for some awesome Bojo pics 🦵🏈
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) October 2, 2024
📸: https://t.co/zm6HvyRbfx pic.twitter.com/rEBNrYB2hb
Cleveland Browns NFL Preview
The Cleveland Browns are reeling at 1-3, struggling to find an offensive rhythm. Deshaun Watson has been up and down, throwing for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, but his supporting cast has been inconsistent. The absence of a strong ground game has been a major issue, as Jerome Ford leads the team with just 203 rushing yards. The Browns have managed just 16.5 points per game, one of the lowest in the league. Defensively, the Browns have been vulnerable against both the run and the pass, allowing 123.3 rushing yards and 175.8 passing yards per game. Myles Garrett has been the standout, with 4 sacks on the season, but the rest of the defense has struggled to create consistent pressure. If the Browns want to upset the Commanders, they will need to establish the run and control the clock, keeping Washington’s dynamic offense off the field. Overall, Cleveland’s path to victory will rely on their ability to force turnovers and capitalize on short fields. If Watson can find his rhythm and get support from the running game, the Browns could keep it close, but they will need to play a nearly perfect game to overcome the high-scoring Commanders on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders are off to a strong start in 2024, sitting atop the NFC East with a 3-1 record. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been exceptional, displaying poise and accuracy that have propelled Washington’s offense to 30.3 points per game. Daniels has formed a strong connection with top receivers Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson, giving the Commanders a potent passing attack. Their run game, led by Brian Robinson Jr., has been equally effective, averaging 169.3 rushing yards per game. Washington’s offensive line has provided solid protection, allowing Daniels to showcase his mobility and extend plays. Defensively, the Commanders have been solid but not spectacular, allowing 25.5 points per game. However, they have been effective in crucial situations, forcing turnovers and getting stops in the red zone. The Commanders will look to capitalize on Cleveland’s offensive inconsistency and use their high-powered offense to build an early lead. If they can establish the run and keep the Browns’ pass rush at bay, Washington should be able to control the tempo and put pressure on Deshaun Watson to play from behind.
Happy birthday to 2x Super Bowl champ and former Super Bowl MVP @mark_rypien! 🎊 pic.twitter.com/ps9RYFGA9e
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) October 2, 2024
Cleveland vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)
Cleveland vs. Washington Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Browns and Commanders and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Browns team going up against a possibly unhealthy Commanders team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Washington picks, computer picks Browns vs Commanders, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Browns Betting Trends
The Browns are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have struggled to cover, particularly in games where their offense has been stymied by strong defenses.
Commanders Betting Trends
The Commanders are 3-1 ATS this season, consistently outperforming expectations. Their offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, has been explosive, and their strong defensive play has helped them secure victories by significant margins.
Browns vs. Commanders Matchup Trends
The Commanders have covered the spread in three consecutive games and are favored by 3.5 points in this matchup. They are averaging 30.3 points per game, making them a high-scoring team compared to the Browns, who have struggled offensively with just 16.5 points per game.
Cleveland vs. Washington Game Info
What time does Cleveland vs Washington start on October 06, 2024?
Cleveland vs Washington starts on October 06, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Cleveland vs Washington being played?
Venue: Northwest Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Cleveland vs Washington?
Spread: Washington -3.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +145, Washington -173
Over/Under: 44.5
What are the records for Cleveland vs Washington?
Cleveland: (1-3) | Washington: (3-1)
What is the AI best bet for Cleveland vs Washington?
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Zach Ertz Under 28.5 Receiving Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cleveland vs Washington trending bets?
The Commanders have covered the spread in three consecutive games and are favored by 3.5 points in this matchup. They are averaging 30.3 points per game, making them a high-scoring team compared to the Browns, who have struggled offensively with just 16.5 points per game.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: The Browns are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have struggled to cover, particularly in games where their offense has been stymied by strong defenses.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Commanders are 3-1 ATS this season, consistently outperforming expectations. Their offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, has been explosive, and their strong defensive play has helped them secure victories by significant margins.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cleveland vs Washington?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Cleveland vs. Washington Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Cleveland vs Washington Opening Odds
CLE Moneyline:
+145 WAS Moneyline: -173
CLE Spread: +3.5
WAS Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 44.5
Cleveland vs Washington Live Odds
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
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Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
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–
–
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-105
-115
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-1 (-110)
+1 (-110)
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O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
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Jets
Patriots
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+550
-850
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+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
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O 43 (-115)
U 43 (-105)
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Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
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Dolphins
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–
–
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+130
-150
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+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Atlanta Falcons
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Panthers
Falcons
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–
–
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+165
-195
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+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
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O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
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–
–
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+140
-165
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+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
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–
–
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-150
+130
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-3 (+100)
+3 (-120)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
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–
–
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-460
+360
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-7.5 (-120)
+7.5 (-102)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
|
–
–
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+205
-245
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+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+225
-275
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+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
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–
–
|
-370
+285
|
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
|
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
|
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Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
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–
–
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-150
+130
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 49 (-115)
U 49 (-105)
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Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+130
-150
|
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
|
O 48 (-115)
U 48 (-105)
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Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-210
+175
|
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
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Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
|
–
–
|
-470
+345
|
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
|
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Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+104
-122
|
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
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–
–
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-185
+160
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-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders on October 06, 2024 at Northwest Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |