Browns vs. Commanders
Prediction, Odds & Props
Oct 06 | NFL AI Picks

Updated: 2024-09-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cleveland Browns (1-3) will travel to face the Washington Commanders (3-1) on October 6, 2024, at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. The Commanders are looking to extend their winning streak to four games, while the Browns aim to bounce back after a narrow 20-16 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 06, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Northwest Stadium​

Commanders Record: (3-1)

Browns Record: (1-3)

OPENING ODDS

CLE Moneyline: +145

WAS Moneyline: -173

CLE Spread: +3.5

WAS Spread: -3.5

Over/Under: 44.5

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Browns are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have struggled to cover, particularly in games where their offense has been stymied by strong defenses.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Commanders are 3-1 ATS this season, consistently outperforming expectations. Their offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, has been explosive, and their strong defensive play has helped them secure victories by significant margins.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Commanders have covered the spread in three consecutive games and are favored by 3.5 points in this matchup. They are averaging 30.3 points per game, making them a high-scoring team compared to the Browns, who have struggled offensively with just 16.5 points per game.

CLE vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Zach Ertz Under 28.5 Receiving Yards

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Cleveland vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24

The Cleveland Browns will face a surging Washington Commanders team in a crucial Week 5 matchup. The Browns are coming off a tough 20-16 loss to the Raiders, dropping them to 1-3 on the season. Their struggles have largely been due to inconsistent offensive performances and a defense that has been unable to stop the run effectively. Deshaun Watson has shown flashes of brilliance but lacks consistent support from his offensive line and playmakers. The Commanders, on the other hand, are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. After a 42-14 thrashing of the Arizona Cardinals, Washington extended its winning streak to three games.

Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been a revelation, throwing for 897 yards and 7 touchdowns while showcasing his dual-threat capabilities. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been a key component of their success, racking up 307 rushing yards and helping balance the offense. The key matchup will be whether Cleveland’s defense, which allows 123.3 rushing yards per game, can slow down Robinson and force Daniels to win the game through the air. The Browns will also need their offense to produce more consistently, especially on third downs, where they have struggled to sustain drives. If Cleveland’s pass rush, led by Myles Garrett, can disrupt Daniels, they might have a chance to keep the game close.

Cleveland Browns NFL Preview

The Cleveland Browns are reeling at 1-3, struggling to find an offensive rhythm. Deshaun Watson has been up and down, throwing for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, but his supporting cast has been inconsistent. The absence of a strong ground game has been a major issue, as Jerome Ford leads the team with just 203 rushing yards. The Browns have managed just 16.5 points per game, one of the lowest in the league. Defensively, the Browns have been vulnerable against both the run and the pass, allowing 123.3 rushing yards and 175.8 passing yards per game. Myles Garrett has been the standout, with 4 sacks on the season, but the rest of the defense has struggled to create consistent pressure. If the Browns want to upset the Commanders, they will need to establish the run and control the clock, keeping Washington’s dynamic offense off the field. Overall, Cleveland’s path to victory will rely on their ability to force turnovers and capitalize on short fields. If Watson can find his rhythm and get support from the running game, the Browns could keep it close, but they will need to play a nearly perfect game to overcome the high-scoring Commanders on the road.

The Cleveland Browns (1-3) will travel to face the Washington Commanders (3-1) on October 6, 2024, at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. The Commanders are looking to extend their winning streak to four games, while the Browns aim to bounce back after a narrow 20-16 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders. Cleveland vs Washington AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Oct 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Commanders NFL Preview

The Washington Commanders are off to a strong start in 2024, sitting atop the NFC East with a 3-1 record. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been exceptional, displaying poise and accuracy that have propelled Washington’s offense to 30.3 points per game. Daniels has formed a strong connection with top receivers Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson, giving the Commanders a potent passing attack. Their run game, led by Brian Robinson Jr., has been equally effective, averaging 169.3 rushing yards per game. Washington’s offensive line has provided solid protection, allowing Daniels to showcase his mobility and extend plays. Defensively, the Commanders have been solid but not spectacular, allowing 25.5 points per game. However, they have been effective in crucial situations, forcing turnovers and getting stops in the red zone. The Commanders will look to capitalize on Cleveland’s offensive inconsistency and use their high-powered offense to build an early lead. If they can establish the run and keep the Browns’ pass rush at bay, Washington should be able to control the tempo and put pressure on Deshaun Watson to play from behind.

Cleveland vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Browns and Commanders play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Northwest Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Zach Ertz Under 28.5 Receiving Yards

Cleveland vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Browns and Commanders and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Browns team going up against a possibly tired Commanders team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Washington picks, computer picks Browns vs Commanders, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Browns Betting Trends

The Browns are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have struggled to cover, particularly in games where their offense has been stymied by strong defenses.

Commanders Betting Trends

The Commanders are 3-1 ATS this season, consistently outperforming expectations. Their offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, has been explosive, and their strong defensive play has helped them secure victories by significant margins.

Browns vs. Commanders Matchup Trends

The Commanders have covered the spread in three consecutive games and are favored by 3.5 points in this matchup. They are averaging 30.3 points per game, making them a high-scoring team compared to the Browns, who have struggled offensively with just 16.5 points per game.

Cleveland vs. Washington Game Info

Cleveland vs Washington starts on October 06, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: Washington -3.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +145, Washington -173
Over/Under: 44.5

Cleveland: (1-3)  |  Washington: (3-1)

Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Zach Ertz Under 28.5 Receiving Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Commanders have covered the spread in three consecutive games and are favored by 3.5 points in this matchup. They are averaging 30.3 points per game, making them a high-scoring team compared to the Browns, who have struggled offensively with just 16.5 points per game.

CLE trend: The Browns are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have struggled to cover, particularly in games where their offense has been stymied by strong defenses.

WAS trend: The Commanders are 3-1 ATS this season, consistently outperforming expectations. Their offense, led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, has been explosive, and their strong defensive play has helped them secure victories by significant margins.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Cleveland vs. Washington Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cleveland vs Washington Opening Odds

CLE Moneyline: +145
WAS Moneyline: -173
CLE Spread: +3.5
WAS Spread: -3.5
Over/Under: 44.5

Cleveland vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
-140
+115
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
+400
-550
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
-285
+230
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
+300
-375
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
-190
+160
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
+105
-125
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
+800
-1300
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
+200
-250
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
+150
-180
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
+160
-190
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
-150
+125
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
+100
-120
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
-325
+250
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
+125
-150
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
+310
-400
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
+134
-158
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Commanders on October 06, 2024 at Northwest Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS
GB@CLE GB -7 54.3% 4 LOSS
ARI@SF ARI +3 57.7% 6 WIN
KC@NYG PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
GB@CLE JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIA@BUF TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@LV LAC -3 54.9% 4 WIN
TB@HOU BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 54.4% 4 WIN
CHI@DET DET -6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
DEN@IND DEN -118 60.1% 10 LOSS
PHI@KC PHI -115 56.7% 6 WIN
SF@NO SF -3 58.8% 8 WIN
SEA@PIT OVER 40 54.9% 4 WIN
CAR@ARI BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
DEN@IND JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 54.7% 4 WIN
ATL@MIN BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 53.4% 3 WIN
WAS@GB WAS +3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WAS@GB JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS 54.7% 4 WIN
MIN@CHI CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS 53.4% 3 LOSS
TEN@DEN DEN -8.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
SF@SEA SF -115 54.6% 4 WIN
SF@SEA KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS 54.6% 4 WIN
CAR@JAC TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT 56.1% 6 LOSS
KC@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT 54.1% 3 WIN
DAL@PHI GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@PHI JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS 53.90% 5 WIN
KC@PHI DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS 54.40% 6 WIN
KC@PHI PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP 55.00% 8 WIN
KC@PHI JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS 55.60% 8 WIN
BUF@KC DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.10% 8 LOSS
WAS@PHI DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS 55.80% 8 WIN
BUF@KC JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD 53.00% 5 WIN
LAR@PHI SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS 53.20% 5 LOSS
BAL@BUF LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS 54.50% 6 LOSS
HOU@KC C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 53.10% 5 LOSS
WAS@DET JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 53.30% 5 WIN
WAS@DET JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 54.30% 6 WIN
MIN@LAR COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN 52.60% 3 LOSS
MIN@LAR MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP 54.10% 6 LOSS
WAS@TB BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS 53.50% 5 WIN
WAS@TB BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT 54.90% 6 WIN
GB@PHI JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE 54.60% 6 LOSS
LAC@HOU J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD 52.80% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU LAC -2.5 53.40% 3 LOSS
LAC@HOU JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS 53.40% 5 LOSS